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>80% chance for you. Good luck
Thanks Jeff. I was thinking I was over paying. Now he countered with Kevin Smith and Donnie Avery for 1.07. I do like this option slightly more, but for a mid round pick I still feel it isn't worth it. I've stockpiled young WRs with a chance to breakout next year, hoping to hit big on one of them. I'm targeting Dwyer/Spiller in the rookie draft who will both be top 4 picks most likely. Obviously, a lot will change with the combine and draft, but if Dwyer were to fall to 1.05 I'd be surprised. The two options I'm considering are 1) Trade Kevin Smith + WR for 1.07. With 1.05 and 1.07 I would have some flexibility to either send the picks to move up or stay put and grab 2 guys. The question here would be what WR to trade and whether or not I'm getting enough value for Smith. 2) I could wait until draft time to make a move. Depending on the players' values after the draft, I might be able to send 1.05 and one of the young WRs to move up. Or if the players who I'm looking at are going more than Personally, I'm in favor of option 1 with the right WR involved. I want to say thanks again for the advice, I really appreciate it. Most websites and staff members wouldn't take the time to answer all these questions. I'll definitely be subscribing to footballguys again next year.I do not love either RB, but together they are easily worth more than that pick. Bush, if healthy, is worth that himself in PPR. In 16 team leagues, I value proven players (esp QB and RB) more than picks just because it is an uphill struggle to find good starters. I really do not think this is close and I have written over the past few weeks as both RBs are "sells". I just think they are worth more.
This is a 16 team PPR Dynasty League. I was offered the 1.07 pick in the rookie draft for Kevin Smith and Reggie Bush. My roster is posted below. I also already have pick 1.05. Smith has undergone successful surgery on his ACL, but his starting role will be in jeopardy for next season. The Lions might bring in a back to compete through free agency or the draft. Reggie Bush is injury ridden and inconsistent. His role as a receiver out of the backfield gives him more value as it's PPR. With that said, here's my lineup.QB Philip RiversRB Jonathan StewartRB Maurice MorrisFlex Santana MossWR Randy MossWR Michael CrabtreeTE Jason WittenDEF TexansK TynesBench Donnie AveryBench Reggie BushBench Jared CookBench Mike ThomasBench James JonesBench Deon ButlerBench Chaz SchilensIR Kevin SmithThanks
Thank you for the kind words. I expect Kevin Smith to miss most of next year with the injury. I also expect the Lions to bring in backs for the future. Smith, while decent, offered few big plays. I envision a scat RB like Sproles (or Spiller) n Detroit to open up the offense. I would give Smith and Avery for the pick. I think Avery is a player that might not have a great 2010. The Rams will likely have a new QB next year. Laurent Robinson will be back. Brandon Gibson looks good. Danny Amendola is playing ok. I just do not get the feel that he has a ton of upside at this time. Also, it is best to buy draft picks now. You can always sell the pick for more near draft time. I would do option one, even if taking a RB or WR.Thanks Jeff. I was thinking I was over paying. Now he countered with Kevin Smith and Donnie Avery for 1.07. I do like this option slightly more, but for a mid round pick I still feel it isn't worth it. I've stockpiled young WRs with a chance to breakout next year, hoping to hit big on one of them. I'm targeting Dwyer/Spiller in the rookie draft who will both be top 4 picks most likely. Obviously, a lot will change with the combine and draft, but if Dwyer were to fall to 1.05 I'd be surprised. The two options I'm considering are 1) Trade Kevin Smith + WR for 1.07. With 1.05 and 1.07 I would have some flexibility to either send the picks to move up or stay put and grab 2 guys. The question here would be what WR to trade and whether or not I'm getting enough value for Smith. 2) I could wait until draft time to make a move. Depending on the players' values after the draft, I might be able to send 1.05 and one of the young WRs to move up. Or if the players who I'm looking at are going more than Personally, I'm in favor of option 1 with the right WR involved. I want to say thanks again for the advice, I really appreciate it. Most websites and staff members wouldn't take the time to answer all these questions. I'll definitely be subscribing to footballguys again next year.I do not love either RB, but together they are easily worth more than that pick. Bush, if healthy, is worth that himself in PPR. In 16 team leagues, I value proven players (esp QB and RB) more than picks just because it is an uphill struggle to find good starters. I really do not think this is close and I have written over the past few weeks as both RBs are "sells". I just think they are worth more.
