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Waiver Wire Gems - Week 9 edition (1 Viewer)

Isotopes said:
Not sure I agree with you guys. The Pats are only as good as Tom Brady takes them. He will need to use his arm to win games for them, and it looks like Caldwell may be emerging as his go to guy.
I don't know if he's the go-to guy - I still think Gabriel is the best WR on that team right now - but Caldwell's last two games have been very interesting. He's gotten a ton of targets. Is that a fluke or a sign that maybe he's emerging a bit? I think he's worth a look for this week because even though the Colts' run defense stinks their offense is so good I think the Pats will have to throw to catch up.
 
Wes Welker?A lot of people have dropped him the past couple of weeks.
:eek:Who woulda done that? Except for a lack of TDs, his targets are great and his yardage is consistent - the same reasons a person picked him up should be the same reasons not to drop him. The last three weeks he's been gold in PPR leagues (averaging 7 catches and 50+ yards the last three weeks, he is almost a must start in PPR leagues that start three WRs)
 
Isotopes said:
Not sure I agree with you guys. The Pats are only as good as Tom Brady takes them. He will need to use his arm to win games for them, and it looks like Caldwell may be emerging as his go to guy.
I don't know if he's the go-to guy - I still think Gabriel is the best WR on that team right now - but Caldwell's last two games have been very interesting. He's gotten a ton of targets. Is that a fluke or a sign that maybe he's emerging a bit? I think he's worth a look for this week because even though the Colts' run defense stinks their offense is so good I think the Pats will have to throw to catch up.
I see no difference between Caldwell and Gabriel - to call either go-to is, I believe, premature.Gabriel has 8 targets, 3 catches and 2 TDs in the red zone, and 5 catches on 10 targets on 3rd/4th (2 TDs).Caldwell has 5 targets and 1 TD in the red zone and 8 catches on 15 targets on 3rd/4th, (no TDs).This last game was the only game where Caldwell was clearly more involved than Gabriel - and if this past game is the barometer, then Ben Watson, not Caldwell, is Brady's go-to guy.With the Pats, when the passing game is on, the open receiver is Brady's "go-to" guy - not any specific receiver.For all we can tell, in the next game, Kevin Faulk could lead the team in 3rd/4th and red zone targets. :sarcasm:
 
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Isotopes said:
Not sure I agree with you guys. The Pats are only as good as Tom Brady takes them. He will need to use his arm to win games for them, and it looks like Caldwell may be emerging as his go to guy.
I don't know if he's the go-to guy - I still think Gabriel is the best WR on that team right now - but Caldwell's last two games have been very interesting. He's gotten a ton of targets. Is that a fluke or a sign that maybe he's emerging a bit? I think he's worth a look for this week because even though the Colts' run defense stinks their offense is so good I think the Pats will have to throw to catch up.
I see no difference between Caldwell and Gabriel - to call either go-to is, I believe, premature.Gabriel has 8 targets, 3 catches and 2 TDs in the red zone, and 5 catches on 10 targets on 3rd/4th (2 TDs).Caldwell has 5 targets and 1 TD in the red zone and 8 catches on 15 targets on 3rd/4th, (no TDs).This last game was the only game where Caldwell was clearly more involved than Gabriel - and if this past game is the barometer, then Ben Watson, not Caldwell, is Brady's go-to guy.With the Pats, when the passing game is on, the open receiver is Brady's "go-to" guy - not any specific receiver.For all we can tell, in the next game, Kevin Faulk could lead the team in 3rd/4th and red zone targets. :sarcasm:
I see a significant difference between the two: Gabriel has had at least 45 yards receiving in every game but one since getting significant playing time and he's had at least 55 yards in three of five games. He's also scored 3 TDs. Bottom line is he has been a consistent source of production in nearly every game. Caldwell, meanwhile, has topped 45 yards only twice and has had more than 55 yards once. He has also scored only one touchdown. He's had less than 35 yards receiving in every game but two. Bottom line is he has not been a good source of production. In the majority of his games, he's done extremely little. In terms of production, there's no question Gabriel has performed at a significantly higher level than Caldwell. Now Caldwell has gotten MUCH more involved the last two games (although it's worth noting that despite having a large number of targets in Week 7 he still had only 22 yards receiving). Gabriel is someone you can start as - at least - a WR3 and feel very confident that he's going to deliver for you. Caldwell is someone nobody would have even considered starting until now. So the question becomes: Is Caldwell now worth starting or is the dramatic spike in his targets the last two weeks merely a fluke?
 
