Who is sitting Rodgers this week? (1 Viewer)

[lukinrats]

We all know that the guy has been struggling, and not so much because of his talent, but because of the direction the team has taken lately. However, the question is a valid one, when your right in the middle of the FF playoffs. I was posting about this in another thread, but it really was not the right place, since the title was more about whether to sell him for the future.

For this week only, I want to discuss the possibility of sitting him down vs the Bears. I think that a lot of people may have the option to start Josh Freeman over him, or maybe someone else. I know that he is capable of going off @ any point in the season or any game, but the question is "Will he do it this week?"

I still have not made up my mind on this situation. I have Freeman in my QB slot right now, but I know it is just because I am still thinking. It will take a lot for me to bench Rodgers, but I think that it might happen, unless something happens to change my current thought process.

The consensus, and the quote you hear from just about everyone is "Never sit your studs". I don't know if there is really any merit, or proof to that statement. What I do know, is that I have been telling that same thing to MYSELF for the last 4 weeks, and it has yet to prove fruitful. There are a number of matchup plays that I have thought about over the last 4 weeks of this slump, and most of them did out score Rodgers in that week. However, I kept telling myself that I can't sit him for a match up play.

At this point, I don't know if you can stay loyal based solely on previous production. The team does not seem to be going through #12 anymore, and I think that is how they want it. When they did it last year, it did not work when it mattered the most, and they are in it to win the Super Bowl. Not for stats. I have heard it from Rodgers and MM, over and over again this season. "We are not concerned with Stats"

 

[Sinrman]

Unless I have someone like Tom Brady or Drew Brees this week, I don't sit Rodgers - struggling or not. You dance with who brung ya!

 

[lukinrats]

Unless I have someone like Tom Brady or Drew Brees this week, I don't sit Rodgers - struggling or not. You dance with who brung ya!

There is that same saying/quote. Just in a different form than what I mentioned above. I wish that was something that was working for me, but every week I say it, and every week he puts up a stinkerHere is another one. I don't know that I would be so likely to hear the same sentiment about this decision, just because of who it is. Reggie Wayne also "brung me" to the playoffs. However, right now Luck is very cold and Denario Alexander is very HOT. I will probably be sitting Wayne in favor of DX. I think Rodgers is getting a huge pass just because of who he is, and what he did last year

 

[humpback]

Unless I have someone like Tom Brady or Drew Brees this week, I don't sit Rodgers - struggling or not. You dance with who brung ya!

There is that same saying/quote. Just in a different form than what I mentioned above. I wish that was something that was working for me, but every week I say it, and every week he puts up a stinkerHere is another one. I don't know that I would be so likely to hear the same sentiment about this decision, just because of who it is. Reggie Wayne also "brung me" to the playoffs. However, right now Luck is very cold and Denario Alexander is very HOT. I will probably be sitting Wayne in favor of DX. I think Rodgers is getting a huge pass just because of who he is, and what he did last year

It's similar to why people say coaches often make the wrong call when going for it on 4th down, going for 2, trying a long FG, etc.- there will be a lot more criticism if they take a "risk" and it doesn't pan out than if they stick to the book and it doesn't. Obviously criticism isn't a huge factor in FF, but I think it's similar- owners would probably feel worse if they bench him and he goes off than if they start him and he doesn't, etc.

 

[Sinrman]

People tend to overanalyze or overthink things when it comes to the fantasy playoffs. If you have a stud, struggling or not, you need to play them. Sure, "studs" change over the course of a season - take your example of D Alexander right now. In my opinion, he is a STUD and I would definitely try and find a way to start him. But Rodgers was a stud before the season started, and although he's struggling a bit lately, he is still a top QB, and you have to start him. A QB like Freeman is tempting to start against NO, but he is inconsistent. He should have blown up against Philly, and what did he do? Kinda meh. Don't overanalyze it.

 

[humpback]

People tend to overanalyze or overthink things when it comes to the fantasy playoffs. If you have a stud, struggling or not, you need to play them. Sure, "studs" change over the course of a season - take your example of D Alexander right now. In my opinion, he is a STUD and I would definitely try and find a way to start him. But Rodgers was a stud before the season started, and although he's struggling a bit lately, he is still a top QB, and you have to start him. A QB like Freeman is tempting to start against NO, but he is inconsistent. He should have blown up against Philly, and what did he do? Kinda meh. Don't overanalyze it.

