bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
I like Lamar Miller's price on DK, and the new coach seems committed to run him. some lineups I go miller & gurley, load up big at WR and a cheap QB
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Week 7 FAN DUEL (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Drafthorse
- Start date
JFS171
Footballguy
Where I was going with this: The Cardinals passing game obviously has a great matchup this week... so you have to decide whether to go all in, stacking Palmer, Fitz, Brown; limit your risk by either using Palmer, Fitz, or Brown in solidarity; or avoiding that matchup altogether, either through Sunday-only leagues or simply not having those guys in your lineup.
Given what seems like very obvious plays at RB and TE this week, the leagues are going to be won and lost at the QB and WR positions IMO.
I'm in love with this lineup:
Landry Jones
Todd Gurley
Devonta Freeman
DeAndre Hopkins
Donte Moncrief
John Brown
Antonio Gates
Stephen Gostkowski
St Louis Rams
Also like Fitzgerald, Snead, Decker, L. Miller. If going up to Palmer/Rivers will have to cut down from Hopkins to Fitz and switch out Brown for Decker/Snead. I like Steve Smith at 6900 but that Cards secondary could take him out of the equation.
Landry Jones
Todd Gurley
Devonta Freeman
DeAndre Hopkins
Donte Moncrief
John Brown
Antonio Gates
Stephen Gostkowski
St Louis Rams
Also like Fitzgerald, Snead, Decker, L. Miller. If going up to Palmer/Rivers will have to cut down from Hopkins to Fitz and switch out Brown for Decker/Snead. I like Steve Smith at 6900 but that Cards secondary could take him out of the equation.
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Chaos Commish
Footballguy
Holy schmokes the pricing at Yahoo is tight. Any lineup I put together can be input at DK with 6200-6600 left over. That's upgrading Bridgewater to Rivers and Watson to Gates. Yikes. Tight pricing should benefit roster nerds who can find value deep, but when DK was struggling to add new users very loose pricing (teams of studs) helped. This is interesting, and I'm depositing something, but it seems like bad business. /offtopic
snogger
Footballguy
Looking at adding a Rivers + Gates stack @ home vs. Raiders who haven't figured out how to cover a TE yet..
Have 3 lineup possibilities right now, with 3 different QB's( Newton, Rivers, Palmer), and all 3 end up having Gurley, Freeman, Fitzgerald..
Then a mixture of Steve Smith, Crabtree and Decker at the other WR spots..
Have 3 lineup possibilities right now, with 3 different QB's( Newton, Rivers, Palmer), and all 3 end up having Gurley, Freeman, Fitzgerald..
Then a mixture of Steve Smith, Crabtree and Decker at the other WR spots..
JoeSteeler
Footballguy
Jordan Reed probably coming back this week @5400
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Rivers + Allen looks enticing as well. That dude has been target central lately. Gates had a good game last week, but almost all of it came on the final drive. The optimist in me says that shows that Rivers looks to Gates at crunch time. The pessimist says it just happened because Allen was doubled deep on that drive.Looking at adding a Rivers + Gates stack @ home vs. Raiders who haven't figured out how to cover a TE yet..
Have 3 lineup possibilities right now, with 3 different QB's( Newton, Rivers, Palmer), and all 3 end up having Gurley, Freeman, Fitzgerald..
Then a mixture of Steve Smith, Crabtree and Decker at the other WR spots..
Allen was out on the last drive. Nearly every pass went to Gates.Rivers + Allen looks enticing as well. That dude has been target central lately. Gates had a good game last week, but almost all of it came on the final drive. The optimist in me says that shows that Rivers looks to Gates at crunch time. The pessimist says it just happened because Allen was doubled deep on that drive.Looking at adding a Rivers + Gates stack @ home vs. Raiders who haven't figured out how to cover a TE yet..
Have 3 lineup possibilities right now, with 3 different QB's( Newton, Rivers, Palmer), and all 3 end up having Gurley, Freeman, Fitzgerald..