I think Michael Clayton is due this week against the Saints. I also like JP Losman against GB. Both of these guys are free agents in my leagues.

But the FA market gets pretty thin after that.

 
I think Michael Clayton is due this week against the Saints. I also like JP Losman against GB. Both of these guys are free agents in my leagues. But the FA market gets pretty thin after that.
Michael Clayton has been "due" for the past 1 1/2 seasons.
 
What are people's feelings on Sammie Parker? He hasn't been targeted much the last two weeks, but he was doing well before that. With T.Green due back soon, he could be a sleeper pickup, if some owners have cut bait....

Any opinions on his dynasty value? I'm looking to aquire him...

 
So the question becomes: Is Caldwell now worth starting or is the dramatic spike in his targets the last two weeks merely a fluke?
I think I answered that by claiming neither was a go-to guy. It is not a fluke - it is that Brady's go-to guy is the open receiver.We are in agreement on Gabriel being a better and more consistent fantasy prospect.We are apparently in disagreement on a significant difference between the two in terms of whether either are go-to - the numbers I cited were important phazes of the game - where you look for your "go-to" receiver.3rd/4th down and red zone opps.To repeat - I see no difference in the two in terms of being "go-to." I agree that Gabriel's been a more consistent performer.As a side note - Gabriel's caught 52.6% of his targets, Caldwell's caught 59%. One point in favor of Caldwell as a go-to guy is that QBs notice a receiver who catches the ball more often. In truth, Troy Brown is Brady's go-to guy. 6 red zone targets, 5 catches, 3 TDs.
 
Antonio Bryant.

If Gore is able to run well, the play action works (Bryant's 18.2 is 6th best for WRs with more than 10 catches).

If Gore is shut down, Smith will be taking it to the air - I could see him throwing the ball 40 times.

The guy is averaging 7 targets a game - look for his first double digit target game this week.

 
So the question becomes: Is Caldwell now worth starting or is the dramatic spike in his targets the last two weeks merely a fluke?
I think I answered that by claiming neither was a go-to guy. It is not a fluke - it is that Brady's go-to guy is the open receiver.We are in agreement on Gabriel being a better and more consistent fantasy prospect.We are apparently in disagreement on a significant difference between the two in terms of whether either are go-to - the numbers I cited were important phazes of the game - where you look for your "go-to" receiver.3rd/4th down and red zone opps.To repeat - I see no difference in the two in terms of being "go-to." I agree that Gabriel's been a more consistent performer.As a side note - Gabriel's caught 52.6% of his targets, Caldwell's caught 59%. One point in favor of Caldwell as a go-to guy is that QBs notice a receiver who catches the ball more often. In truth, Troy Brown is Brady's go-to guy. 6 red zone targets, 5 catches, 3 TDs.
Go-to may be a relative term - especially given the Patriots' receiving corps. But I don't think there's any question Gabriel has emerged as the No. 1 WR since he started getting playing time. He's the only one in the group who's consistently produced and he's gotten the touchdowns as well. He's the only WR on that team I'd feel confident starting on a consistent basis. The question that needs to be answered in my opinion is whether the significant spike in Caldwell's targets is a fluke or a sign that he's becoming more important to the passing game. I tend to think it's the former but I do believe he's a very interesting one-week pickup given how I believe the Patriots are going to have to throw a lot.
 
I drafted Mike Bell in two of my three leagues. Then I dropped him in Week 5 in both leagues. :) :) :)

Obviously other people picked him up before I got the ####### chance.