I'm not saying people should start Freeman over Rodgers necessarily, but why are you only applying this logic to Freeman? Rodgers should have blown up against Detroit, and his "kinda meh" was worse than Freeman's. Heck, he should have blown up against Detroit twice, Minny, and the NYG, and he was "very meh" against all of them.Obviously it depends on your alternatives, but I think blindly saying "always start your studs" is just as dangerous as over thinking things.

 

[lukinrats]

People tend to overanalyze or overthink things when it comes to the fantasy playoffs. If you have a stud, struggling or not, you need to play them. Sure, "studs" change over the course of a season - take your example of D Alexander right now. In my opinion, he is a STUD and I would definitely try and find a way to start him. But Rodgers was a stud before the season started, and although he's struggling a bit lately, he is still a top QB, and you have to start him. A QB like Freeman is tempting to start against NO, but he is inconsistent. He should have blown up against Philly, and what did he do? Kinda meh. Don't overanalyze it.

I'm not saying people should start Freeman over Rodgers necessarily, but why are you only applying this logic to Freeman? Rodgers should have blown up against Detroit, and his "kinda meh" was worse than Freeman's. Heck, he should have blown up against Detroit twice, Minny, and the NYG, and he was "very meh" against all of them.Obviously it depends on your alternatives, but I think blindly saying "always start your studs" is just as dangerous as over thinking things.

Exactly! Freeman probably should have done a bit better than he did against Philly, and Rodgers should have definitely gone off vs Detroit. Freeman actually scored better than Rodgers, and now Freeman has an even better matchup than he did last week. The thing is this. I know that Rodgers can go off, but I think that we saw what GB is going to do when, #1. Opponent plays 2 safeties on top and #2. When they are in cold and windy conditions. Rodgers should have had a good game vs the Lions and he didn't. This week, you would kind of expect him to not have a good game, but he has already been horrific, so there is no upside. Freeman on the other hand, had an alright game vs the Eagles in a good matchup. I think he will probably have a better game against a TREMENDOUS match up

 

[FavreAndAwayAnIdiot]

42 sacks. It's criminal, and at some point he's not going to get up. I'd prefer that not to happen on my watch in the playoffs, so I'll be starting a number of other guys instead. If he survives Chicago, I'll start him vs the Titans.

 

[lukinrats]

42 sacks. It's criminal, and at some point he's not going to get up. I'd prefer that not to happen on my watch in the playoffs, so I'll be starting a number of other guys instead. If he survives Chicago, I'll start him vs the Titans.

BOOM! There is the exact plan.

 

[lukinrats]

I would almost bet my entire check this month on the fact that I most likely put Rodgers back in my QB slot. However, it is telling that myself and so many others are even thinking of sitting the guy. It just goes to show how bad he has been for FF, and how much the Packers have relied on the running game and Defense to win games. I think that will be the game plan again this week, but just in case it isn't, I guess you have to play the guy

 

[General Tso]

Unless I have someone like Tom Brady or Drew Brees this week, I don't sit Rodgers - struggling or not. You dance with who brung ya!

I'd be more than happy to dance with him if he brung me, but he actually did everything possible to prevent me from getting to the dance. In the semifinals of the playoffs I want a QB on my team who's actually going to, you know, score points.In the last 4 weeks, against defenses that rank in the bottom half with regard to QB points allowed, Rodgers has averaged 228 pass yards and 1 touchdown. That's not only out of the top ten, it's actually in the bottom 10. We're not talking 1 bad week here, folks. He's been bad for 6 weeks in a row, and it seems to be getting worse. In 3 of his last 5 weeks he's had 14 completions in an entire game!! You cannot start Aaron Rodgers right now - playoffs or not.

 

[Real Man of Genius]

I am starting Freeman over Rodgers. He's been the better FF QB for the better part of two months.

 

[-jb-]

I am starting Freeman over Rodgers. He's been the better FF QB for the better part of two months.

In the same boat, and honestly didn't consider benching Rodgers until coming into this thread.:shakesfistatlaptop:

 

[dmac37]

I have both Rodgers and Stafford & have only played Stafford twice. Rodger's bye and another week that I thought Stafford had a better match up but that week did not work out.

