wannabee Strategy Thread (4 Viewers)

[Imagine]

Great thoughts, thanks. Gonna go with Manning at 2.12, seems solid, and could be great. Earlier than I usually would, but kinda want to try it to see how it works. Still torn at 3.01. Tempted to go RB with RBs a little scarcer than WRs. Would be weaker at WR, but a good RB2 probably makes up for some of that loss. Here’s what I came up with. 1. Ryan Grant because he has a good history, and had 282 carries and 25 catches last year. 312 carries in 2008, so seems like a good bet to continue getting loads of carries in a strong offense. 2. Chris Wells is tempting, but I'm not sold on Arizona this year. He had 176 carries last year, so pretty good, but not great. 3. Jonathan Stewart, with his 221 carries last year, running team, and goal line potential, seems special, even with DeAngelo there.4. Moreno was right there, but that injury a few days ago has me nervous. 247 carries last year...28 receptions.5. On the WR side, Sidney Rice is probably my top preference as a WR right now, assuming Favre comes back, which I suspect he will.6. I'm a little afraid of Colston with this minor injury, even though "Coach Sean Payton on Saturday said Colston should be among the first of the injured players to return to practice." They also spread things around a lot in NO. But should Colston be my top WR of these 5?7. DeSean Jackson had all those big plays, but has a new QB, so less certain. 8. Steve Smith NYG with those 107 receptions last year has to be in the equation. But will they continue to throw as much as in 2009? 9. Finally, Chad Ochocinco, with help from TO, could be a monster...or not if they share the ball more or if they run, run, run. Any names you'd x off this list? Thanks again for the perspective....

My experience with PPR is that elite RB/QB dominate. Then, there is little difference between RB6-15 and WR3-10 ... and the WR pool is much deeper than at RB. But, dont let this force you into RB2 at the 2/3 turn if there is not a player you like. For me, at QB, I either want a top 4 (Rodger, Brees, Manning, or Romo) or I will wait for the Favre/Cutler group and skip the middle. So, I would consider one of these four at the turn. As to WR vs RB at the 2/3 turn, I would try to make sure to take a safe option. RBs like Pierre Thomas (never getting more than 150 carries/season) is not one of them. But, I do consider Wells/Charles as decent gambles due to upside. I would start eyeing the RB/WR you want at 4/5. This will be an important turn for you as these are starters.

Thanks again. Playing in a 12 team PPR (1 pt per reception) redraft this year. Never done PPR before. Start 1QB (4 pt TDs, .05 per passing yard), 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, and 1 RB/WR/TE flex. Drew #1, drafted CJ. Expect a total of 11 RBs, 10 WRs, 2QBs to be selected before I pick again. Playing with DD, it likes drafting RB11 (Thomas) and RB12 (Wells) at the turn (RB15 Turner was drafted earlier, so the RB numbers look a little strange). Available WRs may be WR11 (Colston), 12 (Smith-Car), 13 (Ward), and 14 (Smith-NYG), with QB3 (Manning) and 4 (Romo) still there.1. Since this is PPR, is it suicide to not get one or two WRs at the turn? It "seems" like I should grab a WR with one of those picks. 2. In PPR, is a great QB like Manning or Romo gold, or are the third tier guys like Rivers, Cutler, Kolb, and Eli acceptable just like in non-PPR? The PPR ADP in FBG shows Brady, Schaub, and Rivers at 40, 46, and 47, so all will likely be gone by the time it gets back to me. Would appreciate your thoughts Jeff.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

I'm about to trade Peterson in a 1 player keeper league (no PPR and QB's get 6 pts per TD). I have to trade him or lose him. I also have the 2nd pick in the draft. The next best player on my roster is either Mendenhall or Schuab. I expect the other 11 teams to keep S.Jackson, Brady, Brees, Calvin Johnson, MJD, DeAngelo Williams, Ray Rice, Micheal Turner or Rodgers (both on same team), Romo, Dre Johnson and Chris Johnson. Which should I continue to pursue:- Straight up trade for MJD.- Straight up trade for Ray Rice.- Straight up trade for either Turner or Rodgers (since QB's get 6 pts per TD)- Trade to the Calvin Johnson owner, who has the 3rd pick in the draft. I can trade him my 2nd rounder and AP for his 1st rounder. This would leave me with Mendenhall as my keeper, and the 2nd and 3rd picks on the first round, but no 2nd rounder.

I would prefer MJD to Rice so I see the following options:Straight up for MJD - How long can you keep MJD? Trade ADP for a high 1st, then offer your 2nd or 3rd for Turner or Rodgers (I prefer MT) -> Turner, Gore (maybe with 1.02), and another good player with the pick you get for ADPTrade ADP/2nd for 1.03 and keep Mendenhall -> this should net you Mendy, Gore (maybe), and Romo .... good startI like all three options. I would prefer the MJD option if you can keep him a while.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Great thoughts, thanks.

Gonna go with Manning at 2.12, seems solid, and could be great. Earlier than I usually would, but kinda want to try it to see how it works.

Still torn at 3.01. Tempted to go RB with RBs a little scarcer than WRs. Would be weaker at WR, but a good RB2 probably makes up for some of that loss. Here’s what I came up with.

1. Ryan Grant because he has a good history, and had 282 carries and 25 catches last year. 312 carries in 2008, so seems like a good bet to continue getting loads of carries in a strong offense.

2. Chris Wells is tempting, but I'm not sold on Arizona this year. He had 176 carries last year, so pretty good, but not great.

3. Jonathan Stewart, with his 221 carries last year, running team, and goal line potential, seems special, even with DeAngelo there.

4. Moreno was right there, but that injury a few days ago has me nervous. 247 carries last year...28 receptions. do not like him as much as others

5. On the WR side, Sidney Rice is probably my top preference as a WR right now, assuming Favre comes back, which I suspect he will. hip injury is a concern

6. I'm a little afraid of Colston with this minor injury, even though "Coach Sean Payton on Saturday said Colston should be among the first of the injured players to return to practice." They also spread things around a lot in NO. But should Colston be my top WR of these 5? still not practice because of knee

7. DeSean Jackson had all those big plays, but has a new QB, so less certain.

8. Steve Smith NYG with those 107 receptions last year has to be in the equation. But will they continue to throw as much as in 2009?

9. Finally, Chad Ochocinco, with help from TO, could be a monster...or not if they share the ball more or if they run, run, run.

Any names you'd x off this list?

Thanks again for the perspective....

My experience with PPR is that elite RB/QB dominate. Then, there is little difference between RB6-15 and WR3-10 ... and the WR pool is much deeper than at RB. But, dont let this force you into RB2 at the 2/3 turn if there is not a player you like.

For me, at QB, I either want a top 4 (Rodger, Brees, Manning, or Romo) or I will wait for the Favre/Cutler group and skip the middle. So, I would consider one of these four at the turn.

As to WR vs RB at the 2/3 turn, I would try to make sure to take a safe option. RBs like Pierre Thomas (never getting more than 150 carries/season) is not one of them. But, I do consider Wells/Charles as decent gambles due to upside.

I would start eyeing the RB/WR you want at 4/5. This will be an important turn for you as these are starters.

Thanks again.

Playing in a 12 team PPR (1 pt per reception) redraft this year. Never done PPR before.

Start 1QB (4 pt TDs, .05 per passing yard), 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, and 1 RB/WR/TE flex.

Drew #1, drafted CJ. Expect a total of 11 RBs, 10 WRs, 2QBs to be selected before I pick again.

Playing with DD, it likes drafting RB11 (Thomas) and RB12 (Wells) at the turn (RB15 Turner was drafted earlier, so the RB numbers look a little strange). Available WRs may be WR11 (Colston), 12 (Smith-Car), 13 (Ward), and 14 (Smith-NYG), with QB3 (Manning) and 4 (Romo) still there.

1. Since this is PPR, is it suicide to not get one or two WRs at the turn? It "seems" like I should grab a WR with one of those picks.

2. In PPR, is a great QB like Manning or Romo gold, or are the third tier guys like Rivers, Cutler, Kolb, and Eli acceptable just like in non-PPR? The PPR ADP in FBG shows Brady, Schaub, and Rivers at 40, 46, and 47, so all will likely be gone by the time it gets back to me.

Would appreciate your thoughts Jeff.

 

[icehouse]

I'm about to trade Peterson in a 1 player keeper league (no PPR and QB's get 6 pts per TD). I have to trade him or lose him. I also have the 2nd pick in the draft. The next best player on my roster is either Mendenhall or Schuab. I expect the other 11 teams to keep S.Jackson, Brady, Brees, Calvin Johnson, MJD, DeAngelo Williams, Ray Rice, Micheal Turner or Rodgers (both on same team), Romo, Dre Johnson and Chris Johnson. Which should I continue to pursue:- Straight up trade for MJD.- Straight up trade for Ray Rice.- Straight up trade for either Turner or Rodgers (since QB's get 6 pts per TD)- Trade to the Calvin Johnson owner, who has the 3rd pick in the draft. I can trade him my 2nd rounder and AP for his 1st rounder. This would leave me with Mendenhall as my keeper, and the 2nd and 3rd picks on the first round, but no 2nd rounder.

I would prefer MJD to Rice so I see the following options:Straight up for MJD - How long can you keep MJD? Trade ADP for a high 1st, then offer your 2nd or 3rd for Turner or Rodgers (I prefer MT) -> Turner, Gore (maybe with 1.02), and another good player with the pick you get for ADPTrade ADP/2nd for 1.03 and keep Mendenhall -> this should net you Mendy, Gore (maybe), and Romo .... good startI like all three options. I would prefer the MJD option if you can keep him a while.