 
How 'bout Duce Staley?

I'm sure in most leagues, no one has him on their roster. I would guess he'll take over Verron Haynes' role from here on out. Even if he doesn't, Davenport has a pretty consistent injury history, so I think he's definitely worth a shot.

If you're a Parker owner, it's a no-brainer. If you're not, why not at least pick him up and dangle him to a nervous Parker owner who probably had Haynes on his roster as insurance?

Forgot to add -- I had McGahee on a bye last week and my backup situation was pretty bare. Someone had dropped Mike Bell, so I took a shot. He not only helped me win, but now I'm fielding some pretty good offers for him.

 
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How 'bout Duce Staley?

I'm sure in most leagues, no one has him on their roster. I would guess he'll take over Verron Haynes' role from here on out. Even if he doesn't, Davenport has a pretty consistent injury history, so I think he's definitely worth a shot.

If you're a Parker owner, it's a no-brainer. If you're not, why not at least pick him up and dangle him to a nervous Parker owner who probably had Haynes on his roster as insurance?

Forgot to add -- I had McGahee on a bye last week and my backup situation was pretty bare. Someone had dropped Mike Bell, so I took a shot. He not only helped me win, but now I'm fielding some pretty good offers for him.
FWIW Buckeye, from P-G Steelers insider Ed Bouchette:
http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/06304/734437-66.stm

Tristan: Who takes over the third down role? Should it be Davenport based on Staley's total lack of game time?

Ed Bouchette: I would think either Davenport or, as I mentioned, possibly John Kuhn.
 
Antonio Bryant.If Gore is able to run well, the play action works (Bryant's 18.2 is 6th best for WRs with more than 10 catches).If Gore is shut down, Smith will be taking it to the air - I could see him throwing the ball 40 times.The guy is averaging 7 targets a game - look for his first double digit target game this week.
I wouldn't consider Antonio Bryanta WW gem. He should be rostered in every leagueat this point.
 
How 'bout Duce Staley?

I'm sure in most leagues, no one has him on their roster. I would guess he'll take over Verron Haynes' role from here on out. Even if he doesn't, Davenport has a pretty consistent injury history, so I think he's definitely worth a shot.

If you're a Parker owner, it's a no-brainer. If you're not, why not at least pick him up and dangle him to a nervous Parker owner who probably had Haynes on his roster as insurance?

Forgot to add -- I had McGahee on a bye last week and my backup situation was pretty bare. Someone had dropped Mike Bell, so I took a shot. He not only helped me win, but now I'm fielding some pretty good offers for him.
FWIW Buckeye, from P-G Steelers insider Ed Bouchette:
http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/06304/734437-66.stm

Tristan: Who takes over the third down role? Should it be Davenport based on Staley's total lack of game time?

Ed Bouchette: I would think either Davenport or, as I mentioned, possibly John Kuhn.
Yeah, but like I said, it wouldn't be a stretch for Davenport to get dinged. Plus, I would wager that Duce isn't on too many people's radar right now. If you have the room, why not stash him and see if Cowher uses him this week? If he gets some work and is a little productive, he won't be so easy to grab next week.
 
How 'bout Duce Staley?

I'm sure in most leagues, no one has him on their roster. I would guess he'll take over Verron Haynes' role from here on out. Even if he doesn't, Davenport has a pretty consistent injury history, so I think he's definitely worth a shot.

If you're a Parker owner, it's a no-brainer. If you're not, why not at least pick him up and dangle him to a nervous Parker owner who probably had Haynes on his roster as insurance?

Forgot to add -- I had McGahee on a bye last week and my backup situation was pretty bare. Someone had dropped Mike Bell, so I took a shot. He not only helped me win, but now I'm fielding some pretty good offers for him.
Seriously, what are the odds that this guy makes a meaningful fantasy contribution ever again? 1 in 10,000? Dangle him to a nervous Parker owner? "Oh, OK I'll give you Larry Fitzgerald for him." Please.
 

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