Then a mixture of Steve Smith, Crabtree and Decker at the other WR spots..
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Well that explains it then. If Allen had been in, would Gates have been the focal point of that drive?Allen was out on the last drive. Nearly every pass went to Gates.Rivers + Allen looks enticing as well. That dude has been target central lately. Gates had a good game last week, but almost all of it came on the final drive. The optimist in me says that shows that Rivers looks to Gates at crunch time. The pessimist says it just happened because Allen was doubled deep on that drive.Looking at adding a Rivers + Gates stack @ home vs. Raiders who haven't figured out how to cover a TE yet..
Have 3 lineup possibilities right now, with 3 different QB's( Newton, Rivers, Palmer), and all 3 end up having Gurley, Freeman, Fitzgerald..
Then a mixture of Steve Smith, Crabtree and Decker at the other WR spots..
Zyphros
Footballguy
First crack on DK:
Rivers
Lynch
AP
Decker
Fitzgerald
Snead
Gates
Diggs
Dolphins
At first glance I really like it for 50/50 assuming Charles Johnson doesn't go. If he does, then I might find a new switch for Diggs.
GPP first crack:
Landry
Gurley
AP
AB
John Brown
Cooks
Gates
Miller
STL
GPP 2nd crack:
Mettenberg
Lynch
AP
Martavis
DGB
Marshall
Gates
Fitz
STL
I'm basically mixing in AP, Gurley, Lynch everywhere and Gates without fail in every lineup. I'm thinking Mett/DGB will be a very small % stack and it could work out. 2nd string QB's usually play with 2nd string WR's and the connection could be dominant. We've seen it before that coaches will play a guy with comfort for a new QB than the actual starter more so here's to hoping.
Rivers
Lynch
AP
Decker
Fitzgerald
Snead
Gates
Diggs
Dolphins
At first glance I really like it for 50/50 assuming Charles Johnson doesn't go. If he does, then I might find a new switch for Diggs.
GPP first crack:
Landry
Gurley
AP
AB
John Brown
Cooks
Gates
Miller
STL
GPP 2nd crack:
Mettenberg
Lynch
AP
Martavis
DGB
Marshall
Gates
Fitz
STL
I'm basically mixing in AP, Gurley, Lynch everywhere and Gates without fail in every lineup. I'm thinking Mett/DGB will be a very small % stack and it could work out. 2nd string QB's usually play with 2nd string WR's and the connection could be dominant. We've seen it before that coaches will play a guy with comfort for a new QB than the actual starter more so here's to hoping.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Someone has to be wide-open to catch passes against that horrible Jacksonville defense. I don't know if it will be Woods, but someone has to have receiving yards on Buffalo because a team almost has to try to not have at least 250 yards and 2 TDs passing against Jacksonville.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Maurile, just a quick question about your projections. How did you arrive at your projections for Tyrod and EJ? Did you just split the anticipated total QB performance between the 2 based on the probability that Tyrod plays?
DukeBroadway
Footballguy
Can the original poster change the title of the thread to Fanduel Week 7.
bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
DK:
Rivers
L.Miller
Gurley
M.Bryant
LarryFitz
DeAndre
Gates
Kelce
Falcons
Rivers
L.Miller
Gurley
M.Bryant
LarryFitz
DeAndre
Gates
Kelce
Falcons
Drafthorse
Footballguy
Sorry about that. I tried to do it after I posted it.
I couldn't figure out how to so I am staying at a holiday inn express tonight.
I also asked the admin to change it.
I couldn't figure out how to so I am staying at a holiday inn express tonight.
I also asked the admin to change it.
JoeSteeler
Footballguy
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JoeSteeler
Footballguy
RIVERS
GURLEY
FREEMAN
M BRYANT
J BROWN
A COOPER
GATES
BOSWELL
DEF ???
GURLEY
FREEMAN
M BRYANT
J BROWN
A COOPER
GATES
BOSWELL
DEF ???
Scoresman
Footballguy
I stayed at a Motel 6 one night after I couldnt figure out how to add text to a link. I feel you there, bro.