I can keep MJD for 3 years. Does that sway your opinion?No one will trade a 1st straight up for ADP.Thanks.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

I'm about to trade Peterson in a 1 player keeper league (no PPR and QB's get 6 pts per TD). I have to trade him or lose him. I also have the 2nd pick in the draft. The next best player on my roster is either Mendenhall or Schuab. I expect the other 11 teams to keep S.Jackson, Brady, Brees, Calvin Johnson, MJD, DeAngelo Williams, Ray Rice, Micheal Turner or Rodgers (both on same team), Romo, Dre Johnson and Chris Johnson. Which should I continue to pursue:- Straight up trade for MJD.- Straight up trade for Ray Rice.- Straight up trade for either Turner or Rodgers (since QB's get 6 pts per TD)- Trade to the Calvin Johnson owner, who has the 3rd pick in the draft. I can trade him my 2nd rounder and AP for his 1st rounder. This would leave me with Mendenhall as my keeper, and the 2nd and 3rd picks on the first round, but no 2nd rounder.

I would prefer MJD to Rice so I see the following options:Straight up for MJD - How long can you keep MJD? Trade ADP for a high 1st, then offer your 2nd or 3rd for Turner or Rodgers (I prefer MT) -> Turner, Gore (maybe with 1.02), and another good player with the pick you get for ADPTrade ADP/2nd for 1.03 and keep Mendenhall -> this should net you Mendy, Gore (maybe), and Romo .... good startI like all three options. I would prefer the MJD option if you can keep him a while.

I can keep MJD for 3 years. Does that sway your opinion?No one will trade a 1st straight up for ADP.Thanks.

I think I would take MJD for three years and be happy with it.

 

[Imagine]

Hi Jeff,

Sidney Rice is sliding as expected in our draft. 12 person PPR Redraft. His ADP is 3.03. With Favre's supposed announcement, maybe that lowers his value more.

I have 4.12 and 5.01, expect to take 2 WRs there. Is he worth taking if he makes it to 4.12? Other options may be Hines, Chad, and Percy.

What say your crystal ball?

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Hi Jeff,Sidney Rice is sliding as expected in our draft. 12 person PPR Redraft. His ADP is 3.03. With Favre's supposed announcement, maybe that lowers his value more. I have 4.12 and 5.01, expect to take 2 WRs there. Is he worth taking if he makes it to 4.12? Other options may be Hines, Chad, and Percy.What say your crystal ball?

I think I might take Chad as top option ... then it is close between Ward and Rice.

 

[Imagine]

Could I get your impressions on some RBs available at 5.01? Not much value at WR, so decided to go with an RB with my second pick at the 4/5 turn.

1. Addai - could be good again, most of the carries in Indy, caught 51 last yr. But Brown will be better in his second year. I'm reading through the Spotlights now, and wonder, do you like Addai this yr, or not so much? (possibly a bit of a bonus since I have Manning as my QB).

2. Stewart - clearly 2nd fiddle to DeAngelo, but pretty steady regardless. Running team, a lot to like, esp as my RB3 (flex option). Do ya love Jonathan?

3, 4, and 5 are Moreno (hard to select with that knee unknown), R Bush (never been a huge impact), and Sproles (probable 3rd down RB to Mathews).

So I'd love your thoughts...I'm inclined to gamble on Addai, but Stewart is tempting, and of those final three, Moreno seems to be the darling of lots of prognosticators. Since this pick needs to be another starter, I'm reluctant to gamble on Moreno. If I'm gambling, I think a better parlay might be Addai or Stewart. Thoughts?

Thanks.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Could I get your impressions on some RBs available at 5.01? Not much value at WR, so decided to go with an RB with my second pick at the 4/5 turn. 1. Addai - could be good again, most of the carries in Indy, caught 51 last yr. But Brown will be better in his second year. I'm reading through the Spotlights now, and wonder, do you like Addai this yr, or not so much? (possibly a bit of a bonus since I have Manning as my QB).2. Stewart - clearly 2nd fiddle to DeAngelo, but pretty steady regardless. Running team, a lot to like, esp as my RB3 (flex option). Do ya love Jonathan?3, 4, and 5 are Moreno (hard to select with that knee unknown), R Bush (never been a huge impact), and Sproles (probable 3rd down RB to Mathews). So I'd love your thoughts...I'm inclined to gamble on Addai, but Stewart is tempting, and of those final three, Moreno seems to be the darling of lots of prognosticators. Since this pick needs to be another starter, I'm reluctant to gamble on Moreno. If I'm gambling, I think a better parlay might be Addai or Stewart. Thoughts?Thanks.

I like Addai and Stewart over the group. Moreno is not bad, but Addai has been a top 11 RB three of his four years in the league. Addai is steady while Stewart is all upside. Difficult choice. How about Barber? Is he in the mix as well?

 

[Imagine]

Thx Jeff. Liked the positives of Addai, so took a deep breath and selected him. Looks like at the 6/7 turn I’ll have lots of WR and RB options.

For WRs, I like S Moss and D Mason, but figure they’ll be gonzo. Probably looking at one of the later sleepers like Mike Wallace (but have Hines so probably not), Gaffney, Hester (hard to guess at who gets the balls in Chicago), Breaston (maybe, with Q gone), Cotch (NYJ probably not the best receiving bet), and Floyd (very tempting with VJax out).

RBs, well I like CJ, Grant, and Addai. Start 2, could add the flex, so still may use one of the two picks on an RB. Wow, a whole bunch of upside guys still available…DSproles, RWilliams, JForsett, FJackson, MBush, Caddie, Ahmad, Brandon! This PPR stuff is still new to me, but holy smokes the WRs go fast! Hard to find any value since they all seem to go well before what their ADP shakes out to be. Gosh I hate to let all of these RBs go a wanting, but since I already have three, and only Hines Ward as a WR, the smart move is probably to grab receivers - either 2 WRs or a WR and a TE. I sure hope my RBs score well, because I'm gonna be limping along if I can ever find 3 starting WRs!

Eight TEs gone now, so have to consider that too. I’ll probably wait another round though, and hope that Zach or Heath slips through.

Love your thoughts…I’m hoping this stuff is fun for you and not a drag. I know you’ll really leap into action once the season starts.

Thanks again for your perspective...

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Thx Jeff. Liked the positives of Addai, so took a deep breath and selected him. Looks like at the 6/7 turn I’ll have lots of WR and RB options. For WRs, I like S Moss and D Mason, but figure they’ll be gonzo. Probably looking at one of the later sleepers like Mike Wallace (but have Hines so probably not), Gaffney, Hester (hard to guess at who gets the balls in Chicago), Breaston (maybe, with Q gone), Cotch (NYJ probably not the best receiving bet), and Floyd (very tempting with VJax out).RBs, well I like CJ, Grant, and Addai. Start 2, could add the flex, so still may use one of the two picks on an RB. Wow, a whole bunch of upside guys still available…DSproles, RWilliams, JForsett, FJackson, MBush, Caddie, Ahmad, Brandon! This PPR stuff is still new to me, but holy smokes the WRs go fast! Hard to find any value since they all seem to go well before what their ADP shakes out to be. Gosh I hate to let all of these RBs go a wanting, but since I already have three, and only Hines Ward as a WR, the smart move is probably to grab receivers - either 2 WRs or a WR and a TE. I sure hope my RBs score well, because I'm gonna be limping along if I can ever find 3 starting WRs!Eight TEs gone now, so have to consider that too. I’ll probably wait another round though, and hope that Zach or Heath slips through. Love your thoughts…I’m hoping this stuff is fun for you and not a drag. I know you’ll really leap into action once the season starts.Thanks again for your perspective...

If I read this right, there are great options left with Santana and Wallace (not a huge mason fan this early) ... and I like Ricky, Fred Jax, and Mbush (later). Floyd is intriguing but there is a chance VJax comes back midseason. Like Wallace, Maclin, Harvin this year. Those guys, Santana and Garcon are decent as WR2/3 types. Then fill in 3/4 with Knox/Gaffney types. At TE, you can get Heath Miller, Z Miller, or Carlson late. No problem.

 

[Imagine]

Actually, I wasn't too clear...Wallace, Maclin, Harvin, Garcon are gone, some just recently. I expect Santana to go in the four picks now ahead of me...but who knows?

If he's there, I'll take Moss and if he's not, since I only have one WR, I think I'm gonna have to take someone...maybe Gaffney...from among Evans, Gaffney, Hester, Breaston, Driver.

Or is TO someone to consider? His ADP is about 8.12, and he didn't do much in Buffalo, but then again, nobody did! With Carson and Ocho, maybe he's a flyer if Moss is gone?

Ricky would be fun to have, and his bye 5 doesn't overlap any of my RBs, so I'd have 3 each week. I'd like that. And since I'm pretty much toast as far as WRs, I'm not sure the difference between the 25th or 26th WR I could get at 7.01 is much different from the 35th or 36th I could get at 8.12.

Thx again.

 

[crazylegs1]

Hi Jeff,

Redraft strategy question. I play in a 10 team .5 PPR league. Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 RB/WR flex, 1 TE, 1 DEF, 1K and 1 IDP (likely a LB). 1 pt per 20 yds. passing and 6 pts. for all TD's including passing TD's. 1 pt. per 10/yds. rushing and receiving. 16 rd. draft with final roster looking something like this: 2 QB, 5 RB, 4 WR, 1 TE, 2 DEF (awarded unusually high pts.), 1K, 1 LB. It is a pretty competitive league and so I feel I need an edge definitely. This is the first year I have gotten more in depth with my draft strategy and examined things like the drop off at certain positions based on the scoring system, the draft tendencies of my league mates, VBD concepts among other things. Here is the top 3 avg. at the various skill positions and drop off in pts. in this scoring system at the various positions from last year. Top 3 QB avg.= 402 pts. QB #3-10= 55pt drop., QB 11th to 20th = 94 pt. drop, QB 3-20 = 171 pt. drop Top 3 RB avg.=305pts. RB#3-10=79 pt. drop, Rb # 11-20 = 26 pt drop, RB #3-20= 126 pts drop. Top 3 WR avg. = 239pts. WR #3-10=21 pt drop., WR #3-20 = 65 pt. drop, Top 3 TE avg = 201 TE 3-10=55 pt drop, TE 11-20= 38 pt. drop, TE 3-20 = 115 pt. drop.

