What is the key to winning in NFL? (1 Viewer)

[Jeff Tefertiller]

I came across a study that lays out the records of teams with a 100-yard rusher, 100-yard receiver, and 300-yard passer. It is quite interesting.

The need to establish the ground game remains a popular NFL axiom, certainly with talented runners like reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch and Darren McFadden entering the league.The numbers continue to prove the adage true. In 2007, teams with a 100-yard rusher went 102-37 (.734); meanwhile, teams with a 100-yard receiver were 87-66 (.569) while those with 300-yard passers were 43-38 (.531).A look at the past five seasons further bolsters the point:

Season 100 yard rushers

2003 107-44 (.709)

2004 134-44 (.753)

2005 112-23 (.830)

2006 107-47 (.695)

2007 102-37 (.734)

Season 100-yard receivers

2003 79-58 (.577)

2004 76-88 (.463)

2005 79-74 (.516)

2006 81-68 (.544)

2007 87-66 (.569)

Season 300-yard passers

2003 29-31 (.483)

2004 36-45 (.444)

2005 31-33 (.484)

2006 36-29 (.554)

2007 43-38 (.531)

 

[dollarbill13]

I came across a study that lays out the records of teams with a 100-yard rusher, 100-yard receiver, and 300-yard passer. It is quite interesting.

The need to establish the ground game remains a popular NFL axiom, certainly with talented runners like reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch and Darren McFadden entering the league.The numbers continue to prove the adage true. In 2007, teams with a 100-yard rusher went 102-37 (.734); meanwhile, teams with a 100-yard receiver were 87-66 (.569) while those with 300-yard passers were 43-38 (.531).A look at the past five seasons further bolsters the point:

Season 100 yard rushers

2003 107-44 (.709)

2004 134-44 (.753)

2005 112-23 (.830)

2006 107-47 (.695)

2007 102-37 (.734)

Season 100-yard receivers

2003 79-58 (.577)

2004 76-88 (.463)

2005 79-74 (.516)

2006 81-68 (.544)

2007 87-66 (.569)

Season 300-yard passers

2003 29-31 (.483)

2004 36-45 (.444)

2005 31-33 (.484)

2006 36-29 (.554)

2007 43-38 (.531)

I think that being ahead in the game is more of a cause for getting a 100 yard rusher than vice versa. Teams that are winning, generally try to control the clock and pass much more. If you are behind, you tend to abandon the run at some point.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

I came across a study that lays out the records of teams with a 100-yard rusher, 100-yard receiver, and 300-yard passer. It is quite interesting.

The need to establish the ground game remains a popular NFL axiom, certainly with talented runners like reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch and Darren McFadden entering the league.The numbers continue to prove the adage true. In 2007, teams with a 100-yard rusher went 102-37 (.734); meanwhile, teams with a 100-yard receiver were 87-66 (.569) while those with 300-yard passers were 43-38 (.531).A look at the past five seasons further bolsters the point:

Season 100 yard rushers

2003 107-44 (.709)

2004 134-44 (.753)

2005 112-23 (.830)

2006 107-47 (.695)

2007 102-37 (.734)

Season 100-yard receivers

2003 79-58 (.577)

2004 76-88 (.463)

2005 79-74 (.516)

2006 81-68 (.544)

2007 87-66 (.569)

Season 300-yard passers

2003 29-31 (.483)

2004 36-45 (.444)

2005 31-33 (.484)

2006 36-29 (.554)

2007 43-38 (.531)

I think that being ahead in the game is more of a cause for getting a 100 yard rusher than vice versa. Teams that are winning, generally try to control the clock and pass much more. If you are behind, you tend to abandon the run at some point.

I agree. Good point. But, some teams will throw for over 300 yards in a win. Same goes for 100-yard receivers.

 

[encaitar]

I came across a study that lays out the records of teams with a 100-yard rusher, 100-yard receiver, and 300-yard passer. It is quite interesting.

The need to establish the ground game remains a popular NFL axiom, certainly with talented runners like reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch and Darren McFadden entering the league.The numbers continue to prove the adage true. In 2007, teams with a 100-yard rusher went 102-37 (.734); meanwhile, teams with a 100-yard receiver were 87-66 (.569) while those with 300-yard passers were 43-38 (.531).A look at the past five seasons further bolsters the point:

Season 100 yard rushers

2003 107-44 (.709)

2004 134-44 (.753)

2005 112-23 (.830)

2006 107-47 (.695)

2007 102-37 (.734)

Season 100-yard receivers

2003 79-58 (.577)

2004 76-88 (.463)

2005 79-74 (.516)

2006 81-68 (.544)

2007 87-66 (.569)

Season 300-yard passers

2003 29-31 (.483)

2004 36-45 (.444)

2005 31-33 (.484)

2006 36-29 (.554)

2007 43-38 (.531)

I think that being ahead in the game is more of a cause for getting a 100 yard rusher than vice versa. Teams that are winning, generally try to control the clock and pass much more. If you are behind, you tend to abandon the run at some point.

