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*** WEEK 8 WAGERING THREAD *** (1 Viewer)

Leeroy Jenkins

Footballguy
No thread yet this week?

Who are we liking?

I went 3-2 Sunday afternoon. The lost on the vikes sun night and split cowboys and over on mnf. Damn romo injury.

 
No thread yet this week?Who are we liking?I went 3-2 Sunday afternoon. The lost on the vikes sun night and split cowboys and over on mnf. Damn romo injury.
:lmao: You act like the Cowyboys would have won that game, please.Where's Kroyrunner anyway? Lose all his dough or something?
 
I love Miami on the road getting 2.5. Cincy is decimated in the secondary, and Henne should have 320 plus, with 3 tds through the air.

 
No thread yet this week?Who are we liking?I went 3-2 Sunday afternoon. The lost on the vikes sun night and split cowboys and over on mnf. Damn romo injury.
:goodposting: You act like the Cowyboys would have won that game, please.Where's Kroyrunner anyway? Lose all his dough or something?
:goodposting: you never know.Kroy didn't start a thread last week either and went 1-2 on his picks I think. Doesn't his statistically based system start up soon with enough data or something?
 
I like Miami too.

Also like the Jets coming off their bye at home facing a decimated Green Bay team that's coming off a huge emotional win for them.

 
GB +6 @ Jets - Despite their issues, GB has been in every game with their 3 losses all being by 3 pts with 2 going to OT.

KC/BUF OV 46 - Buffalo has given up 34+ pts in each of their last 5 games and the totals in those games have been 41, 68, 52, 62 and 71.

 
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GB +6 @ Jets - Despite their issues, GB has been in every game with their 3 losses all being by 3 pts with 2 going to OT.KC/BUF OV 46 - Buffalo has given up 34+ pts in each of their last 5 games and the totals in those games have been 41, 68, 52, 62 and 71.
This guy knows what he's doing...
 
No thread yet this week?Who are we liking?I went 3-2 Sunday afternoon. The lost on the vikes sun night and split cowboys and over on mnf. Damn romo injury.
:unsure: You act like the Cowyboys would have won that game, please.Where's Kroyrunner anyway? Lose all his dough or something?
Haven't seen his picks in a while, but I don't think he was doing too good
12-20 against the spread so far this year.
 
No thread yet this week?Who are we liking?I went 3-2 Sunday afternoon. The lost on the vikes sun night and split cowboys and over on mnf. Damn romo injury.
:( You act like the Cowyboys would have won that game, please.Where's Kroyrunner anyway? Lose all his dough or something?
Haven't seen his picks in a while, but I don't think he was doing too good
12-20 against the spread so far this year.
Yup, rough season for me so far! Sorry to be dropping the ball as of late on getting these threads going, unfortunately free time has been increasingly difficult to find. I'll do my best to step it up and get back to posting!Week 8 Lines:Broncos +1 @ 49ers 41.5 (London)Jaguars +6.5 @ Cowboys 42.5Redskins +3 @ Lions 44Packers +6 @ Jets 42Panthers +3 @ Rams 37Dolphins +2 @ Bengals 43.5Bills +7.5 @ Chiefs 46Titans +3.5 @ Chargers 44Bucs +3 @ Cardinals 39.5Seahawks +2.5 @ Raiders 42.5Vikings +5.5 @ Patriots 44Steelers +1 @ Saints 44Texans +5.5 @ Colts 49.5
 
Tennessee + 3 1/2Pittsburgh + 1Buffalo + 9
I think if I used the word surprised it would be too strong but I think NO beats Pittsburgh. Yes, they have no running game but you can't run on Pittsburgh anyway. NO will have to score passing the football and open it up against Pittsburgh. Their special teams were pathetic, so I expect a big effort out of NO this week.I know it SHOULD be Pittsburgh, because Cleveland beat NO and Pittsburgh is better than Cleveland, but usually that way of thinking and picking winners/gambling is not very lucrative, at least for me. In the end, I'm not touching the game, so if you do take Pittsburgh, GL....I just think NO plays tough this week.
 