Here is my question. From looking at this I am thinking of going early on QB, and early on TE. I feel I have a good chance of getting good return on my investment as I feel that the top QB's and TE's tend to be fairly consistent ie: Brees, Manning, Rogers should give me and edge as will guys like Clark, Witten, Gates and have a very good chance of finishing top 5-10 with upside of being #1 at their position. There is a sharp drop at these positions as well in this scoring system. RB has a sharp drop as well, but I see the position as more volatile (I will draft a RB in the first rd. if I get one of the 1st 5 draft slots) not to say I will neglect it. I feel I can wait more on the WR's due to the slower drop (again I will try to get a top WR if possible, but feel I can get even a #2 later in the draft and definitely a #3. Do you agree with this strategy, or might you load up on RB's/WR's and try a QB by committee (ie: E. Manning/Palmer for example). I know TE is supposed to be deep this year, but in this scoring system I still feel it is important to take one early. What are your thoughts on my strategy? Thanks for any help.

 

[OddibeMcD]

Hey Jeff,

Keep 6, lose round for kept player, 12 team, start 2QB 2RB 2WR 1RB/WR flex, no PPR.

Keeping Flacco, Stewart, M. Bush, Jennings, Holmes and have to choose between Leinart(5) and Bradshaw(6) for the last. Having mocked through DD, if I release Leinart he is drafted in the third and Bradshaw is drafted in the fifth. At least 22 QB's are kept...P. Manning and McNabb are going 1.01 and 1.03. Best available at my first draft pick (3.03) are Hasselbeck, Moore and Bradford. (Leinart if I release him is there too.) Best RB's are Spiller, Forsett, R. Bush.

Thanks

 

[Packers4ever]

10 team 10 player keeper league Standard scoring 4pts/TD passing & 6pts/TD rush/rec No PPR 1 QB, 2RB, 3 WR, 1 Flex,

1 TE

My current team

Qb-Favre, D. McNabb, D. Garrard

RB-Addai, R. Brown, D. Brown, S. Jackson, J. Stewart, CJ Spiller

WR-G. Jennigs, B. Marshall, V. Jackson, D. Jackson, S. Breaston, P. Burress, D. Heyward-Bey

TE - K. Winslow

We are in the middle of our draft and have just been offered this trade DeAngelo Williams & Demaryius Thomas for D. Brown & B. Marshall. His other WR's are Bowe, Crabtree, Maclin & Bryant. Don't really think I can loss Marshall since I need to start 3 WR's but should I try to offer one of his other WR's instead of Thomas what do you think.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Actually, I wasn't too clear...Wallace, Maclin, Harvin, Garcon are gone, some just recently. I expect Santana to go in the four picks now ahead of me...but who knows?If he's there, I'll take Moss and if he's not, since I only have one WR, I think I'm gonna have to take someone...maybe Gaffney...from among Evans, Gaffney, Hester, Breaston, Driver.Or is TO someone to consider? His ADP is about 8.12, and he didn't do much in Buffalo, but then again, nobody did! With Carson and Ocho, maybe he's a flyer if Moss is gone?Ricky would be fun to have, and his bye 5 doesn't overlap any of my RBs, so I'd have 3 each week. I'd like that. And since I'm pretty much toast as far as WRs, I'm not sure the difference between the 25th or 26th WR I could get at 7.01 is much different from the 35th or 36th I could get at 8.12.Thx again.

Santana, TO, Driver, Gaffney, Hester in that order I think. TO is a decent play here. Start looking for potential talent dropoffs. It looks to me as though there is one coming fast at RB. You would be fine with your WRs if you get two of SMoss, TO, and Driver. It might be a stronger move than going RB again

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Hey, I think you would be ok waiting until the 2nd or 3rd for Romo (in addition to your others). If you take a QB in the 3rd and TE in the 4th or 5th, you can plan your RB/WR around the strategy. The one TE I would look at if you miss on Gates/Clark is Celek. He could have a great year. With VDavis, Gates, Clark, Witten, and Celek, you have five very good TEs all capable of finishing at the top spot. Some add Finley to the group. Romo and Celek (at their current prices) are players I am targeting in my leagues.

Hi Jeff,Redraft strategy question. I play in a 10 team .5 PPR league. Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 RB/WR flex, 1 TE, 1 DEF, 1K and 1 IDP (likely a LB). 1 pt per 20 yds. passing and 6 pts. for all TD's including passing TD's. 1 pt. per 10/yds. rushing and receiving. 16 rd. draft with final roster looking something like this: 2 QB, 5 RB, 4 WR, 1 TE, 2 DEF (awarded unusually high pts.), 1K, 1 LB. It is a pretty competitive league and so I feel I need an edge definitely. This is the first year I have gotten more in depth with my draft strategy and examined things like the drop off at certain positions based on the scoring system, the draft tendencies of my league mates, VBD concepts among other things. Here is the top 3 avg. at the various skill positions and drop off in pts. in this scoring system at the various positions from last year. Top 3 QB avg.= 402 pts. QB #3-10= 55pt drop., QB 11th to 20th = 94 pt. drop, QB 3-20 = 171 pt. drop Top 3 RB avg.=305pts. RB#3-10=79 pt. drop, Rb # 11-20 = 26 pt drop, RB #3-20= 126 pts drop. Top 3 WR avg. = 239pts. WR #3-10=21 pt drop., WR #3-20 = 65 pt. drop, Top 3 TE avg = 201 TE 3-10=55 pt drop, TE 11-20= 38 pt. drop, TE 3-20 = 115 pt. drop. Here is my question. From looking at this I am thinking of going early on QB, and early on TE. I feel I have a good chance of getting good return on my investment as I feel that the top QB's and TE's tend to be fairly consistent ie: Brees, Manning, Rogers should give me and edge as will guys like Clark, Witten, Gates and have a very good chance of finishing top 5-10 with upside of being #1 at their position. There is a sharp drop at these positions as well in this scoring system. RB has a sharp drop as well, but I see the position as more volatile (I will draft a RB in the first rd. if I get one of the 1st 5 draft slots) not to say I will neglect it. I feel I can wait more on the WR's due to the slower drop (again I will try to get a top WR if possible, but feel I can get even a #2 later in the draft and definitely a #3. Do you agree with this strategy, or might you load up on RB's/WR's and try a QB by committee (ie: E. Manning/Palmer for example). I know TE is supposed to be deep this year, but in this scoring system I still feel it is important to take one early. What are your thoughts on my strategy? Thanks for any help.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Hey Jeff,Keep 6, lose round for kept player, 12 team, start 2QB 2RB 2WR 1RB/WR flex, no PPR.Keeping Flacco, Stewart, M. Bush, Jennings, Holmes and have to choose between Leinart(5) and Bradshaw(6) for the last. Having mocked through DD, if I release Leinart he is drafted in the third and Bradshaw is drafted in the fifth. At least 22 QB's are kept...P. Manning and McNabb are going 1.01 and 1.03. Best available at my first draft pick (3.03) are Hasselbeck, Moore and Bradford. (Leinart if I release him is there too.) Best RB's are Spiller, Forsett, R. Bush.Thanks

I do not like Leinart, but you have to keep him in a non-ppr start 2 QB league

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

10 team 10 player keeper league Standard scoring 4pts/TD passing & 6pts/TD rush/rec No PPR 1 QB, 2RB, 3 WR, 1 Flex, 1 TEMy current teamQb-Favre, D. McNabb, D. GarrardRB-Addai, R. Brown, D. Brown, S. Jackson, J. Stewart, CJ SpillerWR-G. Jennigs, B. Marshall, V. Jackson, D. Jackson, S. Breaston, P. Burress, D. Heyward-BeyTE - K. WinslowWe are in the middle of our draft and have just been offered this trade DeAngelo Williams & Demaryius Thomas for D. Brown & B. Marshall. His other WR's are Bowe, Crabtree, Maclin & Bryant. Don't really think I can loss Marshall since I need to start 3 WR's but should I try to offer one of his other WR's instead of Thomas what do you think.

I like it if you give Jennings instead and try to get Maclin/Crabtree even if you have to add.

 

[Packers4ever]

10 team 10 player keeper league Standard scoring 4pts/TD passing & 6pts/TD rush/rec No PPR 1 QB, 2RB, 3 WR, 1 Flex, 1 TEMy current teamQb-Favre, D. McNabb, D. GarrardRB-Addai, R. Brown, D. Brown, S. Jackson, J. Stewart, CJ SpillerWR-G. Jennigs, B. Marshall, V. Jackson, D. Jackson, S. Breaston, P. Burress, D. Heyward-BeyTE - K. WinslowWe are in the middle of our draft and have just been offered this trade DeAngelo Williams & Demaryius Thomas for D. Brown & B. Marshall. His other WR's are Bowe, Crabtree, Maclin & Bryant. Don't really think I can loss Marshall since I need to start 3 WR's but should I try to offer one of his other WR's instead of Thomas what do you think.

I like it if you give Jennings instead and try to get Maclin/Crabtree even if you have to add.

So maybe something like D. Williams & Crabtree for B. Marshall, D. Brown, & J. Addai.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

10 team 10 player keeper league Standard scoring 4pts/TD passing & 6pts/TD rush/rec No PPR 1 QB, 2RB, 3 WR, 1 Flex, 1 TEMy current teamQb-Favre, D. McNabb, D. GarrardRB-Addai, R. Brown, D. Brown, S. Jackson, J. Stewart, CJ SpillerWR-G. Jennigs, B. Marshall, V. Jackson, D. Jackson, S. Breaston, P. Burress, D. Heyward-BeyTE - K. WinslowWe are in the middle of our draft and have just been offered this trade DeAngelo Williams & Demaryius Thomas for D. Brown & B. Marshall. His other WR's are Bowe, Crabtree, Maclin & Bryant. Don't really think I can loss Marshall since I need to start 3 WR's but should I try to offer one of his other WR's instead of Thomas what do you think.