For now I'm going with Rodgers but the chance of injury with a Bears sack assault I'm still not decided.

I would have thought the Cards would be a better QB matchup than the Bears, not so much the last 5 weeks

Average FF points given up to QB's the last 5 weeks:

Bears 14.5

Cards 12.6

Another reason I may roll with Rodgers

 

[lukinrats]

I have both Rodgers and Stafford & have only played Stafford twice. Rodger's bye and another week that I thought Stafford had a better match up but that week did not work out.For now I'm going with Rodgers but the chance of injury with a Bears sack assault I'm still not decided.I would have thought the Cards would be a better QB matchup than the Bears, not so much the last 5 weeksAverage FF points given up to QB's the last 5 weeks:Bears 14.5Cards 12.6Another reason I may roll with Rodgers

The thing that is the scariest when you look at that Bears average is that is about what Rodgers has been averaging against some terrible teams against the pass. What will he do vs a team that can actually play the pass well?

 

[Mozeta]

I actually had Andy Dalton in my lineup over Rodgers because I have been so frustrated, but I don't think I'll have the balls to actually go through with it in the first week of fantasy playoffs. However, at least I won't have to pull my hair out from now until Sunday debating this issue. I'll be able to kick myself after the Thursday night game.

Look, if you're looking for a reason to sit Rodgers or are looking for someone to justify it for you, you'll find no shortage of those opinions here. However, we all know what Rodgers is capable of and matchups really have meant nothing to him this year or any year prior. He can put up great numbers against top pass defenses, like when he threw 6 TD’s vs Texas. Or he can put up below average stats vs bad defenses like the 1 TD, 1INT for 219 yards vs the Giants. However, in the end, I know that starting Aaron Rodgers will give me the best chance to get points unless your other option is Tom Brady. I would have said Drew Breese also, but he has thrown 1 TD and 7 INT’s over the past two weeks against the 14th and 27th ranked pass defenses. Would you bench him this week too? No sir, I would rather be the guy who gets beat with Aaron Rodgers starting than the schmuck who gets beat with Aaron Rodgers on my bench. At least Rodgers is a threat to score points in the air or on the land and if he does both you’ll have a hell of a day. Don’t over think this.

 

[Tybeeman]

I'm contemplating sitting Rodgers and starting Peyton. I don't like either of their match ups

 

[steelcityman]

like mentioned above, dance wiff who brung ya. Cant trust Foles or Locker in the playoffs.

Either GB wins big, does all they want, meaning AR throws for 4 TDs, or Bears do all they want, win big and AR is throwing all second hald racking up numbers(maybe INTs).

 

[AB in DC]

So right now we've got one thread about benching Rodgers because of the Chicago D, and another thread about benching the Chicago D because of Rodgers. Figures.

 

[lukinrats]

It is ridiculous to even be thinking about all of this, but tell me that he has not given us a reason to do so!

 

[cobalt_27]

Still top 5 QB.

You have to be insane, stupid, or both to sit him. Seriously, this sport requires a little understand of regression (up/down) to the mean and a little patience.

 

[Gottabesweet]

He's got 220-1-1 written all over it he stinks at Chi and this year because the offense structure. Still have to play and hope.

 

[LittleLarry]

Maybe he'll come through with a couple more 20yd rushing TDs.

ETA running for his life

 

[lukinrats]

Still top 5 QB. You have to be insane, stupid, or both to sit him. Seriously, this sport requires a little understand of regression (up/down) to the mean and a little patience.

I really have a hard time understanding this. How is he a top 5 QB other than total season statistics? Nothing about him over the last 2 months has been top 5. They are running the ball almost more than any other team, which is keeping him from getting more opportunities to score. He is not much better than Russel Wilson for FF purposes at this point. I think most of his owners have been damned patient, since this is really the first week that any of us are questioning him as a starter in the playoffs

 

[Hawk Fan]

Sitting him for Peyton Manning. First time I'm benching Rodgers other than his bye week.

 

[lukinrats]

Sitting him for Peyton Manning. First time I'm benching Rodgers other than his bye week.

Wow, wish I had that option. No way would I even question it at that point

 

[Turf King]

Been playing this game over 20 years and rarely bench my "Studs". However, I put Freeman in for Rogers this week and haven't considered switching back....ready to get it on!!