This is a 16 team PPR Dynasty League. I was offered the 1.07 pick in the rookie draft for Kevin Smith and Reggie Bush. My roster is posted below. I also already have pick 1.05. Smith has undergone successful surgery on his ACL, but his starting role will be in jeopardy for next season. The Lions might bring in a back to compete through free agency or the draft. Reggie Bush is injury ridden and inconsistent. His role as a receiver out of the backfield gives him more value as it's PPR. With that said, here's my lineup.QB Philip RiversRB Jonathan StewartRB Maurice MorrisFlex Santana MossWR Randy MossWR Michael CrabtreeTE Jason WittenDEF TexansK TynesBench Donnie AveryBench Reggie BushBench Jared CookBench Mike ThomasBench James JonesBench Deon ButlerBench Chaz SchilensIR Kevin SmithThanks
Really, most of next year? I know the chance of him starting next season was in jeopardy, but I hadn't heard him missing a large portion of next year too. I agree with the Lions likelihood to add someone. They have too many holes to fill to draft one. There are enough free agent role players for them to bring in someone. As for Avery, I think you're right. I've been frustrated with his injuries also. He's shown glimpses of potential few and far between. I'll have to see how everything plays out to see if I'll go RB-RB or RB-WR. Who knows, I might end up with the GT tandem of Thomas and Dwyer. Thanks again, Jeff.Jeff Tefertiller said:Thank you for the kind words. I expect Kevin Smith to miss most of next year with the injury. I also expect the Lions to bring in backs for the future. Smith, while decent, offered few big plays. I envision a scat RB like Sproles (or Spiller) n Detroit to open up the offense. I would give Smith and Avery for the pick. I think Avery is a player that might not have a great 2010. The Rams will likely have a new QB next year. Laurent Robinson will be back. Brandon Gibson looks good. Danny Amendola is playing ok. I just do not get the feel that he has a ton of upside at this time. Also, it is best to buy draft picks now. You can always sell the pick for more near draft time. I would do option one, even if taking a RB or WR.mikel2014 said:Thanks Jeff. I was thinking I was over paying. Now he countered with Kevin Smith and Donnie Avery for 1.07. I do like this option slightly more, but for a mid round pick I still feel it isn't worth it. I've stockpiled young WRs with a chance to breakout next year, hoping to hit big on one of them. I'm targeting Dwyer/Spiller in the rookie draft who will both be top 4 picks most likely. Obviously, a lot will change with the combine and draft, but if Dwyer were to fall to 1.05 I'd be surprised. The two options I'm considering are 1) Trade Kevin Smith + WR for 1.07. With 1.05 and 1.07 I would have some flexibility to either send the picks to move up or stay put and grab 2 guys. The question here would be what WR to trade and whether or not I'm getting enough value for Smith. 2) I could wait until draft time to make a move. Depending on the players' values after the draft, I might be able to send 1.05 and one of the young WRs to move up. Or if the players who I'm looking at are going more than Personally, I'm in favor of option 1 with the right WR involved. I want to say thanks again for the advice, I really appreciate it. Most websites and staff members wouldn't take the time to answer all these questions. I'll definitely be subscribing to footballguys again next year.I do not love either RB, but together they are easily worth more than that pick. Bush, if healthy, is worth that himself in PPR. In 16 team leagues, I value proven players (esp QB and RB) more than picks just because it is an uphill struggle to find good starters. I really do not think this is close and I have written over the past few weeks as both RBs are "sells". I just think they are worth more.
This is a 16 team PPR Dynasty League. I was offered the 1.07 pick in the rookie draft for Kevin Smith and Reggie Bush. My roster is posted below. I also already have pick 1.05. Smith has undergone successful surgery on his ACL, but his starting role will be in jeopardy for next season. The Lions might bring in a back to compete through free agency or the draft. Reggie Bush is injury ridden and inconsistent. His role as a receiver out of the backfield gives him more value as it's PPR. With that said, here's my lineup.QB Philip RiversRB Jonathan StewartRB Maurice MorrisFlex Santana MossWR Randy MossWR Michael CrabtreeTE Jason WittenDEF TexansK TynesBench Donnie AveryBench Reggie BushBench Jared CookBench Mike ThomasBench James JonesBench Deon ButlerBench Chaz SchilensIR Kevin SmithThanks
On the "most of next year": even with the most modern of medicine, it is very rare for a RB to be back at full speed (with ability to move sideways and with confidence in knee) within 12 months. Smith is still young. Let's say it takes him 11 months. That means most of next year. I cannot think of too many RBs who came back under a year and were productive. Also, Smith hurt two ligaments, not just one. This is all just my opinion, so take it as such. But if he comes back 2-4 weeks early, it will be a great feat. The downside is that it could take 18 months. He could always have a setback. Look at Anthony Gonzalez. He had a "knee sprain" and with the setbacks, he missed the entire season and playoffs. The risk seems higher than the reward.Really, most of next year? I know the chance of him starting next season was in jeopardy, but I hadn't heard him missing a large portion of next year too. I agree with the Lions likelihood to add someone. They have too many holes to fill to draft one. There are enough free agent role players for them to bring in someone. As for Avery, I think you're right. I've been frustrated with his injuries also. He's shown glimpses of potential few and far between. I'll have to see how everything plays out to see if I'll go RB-RB or RB-WR. Who knows, I might end up with the GT tandem of Thomas and Dwyer. Thanks again, Jeff.Jeff Tefertiller said:Thank you for the kind words. I expect Kevin Smith to miss most of next year with the injury. I also expect the Lions to bring in backs for the future. Smith, while decent, offered few big plays. I envision a scat RB like Sproles (or Spiller) n Detroit to open up the offense. I would give Smith and Avery for the pick. I think Avery is a player that might not have a great 2010. The Rams will likely have a new QB next year. Laurent Robinson will be back. Brandon Gibson looks good. Danny Amendola is playing ok. I just do not get the feel that he has a ton of upside at this time. Also, it is best to buy draft picks now. You can always sell the pick for more near draft time. I would do option one, even if taking a RB or WR.mikel2014 said:Thanks Jeff. I was thinking I was over paying. Now he countered with Kevin Smith and Donnie Avery for 1.07. I do like this option slightly more, but for a mid round pick I still feel it isn't worth it. I've stockpiled young WRs with a chance to breakout next year, hoping to hit big on one of them. I'm targeting Dwyer/Spiller in the rookie draft who will both be top 4 picks most likely. Obviously, a lot will change with the combine and draft, but if Dwyer were to fall to 1.05 I'd be surprised. The two options I'm considering are 1) Trade Kevin Smith + WR for 1.07. With 1.05 and 1.07 I would have some flexibility to either send the picks to move up or stay put and grab 2 guys. The question here would be what WR to trade and whether or not I'm getting enough value for Smith. 2) I could wait until draft time to make a move. Depending on the players' values after the draft, I might be able to send 1.05 and one of the young WRs to move up. Or if the players who I'm looking at are going more than Personally, I'm in favor of option 1 with the right WR involved. I want to say thanks again for the advice, I really appreciate it. Most websites and staff members wouldn't take the time to answer all these questions. I'll definitely be subscribing to footballguys again next year.I do not love either RB, but together they are easily worth more than that pick. Bush, if healthy, is worth that himself in PPR. In 16 team leagues, I value proven players (esp QB and RB) more than picks just because it is an uphill struggle to find good starters. I really do not think this is close and I have written over the past few weeks as both RBs are "sells". I just think they are worth more.
