Which Projection Was Better? (1 Viewer)

[John Mamula]

They shouldn't be different and unique to the point of representing completely different things. They should be unique in reflecting the person's view on the criteria being examined.

If projector A projects an injury to Kurt Warner but projector B does not, are you supposed to force projector A to gross up his rankings? That's ridiculous. Now I think there should be a commentary section that footnotes the methodolgy used and why so the reader can understand what the projections are based on.Quite honestly the best way to reconcile it would be to have all staff rankings be within a certain standard deviation of an average historical ranking per positional rank.

This thread is the perfect example as to why you shouldn't average out projections as you get a muddled mess of methodologies and thoughts that make no sense. It gives you an idea of the general consensus I suppose but you'll have to identify outlying ranks.

But I use my own projections so I don't worry about it.

 

[Maurile Tremblay]

Quite honestly the best way to reconcile it would be to have all staff rankings be within a certain standard deviation of an average historical ranking per positional rank.

Only if "per positional rank" refers to preseason rankings, not EOY results. (So if the fourth-ranked RB averages 100 points, but the EOY RB4 averages 200 points, the staff rankings should be within a certain standard deviation of 100 points, not 200 points.) Otherwise, you've got all the traditional AVT problems.

 

[GregR_2]

They shouldn't be different and unique to the point of representing completely different things. They should be unique in reflecting the person's view on the criteria being examined.

If projector A projects an injury to Kurt Warner but projector B does not, are you supposed to force projector A to gross up his rankings? That's ridiculous. Now I think there should be a commentary section that footnotes the methodolgy used and why so the reader can understand what the projections are based on....

Ok, so if my goal is to express how players will do in PPG, you're saying if I ask you to tell me how many PPG you think Kurt Warner will score, and where in PPG that will rank him amongst QBs... and you think Warner will only play 8 games... that providing me your belief in PPG will be ridiculous?