 

[Hawk Fan]

Sitting him for Peyton Manning. First time I'm benching Rodgers other than his bye week.

Wow, wish I had that option. No way would I even question it at that point

It has to be done, but it hurts as a big Packers and Rodgers fan.

 

[lukinrats]

I hate to even think it. He has been on my team now for 3 years, and I have never removed him for any reason other than injury. He has been so good that I normally just take a loss on his bye week because I only want to carry 1 QB.

I am pissed to be honest. At Mike Mcarthy for giving up on AR as the focus of the offense after one tough playoff loss

 

[AB in DC]

I really have a hard time understanding this. How is he a top 5 QB other than total season statistics? Nothing about him over the last 2 months has been top 5. They are running the ball almost more than any other team, which is keeping him from getting more opportunities to score. He is not much better than Russel Wilson for FF purposes at this point. I think most of his owners have been damned patient, since this is really the first week that any of us are questioning him as a starter in the playoffs

 

[THE FANTASY KING]

Still top 5 QB. You have to be insane, stupid, or both to sit him. Seriously, this sport requires a little understand of regression (up/down) to the mean and a little patience.

Single elimination tournaments don't make allowances for such patience. This is one game we are talking about. I think it's extremely reasonable considering benching Rodgers for some of the names in this thread, specifically Freeman against the Saints. Painting with such a broad, absolute brush in the name of "regression" is an absurdism.REGARDS,THE FANTASY KING

 

[cobalt_27]

Still top 5 QB. You have to be insane, stupid, or both to sit him. Seriously, this sport requires a little understand of regression (up/down) to the mean and a little patience.

I really have a hard time understanding this. How is he a top 5 QB other than total season statistics? Nothing about him over the last 2 months has been top 5. They are running the ball almost more than any other team, which is keeping him from getting more opportunities to score. He is not much better than Russel Wilson for FF purposes at this point. I think most of his owners have been damned patient, since this is really the first week that any of us are questioning him as a starter in the playoffs

Whatever. Go sit Rodgers for Russell Wilson. Like any of us care. It's just an incredibly unnecessary over-reaction that is a low percentage play for low ceiling gain.

 

[THE FANTASY KING]

Still top 5 QB. You have to be insane, stupid, or both to sit him. Seriously, this sport requires a little understand of regression (up/down) to the mean and a little patience.

I really have a hard time understanding this. How is he a top 5 QB other than total season statistics? Nothing about him over the last 2 months has been top 5. They are running the ball almost more than any other team, which is keeping him from getting more opportunities to score. He is not much better than Russel Wilson for FF purposes at this point. I think most of his owners have been damned patient, since this is really the first week that any of us are questioning him as a starter in the playoffs

Whatever. Go sit Rodgers for Russell Wilson. Like any of us care. It's just an incredibly unnecessary over-reaction that is a low percentage play for low ceiling gain.

I don't know why you think the idea of benching Rodgers should be considered in a vaccuum. Obviously it depends on who you're benching Rodgers for. Find me someone who is benching him for Russell Wilson, and that person and I will have a disagreementism. The Poster who said he had him benched for Andy Dalton, I do not agree with him either.Josh Freeman has been out-performing Aaron Rodgers for weeks now, and has an excellent match-up while Rodgers has a poor one. I would be interested in hearing why considering that switch is so "insane and stupid" without vaguely referring to the statistical principle of regression if you feel like issuing one.REGARDS,THE FANTASY KING

 

[lukinrats]

I really have a hard time understanding this. How is he a top 5 QB other than total season statistics? Nothing about him over the last 2 months has been top 5. They are running the ball almost more than any other team, which is keeping him from getting more opportunities to score. He is not much better than Russel Wilson for FF purposes at this point. I think most of his owners have been damned patient, since this is really the first week that any of us are questioning him as a starter in the playoffs

Link???? I just know that I saw Mike Clay post on twitter that the Packers were the 9th most run heavy team over the last 6 or 8 weeks. I would have a tough time finding that tweet, but if it is that important, I bet you can find it in his Timeline.

It does not take a link in order to know that they are very run heavy right now. Rodgers is only averaging 27 attempts over the last 4 weeks. That is ridiculously low.