Wadsworth
Footballguy
M Bryant seems like chasing points. Brown is still the man, QB play is questionable and if Pitt gets the lead we will a lot of Bell. I might throw him a few GPPs, but will not have much exposure.
Diggs is a very interesting play. His numbers have been good, but if you watch the games it is even more impressive. Kid can get open and Teddy Bridge is clearly looking for him.
Diggs is a very interesting play. His numbers have been good, but if you watch the games it is even more impressive. Kid can get open and Teddy Bridge is clearly looking for him.
frae
Footballguy
Ok 3 lineups all for cash. I am obviously heavily invested in Freeman, Gurley, Smith, Gates and St Louis. Picked 3 QB for different reasons, a cheap Hoyer so I could have Hopkins, Newton because I like the matchup for him, and Rivers because they still don't have a running game and he is getting a ton of attempts. Got some AZ passing game exposure with Fitz and Brown. I am using these in the Thursday games in a lot of 50/50's and double ups. I have tried to avoid anyone with any injury concern in these Thursday games and so far it has worked out pretty well. Like others have said I am a bit worried that the Gurley/Freeman/Gates ownership could be huge.
Hoyer
D Freeman
F Gore
D Hopkins
S. Smith
Decker
Gates
St Louis
Lambo
Newton
Freeman
Gurley
Fitz
S. Smith
Crabtree
Gates
St Louis
Catanzaro
Rivers
Freeman
Gurley
J Landry
S Smith
J Brown
Gates
Catazaro
St Lous
Hoyer
D Freeman
F Gore
D Hopkins
S. Smith
Decker
Gates
St Louis
Lambo
Newton
Freeman
Gurley
Fitz
S. Smith
Crabtree
Gates
St Louis
Catanzaro
Rivers
Freeman
Gurley
J Landry
S Smith
J Brown
Gates
Catazaro
St Lous
karmarooster
Footballguy
I don't get the SSSr love in here and on the IVC when he's going to matchup against Peterson and/or Honey Badger. For slightly cheaper, I tend to favor Monc (soft matchup against NO) and Decker (I'm assuming NE will roll coverage to Marshall). Of course SS is the #1 and only option on that team basically.
Mainly I've missed the boat on SS by playing him when he gets hurt and avoiding him when he churns out consistent production.
Mainly I've missed the boat on SS by playing him when he gets hurt and avoiding him when he churns out consistent production.
snellman
Footballguy
I am not big on him either, but I wasn't big on Olsen last week either and I kept avoiding him when the IVC kept saying to play him.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
I don't love him, but conventional wisdom has Baltimore behind early with Flacco throwing the ball quite a bit. Flacco has also demonstrated that he will target Smith often, coverage be damned. And at 14.2 yards per catch/8.94 yards per target, Smith can do some serious damage with 10-ish targets.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
What about combining Fitz and Brown in the same cash lineup? Their combined salary is $14,500. Their lowest combined game is 24.3 with another at 24.4, and they are playing at home against Baltimore.
DukeBroadway
Footballguy
Dont quote me on this, but I think Peterson doesnt matches up terribly well with smaller/quicker receivers. Then add the fact that the ravens will most likely be playing catch up from the get go.
Sorry my initial post was missing the key part of "doesnt"
Sorry my initial post was missing the key part of "doesnt"
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Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Gonna be all kinds of slammed Thursday-Saturday, so I'm trying to get my ducks in a reasonable row now.
I'm settled on my Thursday cash lineups.
My Sunday lineups are built around Palmer, Cam, and (possibly) Hoyer. Hoyer could become Carr, depending on how afraid of Hoyer's Hoyerness I become. I'm heavy into Freeman and Gurley @ RB (obviously) (but I only have both of them in 2 lineups); Hopkins, SSSr, Fitz, and Brown at WR; Gates and Olsen at TE; Atlanta and STL on Defense. Basically straight chalk. I hate that, but the only reason to pivot away from those plays is to be contrarian. I only have 1 cash lineup that is devoid of any part of the Arizona passing attack. Seems like a lot of eggs to put in that basket, but I can literally find no objective reason to not grab a part of that passing attack in cash lineups.