I like it if you give Jennings instead and try to get Maclin/Crabtree even if you have to add.

So maybe something like D. Williams & Crabtree for B. Marshall, D. Brown, & J. Addai.

That is more than I would have thought. I was thinking more of Ronnie Brown, DBrown and Jennings (since I like he over Marshall-but I realize you are a GBP fan) for Crabtree and DWill. I would not give much more. Adding a 27 yr old DWill does not help you that much to give up the Indy Rbs and Marshall, imo

 

[crazylegs1]

Thanks for the feedback Jeff. I know you can't tell me what to do, but does your response mean, based on this scoring system, you feel the early QB/TE strategy is preferable to say a wait on your QB/early TE strategy or wait on both strategy? Thanks again for all you help. I like the targets you mentioned by the way as I was thinking the same thing ie: Romo as a target in the 3rd and if I miss Gates/Clark/Witten picking up Celek, who I think will be comparable and an excellent value.

Hey, I think you would be ok waiting until the 2nd or 3rd for Romo (in addition to your others). If you take a QB in the 3rd and TE in the 4th or 5th, you can plan your RB/WR around the strategy. The one TE I would look at if you miss on Gates/Clark is Celek. He could have a great year. With VDavis, Gates, Clark, Witten, and Celek, you have five very good TEs all capable of finishing at the top spot. Some add Finley to the group. Romo and Celek (at their current prices) are players I am targeting in my leagues.

Hi Jeff,Redraft strategy question. I play in a 10 team .5 PPR league. Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 RB/WR flex, 1 TE, 1 DEF, 1K and 1 IDP (likely a LB). 1 pt per 20 yds. passing and 6 pts. for all TD's including passing TD's. 1 pt. per 10/yds. rushing and receiving. 16 rd. draft with final roster looking something like this: 2 QB, 5 RB, 4 WR, 1 TE, 2 DEF (awarded unusually high pts.), 1K, 1 LB. It is a pretty competitive league and so I feel I need an edge definitely. This is the first year I have gotten more in depth with my draft strategy and examined things like the drop off at certain positions based on the scoring system, the draft tendencies of my league mates, VBD concepts among other things. Here is the top 3 avg. at the various skill positions and drop off in pts. in this scoring system at the various positions from last year. Top 3 QB avg.= 402 pts. QB #3-10= 55pt drop., QB 11th to 20th = 94 pt. drop, QB 3-20 = 171 pt. drop Top 3 RB avg.=305pts. RB#3-10=79 pt. drop, Rb # 11-20 = 26 pt drop, RB #3-20= 126 pts drop. Top 3 WR avg. = 239pts. WR #3-10=21 pt drop., WR #3-20 = 65 pt. drop, Top 3 TE avg = 201 TE 3-10=55 pt drop, TE 11-20= 38 pt. drop, TE 3-20 = 115 pt. drop. Here is my question. From looking at this I am thinking of going early on QB, and early on TE. I feel I have a good chance of getting good return on my investment as I feel that the top QB's and TE's tend to be fairly consistent ie: Brees, Manning, Rogers should give me and edge as will guys like Clark, Witten, Gates and have a very good chance of finishing top 5-10 with upside of being #1 at their position. There is a sharp drop at these positions as well in this scoring system. RB has a sharp drop as well, but I see the position as more volatile (I will draft a RB in the first rd. if I get one of the 1st 5 draft slots) not to say I will neglect it. I feel I can wait more on the WR's due to the slower drop (again I will try to get a top WR if possible, but feel I can get even a #2 later in the draft and definitely a #3. Do you agree with this strategy, or might you load up on RB's/WR's and try a QB by committee (ie: E. Manning/Palmer for example). I know TE is supposed to be deep this year, but in this scoring system I still feel it is important to take one early. What are your thoughts on my strategy? Thanks for any help.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

In a 10 teamer, the WR pool is deep. You can get WRs like Chad/Ward late. Just try to get an anchor at WR1 and fill in spots later. Guys like Garcon, etc are available in the 6th and later.

Thanks for the feedback Jeff. I know you can't tell me what to do, but does your response mean, based on this scoring system, you feel the early QB/TE strategy is preferable to say a wait on your QB/early TE strategy or wait on both strategy? Thanks again for all you help. I like the targets you mentioned by the way as I was thinking the same thing ie: Romo as a target in the 3rd and if I miss Gates/Clark/Witten picking up Celek, who I think will be comparable and an excellent value.

Hey, I think you would be ok waiting until the 2nd or 3rd for Romo (in addition to your others). If you take a QB in the 3rd and TE in the 4th or 5th, you can plan your RB/WR around the strategy. The one TE I would look at if you miss on Gates/Clark is Celek. He could have a great year. With VDavis, Gates, Clark, Witten, and Celek, you have five very good TEs all capable of finishing at the top spot. Some add Finley to the group. Romo and Celek (at their current prices) are players I am targeting in my leagues.

Hi Jeff,Redraft strategy question. I play in a 10 team .5 PPR league. Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 RB/WR flex, 1 TE, 1 DEF, 1K and 1 IDP (likely a LB). 1 pt per 20 yds. passing and 6 pts. for all TD's including passing TD's. 1 pt. per 10/yds. rushing and receiving. 16 rd. draft with final roster looking something like this: 2 QB, 5 RB, 4 WR, 1 TE, 2 DEF (awarded unusually high pts.), 1K, 1 LB. It is a pretty competitive league and so I feel I need an edge definitely. This is the first year I have gotten more in depth with my draft strategy and examined things like the drop off at certain positions based on the scoring system, the draft tendencies of my league mates, VBD concepts among other things. Here is the top 3 avg. at the various skill positions and drop off in pts. in this scoring system at the various positions from last year. Top 3 QB avg.= 402 pts. QB #3-10= 55pt drop., QB 11th to 20th = 94 pt. drop, QB 3-20 = 171 pt. drop Top 3 RB avg.=305pts. RB#3-10=79 pt. drop, Rb # 11-20 = 26 pt drop, RB #3-20= 126 pts drop. Top 3 WR avg. = 239pts. WR #3-10=21 pt drop., WR #3-20 = 65 pt. drop, Top 3 TE avg = 201 TE 3-10=55 pt drop, TE 11-20= 38 pt. drop, TE 3-20 = 115 pt. drop. Here is my question. From looking at this I am thinking of going early on QB, and early on TE. I feel I have a good chance of getting good return on my investment as I feel that the top QB's and TE's tend to be fairly consistent ie: Brees, Manning, Rogers should give me and edge as will guys like Clark, Witten, Gates and have a very good chance of finishing top 5-10 with upside of being #1 at their position. There is a sharp drop at these positions as well in this scoring system. RB has a sharp drop as well, but I see the position as more volatile (I will draft a RB in the first rd. if I get one of the 1st 5 draft slots) not to say I will neglect it. I feel I can wait more on the WR's due to the slower drop (again I will try to get a top WR if possible, but feel I can get even a #2 later in the draft and definitely a #3. Do you agree with this strategy, or might you load up on RB's/WR's and try a QB by committee (ie: E. Manning/Palmer for example). I know TE is supposed to be deep this year, but in this scoring system I still feel it is important to take one early. What are your thoughts on my strategy? Thanks for any help.

 

[Imagine]

For my zen-master! This has been really fun, and I like how this PPR team is shaping up. PManning, CJ, Grant, Addai, with Ward, SMoss, and TO feels good.

TE - At 8.12, if Heath Miller (ADP 10.01) is still there, since all but 3 owners have TEs, I think I get him. Zach is gone, but Carlson and Daniels are there, so probably ok at TE. Could maybe wait, but 24 picks between selections is a whole bunch! ADP says maybe I could wait, but doncha think it’s time to grab a TE?

RB - at 9.01, Ricky, Sproles, and Caddy will probably be gone, but if not, one of them might be a nice complement to CJ, Grant, and Addai. Others left now are Hightower, Portis, Harrison, CTaylor, Maroney, Slaton, LWashington, LT, AFoster, and Buckhalter (less injured than Moreno?). These guys are all RB35 or higher, so looking for needles in haystacks. Anyone jump out? Slaton had 268 carries and 50 receptions in 08…is he one to consider? Do Portis or LT regain lost glory? Thoughts on this mish-mash?

WR – went like hotcakes! Glad I got SMoss and TO at the last turn. Evans, Mason, Gaffney, Cotch, Meacham, Royal expected to be available. Avery, Aromashodu, Mike Thomas, Edwards, and Santonio Holmes may be on that list. I’m thinking the value is probably in the RB at 9.01 though. Holmes (11.08 ADP) is an interesting thought. NYJ will pound the ball, and he has the 4 wk suspension, but I don’t think Braylon and Cotch are the answer in NY. Any gems hidden here?

 

[Packers4ever]

12 team Dynasty league, PPR starter 1 QB, 2 RB's, 3WR's, 1 flex

My Team

QB's Culter, Stafford

RB's D. Williams, R. Williams, M. Lynch, J. Jones, K. Faulk, B. Westbrook

WR's R. White, S. Moss, L. Evans, D, Mason, D. Hester, J. Knox, D. Thomas(Den), B. LaFell

TE's D. Keller, T. Scheffler

Would you take this trade of D. Jackson & Shiancoe for D. Thomas and my 2011 1st which I would guess would be about in the middle of the 1st round.

 

[Instinctive]

Hey Jeff,

Drew the 8 slot (ugh...) in my 14 team money redraft this year. I've been to the Super Bowl 2 years running (won it last year) and plan to make another run. However, I'm not sure I like this slot...would have really preferred 7.