This is a 16 team PPR Dynasty League. I was offered the 1.07 pick in the rookie draft for Kevin Smith and Reggie Bush. My roster is posted below. I also already have pick 1.05. Smith has undergone successful surgery on his ACL, but his starting role will be in jeopardy for next season. The Lions might bring in a back to compete through free agency or the draft. Reggie Bush is injury ridden and inconsistent. His role as a receiver out of the backfield gives him more value as it's PPR. With that said, here's my lineup.QB Philip RiversRB Jonathan StewartRB Maurice MorrisFlex Santana MossWR Randy MossWR Michael CrabtreeTE Jason WittenDEF TexansK TynesBench Donnie AveryBench Reggie BushBench Jared CookBench Mike ThomasBench James JonesBench Deon ButlerBench Chaz SchilensIR Kevin SmithThanks
I feel even better about the deal now knowing the timetable we're talking about for his return. It seems logical to me that the longer he's out the more likely it is for the Lions to bring in someone for a full-time RBBC Even before he was hurt, the comments Schwartz said about the running game made me think he'd try to acquire a burner type of guy (like sproles you mentioned earlier). There was an article I read a few weeks ago where Schwartz said they need a more explosive back. With the type of injury he had, is there a chance for a full recovery? I'm wondering if he'll lose a step in his cutback ability.
There is a good chance for full recovery. I know which article you are talking about. That is why he was a "sell" for me before the injury. I am having a tough time remembering RBs that made a full recovery within a yr. Plus, so much can happen that I would be selling when I could.
So it sounds like he could be a decent part of a committee 2011, but not much more than that. I had a potential trade with Kevin Smith for Mendenhall trade straight up back in December. The other owner would've accepted it if Smith had a better schedule down the stretch. That would've been nice, but Slaton for Jonathan Stewart certainly balances out what could've happened.
Sent out a feeler to the Eddie Royal owner and he replied back that he's interested in Mario Manningham and Darrius Heyward-Bey. Is an offer of Manningham + DHB for Royal straight up going to insult him and is it the right move? I hate to give up on my 1st round pick (1.11 of DHB) after one season but he hasn't shown me anything to think he's not a bust and Manningham, while intriguing, seems to have so many issues with his route-running and the Giants don't really need to play him with Nicks emerging - of course he had to go off and have a good week this last week, so I could be wrong. I'm not thinking Royal will return to 2008 form, but I do think he's better than what he showed in 2009 and in the future could be a FF WR2/3.Thoungs on trading DHB + Mario Manningham for Eddie Royal straight up in a Zealots league?
I am not much of a DHB fan ... and the Raiders have a few good young WRs. Manning ham vs Royal is interesting. I just do not think Manningham is consistent enough to emerge over Nicks. I think I would risk it on Royal. While there is risk with Royal (from some of the reports) we atleast know what he is capable of. All three are on the low point of their values, but I think I would risk it. If the other owner is insulted, do not worry about it.
I probably would not offer anything else. With everyone dogging on Royal (which is one reason I like him now), he will not get much more
90% of the dynasty world would take the Calvin side. But, I would take the Wayne side. I look at it as though you could likely move the pick for a top WR. No way would I trade two top 10 WRs for Calvin. I know he is young and a future stud, but I would take the immediate impact guys.