I like Theo Riddick depending on the type of workload he will see. He gives great salary relief. He's obviously the pass-catcher out of the backfield on that team, but with Abdul and Bell apparently ready to go this week I'm not sure if I'm confident enough in him getting those 6 or so receptions he will need to be a reasonable value even at $5200. If I don't feel good about him Sunday morning, I can pivot to Woodhead and downgrade appropriately at WR.
I'll probably have about equal parts of Hogan and Woods in my Thursday lineups to give some salary relief to be able to afford the guys I want at other positions. I would like to have some Robinson, but his injury situation makes him tenuous at best. Hurns is probably decent value no matter what, but he's great value if Thomas and/or Robinson don't go. I also think that whomever ends up starting at QB for Buffalo offers really nice value. I may end up creating some Sunday daytime lineups to capture the value I think will exist in that game once the injury situation becomes clearer.
I'm settled on my Thursday cash lineups.
My Sunday lineups are built around Palmer, Cam, and (possibly) Hoyer. Hoyer could become Carr, depending on how afraid of Hoyer's Hoyerness I become. I'm heavy into Freeman and Gurley @ RB (obviously) (but I only have both of them in 2 lineups); Hopkins, SSSr, Fitz, and Brown at WR; Gates and Olsen at TE; Atlanta and STL on Defense. Basically straight chalk. I hate that, but the only reason to pivot away from those plays is to be contrarian. I only have 1 cash lineup that is devoid of any part of the Arizona passing attack. Seems like a lot of eggs to put in that basket, but I can literally find no objective reason to not grab a part of that passing attack in cash lineups.
I like Theo Riddick depending on the type of workload he will see. He gives great salary relief. He's obviously the pass-catcher out of the backfield on that team, but with Abdul and Bell apparently ready to go this week I'm not sure if I'm confident enough in him getting those 6 or so receptions he will need to be a reasonable value even at $5200. If I don't feel good about him Sunday morning, I can pivot to Woodhead and downgrade appropriately at WR.
I'll probably have about equal parts of Hogan and Woods in my Thursday lineups to give some salary relief to be able to afford the guys I want at other positions. I would like to have some Robinson, but his injury situation makes him tenuous at best. Hurns is probably decent value no matter what, but he's great value if Thomas and/or Robinson don't go. I also think that whomever ends up starting at QB for Buffalo offers really nice value. I may end up creating some Sunday daytime lineups to capture the value I think will exist in that game once the injury situation becomes clearer.
Drafthorse
Footballguy
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BassNBrew
Footballguy
If you downgrade from Diggs to Woods, you can upgrade to Luck, Gost, and STL D in the second lineup. Luck is the top projected QB this week. Even if Woods flames out, enough other people will screw with their cheap QB or 3rd Wr that Luck/Freeman/Gurley/ARI WRs/stud K/STL defense should get you in the top half.JFS171 said:
JoeSteeler
Footballguy
JFS171
Footballguy
Interesting thought - I've never employed the philosophy of paying for K, and I rarely pay for the top dollar QB either. What you laid out makes sense... just goes completely against what I normally do.
JFS171
Footballguy
I've narrowed this down to a few approaches for cash games: Freeman, Gurley, Gates remain stalwarts in my lineup. Even if the ownership percentages are 50%+, they seem like such obvious values to me that it feels silly to go away from them.
Rivers
Freeman
Gurley
Fitzgerald
Brown
Moncrief
Gates
Boswell
St. Louis DST
Balanced lineup with no real weakness... Rivers has been a machine and the Raiders do better against the run (which the Chargers don't have a running game anyway), and Oakland's spunky enough on offense to make this a shootout. Freeman/Gurley need no explanation. This gets the Cardinals WRs in a stack with Moncrief as the 3rd WR -- not really punting on any position or digging deep at all. The concern is Baltimore getting blown out and the Cardinals RBs doing all the scoring. Gates goes with Freeman/Gurley as the obvious plays of the week. St. Louis may be the top DST play of the week and is a mid-tier price, and Boswell fits from a money perspective.