I have the big 4, Gore, Jackson, Andre Johnson as my top 7 guys. The league is 0.5 PPR and 1/10 rush while 1/15 rec. So receivers are slightly devalued compared to the top pass catchers. As of now, there's a few scenarios that occur when I mock:

1. Andre Johnson, Roddy White

2. Steven Jackson, Jamaal Charles

3. Steven Jackson, Roddy White

4. Frank Gore, Jamaal Charles

5. Frank Gore, Roddy White

6. Aaron Rodgers, Roddy White

7. Aaron Rodgers, Jamaal Charles

8. Drew Brees, Roddy White

9. Drew Brees, Jamaal Charles

QBs sometimes go early in my league though (historically 2 or 3 each first round, even though they all score really high...) and the last 2 years I've rode Matt Schaub. I plan to get Roddy/Jamaal in round 2.

My biggest issue is this: Assuming that all 7 guys I like are gone, do I take Rodgers, Brees, or Turner? We get .5 per comp and -.25 per inc, so the accuracy of Brees/Peyton is incredibly helpful...but 33% comp is the break even point, so typically any QB who throws a lot will score a lot as well.

I guess what I really need is this: With less points for receiving yardage, is Andre worth it over Turner/Brees? Even if he is, if he's also gone, do I take Turner or Brees? I have to say it was incredibly nice to have Schaub's ability to plug him in and forget it last year.

Then the 2nd round comes: I probably take Jamaal Charles if he's there because I'm high on him. If not, I take Roddy. If both are gone, I shoot for Fitz if he falls (probably doesn't) or I take Colston (my 2nd rounder the last 2 years...he's not flashy but I love the consistency...which is why Roddy would be the best pick if he's there.)

What do you think? I've never really worried about the slightly lower value of receiving yards...should it make any difference now that we have 14 teams instead of 12?

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

You have some good options. I would order the players left:JHarrison-Meachem - finished strong last year, but nicked upEvans - only wr thereRicky- Hightower - HolmesMasonI would go in this order, and worry about TE next turn. There will be WRs there next turn

For my zen-master! This has been really fun, and I like how this PPR team is shaping up. PManning, CJ, Grant, Addai, with Ward, SMoss, and TO feels good. TE - At 8.12, if Heath Miller (ADP 10.01) is still there, since all but 3 owners have TEs, I think I get him. Zach is gone, but Carlson and Daniels are there, so probably ok at TE. Could maybe wait, but 24 picks between selections is a whole bunch! ADP says maybe I could wait, but doncha think it’s time to grab a TE?RB - at 9.01, Ricky, Sproles, and Caddy will probably be gone, but if not, one of them might be a nice complement to CJ, Grant, and Addai. Others left now are Hightower, Portis, Harrison, CTaylor, Maroney, Slaton, LWashington, LT, AFoster, and Buckhalter (less injured than Moreno?). These guys are all RB35 or higher, so looking for needles in haystacks. Anyone jump out? Slaton had 268 carries and 50 receptions in 08…is he one to consider? Do Portis or LT regain lost glory? Thoughts on this mish-mash?WR – went like hotcakes! Glad I got SMoss and TO at the last turn. Evans, Mason, Gaffney, Cotch, Meacham, Royal expected to be available. Avery, Aromashodu, Mike Thomas, Edwards, and Santonio Holmes may be on that list. I’m thinking the value is probably in the RB at 9.01 though. Holmes (11.08 ADP) is an interesting thought. NYJ will pound the ball, and he has the 4 wk suspension, but I don’t think Braylon and Cotch are the answer in NY. Any gems hidden here?

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

12 team Dynasty league, PPR starter 1 QB, 2 RB's, 3WR's, 1 flexMy TeamQB's Culter, StaffordRB's D. Williams, R. Williams, M. Lynch, J. Jones, K. Faulk, B. WestbrookWR's R. White, S. Moss, L. Evans, D, Mason, D. Hester, J. Knox, D. Thomas(Den), B. LaFellTE's D. Keller, T. SchefflerWould you take this trade of D. Jackson & Shiancoe for D. Thomas and my 2011 1st which I would guess would be about in the middle of the 1st round.

I think DeSean is worth more than this alone and he adds a lot to your starters

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

I think I might go QB if Gore is gone. I am not sold that AJ will vastly outproduce the 2nd and 3rd round WRs (White, Austin, etc). Turner vs QB is almost even for me since the RBs drop off so fast. One QB I like is Romo this year. Would you be good with Gore/Turner then Romo is round 2?Since it is a bigger league, I would load up on QB/RB early on just because the decent options will dry up quickly. Good luck.Jeff

Hey Jeff, Drew the 8 slot (ugh...) in my 14 team money redraft this year. I've been to the Super Bowl 2 years running (won it last year) and plan to make another run. However, I'm not sure I like this slot...would have really preferred 7.I have the big 4, Gore, Jackson, Andre Johnson as my top 7 guys. The league is 0.5 PPR and 1/10 rush while 1/15 rec. So receivers are slightly devalued compared to the top pass catchers. As of now, there's a few scenarios that occur when I mock:1. Andre Johnson, Roddy White2. Steven Jackson, Jamaal Charles3. Steven Jackson, Roddy White4. Frank Gore, Jamaal Charles5. Frank Gore, Roddy White6. Aaron Rodgers, Roddy White7. Aaron Rodgers, Jamaal Charles8. Drew Brees, Roddy White9. Drew Brees, Jamaal CharlesQBs sometimes go early in my league though (historically 2 or 3 each first round, even though they all score really high...) and the last 2 years I've rode Matt Schaub. I plan to get Roddy/Jamaal in round 2. My biggest issue is this: Assuming that all 7 guys I like are gone, do I take Rodgers, Brees, or Turner? We get .5 per comp and -.25 per inc, so the accuracy of Brees/Peyton is incredibly helpful...but 33% comp is the break even point, so typically any QB who throws a lot will score a lot as well.I guess what I really need is this: With less points for receiving yardage, is Andre worth it over Turner/Brees? Even if he is, if he's also gone, do I take Turner or Brees? I have to say it was incredibly nice to have Schaub's ability to plug him in and forget it last year. Then the 2nd round comes: I probably take Jamaal Charles if he's there because I'm high on him. If not, I take Roddy. If both are gone, I shoot for Fitz if he falls (probably doesn't) or I take Colston (my 2nd rounder the last 2 years...he's not flashy but I love the consistency...which is why Roddy would be the best pick if he's there.)What do you think? I've never really worried about the slightly lower value of receiving yards...should it make any difference now that we have 14 teams instead of 12?

 

[oscarz]

Hi Jeff

Love reading all your comments.

I am in a 14 player league. Scoring is 6 pts per TD passing, rushing and receiving. 1 point for every 10 yards passing, receiving and running and .5 pts per reception for WR's and RB's. We keep 2 players from last years roster.

We start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE. We also have the same amount of bench players in each position.

My 2 keepers are: QB:Schaub and RB:Grant

I draft 6th this year in a snake draft. My 3 questions are:

1. With the following available RB's and WR's possibly at my turn how would you order them and who would you draft

first an RB or a WR?

RB's that may be available: Mendenhall, Stewart, Williams, Mathews, Thomas, McCoy, Addai, Best

WR's that may be available: Wayne, Austin, White, Rice, Jackson, Jennings, Smith(NYG), Colston, Boldon,

Ochocinco, Welker

2. What positions would you continue to target going forward?

3. At what point would you target a TE or another QB?

Thanks....

 

[Imagine]

Interesting thought on TE. It would sure allow another couple of RBs to be added to the stable...or one RB and a Meacham or Evans if I went that way. Philosophy-wise, it seems like you envision equivalent WRs available at the next turn, so an investment in a couple of RBs now seems like a solid play. Correct on that?

It's looking like Sproles and Cadillac Williams might be there at the turn too, but Ricky is now gone. Of the 3 (Harrison, Caddie, and Sproles), Caddie and Harrison are supposed starters. Sproles probably does 3rd downs for Ryan Mathews. Would either of them nose out Harrison? I actually like Harrison though, assuming he's the man in Cleveland, since they should be trying to be a power running team. Thx Jeff.

You have some good options. I would order the players left:

JHarrison-

Meachem - finished strong last year, but nicked up

Evans - only wr there

Ricky-

Hightower -

Holmes

Mason

I would go in this order, and worry about TE next turn. There will be WRs there next turn

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Hi Jeff

Love reading all your comments.

I am in a 14 player league. Scoring is 6 pts per TD passing, rushing and receiving. 1 point for every 10 yards passing, receiving and running and .5 pts per reception for WR's and RB's. We keep 2 players from last years roster.

We start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE. We also have the same amount of bench players in each position.

My 2 keepers are: QB:Schaub and RB:Grant

I draft 6th this year in a snake draft. My 3 questions are:

1. With the following available RB's and WR's possibly at my turn how would you order them and who would you draft

first an RB or a WR? I would take any of the first four RBs first, then Wayne or Austin.

RB's that may be available: Mendenhall, Stewart, Williams, Mathews, Thomas, McCoy, Addai, Best

WR's that may be available: Wayne, Austin, White, Rice, Jackson, Jennings, Smith(NYG), Colston, Boldon,

Ochocinco, Welker

2. What positions would you continue to target going forward? I would hammer RB as long as there are good options. Yes, take a stud WR over avg RB, but RBs will get scarce very quickly.

3. At what point would you target a TE or another QB? TE in 5th or later-> look for Carlson or Heath Miller. They may be there in 8th or 9th. But, those are the two value TEs, imo

Thanks....