I agree. Good point. But, some teams will throw for over 300 yards in a win. Same goes for 100-yard receivers.

The place you win or lose games is in the trenches. If you have a punishing offensive line, your RB is gonna have a field day. By that same token, if your line gives you 10 seconds to throw the ball, you're gonna tear up the secondary(see Brady circa 2007).By that same token, if your Dline controls the game, then your defense is going to be outstanding and will even get you wins against teams with better playmakers(see last year's superbowl).

It all really comes down to whose lines control the play. I know it's hard to quantify that with numbers, but that's the reality.

 

[sterjs]

QB Kneeldowns are the key to winning in the NFL. Teams with 2+ quarterback kneeldowns have overwhelmingly winning records.

The way the results are phrased imply that rushing for 100 yards it the cause of winning. It only proves correlation, though.

 

[-baller]

QB Kneeldowns are the key to winning in the NFL. Teams with 2+ quarterback kneeldowns have overwhelmingly winning records.

The way the results are phrased imply that rushing for 100 yards it the cause of winning. It only proves correlation, though.

(and dollarbill)

this is a pet peeve.

 

[CaptainHook]

yards per passing attempt discounted for TO's

period.

 

[curta269]

I came across a study that lays out the records of teams with a 100-yard rusher, 100-yard receiver, and 300-yard passer. It is quite interesting.

The need to establish the ground game remains a popular NFL axiom, certainly with talented runners like reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch and Darren McFadden entering the league.The numbers continue to prove the adage true. In 2007, teams with a 100-yard rusher went 102-37 (.734); meanwhile, teams with a 100-yard receiver were 87-66 (.569) while those with 300-yard passers were 43-38 (.531).A look at the past five seasons further bolsters the point:

Season 100 yard rushers

2003 107-44 (.709)

2004 134-44 (.753)

2005 112-23 (.830)

2006 107-47 (.695)

2007 102-37 (.734)

Season 100-yard receivers

2003 79-58 (.577)

2004 76-88 (.463)

2005 79-74 (.516)

2006 81-68 (.544)

2007 87-66 (.569)

Season 300-yard passers

2003 29-31 (.483)

2004 36-45 (.444)

2005 31-33 (.484)

2006 36-29 (.554)

2007 43-38 (.531)

I think that being ahead in the game is more of a cause for getting a 100 yard rusher than vice versa. Teams that are winning, generally try to control the clock and pass much more. If you are behind, you tend to abandon the run at some point.

I agree. Good point. But, some teams will throw for over 300 yards in a win. Same goes for 100-yard receivers.

The place you win or lose games is in the trenches. If you have a punishing offensive line, your RB is gonna have a field day. By that same token, if your line gives you 10 seconds to throw the ball, you're gonna tear up the secondary(see Brady circa 2007).By that same token, if your Dline controls the game, then your defense is going to be outstanding and will even get you wins against teams with better playmakers(see last year's superbowl).

It all really comes down to whose lines control the play. I know it's hard to quantify that with numbers, but that's the reality.

I totally agree. Just look at Parcells' teams. Those are usually the 1st 2 units he work on when he takes over a new team. And, his teams always end up being competitive.

 

[bucsbaby]

Offensive and Defensive Lines.

Hands down.

 

[dirtywaters20]

Offensive and Defensive Lines.Hands down.

 

[Ghost Rider]

Offensive and Defensive Lines.Hands down.

Plus a QB who is at least very good.

 

[Afro Samurai]

Can't be found statistically......this isn't baseball.

 

[Tornacl]

Offensive and Defensive Lines.Hands down.

You know it. I know it. Pretty much everyone in the shark pool knows it. So why doesn't Matt Millen know it? I think the Lions had 5 straight top 10 picks, and he never used ONE of them on a stud offensive lineman. (Maybe he doesn't realize that the NFL draft order ISN'T a lottery, and that the Lions haven't been lucky all these years.)

 

[kwille]

Offensive and Defensive Lines.

Hands down.

and a big old + in turnover ratio never hurts

 

[jwojdylo]

agreed 100%! offensive and defensive lines are the most important.