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Week 10 - Buy Low/ Sell High (1 Viewer)

He's seemed to do just fine in every game that Jackson played in.  I don't see any reason why Jackson would affect Crowder.
I think it would just be less targets for Crowder and more for Jackson. Could be totally off, but I know the beat guys have been suggesting Jackson should be getting more looks in the passing game. And I like Crowder, don't get me wrong. I just wouldn't be surprised if his numbers went down over the 2nd half.

 
I think it would just be less targets for Crowder and more for Jackson. Could be totally off, but I know the beat guys have been suggesting Jackson should be getting more looks in the passing game. And I like Crowder, don't get me wrong. I just wouldn't be surprised if his numbers went down over the 2nd half.
Looking at their season's side by side I don't see any reason to believe it's going to change.  I haven't been watching the team though, just going by the stats.

 
Hawkeye21 said:
Crowder is my second highest scoring WR and the most consistent of all of them.
Yup. Then again with Reed too you are investing heavily in the Washington passing game.

 
Yup. Then again with Reed too you are investing heavily in the Washington passing game.
Never considered that.  It has been a productive receiving team though.  Much better and consistent than the Jag's.  

The trade hasn't happened yet.  I also sent an offer of ARob and Yeldon for Jeffery.  I don't think he's going to accept it though.

 
Never considered that.  It has been a productive receiving team though.  Much better and consistent than the Jag's.  

The trade hasn't happened yet.  I also sent an offer of ARob and Yeldon for Jeffery.  I don't think he's going to accept it though.
Robinson has disappointed to a large extent but he is still very talented and is one of the very few WRs who consistently gets double digit targets.

I like Reed a lot maybe enough to do that deal, in a vacuum, but having Crowder as well would make me hesitant to do that deal.

 
Anybody selling on Jordan Howard? If so, which other RBs would you target? 
 I'm holding. There is a fine line between selling high and keeping studs, and, imho, Howard is the latter, with a fairly juicy schedule ROS. Langford and Carey do not concern me.

 
Any chance that the top 4 pick becomes #1?
There is a chance. I'm likely to be the 2nd or 3rd worst team.

Last year the 4th worst team Drafted Zeke #1. We have a draft lottery with ping pong balls. Worst team gets 15 (ping pong balls), 2nd worst gets 12, 3rd 9 etc. 

Bottom 4 teams' 1st rounders are in the #1-4 lottery.

Bottom 8 get #5-12

Bottom 4 get #13-16 in order

Then the other 12 teams start from there.

 
There is a chance. I'm likely to be the 2nd or 3rd worst team.

Last year the 4th worst team Drafted Zeke #1. We have a draft lottery with ping pong balls. Worst team gets 15 (ping pong balls), 2nd worst gets 12, 3rd 9 etc. 

Bottom 4 teams' 1st rounders are in the #1-4 lottery.

Bottom 8 get #5-12

Bottom 4 get #13-16 in order

Then the other 12 teams start from there.
That might do it for me, then. You have a chance at Fournette, who could reasonably replace Bell and make getting Henry and the other two picks a coup. Getting "stuck" with a Cook or Mike Williams or McCaffrey plus those other pieces still looks reasonable to me.

 
He's dropped some balls, but his biggest problem is Bortles.
He's dropped more than "some" Bortles was clearly overrated but Robinson is doing him no favors.

From watching Jags games I see Robinson as being disinterested. He just seems to lack the consistent focus that the great ones have. Fortunately that is something one can learn.

 
He's dropped more than "some" Bortles was clearly overrated but Robinson is doing him no favors.

From watching Jags games I see Robinson as being disinterested. He just seems to lack the consistent focus that the great ones have. Fortunately that is something one can learn.
Hard to keep focused when you play for the minor league jags and your qb is bottom 5

 
Robinson has disappointed to a large extent but he is still very talented and is one of the very few WRs who consistently gets double digit targets.

I like Reed a lot maybe enough to do that deal, in a vacuum, but having Crowder as well would make me hesitant to do that deal.
I haven't been able to make up my mind yet.  He changed the trade a little to my ARob and Bibbs for his Reed and Perkins.  I think it's a good deal but it does make me pretty thin at WR.

 
I haven't been able to make up my mind yet.  He changed the trade a little to my ARob and Bibbs for his Reed and Perkins.  I think it's a good deal but it does make me pretty thin at WR.
In a vacuum, I like the deal. But when you apply it to your team, it's becomes a bit tougher to like. I know it's tempting to move on from Robinson, but you don't want to set up a weakness on your team as well.

 
In a vacuum, I like the deal. But when you apply it to your team, it's becomes a bit tougher to like. I know it's tempting to move on from Robinson, but you don't want to set up a weakness on your team as well.
I rejected the trade.  I just didn't like how my WRs looked after the trade.  I just dropped Fleener and picked up Fiedorowicz.  I am still trying to trade ARob but for a better WR.  Trying to see if I can package him and a RB for a good WR.

 
May try and get Julio by offering ARob and Duke Johnson but it may actually hurt me because of Julio's late bye week.