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Harrison is a top 20 PPR RB. Check out the last three games of last season. While there is no way he could do that over a whole season, he is a very good PPR RB. Definitely he and Meachem with Evans as the next option if one is gone. Holmes vs Evans is very close to me but I am afraid NYJ is a crowded situation

Interesting thought on TE. It would sure allow another couple of RBs to be added to the stable...or one RB and a Meacham or Evans if I went that way. Philosophy-wise, it seems like you envision equivalent WRs available at the next turn, so an investment in a couple of RBs now seems like a solid play. Correct on that?It's looking like Sproles and Cadillac Williams might be there at the turn too, but Ricky is now gone. Of the 3 (Harrison, Caddie, and Sproles), Caddie and Harrison are supposed starters. Sproles probably does 3rd downs for Ryan Mathews. Would either of them nose out Harrison? I actually like Harrison though, assuming he's the man in Cleveland, since they should be trying to be a power running team. Thx Jeff.

 

[crazylegs1]

Yeah, taking a QB and TE early works well in most of the mocks I am doing. Far superior to waiting on QB or TE. I have found I can get decent Wr's late. Early QB/Early TE is definitely the strategy I will be using in this scoring system. The problem I am having is when I draft out of say the 8,9,or 10 hole. I am choosing between Fitz, Mendenhall, Moss, etc. and I find I usually take a combo of Moss, Mendenhall to start my draft. Leaves me weak at RB. Who might you target in this scoring system, drafting in the 8,9,10 spots in the first 2 rds? I don't like Fitz this year because of their QB situation.

In a 10 teamer, the WR pool is deep. You can get WRs like Chad/Ward late. Just try to get an anchor at WR1 and fill in spots later. Guys like Garcon, etc are available in the 6th and later.

Thanks for the feedback Jeff. I know you can't tell me what to do, but does your response mean, based on this scoring system, you feel the early QB/TE strategy is preferable to say a wait on your QB/early TE strategy or wait on both strategy? Thanks again for all you help. I like the targets you mentioned by the way as I was thinking the same thing ie: Romo as a target in the 3rd and if I miss Gates/Clark/Witten picking up Celek, who I think will be comparable and an excellent value.

Hey, I think you would be ok waiting until the 2nd or 3rd for Romo (in addition to your others). If you take a QB in the 3rd and TE in the 4th or 5th, you can plan your RB/WR around the strategy. The one TE I would look at if you miss on Gates/Clark is Celek. He could have a great year. With VDavis, Gates, Clark, Witten, and Celek, you have five very good TEs all capable of finishing at the top spot. Some add Finley to the group. Romo and Celek (at their current prices) are players I am targeting in my leagues.

Hi Jeff,Redraft strategy question. I play in a 10 team .5 PPR league. Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 RB/WR flex, 1 TE, 1 DEF, 1K and 1 IDP (likely a LB). 1 pt per 20 yds. passing and 6 pts. for all TD's including passing TD's. 1 pt. per 10/yds. rushing and receiving. 16 rd. draft with final roster looking something like this: 2 QB, 5 RB, 4 WR, 1 TE, 2 DEF (awarded unusually high pts.), 1K, 1 LB. It is a pretty competitive league and so I feel I need an edge definitely. This is the first year I have gotten more in depth with my draft strategy and examined things like the drop off at certain positions based on the scoring system, the draft tendencies of my league mates, VBD concepts among other things. Here is the top 3 avg. at the various skill positions and drop off in pts. in this scoring system at the various positions from last year. Top 3 QB avg.= 402 pts. QB #3-10= 55pt drop., QB 11th to 20th = 94 pt. drop, QB 3-20 = 171 pt. drop Top 3 RB avg.=305pts. RB#3-10=79 pt. drop, Rb # 11-20 = 26 pt drop, RB #3-20= 126 pts drop. Top 3 WR avg. = 239pts. WR #3-10=21 pt drop., WR #3-20 = 65 pt. drop, Top 3 TE avg = 201 TE 3-10=55 pt drop, TE 11-20= 38 pt. drop, TE 3-20 = 115 pt. drop. Here is my question. From looking at this I am thinking of going early on QB, and early on TE. I feel I have a good chance of getting good return on my investment as I feel that the top QB's and TE's tend to be fairly consistent ie: Brees, Manning, Rogers should give me and edge as will guys like Clark, Witten, Gates and have a very good chance of finishing top 5-10 with upside of being #1 at their position. There is a sharp drop at these positions as well in this scoring system. RB has a sharp drop as well, but I see the position as more volatile (I will draft a RB in the first rd. if I get one of the 1st 5 draft slots) not to say I will neglect it. I feel I can wait more on the WR's due to the slower drop (again I will try to get a top WR if possible, but feel I can get even a #2 later in the draft and definitely a #3. Do you agree with this strategy, or might you load up on RB's/WR's and try a QB by committee (ie: E. Manning/Palmer for example). I know TE is supposed to be deep this year, but in this scoring system I still feel it is important to take one early. What are your thoughts on my strategy? Thanks for any help.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

You can get by with WR/QB in the 1/2 if you dont like the RB options. That would leave you with guys like Grant, Charles, Benson in the 3rd. In fact, something like Moss/Brees/Grant/Charles/Witten is not a bad start. In 10 teamers, you need studs and if you do not think Mendenhall is a stud, then take a stud at another position.

Yeah, taking a QB and TE early works well in most of the mocks I am doing. Far superior to waiting on QB or TE. I have found I can get decent Wr's late. Early QB/Early TE is definitely the strategy I will be using in this scoring system. The problem I am having is when I draft out of say the 8,9,or 10 hole. I am choosing between Fitz, Mendenhall, Moss, etc. and I find I usually take a combo of Moss, Mendenhall to start my draft. Leaves me weak at RB. Who might you target in this scoring system, drafting in the 8,9,10 spots in the first 2 rds? I don't like Fitz this year because of their QB situation.

In a 10 teamer, the WR pool is deep. You can get WRs like Chad/Ward late. Just try to get an anchor at WR1 and fill in spots later. Guys like Garcon, etc are available in the 6th and later.

Thanks for the feedback Jeff. I know you can't tell me what to do, but does your response mean, based on this scoring system, you feel the early QB/TE strategy is preferable to say a wait on your QB/early TE strategy or wait on both strategy? Thanks again for all you help. I like the targets you mentioned by the way as I was thinking the same thing ie: Romo as a target in the 3rd and if I miss Gates/Clark/Witten picking up Celek, who I think will be comparable and an excellent value.

Hey, I think you would be ok waiting until the 2nd or 3rd for Romo (in addition to your others). If you take a QB in the 3rd and TE in the 4th or 5th, you can plan your RB/WR around the strategy. The one TE I would look at if you miss on Gates/Clark is Celek. He could have a great year. With VDavis, Gates, Clark, Witten, and Celek, you have five very good TEs all capable of finishing at the top spot. Some add Finley to the group. Romo and Celek (at their current prices) are players I am targeting in my leagues.

Hi Jeff,Redraft strategy question. I play in a 10 team .5 PPR league. Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 RB/WR flex, 1 TE, 1 DEF, 1K and 1 IDP (likely a LB). 1 pt per 20 yds. passing and 6 pts. for all TD's including passing TD's. 1 pt. per 10/yds. rushing and receiving. 16 rd. draft with final roster looking something like this: 2 QB, 5 RB, 4 WR, 1 TE, 2 DEF (awarded unusually high pts.), 1K, 1 LB. It is a pretty competitive league and so I feel I need an edge definitely. This is the first year I have gotten more in depth with my draft strategy and examined things like the drop off at certain positions based on the scoring system, the draft tendencies of my league mates, VBD concepts among other things. Here is the top 3 avg. at the various skill positions and drop off in pts. in this scoring system at the various positions from last year. Top 3 QB avg.= 402 pts. QB #3-10= 55pt drop., QB 11th to 20th = 94 pt. drop, QB 3-20 = 171 pt. drop Top 3 RB avg.=305pts. RB#3-10=79 pt. drop, Rb # 11-20 = 26 pt drop, RB #3-20= 126 pts drop. Top 3 WR avg. = 239pts. WR #3-10=21 pt drop., WR #3-20 = 65 pt. drop, Top 3 TE avg = 201 TE 3-10=55 pt drop, TE 11-20= 38 pt. drop, TE 3-20 = 115 pt. drop. Here is my question. From looking at this I am thinking of going early on QB, and early on TE. I feel I have a good chance of getting good return on my investment as I feel that the top QB's and TE's tend to be fairly consistent ie: Brees, Manning, Rogers should give me and edge as will guys like Clark, Witten, Gates and have a very good chance of finishing top 5-10 with upside of being #1 at their position. There is a sharp drop at these positions as well in this scoring system. RB has a sharp drop as well, but I see the position as more volatile (I will draft a RB in the first rd. if I get one of the 1st 5 draft slots) not to say I will neglect it. I feel I can wait more on the WR's due to the slower drop (again I will try to get a top WR if possible, but feel I can get even a #2 later in the draft and definitely a #3. Do you agree with this strategy, or might you load up on RB's/WR's and try a QB by committee (ie: E. Manning/Palmer for example). I know TE is supposed to be deep this year, but in this scoring system I still feel it is important to take one early. What are your thoughts on my strategy? Thanks for any help.

 

[crazylegs1]

Very nice. I like your thinking. I am hoping to get a spot between 1-7 (we literally draw our draft spot out of a hat on draft day at our live draft, this sucks, and I think I have convinced the commish to change this next year), early rds picks work best with this strategy (1-3), but I think it can work from any position if properly executed. I appreciate your help i helping me flesh this out.

You can get by with WR/QB in the 1/2 if you dont like the RB options. That would leave you with guys like Grant, Charles, Benson in the 3rd. In fact, something like Moss/Brees/Grant/Charles/Witten is not a bad start. In 10 teamers, you need studs and if you do not think Mendenhall is a stud, then take a stud at another position.