I would not sell Austin, Rice or Colston. And, the only way I move Marshall is for a premium. If selling Marshall, I would not discount at all for the week 17 issue. He is uber talented. To be honest, it would take more than the 1.01 for me to sell any of the group. Marshall and Colston are the only two I would consider selling. Rice is an interesting player since it is unknown how he will produce once Favre is gone. In the end, all are worth about the same. It would take the 1.01 and the 1.03 AT LEAST for me to consider it. Does any team have multiple top QBs that you can do a 2-for-2 deal with?Sinn Fein said:
The only difference in the change in lineup will be in flexibility. You have the chance to pick up depth RBs more than in past. Overall effect will be minimal. I like the blind bid dollars for waivers if you can. I also like first come first serve if it is an active league. This may be a thing where the "best" way is what is best for your league.As for league hosting. If looking for free/cheap, use ESPN. Decent scoring and is free. If paying, MFL is the best. Cost is $60 but fully customizable. I have leagues on both.
I am glad you made it far in your leagues. The other teams I like are the Packers. Green Bay seems hot right now. I like Grant the most on the team from fantasy perspective. He and Addai are the two fantasy RBs I like the most (assuming GB beats AZ this week). I also like Thomas Jones to get two games. He is the only Jet I like unless you get Brad Smith really late.In these playoff fantasy leagues, people overrate big names on popular teams. For the Vikings, I would want Rice/Harvin/Shiancoe much more than Peterson. For the Cardinals, there is no reason to go after a RB (or the injured Boldin). Also, I do not like either BAL or NE. That game is a toss up and neither will be in great shape. Only Raven is Rice (but you could only have him for one game so why not take TJones instead?). I do not like Brady as much without Welker. BAL will be blanketing Moss. The one sleeper in NE is Edelman.QBs:RodgersRiversFavreManningRomo (move him up if you think Dallas will win two games)RBs:GrantAddaiTomlinsonThomas JonesWRs:Wayne (WR I like best and only "elite" WR I like)RiceAustinthen I see a dropoff and like these:MeachemGarconHarvinDriverHendersonAt TE, I like Shiancoe, Gates and Dallas Clark. Not in that order. The Goal is trying to find players that play in 2+ games. I assume your league is "total points" meaning the winner has the top point total over the entire playoffs. .
FYI, he accepted my offer of DHB + Mario Manningham for Eddie Royal and Levy.I like Royal's ceiling a lot more than Manningham and DHB, but I could be wrong. I like Levy as a future LB2/3 in zealots.This really helps solidify my WR corps while allowing for upside with DeSean, Sims-Walker and Houshmanzadeh to go with Royal. I just hope 2007 wasn't a total fluke and he can become a solid WR3.Thanks again for the advice.
No problem. Happy to help. A trade of Marshall could be great news for Royal .... and his valuedeadstick said:
congrats on the strong finishes during the season. I really do not know where to find the info you are wanting. Since it is only for those two weeks, the priority should be on the teams with a first round bye. I would avoid Patriots and Ravens. I do not like the chances for either. Add the Bengals to that list. I think that Rodgers or Romo is a decent pick. My fave RB is Addai. He is underrated compared to Peterson. These playoff leagues are usually QB-heavy in terms of who wins. Do you draft before or after the first round games on Sat? I think you have to either take Romo or Rodgers or Addai at 4 if the top three QBs are gone. Packers and Cowboys are faves, but not gimmes. This is why I asked when you draft. I also really like getting either Gates or Dallas Clark, with Shiancoe third. Huge advantage. The WRs will be similar. Also, the dropoff at RB is fairly steep. Good luck.Jeff,You helped me to the playoffs in both of my leagues (2nd in one league and fourth in the other, of 4 teams qualifying)...thanks! Time to redraft and kick the snot of of those unsuspecting losers.We draft a team of 10 players (2QB/2RB/2WR/2 flex/2PK). Scoring is slightly different in each league but basically performance scoring no PPR. The thing about these leagues that is different is that scoring is for two games: we draft after the wild card weekend (when only 8 teams are still playing), and scoring includes divisional and championship games but not the super bowl. Therefore, you want to load up on players who will win the divisional games and get two games.Things may change a bit after the wild cards knock out four teams, but as of now I think Indy, SD and Minny have the best shots at getting the second game. Next tier is GB, NO and Dallas. The rest of the wild card survivors are pretty much lumped together, with the two visiting teams in the AFC divisional games being last (least likely to get a second game).Most of the projections, cheatsheets and rankings I've seen include the wild card games, so I'm kind of scratching out a cheatsheet the old pre-internet way. Do you have any idea where I can find a cheatsheet that doesn't include the wild card games or superbowl? Do you have a formula for how to "subtract" these games/points from existing cheatsheets at FBGs? Do you have any other thoughts for me?QBs go quickly in my leagues. In the league where I draft fourth (it's not serpentine, I go fourth every round) I expect Manning, Rivers and Brees to be gone. I'm tempted to wait until late to draft QBs (not too late, I don't want to get stuck with Sanchez, Flacco or even Palmer) and take AP in the first round.Thanks for your input. Looking to kick some butt.4ize
