PPR
League 1, pick one
Hollywood Brown @ Giants
Doubs @ Brown
Franklin @ Chargers
Tillman vs Packers
League 2, pick one
Diggs vs Pitts
Hopkins vs Det
Jacory (Bill) Croskey-Merrit vs Raiders
That first one is a whole lot of similar arguments...
My impulse is Brown. The Chiefs are desperate for a win and they can't run well, even if I suspet Pacheco will have a solid game too. Kelce truly looks in decline and, even if he shows up I think Brown is the only other option in the passing game ATM. He won't see 16 targets again but 8-9 seem very reasonable. I expect another 35 or so passes from Mahomes.
Doubs would be my other choice because I expect the Packers to win handily. Problem is I could see a low volume, if high efficiency, passing day. Something similar to Josh Allen last night, although 3 TD passes is never a lock. The question is, with Kraft's status now uncertain, if Love only throws 26 times, will Doubs get 28% of the targets? Possibly.
I'm working hard to acquire Franklin for one of my teams before Sunday but, not to start him Sunday. That's a tough matchup and I have some concerns about his usage being a mirage.
Tillman is facing a wrecking ball of a defense and, the Browns distribute the ball a bunch.
Very, very close between Doubs and Brown... pretty much a coin flip and I will probably change my answer a few times before kickoff but, ATM
Doubs>Brown>Franklin>Tillman
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I think I go with Hopkins for your second option. Obviously super low volume but, he's on a team that will likely finish top 3 in scoring. I give him the best chance at a TD of your options.
Diggs may start seeing a larger target share, then again he may be washed and what we've seen is reality. ATM we don't know.
Same with JCM. I just traded Worthy for him in redraft because of the perceived opportunity but, he's not seeing my lineup until I actually see him get some volume. Everyone assumes playing RB is plug-n-play in the NFL, it's not. Ask Ashton Jeanty or Kaleb Johnson, if JCM doesn't quite have his non-rushing assignments on lockdown, I wouldn't expect a ton of volume. We'll know more on Sunday. That being said, I might play him over Diggs who I am kind of down on.
Hopkins>JCM>Diggs