 
If I was a Julio owner and the other person was giving me ARob in a trade, the other piece I would want back would like a Freeman or  Lamar Miller.  
I get that but I was just trying something out.  The guy is just outside of making the playoffs and needs to win now.  He only has three RBs and one is on bye, Ingram, McKinnon and Richard.  ARob still has the big name and Duke is better than McKinnon and Richard.  He has Julio on bye next week.  If he is trying to find a way to win right now he may actually consider the trade.  If he's just looking at how good my guys are compared to Julio then he'll reject it.

There is more that goes into a trade than just looking at the players themselves.  Sometimes you have to look at the scenario the team is in.  He's projected to lose this week and next week.  If that happens then he will miss the playoffs.

 
I get that but I was just trying something out.  The guy is just outside of making the playoffs and needs to win now.  He only has three RBs and one is on bye, Ingram, McKinnon and Richard.  ARob still has the big name and Duke is better than McKinnon and Richard.  He has Julio on bye next week.  If he is trying to find a way to win right now he may actually consider the trade.  If he's just looking at how good my guys are compared to Julio then he'll reject it.

There is more that goes into a trade than just looking at the players themselves.  Sometimes you have to look at the scenario the team is in.  He's projected to lose this week and next week.  If that happens then he will miss the playoffs.
So what he does then is put a league wide email out saying Julio is available and then receives probably 5 solid offers.

 
So what he does then is put a league wide email out saying Julio is available and then receives probably 5 solid offers.
True but not everyone thinks that way.  Not every league is full of highly competitive and aggressive owners.  Sometimes you have to try and make things happen.  I think there was only one trade this season so far in this league.

 
I get that but I was just trying something out.  The guy is just outside of making the playoffs and needs to win now.  He only has three RBs and one is on bye, Ingram, McKinnon and Richard.  ARob still has the big name and Duke is better than McKinnon and Richard.  He has Julio on bye next week.  If he is trying to find a way to win right now he may actually consider the trade.  If he's just looking at how good my guys are compared to Julio then he'll reject it.

There is more that goes into a trade than just looking at the players themselves.  Sometimes you have to look at the scenario the team is in.  He's projected to lose this week and next week.  If that happens then he will miss the playoffs.
ARob is currently WR #31 in PPR

Duke is RB #25 in PPR

Julio is WR #2 in PPR.

Not trying to give you a hard time but a lot of people offer me trades like this as well. Julio is elite. I don't care about byes, matchups, etc when it comes to someone like Julio, I'm gonna want an elite player in return or at the very least 2 guys that are Top 15ish at their positions.

 
ARob is currently WR #31 in PPR

Duke is RB #25 in PPR

Julio is WR #2 in PPR.

Not trying to give you a hard time but a lot of people offer me trades like this as well. Julio is elite. I don't care about byes, matchups, etc when it comes to someone like Julio, I'm gonna want an elite player in return or at the very least 2 guys that are Top 15ish at their positions.
So you'd rather keep your player and miss the playoffs?  I get taking the risk by rolling with the same roster and hoping you make the playoffs but it I think it's at least considering.  I know my odds of getting trade done are slim but I think it's a legit trade offer.

 
So you'd rather keep your player and miss the playoffs?  I get taking the risk by rolling with the same roster and hoping you make the playoffs but it I think it's at least considering.  I know my odds of getting trade done are slim but I think it's a legit trade offer.
I'd rather start Julio 3 times in weeks 10, 12 and 13 (assuming your playoffs start week 14) and someone else for week 11 than start AR and Duke for those 4 weeks.  I don't think those two guys get that owner into the playoffs, so yeah, I'd rather keep my player.

 
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So you'd rather keep your player and miss the playoffs?  I get taking the risk by rolling with the same roster and hoping you make the playoffs but it I think it's at least considering.  I know my odds of getting trade done are slim but I think it's a legit trade offer.
Projections mean next to nothing.

If he doesn't make the trade that doesn't mean he won't make the playoffs, and making the trade certainly is no guarantee of making the playoffs.

Plus if you make the playoffs you're probably gonna want Julio along for the ride...

In a 2-for-1 deal, if you're giving the two players they both have to be every week starts that improve their starting roster. So in this case, he's taking a big hit at WR going from Julio to ARob, and his RBs would have to be pretty horrendous for Duke to be any kind of significant upgrade.

 
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I'd rather start Julio 3 times in weeks 10, 12 and 13 (assuming your playoffs start week 14) and someone else for week 11 than start AR and Duke for those 4 weeks.  I don't think those two guys get that owner into the playoffs, so yeah, I'd rather keep my player.
I would too but I at least want to make the other guy consider it.  Hopefully he sends me a counter offer.  

 
Projections mean next to nothing.

If he doesn't make the trade that doesn't mean he won't make the playoffs, and making the trade certainly is no guarantee of making the playoffs.

Plus if you make the playoffs you're probably gonna want Julio along for the ride...

In a 2-for-1 deal, if you're giving the two players they both have to be every week starts that improve their starting roster. So in this case, he's taking a big hit at WR going from Julio to ARob, and his RBs would have to be pretty horrendous for Duke to be any kind of significant upgrade.
He has Ingram, McKinnon and Richard for his RBs, so yeah, they're bad.  Duke would be a starter for him.