Rivers
Freeman
Gurley
Hopkins
Moncrief
Diggs
Gates
Boswell
Tampa Bay DST
Same as before with QB and RBs. This lineup punts on DST, but Washington isn't a juggernaut and Captain Kirk is usually good for a few INTs at least. In exchange, I'm able to afford Hopkins with Moncrief and Diggs. It adds another monster star player in Hopkins, but I'd be taking a risk at DST and would need Moncrief and Diggs to come through in addition to my stars being stars.
Obviously there are more options, but require downgrading the RBs, which I'm not sure I see other value plays at RB that I really like this week. It still boils down to how much exposure I'm comfortable with to that Cardinals passing game.
Rivers
Freeman
Gurley
Fitzgerald
Brown
Moncrief
Gates
Boswell
St. Louis DST
Balanced lineup with no real weakness... Rivers has been a machine and the Raiders do better against the run (which the Chargers don't have a running game anyway), and Oakland's spunky enough on offense to make this a shootout. Freeman/Gurley need no explanation. This gets the Cardinals WRs in a stack with Moncrief as the 3rd WR -- not really punting on any position or digging deep at all. The concern is Baltimore getting blown out and the Cardinals RBs doing all the scoring. Gates goes with Freeman/Gurley as the obvious plays of the week. St. Louis may be the top DST play of the week and is a mid-tier price, and Boswell fits from a money perspective.
Rivers
Freeman
Gurley
Hopkins
Moncrief
Diggs
Gates
Boswell
Tampa Bay DST
Same as before with QB and RBs. This lineup punts on DST, but Washington isn't a juggernaut and Captain Kirk is usually good for a few INTs at least. In exchange, I'm able to afford Hopkins with Moncrief and Diggs. It adds another monster star player in Hopkins, but I'd be taking a risk at DST and would need Moncrief and Diggs to come through in addition to my stars being stars.
Obviously there are more options, but require downgrading the RBs, which I'm not sure I see other value plays at RB that I really like this week. It still boils down to how much exposure I'm comfortable with to that Cardinals passing game.
JFS171
Footballguy
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
I agree I on the Thursday game. But there's some value in the Sunday morning game if you can figure out the injury situation. The Sun-Mon slate doesn't include that game.
DukeBroadway
Footballguy
Is there any reason why no one is talking about Michael Floyd? He seems like the perfect punt play at 4900. The 3rd WR in a pass heavy offense is always valuable.
Palmer
Freeman
Gurley
Hopkins
Brown
Floyd
Gates
Boswell
Rams.
I am undecided on a line up like this or going Fitz, smith, decker.
Palmer
Freeman
Gurley
Hopkins
Brown
Floyd
Gates
Boswell
Rams.
I am undecided on a line up like this or going Fitz, smith, decker.
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JFS171
Footballguy
By my math on FanDuel their lowest is 23.7 with that 24.3... neither would kill you, I guess, but neither would help you out depending on what you've got around them.
On average, the combination has been worth 31.9 points over the first six weeks.
Those low scores came against New Orleans and St. Louis. The Saints game was competitive through the fourth quarter, but Darren Fells crushed NO for 82 yards and a TD. St. Louis is their only loss, and Fitz and Brown both had fine days (7-99 and 7-75), but neither hit paydirt.
Baltimore should keep things remotely competitive, and the Ravens have been the 8th stingiest in the league in points allowed to opposing RBs. It lines up for Fitz and Brown to pay off, but an off-game by Palmer could sink you (or Michael Floyd going off).
Bobcat10
Footballguy
Bobcat10
Footballguy
I'm playing a little more than normal because I want a little lower exposure on Freeman and Gurley than I expect to see on Sunday. Certainly could backfire, but so could the entire weekend.