 

[lukinrats]

Still top 5 QB. You have to be insane, stupid, or both to sit him. Seriously, this sport requires a little understand of regression (up/down) to the mean and a little patience.

I really have a hard time understanding this. How is he a top 5 QB other than total season statistics? Nothing about him over the last 2 months has been top 5. They are running the ball almost more than any other team, which is keeping him from getting more opportunities to score. He is not much better than Russel Wilson for FF purposes at this point. I think most of his owners have been damned patient, since this is really the first week that any of us are questioning him as a starter in the playoffs

Whatever. Go sit Rodgers for Russell Wilson. Like any of us care. It's just an incredibly unnecessary over-reaction that is a low percentage play for low ceiling gain.

Who said ANYTHING about sitting Rodgers for Wilson, and why get so hostile about it??? I said that he is not much better than Wilson for FF purposes at this point. Not sure where you got the benching Rodgers for Wilson. There are some QBs that could play over him, and that is what we are talking about

 

[lukinrats]

Still top 5 QB. You have to be insane, stupid, or both to sit him. Seriously, this sport requires a little understand of regression (up/down) to the mean and a little patience.

I really have a hard time understanding this. How is he a top 5 QB other than total season statistics? Nothing about him over the last 2 months has been top 5. They are running the ball almost more than any other team, which is keeping him from getting more opportunities to score. He is not much better than Russel Wilson for FF purposes at this point. I think most of his owners have been damned patient, since this is really the first week that any of us are questioning him as a starter in the playoffs

Whatever. Go sit Rodgers for Russell Wilson. Like any of us care. It's just an incredibly unnecessary over-reaction that is a low percentage play for low ceiling gain.

I don't know why you think the idea of benching Rodgers should be considered in a vaccuum. Obviously it depends on who you're benching Rodgers for. Find me someone who is benching him for Russell Wilson, and that person and I will have a disagreementism. The Poster who said he had him benched for Andy Dalton, I do not agree with him either.Josh Freeman has been out-performing Aaron Rodgers for weeks now, and has an excellent match-up while Rodgers has a poor one. I would be interested in hearing why considering that switch is so "insane and stupid" without vaguely referring to the statistical principle of regression if you feel like issuing one.REGARDS,THE FANTASY KING

That is about the main one there. Freeman over Rodgers. The only answer you will get about why it's "so insane and stupid" to bench Rodgers for Freeman, will be something like, you never bench your stud

 

[BobbyLayne]

Freeman and Rodgers (my dilemma as well) both have divisional rematches this weekend.

Josh went 420 and 3 the first time versus the Saints. Aaron was 219 and 1 against da Bears.

It's a viable debate for sure. I'm leaning fowards Freeman, whose only other start for my FF lineup was the Packers bye week.

 

[cobalt_27]

Still top 5 QB. You have to be insane, stupid, or both to sit him. Seriously, this sport requires a little understand of regression (up/down) to the mean and a little patience.

I really have a hard time understanding this. How is he a top 5 QB other than total season statistics? Nothing about him over the last 2 months has been top 5. They are running the ball almost more than any other team, which is keeping him from getting more opportunities to score. He is not much better than Russel Wilson for FF purposes at this point. I think most of his owners have been damned patient, since this is really the first week that any of us are questioning him as a starter in the playoffs

Whatever. Go sit Rodgers for Russell Wilson. Like any of us care. It's just an incredibly unnecessary over-reaction that is a low percentage play for low ceiling gain.

I don't know why you think the idea of benching Rodgers should be considered in a vaccuum. Obviously it depends on who you're benching Rodgers for. Find me someone who is benching him for Russell Wilson, and that person and I will have a disagreementism. The Poster who said he had him benched for Andy Dalton, I do not agree with him either.Josh Freeman has been out-performing Aaron Rodgers for weeks now, and has an excellent match-up while Rodgers has a poor one. I would be interested in hearing why considering that switch is so "insane and stupid" without vaguely referring to the statistical principle of regression if you feel like issuing one.REGARDS,THE FANTASY KING

That is about the main one there. Freeman over Rodgers. The only answer you will get about why it's "so insane and stupid" to bench Rodgers for Freeman, will be something like, you never bench your stud

Yes, we slow it down and simplify it for those in need. Rather write a treatise based on historical data and understanding of trends and normal variation that would be too confusing for some, it should be sufficient enough to simply say, "calm down, don't over-think yourself...just don't bench our studs."