Jeff, Thanks for your response. As always, you make a lot of good points that will be very helpful.My drafts are not until after the wild card weekend, so I'll have the benefit of knowing which 8 teams remain at the time of the draft. I'm planning to spend some time preparing cheatsheets this week, then cross off "losers" after the games.As you indicated, in my format being strong at QB is huge. It is interesting that 8 QBs will be available, and all 8 will be drafted. Therefore, if there were not a significant drop-off among all the QBs, I could wait on a QB until the last two rounds and take whichever two were left (I actually did this one year and won the championship with the two guys I had been left with). So if the last 2 QBs this year were named Schaub and Ben, I might consider this strategy. However, I see dramatic drop-off this year, after Manning Rivers & Brees, then even more after Rodgers & Romo. I'm guessing Brady & Palmer (and Favre) are the guys left. I wouldn't mind getting Favre in the 5th-6th round, but definitely wouldn't want Brady or Palmer (or anybody else who might survive the wild card games).In the league where I'm picking fourth, I'm at a significant disadvantage because I will be "chasing" each round, picking a lower ranked QB, then a lower ranked RB, then a lower ranked WR, etc, compared to the guys drafting higher. A decent strategy could be to "go against the grain", by choosing an NFL team which I think will get into the second round (for example Minny) and loading up on folks like AP & Rice while the others are grabbing the top QBs. I'm considering this but more likely to grab at least one QB early.In the league where I draft second, I'm planning to go QB/QB/RB (to get two of the top 5-6 QBs, hopefully) and then let the draft come to me.Appreciate your help and interested in your input. Thanks.congrats on the strong finishes during the season. I really do not know where to find the info you are wanting. Since it is only for those two weeks, the priority should be on the teams with a first round bye. I would avoid Patriots and Ravens. I do not like the chances for either. Add the Bengals to that list. I think that Rodgers or Romo is a decent pick. My fave RB is Addai. He is underrated compared to Peterson. These playoff leagues are usually QB-heavy in terms of who wins. Do you draft before or after the first round games on Sat? I think you have to either take Romo or Rodgers or Addai at 4 if the top three QBs are gone. Packers and Cowboys are faves, but not gimmes. This is why I asked when you draft. I also really like getting either Gates or Dallas Clark, with Shiancoe third. Huge advantage. The WRs will be similar. Also, the dropoff at RB is fairly steep. Good luck.Jeff,You helped me to the playoffs in both of my leagues (2nd in one league and fourth in the other, of 4 teams qualifying)...thanks! Time to redraft and kick the snot of of those unsuspecting losers.We draft a team of 10 players (2QB/2RB/2WR/2 flex/2PK). Scoring is slightly different in each league but basically performance scoring no PPR. The thing about these leagues that is different is that scoring is for two games: we draft after the wild card weekend (when only 8 teams are still playing), and scoring includes divisional and championship games but not the super bowl. Therefore, you want to load up on players who will win the divisional games and get two games.Things may change a bit after the wild cards knock out four teams, but as of now I think Indy, SD and Minny have the best shots at getting the second game. Next tier is GB, NO and Dallas. The rest of the wild card survivors are pretty much lumped together, with the two visiting teams in the AFC divisional games being last (least likely to get a second game).Most of the projections, cheatsheets and rankings I've seen include the wild card games, so I'm kind of scratching out a cheatsheet the old pre-internet way. Do you have any idea where I can find a cheatsheet that doesn't include the wild card games or superbowl? Do you have a formula for how to "subtract" these games/points from existing cheatsheets at FBGs? Do you have any other thoughts for me?QBs go quickly in my leagues. In the league where I draft fourth (it's not serpentine, I go fourth every round) I expect Manning, Rivers and Brees to be gone. I'm tempted to wait until late to draft QBs (not too late, I don't want to get stuck with Sanchez, Flacco or even Palmer) and take AP in the first round.Thanks for your input. Looking to kick some butt.
To me, the top AFC teams (Colts, Chargers) are better bets than the NFC teams. This is why I like Addai, Wayne, etc for Colts; LT, VJax, and both QBs/TEs. They seem safer than the Saints, Vikes, etc. For this reason, I would look to QB/RB from these two teams whenever possible. Good luckJeff, Thanks for your response. As always, you make a lot of good points that will be very helpful.My drafts are not until after the wild card weekend, so I'll have the benefit of knowing which 8 teams remain at the time of the draft. I'm planning to spend some time preparing cheatsheets this week, then cross off "losers" after the games.As you indicated, in my format being strong at QB is huge. It is interesting that 8 QBs will be available, and all 8 will be drafted. Therefore, if there were not a significant drop-off among all the QBs, I could wait on a QB until the last two rounds and take whichever two were left (I actually did this one year and won the championship with the two guys I had been left with). So if the last 2 QBs this year were named Schaub and Ben, I might consider this strategy. However, I see dramatic drop-off this year, after Manning Rivers & Brees, then even more after Rodgers & Romo. I'm guessing Brady & Palmer (and Favre) are the guys left. I wouldn't mind getting Favre in the 5th-6th round, but definitely wouldn't want Brady or Palmer (or anybody else who might survive the wild card games).In the league where I'm picking fourth, I'm at a significant disadvantage because I will be "chasing" each round, picking a lower ranked QB, then a lower ranked RB, then a lower ranked WR, etc, compared to the guys drafting higher. A decent strategy could be to "go against the grain", by choosing an NFL team which I think will get into the