Week 8 Lines:

Broncos +1 @ 49ers 41.5 (London)

Jaguars +6.5 @ Cowboys 42.5

Redskins +3 @ Lions 44

Packers +6 @ Jets 42

Panthers +3 @ Rams 37

Dolphins +2 @ Bengals 43.5

Bills +7.5 @ Chiefs 46

Titans +3.5 @ Chargers 44

Bucs +3 @ Cardinals 39.5

Seahawks +2.5 @ Raiders 42.5

Vikings +5.5 @ Patriots 44

Steelers +1 @ Saints 44

Texans +5.5 @ Colts 49.5
Here's who I'm liking...P.S. -- which probably means you should do the complete opposite. :thumbdown:

 
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Dragon1952 said:
GB +6 @ Jets - Despite their issues, GB has been in every game with their 3 losses all being by 3 pts with 2 going to OT.KC/BUF OV 46 - Buffalo has given up 34+ pts in each of their last 5 games and the totals in those games have been 41, 68, 52, 62 and 71.
Additionally, points scored by KC in its last 4 games: 31, 9, 31, 42.I could see as many as 60 points in this one. Good call here.
 
Jets- The NFC stinks. GB decimated with injuries, they've been doing it with smoke and mirrors. They're 1-2 on the road, winning by 7 in Philly and losing in Wash and Chi, two not so good teams. In their 3 home wins they smoked a terrible Bills team and barely beat the Lions and Vikings. Jets coming off a bye, GB off an emotional division win playing on the road. Facing a top AFC team on the road, the magic runs out.. 24-13 Jets.

Dolphins- Coming off a tough loss in Pitt, Miami gets back on track against Cincy. Cincy is, as usual, a fraud. Miami wins easy 27-17

Steelers- Of the Saints 4 wins, the only easy one came against the Bucs, the other 3 wins by an average of 3 points, 2 of them being the 9ers(4 pt win) and PANTHERS(2 pt win). Saints offense hasn't gotten into gear yet with the injured running game, and they won't find their offense this week. Pittsburgh in the middle of a three game road trip, but will be up for the defending champs, and BTW, the NFC stinks. The trap game might be next week in Cincy for them after a big win. Steelers roll, 31-14

 
Is the system up and running now?

kroyrunner89 said:
Rebirtha said:
swirvenirvin said:
BRONG said:
No thread yet this week?Who are we liking?I went 3-2 Sunday afternoon. The lost on the vikes sun night and split cowboys and over on mnf. Damn romo injury.
:pickle: You act like the Cowyboys would have won that game, please.Where's Kroyrunner anyway? Lose all his dough or something?
Haven't seen his picks in a while, but I don't think he was doing too good
12-20 against the spread so far this year.
Yup, rough season for me so far! Sorry to be dropping the ball as of late on getting these threads going, unfortunately free time has been increasingly difficult to find. I'll do my best to step it up and get back to posting!Week 8 Lines:Broncos +1 @ 49ers 41.5 (London)Jaguars +6.5 @ Cowboys 42.5Redskins +3 @ Lions 44Packers +6 @ Jets 42Panthers +3 @ Rams 37Dolphins +2 @ Bengals 43.5Bills +7.5 @ Chiefs 46Titans +3.5 @ Chargers 44Bucs +3 @ Cardinals 39.5Seahawks +2.5 @ Raiders 42.5Vikings +5.5 @ Patriots 44Steelers +1 @ Saints 44Texans +5.5 @ Colts 49.5
 
