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***Week 7 Picks*** (1 Viewer)

Jeff Pasquino

Footballguy
First of all, take these all with a grain of salt.

Secondly, these are for educational purposes only.

Third - I think it is a major mistake to try and predict all games.

My ranking system is based on "Stars", which gauges how strongly I feel about each pick.

After some iffy weeks, I finally nailed it last week:

Week 6 Results - 10 of 11 Stars

So what do we do for an encore? Let's see:



*ONE STAR GAMES*

Tennessee Titans (-1.5) at Houston Texans - (1 star)

Vince Young and Bo Scaife go back to their old stomping grounds in Texas, looking to pick up a divisional win. Houston is without Andre Johnson and Ahman Green isn't 100%, but the Titans defense sure looks like they are ready to go. Look for the Titans to win this one.

New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals (OVER 47) - (1 star)

What happens when two bad defenses collide? Points, and lots of 'em. Add in the part where Chad Pennington has to put up not just OK numbers, but a very good performance and you'll likely see a 34-27 Bengals win.

**TWO STAR GAMES**

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins (UNDER 52) - (2 stars)

New England is just crushing opponents, scoring at an astounding pace this season. Miami? Not so much.

There was speculation this week that the Pats were going to go for the shutout to make another statement to the rest of the league, and I think it is quite possible. With the number over 50, somehow Vegas thinks that Miami is going to get 16 or 17 this week. Hmm, I don't think so. Belichick might have paid Ronnie Brown some nice lip service this week, but neither he nor the rest of the 'fins will find the end zone. New England will put the Sprite in Miami by mixing Lemon with the lime on the field, sacking the QB several times on the way to 7-0.

Chicago Bears vs. Philadelphia Eagles (OVER 41.5) - (2 stars)

Both teams really need this one. The Eagles are looking to go to 3-3 on the year and the Bears are just trying to get a W of any kind. The Bears are giving up a lot of yards and points as of late, lending many to believe that the Eagles, Westbrook and McNabb included, weill all have great days, even without the services of LJ Smith. As for the Bears, Brian Griese has put up good numbers after getting both TEs and Muhammad back in the fix. Philly has Lito Sheappard back, but Brian Dawkins is out in Week 7.

While I can see this game possibly being 21-17, it seems highly likely to me that both sides break 20. That's enough for me to rate this at 2 stars.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) at Denver Broncos - (2 stars)

This is the only game I really like from a spread pick perspective. The Steelers should roll on Denver, despite going to the Mile High City. FWP should put up impressive numbers, and I think the Big Ben will hook up with Heath Miller over the middle against some questionable LBs for the Broncos. Denver minus Javon Walker and with the Steelers reinforcing their NT position with the return of Casey Hampton should seal the deal. Steelers by a touchdown.



***THREE STAR GAMES***



None.

So you are wondering about where my 3 star picks and my :goodposting: of the Week are for Week 7? Well, sometimes the smart play is to just throttle back on your picks for a given week if it just doesn't look so hot - and this week seems like a mess. That said, I will give you my top pick as the lock.... so here goes:

:lmao: of the Week - Pittsburgh

Enjoy.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Forgot to mention this one....

Dallas Cowboys (-9.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings.

***SUCKER BET****

Why?

First of all, Minnesota is the #1 D against the run and hasn't allowed a TD on the ground all year. Now Dallas gecomes one-dimensional, and if MIN can get pressure and force some turnovers, it could be less than a great outing for Romo.

As for the Vikings, yes Tarv was 9 for 23 last week, but by my count the Vikings WRs dropped 8 of those passes. That's a big difference.. Factor in the best rookie RB and his big play ability and MIN could stay closer than many expect.

I'm not calling for the upset at all, but I would not be surprised to see the Vikings within 7 points when the final gun goes off (do they still do that?)

 

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