second round (for example Minny) and loading up on folks like AP & Rice while the others are grabbing the top QBs. I'm considering this but more likely to grab at least one QB early.In the league where I draft second, I'm planning to go QB/QB/RB (to get two of the top 5-6 QBs, hopefully) and then let the draft come to me.Appreciate your help and interested in your input. Thanks.congrats on the strong finishes during the season. I really do not know where to find the info you are wanting. Since it is only for those two weeks, the priority should be on the teams with a first round bye. I would avoid Patriots and Ravens. I do not like the chances for either. Add the Bengals to that list. I think that Rodgers or Romo is a decent pick. My fave RB is Addai. He is underrated compared to Peterson. These playoff leagues are usually QB-heavy in terms of who wins. Do you draft before or after the first round games on Sat? I think you have to either take Romo or Rodgers or Addai at 4 if the top three QBs are gone. Packers and Cowboys are faves, but not gimmes. This is why I asked when you draft. I also really like getting either Gates or Dallas Clark, with Shiancoe third. Huge advantage. The WRs will be similar. Also, the dropoff at RB is fairly steep. Good luck.Jeff,You helped me to the playoffs in both of my leagues (2nd in one league and fourth in the other, of 4 teams qualifying)...thanks! Time to redraft and kick the snot of of those unsuspecting losers.We draft a team of 10 players (2QB/2RB/2WR/2 flex/2PK). Scoring is slightly different in each league but basically performance scoring no PPR. The thing about these leagues that is different is that scoring is for two games: we draft after the wild card weekend (when only 8 teams are still playing), and scoring includes divisional and championship games but not the super bowl. Therefore, you want to load up on players who will win the divisional games and get two games.Things may change a bit after the wild cards knock out four teams, but as of now I think Indy, SD and Minny have the best shots at getting the second game. Next tier is GB, NO and Dallas. The rest of the wild card survivors are pretty much lumped together, with the two visiting teams in the AFC divisional games being last (least likely to get a second game).Most of the projections, cheatsheets and rankings I've seen include the wild card games, so I'm kind of scratching out a cheatsheet the old pre-internet way. Do you have any idea where I can find a cheatsheet that doesn't include the wild card games or superbowl? Do you have a formula for how to "subtract" these games/points from existing cheatsheets at FBGs? Do you have any other thoughts for me?QBs go quickly in my leagues. In the league where I draft fourth (it's not serpentine, I go fourth every round) I expect Manning, Rivers and Brees to be gone. I'm tempted to wait until late to draft QBs (not too late, I don't want to get stuck with Sanchez, Flacco or even Palmer) and take AP in the first round.Thanks for your input. Looking to kick some butt.4ize
I would pass as well. I know you need a QB, but Ryan does not help you long term
Just watched the Cards knock out the Pack (insane game!) so it's crunch time for my playoff redraft. I've got two final questions for you...At QB, I know Brees, Manning and Rivers will be gone when I pick 4th. I'm hoping to avoid getting stuck with Sanchez or Flacco, so I'd like to get two of the three remaining NFC QBs (Favre, Warner, Romo) with the fourth and eight picks. I need 2 teams to go RB in the second round, which I think could happen. Question is...how do I rank the three QBs I'm targeting, based on projected points in the divisional game, and chance of getting to the championship game? I need to figure out which of them to grab with the 4th overall pick...You and I both feel that Indy and SD will be the most lopsided favorites (I haven't checked the line yet), and therefore should try to grab as many players from these teams as possible. Matchup-wise, I now see that both of them are going up against fairly tough defensive teams in the Ravens and Jets. The NFC games, which could go either way, are IMO more likely to be shootouts and produce more fantasy points. Could you make an argument for targeting NFC players instead, because they'll score more points in the first week and still have a decent shot at the championship week game? Or am I overthinking it?OK, I lied, here's a third question. Who do you like in the NFC games?Thanks for your help. 4izeTo me, the top AFC teams (Colts, Chargers) are better bets than the NFC teams. This is why I like Addai, Wayne, etc for Colts; LT, VJax, and both QBs/TEs. They seem safer than the Saints, Vikes, etc. For this reason, I would look to QB/RB from these two teams whenever possible. Good luckJeff, Thanks for your response. As always, you make a lot of good points that will be very helpful.My drafts are not until after the wild card weekend, so I'll have the benefit of knowing which 8 teams remain at the time of the draft. I'm planning to spend some time preparing cheatsheets this week, then cross off "losers" after the games.As you indicated, in my format being strong at QB is huge. It is interesting that 8 QBs will be available, and all 8 will be drafted. Therefore, if there were not a significant drop-off among all the QBs, I could wait on a QB until the last two rounds and take whichever two were left (I actually did this one year and won the championship with the two guys I had been left with). So if the last 2 QBs this year were named Schaub and Ben, I might consider this strategy. However, I see dramatic drop-off this year, after Manning Rivers & Brees, then even more after Rodgers & Romo. I'm guessing Brady & Palmer (and Favre) are the guys left. I wouldn't mind getting Favre in the 5th-6th round, but definitely wouldn't want Brady or Palmer (or anybody else who might survive the wild card games).In the league where I'm picking fourth, I'm at a significant disadvantage