Yeah, taking a QB and TE early works well in most of the mocks I am doing. Far superior to waiting on QB or TE. I have found I can get decent Wr's late. Early QB/Early TE is definitely the strategy I will be using in this scoring system. The problem I am having is when I draft out of say the 8,9,or 10 hole. I am choosing between Fitz, Mendenhall, Moss, etc. and I find I usually take a combo of Moss, Mendenhall to start my draft. Leaves me weak at RB. Who might you target in this scoring system, drafting in the 8,9,10 spots in the first 2 rds? I don't like Fitz this year because of their QB situation.

In a 10 teamer, the WR pool is deep. You can get WRs like Chad/Ward late. Just try to get an anchor at WR1 and fill in spots later. Guys like Garcon, etc are available in the 6th and later.

 

[Imagine]

Fun “slow” draft, having a ball. Taking QB way early and TE way late is exciting! We’ll see how it plays out!

TE’s left now are Shiancoe, Carlson, Keller, Shockey et al. One owner ahead of me probably takes one, so I could wait again, but probably need to grab Shiancoe or Carlson at the 10/11 turn, wouldn’t you think?

RBs - New math likes Sproles, Hightower, Cadillac, Portis, Slaton, Maroney. Expect several to be gone. I see LT and Slaton later on his list. Anything fun there?

WRs – Expect Gaffney to be gone. And although he’s a ways down the list, Burleson in Martz’s offense is interesting. Anything in ADP of 10, 11, 12 that calls your name?

You’ve made this very fun to let me put thoughts on paper and add your ideas. Have had a big ol’ smile on my face now for several days. Thanks.

 

[oscarz]

Hi Jeff

Love reading all your comments.

I am in a 14 player league. Scoring is 6 pts per TD passing, rushing and receiving. 1 point for every 10 yards passing, receiving and running and .5 pts per reception for WR's and RB's. We keep 2 players from last years roster.

We start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE. We also have the same amount of bench players in each position.

My 2 keepers are: QB:Schaub and RB:Grant

I draft 6th this year in a snake draft. My 3 questions are:

1. With the following available RB's and WR's possibly at my turn how would you order them and who would you draft

first an RB or a WR? I would take any of the first four RBs first, then Wayne or Austin.

RB's that may be available: Mendenhall, Stewart, Williams, Mathews, Thomas (NO), McCoy, Addai, Best

WR's that may be available: Wayne, Austin, White, Rice, Jackson, Jennings, Smith(NYG), Colston, Boldon,

Ochocinco, Welker

2. What positions would you continue to target going forward? I would hammer RB as long as there are good options. Yes, take a stud WR over avg RB, but RBs will get scarce very quickly.

3. At what point would you target a TE or another QB? TE in 5th or later-> look for Carlson or Heath Miller. They may be there in 8th or 9th. But, those are the two value TEs, imo

Thanks....

Hey Jeff 1. Between RB Stewart and Williams who would you take first if both were available?

2. After Wayne and Austin what next 2 WR would you target from the above list?

3. Also after the 4 RB's listed above are gone which 2 would you target next from the above list?

4. Which round would you try to get a QB 2 seeing I already have Schaub?

5. And last question seeing I have as keepers Schaub and Grant and if I took an RB with my first pick this year would you look to take a WR with my next pick and a WR again with my 3rd pick?

Thanks again for all your input.

Cheers...

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Fun “slow” draft, having a ball. Taking QB way early and TE way late is exciting! We’ll see how it plays out!TE’s left now are Shiancoe, Carlson, Keller, Shockey et al. One owner ahead of me probably takes one, so I could wait again, but probably need to grab Shiancoe or Carlson at the 10/11 turn, wouldn’t you think?RBs - New math likes Sproles, Hightower, Cadillac, Portis, Slaton, Maroney. Expect several to be gone. I see LT and Slaton later on his list. Anything fun there?WRs – Expect Gaffney to be gone. And although he’s a ways down the list, Burleson in Martz’s offense is interesting. Anything in ADP of 10, 11, 12 that calls your name?You’ve made this very fun to let me put thoughts on paper and add your ideas. Have had a big ol’ smile on my face now for several days. Thanks.

Oh yeah, take Carlson or Shiancoe next up. I love Hightower as well. He was a Top 20 PPR WR last year. If he is gone, let me know what WRs are left. Also, what does your team look like now?

 

[crazylegs1]

Quick question Jeff. Who are the guys you feel, if there are any this year, who have the best chance to be "this year's Ray Rice"?

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Hi Jeff

Love reading all your comments.

I am in a 14 player league. Scoring is 6 pts per TD passing, rushing and receiving. 1 point for every 10 yards passing, receiving and running and .5 pts per reception for WR's and RB's. We keep 2 players from last years roster.

We start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE. We also have the same amount of bench players in each position.

My 2 keepers are: QB:Schaub and RB:Grant

I draft 6th this year in a snake draft. My 3 questions are:

1. With the following available RB's and WR's possibly at my turn how would you order them and who would you draft

first an RB or a WR? I would take any of the first four RBs first, then Wayne or Austin.

RB's that may be available: Mendenhall, Stewart, Williams, Mathews, Thomas (NO), McCoy, Addai, Best

WR's that may be available: Wayne, Austin, White, Rice, Jackson, Jennings, Smith(NYG), Colston, Boldon,

Ochocinco, Welker

2. What positions would you continue to target going forward? I would hammer RB as long as there are good options. Yes, take a stud WR over avg RB, but RBs will get scarce very quickly.

3. At what point would you target a TE or another QB? TE in 5th or later-> look for Carlson or Heath Miller. They may be there in 8th or 9th. But, those are the two value TEs, imo

Thanks....

Hey Jeff 1. Between RB Stewart and Williams who would you take first if both were available? - Williams only because of his monster 2008. I might be living in "glory days" but dude was awesome

2. After Wayne and Austin what next 2 WR would you target from the above list? - Roddy White is a solid WR1. Very solid pick

3. Also after the 4 RB's listed above are gone which 2 would you target next from the above list? I like Addai and Charles

4. Which round would you try to get a QB 2 seeing I already have Schaub? I would not worry about QB before 10th

5. And last question seeing I have as keepers Schaub and Grant and if I took an RB with my first pick this year would you look to take a WR with my next pick and a WR again with my 3rd pick? The RBs will run out very soon so do not be afraid to go RB/RB if you see a talent dropoff on the horizon. There will be WRs long after the RBs are gone.

Thanks again for all your input.

Cheers...

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Quick question Jeff. Who are the guys you feel, if there are any this year, who have the best chance to be "this year's Ray Rice"?

the sleeper rbs I like are:Charles if he slips farMarion Barber since he is way undervaluedFred Jackson who should be RB1 in Buff with Spiller moved around formationJ Harrison has a chance to make an impact at great priceMike Bush should be RB1 in OAKLeon Washington if very latevery late flyers:L HamiltonJ RingerB Scott

 

[Imagine]

Thanks for the note Jeff. Yessiree, this has really been fun!

Team so far is P Manning,

Chris Johnson, Ryan Grant, Addai, Harrison,

Hines Ward, TO, Santana Moss, and Lee Evans.

Carlson

Start 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1Flex (RB/WR/TE), Def, PK.

12 teams, 20 round draft. QB 4 pts for TD, .05 per yard. RB/WR/TE 1 pt PPR, 1pt/10yds, 6 pt TDs.

DST 7, 5, 3, 2, 1 for 0 pts up to 20 pts, then zeroes, no negative pts. Also DST 7, 5, 3, 2, 1 for <100yds up to 300 yds, no negative pts. 2pts for turnovers, 1 for sack, 6 for TD.

Shiancoe just went, so took Carlson at 10.12.

At 11.01, if Hightower had been there, he appeared to be the best investment, but he just went too. Man, drafting with pretty good owners means little slips through the cracks and makes it back to you!

WRs that I thought were interesting but that are now gone include Meachem, Holmes, Mason, Hester, and Gaffney.

I was messing with David’s “New Math”, and trying to integrate it with his earlier article on his “Top 300 PPR Players” where he “greens“ good values and “reds” players whose ADP is higher than their “value”.

For the WRs his “green ones “ left are Devin Thomas (Wash), Legedu Naanee (SD), Heyward-Bey (Oak), Mike Williams (TB), and Brian Robiskie (Cle). Others in DD are Manningham (maybe less passing in NYG, but potential), Nate Burleson (interesting in Detroit), Cotchery (doesn’t seem like NYJ passing game is one to invest in), and Massaquoi (Cle is running team…).

For the RBs his “green ones “ are Hightower (a lot to like there), Maroney (maybe, lots of old guys to beat out), Buckhalter (injuries in Denver?), Leon Washington (who knows about Seattle this year?), and Kevin Faulk (another Pat, but does catch a lot of passes). Others in DD are LT (will he spell Shonn Greene, maybe get red zone carries, maybe 3rd down work?), McGahee (seems like high upside if Ray was injured), Toby Gerhart (like McGahee if ADP gets hurt), Bernard Scott (if Ced goes down…), and Derrick Ward (TB behind the Cadillac).

Man, with 20 rounds, there has to be nobody left by the time this thing is done!

______________________

Oh yeah, take Carlson or Shiancoe next up. I love Hightower as well. He was a Top 20 PPR WR last year. If he is gone, let me know what WRs are left.

Also, what does your team look like now?

 

[MoraccoMole]

Jeff:

I am in a 12 team dynasty with 18 player rosters and standard scoring. I know that you are not the highest on Moreno's talent. Being that he is injured, probably knocks him down a few more pegs on your board. However, I have been thinking about a trade scenario that I would like your thoughts on.

This owner has older rbs, unproven and secondary/back up rbs littering his roster. His team most likely will not be very competitive this year. By his recent trades, he is a complete rebuild. My rb corp consists of MJD, Gore, Addai, Donald Brown, Moreno, and Choice. I was thinking of making a play for his 1st rd rookie pick in 2011. I estimate that it would be somewhere in the top 4.

Would an offer of Moreno and Celek (his te's are Olsen and Moeki, I have VDavis) for MBIII and 2011 1st rd be acceptable? His current stable of rbs include Hardesty, Ronnie Brown, and LT.