 
I would too but I at least want to make the other guy consider it.  Hopefully he sends me a counter offer.  
I tried to trade Julio two weeks ago (completely decimated by injury elsewhere) and received the following offers-

Crowell, Wallace and Diggs.  I countered with Cobb and Miller- declined.

Ajayi and Travis Benjamin.  I countered with Cooper and Gurley- declined  (this was before Ajayi's second 200 yard game)

This might just be a rant, but your trade is like the offers I received, which angered me.  Giving me one pretty good player and garbage extras, it isn't going to move the needle, and frankly pisses me off.

In your scenario, is Duke Johnson (the Browns also have a bye) better than what the guy has on his roster?  Probably.  BUT is he THAT much better than a scrap he can find from the waiver wire?  Probably not.  If you are going to ask for maybe the best player in the league, the drop off to a even a high end No. 2 receiver is going to be massive, let alone someone who hasn't even performed at starter level yet, two no-brainer starters would be required.  

Sorry to pick on you, but I hate offers that don't even take into account what it is the other side needs when an offer is made.    

 
He has Ingram, McKinnon and Richard for his RBs, so yeah, they're bad.  Duke would be a starter for him.
Even if Duke was a starter to him, the difference between Duke and best player on the waiver wire in my league, for example, is Asiata (about 2 points a game).  

By comparison Julio v. A. Cooper is a 4 point a game difference.  Merely getting another "starter" does not make up for the massive gap in production between Julio and a high-end no. 1 receiver.

 
Even if Duke was a starter to him, the difference between Duke and best player on the waiver wire in my league, for example, is Asiata (about 2 points a game).  

By comparison Julio v. A. Cooper is a 4 point a game difference.  Merely getting another "starter" does not make up for the massive gap in production between Julio and a high-end no. 1 receiver.
I'm not arguing that it's a great trade offer but I still think it's worth throwing at him.  The only other RBs I have that are better than Johnson are Bernard and Elliott.  I'm not trading Elliott.

 
To give you an idea of Robinson's value.  I just completed a trade giving Robinson and getting Russell Wilson (his 2nd QB) and Baltimore defense.

 
I'm not arguing that it's a great trade offer but I still think it's worth throwing at him.  The only other RBs I have that are better than Johnson are Bernard and Elliott.  I'm not trading Elliott.
I guess its a person preference.  When someone makes me a stupid offer that nobody in their right mind would accept, it angers me and makes me less likely to want to deal with them.

Whatever floats your boat though...

 
I'm not arguing that it's a great trade offer but I still think it's worth throwing at him.  The only other RBs I have that are better than Johnson are Bernard and Elliott.  I'm not trading Elliott.
The problem with the trade is it looks like you are unwilling to give up anything to get a top 3 WR.  I have Julio and the offer you gave wouldn't even open up the discussions.

 
I guess its a person preference.  When someone makes me a stupid offer that nobody in their right mind would accept, it angers me and makes me less likely to want to deal with them.

Whatever floats your boat though...
Well the trade deadline is Saturday so it's desperation time.

 
The problem with the trade is it looks like you are unwilling to give up anything to get a top 3 WR.  I have Julio and the offer you gave wouldn't even open up the discussions.
ARob was my highest drafted WR but not my best performing but he carries some value due to his history.  Bernard is my second best RB and Johnson is my third best so I don't have a lot to offer when it comes to RBs.

Would you be more inclined to take Crowder instead of ARob?  Probably not even though Crowder has outscored him.  I suppose I could offer Cooks and one of my RBs which would should make it more appealing.

Hopefully he responds to the trade.  Some get pissed when receiving a trade they don't like, I get pissed when I don't get a response from a trade.  If you don't like it then say you don't.  If it's a player that you will not trade no matter what then say something.  If you don't respond then I'm going to get sending offers.  I never understood why some people just let offers expire and don't even reject them.  There has to be a little communication.

 
ARob was my highest drafted WR but not my best performing but he carries some value due to his history.  Bernard is my second best RB and Johnson is my third best so I don't have a lot to offer when it comes to RBs.

Would you be more inclined to take Crowder instead of ARob?  Probably not even though Crowder has outscored him.  I suppose I could offer Cooks and one of my RBs which would should make it more appealing.

Hopefully he responds to the trade.  Some get pissed when receiving a trade they don't like, I get pissed when I don't get a response from a trade.  If you don't like it then say you don't.  If it's a player that you will not trade no matter what then say something.  If you don't respond then I'm going to get sending offers.  I never understood why some people just let offers expire and don't even reject them.  There has to be a little communication.
It just feels like someone is trying to rip me off when they give a low ball offer like that.  Last week I had a guy offer me Ertz for my McCoy.  I don't feel there is any communication needed.  We are way apart in perception of value.

As far as your question, if I am giving up Julio I am expecting either an elite player back or two top tier guys.  Arob could be part of that because there is potential he could become elite.  I don't think Crowder has that potential.  You would have to pair Arob with Bernard for me to think about it.

 

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