because I will be "chasing" each round, picking a lower ranked QB, then a lower ranked RB, then a lower ranked WR, etc, compared to the guys drafting higher. A decent strategy could be to "go against the grain", by choosing an NFL team which I think will get into the second round (for example Minny) and loading up on folks like AP & Rice while the others are grabbing the top QBs. I'm considering this but more likely to grab at least one QB early.In the league where I draft second, I'm planning to go QB/QB/RB (to get two of the top 5-6 QBs, hopefully) and then let the draft come to me.Appreciate your help and interested in your input. Thanks.congrats on the strong finishes during the season. I really do not know where to find the info you are wanting. Since it is only for those two weeks, the priority should be on the teams with a first round bye. I would avoid Patriots and Ravens. I do not like the chances for either. Add the Bengals to that list. I think that Rodgers or Romo is a decent pick. My fave RB is Addai. He is underrated compared to Peterson. These playoff leagues are usually QB-heavy in terms of who wins. Do you draft before or after the first round games on Sat? I think you have to either take Romo or Rodgers or Addai at 4 if the top three QBs are gone. Packers and Cowboys are faves, but not gimmes. This is why I asked when you draft. I also really like getting either Gates or Dallas Clark, with Shiancoe third. Huge advantage. The WRs will be similar. Also, the dropoff at RB is fairly steep. Good luck.Jeff,You helped me to the playoffs in both of my leagues (2nd in one league and fourth in the other, of 4 teams qualifying)...thanks! Time to redraft and kick the snot of of those unsuspecting losers.We draft a team of 10 players (2QB/2RB/2WR/2 flex/2PK). Scoring is slightly different in each league but basically performance scoring no PPR. The thing about these leagues that is different is that scoring is for two games: we draft after the wild card weekend (when only 8 teams are still playing), and scoring includes divisional and championship games but not the super bowl. Therefore, you want to load up on players who will win the divisional games and get two games.Things may change a bit after the wild cards knock out four teams, but as of now I think Indy, SD and Minny have the best shots at getting the second game. Next tier is GB, NO and Dallas. The rest of the wild card survivors are pretty much lumped together, with the two visiting teams in the AFC divisional games being last (least likely to get a second game).Most of the projections, cheatsheets and rankings I've seen include the wild card games, so I'm kind of scratching out a cheatsheet the old pre-internet way. Do you have any idea where I can find a cheatsheet that doesn't include the wild card games or superbowl? Do you have a formula for how to "subtract" these games/points from existing cheatsheets at FBGs? Do you have any other thoughts for me?QBs go quickly in my leagues. In the league where I draft fourth (it's not serpentine, I go fourth every round) I expect Manning, Rivers and Brees to be gone. I'm tempted to wait until late to draft QBs (not too late, I don't want to get stuck with Sanchez, Flacco or even Palmer) and take AP in the first round.Thanks for your input. Looking to kick some butt.4ize
I think I would avoid Jets and Ravens. One or both are likely to lose. In the NFC, i think I like Dallas better than Minny or AZ. Even though Dallas and Minny should be very close. I would probably try to grab Favre and Romo since they play each other, knowing that one will advance. At RB, I like Addai and LT most. They seem safe to play two games. I would look at QB/WR from NFC given the shootouts. I think the favorites win in AFC. In NFC, I see NO and Dallas. I have been hesitant on Dallas, but they seem to be playing very well at the time. Good luck.Foureyes said:Just watched the Cards knock out the Pack (insane game!) so it's crunch time for my playoff redraft. I've got two final questions for you...At QB, I know Brees, Manning and Rivers will be gone when I pick 4th. I'm hoping to avoid getting stuck with Sanchez or Flacco, so I'd like to get two of the three remaining NFC QBs (Favre, Warner, Romo) with the fourth and eight picks. I need 2 teams to go RB in the second round, which I think could happen. Question is...how do I rank the three QBs I'm targeting, based on projected points in the divisional game, and chance of getting to the championship game? I need to figure out which of them to grab with the 4th overall pick...You and I both feel that Indy and SD will be the most lopsided favorites (I haven't checked the line yet), and therefore should try to grab as many players from these teams as possible. Matchup-wise, I now see that both of them are going up against fairly tough defensive teams in the Ravens and Jets. The NFC games, which could go either way, are IMO more likely to be shootouts and produce more fantasy points. Could you make an argument for targeting NFC players instead, because they'll score more points in the first week and still have a decent shot at the championship week game? Or am I overthinking it?OK, I lied, here's a third question. Who do you like in the NFC games?Thanks for your help. 4izeTo me, the top AFC teams (Colts, Chargers) are better bets than the NFC teams. This is why I like Addai, Wayne, etc for Colts; LT, VJax, and both QBs/TEs. They seem safer than the Saints, Vikes, etc. For this reason, I would look to QB/RB from these two teams whenever possible. Good luckJeff, Thanks for your response. As always, you make a lot of good points that will be very helpful.My drafts are not until after the wild card weekend, so I'll have the benefit of knowing which 8 teams remain at the time of the draft. I'm planning to spend some time preparing cheatsheets this week, then cross off "losers" after the games.As you indicated, in my format being strong at QB is huge. It is interesting that 8 QBs will be available, and