Am I giving too much?

Thanks

 

[chop21]

Jeff:

I'm amazed with all the help you provide on the forum.

I'm in a 12-team 3 player keeper, but this is the first year of the league, so essentially a re-draft. 18 rounds, we start 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex (RB/WR/TE), 1 K, 1 DEF. Scoring is 4 pts. - passing td, 1 pt. - 25 passing yds, 6 pts. - rushing/receiving td, 1 pt. - 10 rushing/receiving yds, with yd. Bonuses above 300 passing and 100 rushing/receiving. No PPR.

I have the 7th pick and am 99% sure that the first 6 picks will be CJ, AP, RR, MJD, Brees, Rodgers.

The options I've been seriously considering are Peyton Manning, Andre Johnson, Frank Gore, and Michael Turner.

I've been leaning towards Peyton as I really want a top-tier QB, and in the second round I think the only top-7 left would be Rivers, who I'm not the biggest fan of this year. Assuming at 2.06 the following players will be available, what strategy would you employ amongst the first two rounds:

QB-Rivers

RB-R Mendenhall, D Williams, R Grant, S Greene, R Matthews

WR-M Austin, R Wayne, R White

1) QB/WR

2) QB/QB

3) WR/QB

4) WR/WR

5) Some combination involving a RB (Haven't really contemplated taking a RB too much in the first two rounds)

Thanks in advance.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Thanks for the note Jeff. Yessiree, this has really been fun! Team so far is P Manning, Chris Johnson, Ryan Grant, Addai, Harrison, Hines Ward, TO, Santana Moss, and Lee Evans.CarlsonStart 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1Flex (RB/WR/TE), Def, PK. 12 teams, 20 round draft. QB 4 pts for TD, .05 per yard. RB/WR/TE 1 pt PPR, 1pt/10yds, 6 pt TDs. DST 7, 5, 3, 2, 1 for 0 pts up to 20 pts, then zeroes, no negative pts. Also DST 7, 5, 3, 2, 1 for <100yds up to 300 yds, no negative pts. 2pts for turnovers, 1 for sack, 6 for TD. Shiancoe just went, so took Carlson at 10.12. At 11.01, if Hightower had been there, he appeared to be the best investment, but he just went too. Man, drafting with pretty good owners means little slips through the cracks and makes it back to you! WRs that I thought were interesting but that are now gone include Meachem, Holmes, Mason, Hester, and Gaffney. I was messing with David’s “New Math”, and trying to integrate it with his earlier article on his “Top 300 PPR Players” where he “greens“ good values and “reds” players whose ADP is higher than their “value”. For the WRs his “green ones “ left are Devin Thomas (Wash), Legedu Naanee (SD), Heyward-Bey (Oak), Mike Williams (TB), and Brian Robiskie (Cle). Others in DD are Manningham (maybe less passing in NYG, but potential), Nate Burleson (interesting in Detroit), Cotchery (doesn’t seem like NYJ passing game is one to invest in), and Massaquoi (Cle is running team…).For the RBs his “green ones “ are Hightower (a lot to like there), Maroney (maybe, lots of old guys to beat out), Buckhalter (injuries in Denver?), Leon Washington (who knows about Seattle this year?), and Kevin Faulk (another Pat, but does catch a lot of passes). Others in DD are LT (will he spell Shonn Greene, maybe get red zone carries, maybe 3rd down work?), McGahee (seems like high upside if Ray was injured), Toby Gerhart (like McGahee if ADP gets hurt), Bernard Scott (if Ced goes down…), and Derrick Ward (TB behind the Cadillac).Man, with 20 rounds, there has to be nobody left by the time this thing is done!______________________

I think you have to take a WR here ... even if value does not warrant. I would go with Massaquoi, Burleson, Cotchery, and Manningham .. in that order. Willis is the RB to target if Hightower is gone. LT next, but I fear he is over the hill.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Jeff:I am in a 12 team dynasty with 18 player rosters and standard scoring. I know that you are not the highest on Moreno's talent. Being that he is injured, probably knocks him down a few more pegs on your board. However, I have been thinking about a trade scenario that I would like your thoughts on.This owner has older rbs, unproven and secondary/back up rbs littering his roster. His team most likely will not be very competitive this year. By his recent trades, he is a complete rebuild. My rb corp consists of MJD, Gore, Addai, Donald Brown, Moreno, and Choice. I was thinking of making a play for his 1st rd rookie pick in 2011. I estimate that it would be somewhere in the top 4. Would an offer of Moreno and Celek (his te's are Olsen and Moeki, I have VDavis) for MBIII and 2011 1st rd be acceptable? His current stable of rbs include Hardesty, Ronnie Brown, and LT.Am I giving too much?Thanks

I think you are giving up too much, banking on getting the 1.01. I love Celek this year and think his value is on the rise. I wonder if you could pull off a Moreno/2nd for MB3/1st ....

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Jeff:I'm amazed with all the help you provide on the forum.I'm in a 12-team 3 player keeper, but this is the first year of the league, so essentially a re-draft. 18 rounds, we start 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex (RB/WR/TE), 1 K, 1 DEF. Scoring is 4 pts. - passing td, 1 pt. - 25 passing yds, 6 pts. - rushing/receiving td, 1 pt. - 10 rushing/receiving yds, with yd. Bonuses above 300 passing and 100 rushing/receiving. No PPR.I have the 7th pick and am 99% sure that the first 6 picks will be CJ, AP, RR, MJD, Brees, Rodgers. The options I've been seriously considering are Peyton Manning, Andre Johnson, Frank Gore, and Michael Turner.I've been leaning towards Peyton as I really want a top-tier QB, and in the second round I think the only top-7 left would be Rivers, who I'm not the biggest fan of this year. Assuming at 2.06 the following players will be available, what strategy would you employ amongst the first two rounds:QB-RiversRB-R Mendenhall, D Williams, R Grant, S Greene, R MatthewsWR-M Austin, R Wayne, R White1) QB/WR2) QB/QB3) WR/QB4) WR/WR5) Some combination involving a RB (Haven't really contemplated taking a RB too much in the first two rounds)Thanks in advance.

in year one of a keeper league, I would play it like a redraft. Imo, people over thing it considering so much can happen. I think I would go with Gore in the first, then best QB (prob Romo or Manning) in the 2nd. With non-PPR, priority should be on RBs and QBs. So, Gore and Romo is a great start. After the third or fourth round, you can start looking at WR. I would look at RB again in the 3rd if there is a good option (Stewart, Charles, etc). Good luck.

 

[Imagine]

Team so far is P Manning, Chris Johnson, Ryan Grant, Addai, Harrison, Leon Washington, Hines Ward, TO, Santana Moss, Lee Evans, Carlson

Start 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1Flex (RB/WR/TE), Def, PK. 12 teams, 20 round draft. QB 4 pts for TD, .05 per yard. RB/WR/TE 1 pt PPR, 1pt/10yds, 6 pt TDs.

DST 7, 5, 3, 2, 1 for 0 pts up to 20 pts, then zeroes, no negative pts. Also DST 7, 5, 3, 2, 1 for <100yds up to 300 yds, no negative pts. 2pts for turnovers, 1 for sack, 6 for TD.

At 12.12, will take my 5th WR-looking at Massaquoi, Burleson, Manningham, Devin Thomas

At 13.01, will probably wait on a backup QB to Peyton for another round (only 17 QBs gone), so that leaves 6th RB, 6th WR, 2nd TE, or 1st Def.

When will defenses go off the board in PPR? Is taking the 5th to 8th Def off the board a decent plan, maybe at next turn? Only NYJ have been taken so far.

So at 13.01, maybe either another WR from those 4, my backup TE (Shockey, Heap, Sciafe, Scheffler), or RB (Faulk, Ward, Gerhart, LJ, or a sleeper like B Leonard, L Hamilton, J Ringer, B Scott, or Marshawn Lynch).

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Team so far is P Manning, Chris Johnson, Ryan Grant, Addai, Harrison, Leon Washington, Hines Ward, TO, Santana Moss, Lee Evans, CarlsonStart 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1Flex (RB/WR/TE), Def, PK. 12 teams, 20 round draft. QB 4 pts for TD, .05 per yard. RB/WR/TE 1 pt PPR, 1pt/10yds, 6 pt TDs. DST 7, 5, 3, 2, 1 for 0 pts up to 20 pts, then zeroes, no negative pts. Also DST 7, 5, 3, 2, 1 for <100yds up to 300 yds, no negative pts. 2pts for turnovers, 1 for sack, 6 for TD.At 12.12, will take my 5th WR-looking at Massaquoi, Burleson, Manningham, Devin ThomasAt 13.01, will probably wait on a backup QB to Peyton for another round (only 17 QBs gone), so that leaves 6th RB, 6th WR, 2nd TE, or 1st Def. When will defenses go off the board in PPR? Is taking the 5th to 8th Def off the board a decent plan, maybe at next turn? Only NYJ have been taken so far.So at 13.01, maybe either another WR from those 4, my backup TE (Shockey, Heap, Sciafe, Scheffler), or RB (Faulk, Ward, Gerhart, LJ, or a sleeper like B Leonard, L Hamilton, J Ringer, B Scott, or Marshawn Lynch).

At this point in the draft, only choose player with upside. Also, too early for a backup QB/TE, K or Def, imo.I would only look at Massaquoi, Burleson, Manningham, Lynch, or BScott. If there are waivers, I would only roster one backup QB, a guy like Orton, Henne, or Matt Moore. Even Campbell or Garrard. The thinking is that if Peyton goes down, you are in trouble regardless. Same goes for TE. Not much to choose from here so just choose Heap or Boss later. I would take a kicker before defense, maybe next time around. On defenses, I see matchups as the key esp with all of the ones coming out of nowhere most years.