* Detroit Lions -3

The Lions finally return starting QB Matthew Stafford this week, a great benefit to what is already one of the highest scoring teams in the NFC. RB Jahvid Best has taken full advantage of the bye week to get healthy, and this offense looks ready to explode against a very mediocre Washington defense. While Hall had the game of his life last week against Cutler with four interceptions, he remains one of the weakest cornerbacks in the NFL and will likely be exposed once again this week. Statistically, the Lions really don't look like anything special on offense. They're well below average in yards per pass attempt and yards per rush attempt, yet they still find ways to keep the chains moving and put points up on the scoreboard. The Redskins are ranked 23rd against the pass and 29th against the run, and I think the Detroit offense will have no problem at all taking advantage of this weak unit coming off of a bye week. The Redskins offense is nothing special at all as they're average at both passing and rushing the ball, while also the 8th worst team in the NFL in scoring efficiency. Look for the Detroit defense to get a couple more stops than Washington, as the Lions take this game by at least a touchdown.

* Seattle Seahawks +2.5

* Seattle/Oakland UNDER 42.5

The Raiders exploded for 59 points in 3 quarters last week against the Broncos, an impressive showing despite the fact that it is the Broncos. Unfortunately for Oakland, Seattle boasts a much better defense than Denver. Seattle enters this game playing at a very high level, as they are 10th against the pass and 2nd against the run. Oakland's superb performance last week came mostly from the running game, and while Oakland ranks 5th in yards per rush attempt this season Seattle's run defense should definitely keep them fairly contained. With pressure swinging back to Oakland's passing game, which is 5th worst in the NFL, Seattle should have no problem limiting the amount of damage Oakland can do on offense. On the offensive side of the ball, Seattle hasn't been spectacular themselves. Seattle is the 4th worst passing team and 7th worst rushing team in the NFL, although the majority of those rushing stats are without newly acquired RB Marshawn Lynch. While both teams have similarly poor offenses, the edge I see for Seattle is that they're matched up against a clearly inferior defense. Oakland is ranked 18th against the pass and 31st against the run, assuming the Seahawks aren't down by 21 points as fast as the Broncos were last week they'll be able to come at Oakland all game with a balanced attack. I think this is the week Seattle's running game gets on track and they put together a couple nice drives. Ultimately though, I see Seattle's defense being the swinging point in this contest as the Seahawks win a low scoring game outright.

* Carolina/St. Louis UNDER 37

While unders have been hitting at a terrible clip this season and it pains me to keep picking them, this week there are some seriously inflated totals and this is one of them. This game has all the setups to be low scoring. For starters, we have two underrated defenses going against two struggling offenses. The Panthers finally returned QB Matt Moore to the lineup last week and put up a season high 23 points against the 49ers, given the low level the 49ers' defense has been playing at so far this year though I'd be surprised to see them top 20 points again in this one, or even reach that mark. RB Deangelo Williams will likely be sitting this game out, a blow to the offense because backup Jonathan Stewart has been playing at a very low level so far this year, only running for 3.0 yards per carry. The passing offense ranks 30th in yards per pass attempt, even if you only consider weeks in which Moore started that number stays the same. St. Louis has made big strides on defense this season, as they rank 5th in yards per pass attempt allowed and 23rd in yards per rush attempt allowed. While their rush defense still has a ways to go, with no Deangelo Williams this week Carolina is going to have trouble exploiting that. As for the Rams' offense, their passing game has been nothing special all year as they're ranked 31st in the NFL in yards per pass attempt. Carolina's pass defense is slightly above average ranking 13th, but their real strength is stopping the run as they're 6th in yards per rush attempt allowed. The Rams have only been running for 3.84 yards per carry this season, 23rd in the NFL. The Panthers should keep RB Steven Jackson bottled up fairly well, along with the entire St. Louis offense. The only threat to this under is multiple turnovers by each QB in their own territory, I'm willing to take this risk as even then I think it'll take a few for this total to go over. Total points could very well stay in the 20s in this game as I love this total to stay under.

That's all for Sunday, I'm strongly considering a Monday Night pick and will make my decision tomorrow. Good luck to everyone this week!

 

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