all 8 will be drafted. Therefore, if there were not a significant drop-off among all the QBs, I could wait on a QB until the last two rounds and take whichever two were left (I actually did this one year and won the championship with the two guys I had been left with). So if the last 2 QBs this year were named Schaub and Ben, I might consider this strategy. However, I see dramatic drop-off this year, after Manning Rivers & Brees, then even more after Rodgers & Romo. I'm guessing Brady & Palmer (and Favre) are the guys left. I wouldn't mind getting Favre in the 5th-6th round, but definitely wouldn't want Brady or Palmer (or anybody else who might survive the wild card games).In the league where I'm picking fourth, I'm at a significant disadvantage because I will be "chasing" each round, picking a lower ranked QB, then a lower ranked RB, then a lower ranked WR, etc, compared to the guys drafting higher. A decent strategy could be to "go against the grain", by choosing an NFL team which I think will get into the second round (for example Minny) and loading up on folks like AP & Rice while the others are grabbing the top QBs. I'm considering this but more likely to grab at least one QB early.In the league where I draft second, I'm planning to go QB/QB/RB (to get two of the top 5-6 QBs, hopefully) and then let the draft come to me.Appreciate your help and interested in your input. Thanks.congrats on the strong finishes during the season. I really do not know where to find the info you are wanting. Since it is only for those two weeks, the priority should be on the teams with a first round bye. I would avoid Patriots and Ravens. I do not like the chances for either. Add the Bengals to that list. I think that Rodgers or Romo is a decent pick. My fave RB is Addai. He is underrated compared to Peterson. These playoff leagues are usually QB-heavy in terms of who wins. Do you draft before or after the first round games on Sat? I think you have to either take Romo or Rodgers or Addai at 4 if the top three QBs are gone. Packers and Cowboys are faves, but not gimmes. This is why I asked when you draft. I also really like getting either Gates or Dallas Clark, with Shiancoe third. Huge advantage. The WRs will be similar. Also, the dropoff at RB is fairly steep. Good luck.Jeff,You helped me to the playoffs in both of my leagues (2nd in one league and fourth in the other, of 4 teams qualifying)...thanks! Time to redraft and kick the snot of of those unsuspecting losers.We draft a team of 10 players (2QB/2RB/2WR/2 flex/2PK). Scoring is slightly different in each league but basically performance scoring no PPR. The thing about these leagues that is different is that scoring is for two games: we draft after the wild card weekend (when only 8 teams are still playing), and scoring includes divisional and championship games but not the super bowl. Therefore, you want to load up on players who will win the divisional games and get two games.Things may change a bit after the wild cards knock out four teams, but as of now I think Indy, SD and Minny have the best shots at getting the second game. Next tier is GB, NO and Dallas. The rest of the wild card survivors are pretty much lumped together, with the two visiting teams in the AFC divisional games being last (least likely to get a second game).Most of the projections, cheatsheets and rankings I've seen include the wild card games, so I'm kind of scratching out a cheatsheet the old pre-internet way. Do you have any idea where I can find a cheatsheet that doesn't include the wild card games or superbowl? Do you have a formula for how to "subtract" these games/points from existing cheatsheets at FBGs? Do you have any other thoughts for me?QBs go quickly in my leagues. In the league where I draft fourth (it's not serpentine, I go fourth every round) I expect Manning, Rivers and Brees to be gone. I'm tempted to wait until late to draft QBs (not too late, I don't want to get stuck with Sanchez, Flacco or even Palmer) and take AP in the first round.Thanks for your input. Looking to kick some butt.4ize
Keep Rodgers and Calvin for sure. For me, this leaves Rice or Boldin. When do you have to declare keepers? I ask because you might know more about Favre by then. I would try to trade Moss or not keep him at that price. Also would give you time to see if/where Boldin is traded. I think Rice is worth more than the 1.10. Another idea would be to try to trade Rice and Boldin for a better player with a better contract.
This is a tough one. For RB, I would try to add a RB to get a young up and comer like Wells (maybe even Charles) or WR to upgrade to a Boldin type. But, straight up, you could fetch a RB like Pierre Thomas or Benson or a WR like Maclin, Harvin, or Meachem. These are all young guys. The older players should be even cheaper.
I think the Rice/Fitz side by a wide margin. Fitz and ADP are very close with Fitz possibly having an edge. To me, Rice is worth more than the others by himself. Always better to have studs than average starters like Palmer and Cotchery.
OK, I thought this might be a little weak to start. I'm not sure what 2 of my WR's have the most value if I offer him any 2. Cotchery, Jerricho NYJ WR Garcon, Pierre IND WR Harvin, Percy MIN WR Jones, Jacoby HOU WR Sims-Walker, Mike JAC WR Smith, Steve CAR WR Smith, Steve NYG WR Williams, Demetrius BAL WR I was thinking of giving him the choice of ANY 2 of my WR's plus AD & Palmer for Fitz, Rice and 3.1, do I have 2 WR's that would give this a chance?I'm a huge Rice fan and would like to have a true stud #1WR rather than a bunch of #2 WR's, also hoping AD might be able to lure him in.
I do not think it is lopsided, just going off the values I hold. Many would prefer Peterson to Fitz, but just not me. Palmer, Peterson, Cotchery, and give him his choice for the last WR. He might prefer one of the Smiths.
I easily would hold VJax over that deal. I know Grant had a good year, but he does not have that many more while VJax is entering his prime.