 

[lukinrats]

Still top 5 QB.

You have to be insane, stupid, or both to sit him. Seriously, this sport requires a little understand of regression (up/down) to the mean and a little patience.

I really have a hard time understanding this. How is he a top 5 QB other than total season statistics? Nothing about him over the last 2 months has been top 5. They are running the ball almost more than any other team, which is keeping him from getting more opportunities to score. He is not much better than Russel Wilson for FF purposes at this point. I think most of his owners have been damned patient, since this is really the first week that any of us are questioning him as a starter in the playoffs

Whatever. Go sit Rodgers for Russell Wilson. Like any of us care. It's just an incredibly unnecessary over-reaction that is a low percentage play for low ceiling gain.

I don't know why you think the idea of benching Rodgers should be considered in a vaccuum. Obviously it depends on who you're benching Rodgers for. Find me someone who is benching him for Russell Wilson, and that person and I will have a disagreementism. The Poster who said he had him benched for Andy Dalton, I do not agree with him either.Josh Freeman has been out-performing Aaron Rodgers for weeks now, and has an excellent match-up while Rodgers has a poor one. I would be interested in hearing why considering that switch is so "insane and stupid" without vaguely referring to the statistical principle of regression if you feel like issuing one.

REGARDS,

THE FANTASY KING

That is about the main one there. Freeman over Rodgers. The only answer you will get about why it's "so insane and stupid" to bench Rodgers for Freeman, will be something like, you never bench your stud

Yes, we slow it down and simplify it for those in need. Rather write a treatise based on historical data and understanding of trends and normal variation that would be too confusing for some, it should be sufficient enough to simply say, "calm down, don't over-think yourself...just don't bench our studs."

Look, assuming that any of us are too stupid to understand anything besides "start your studs" is not right. I think that most of us are smart enough to see that the Packers are not playing the same kind of ball that we have become accustomed to. They have trouble when they have an injury in their WR corps. Their line is unable to give Rodgers any time, and therefore the downfield passes are non existent. Also, if teams are going to give them the cover 2 man coverage, they are going to run the ball like there is no tomorrow. Not to mention the fact that you have Mike MCcarthy actually saying that the prolific passing game they went with last year was the reason they lost in the 1st round of playoffs.

There is plenty of "writing on the wall" if you look at it. Rodgers is looking like a 220/20/1Td play this weekend.

Just saying that he historically does not produce this way, is no real reason for us to discount what is going on at this point in time. Yes, he threw 5TDs in this same game last year. However, just like I mentioned above, MM is not letting him play like that right now. I think it is obviously frustrating Rodgers, except that he is winning, so he just goes with it. I saw him come off the field the other night, and reading his lips, he said "bull.... fu....g play" They were in a third and long, and a situation where he would normally take a shot, or at least try to stay alive in order to go score more points. However, the play was ridiculous and Rodgers threw it into the ground. This is indicative of what has been going on now for a couple of months. When they are ahead by any sort of comfortable margin, they are going to go into a protective shell, where as last year, they would have run up the score.

Aaron Rodgers is the player that I built my fantasy keeper team around. I watch every game, and I keep up with all of the news and press conferences. Would I be surprised if he goes in to Soldier field and throws 4TDs? NOPE! However, the current game plan, and direction of the team do not favor it.

Will I most likely play him in Week 15? YEP! However, I am not going to feel comfortable doing it when Josh Freeman's match up clearly favors high scores and 30-40 pass attempts

Here is one more thing that I think is relevant to the discussion of how likely Rodgers is to "Go Off". The Bears are giving up 90-130 yards on the ground 46% of the time. The Bears are giving up 200-250 passing yards 23% of the time. So, if I know that stat, you can bet your tukus that MM knows it, and he has already shown that he will lean on the running game

The Saints however, are giving up 250+ passing yards at a ridiculous clip of 61%. They also give up a 130+ yrd rusher 58% of the time. I own Freeman and Martin, so I think playing both of those guys, gives me a chance for some huge points.

If you want to talk history, then let's talk about how this year reminds me of 2010. Rodgers averaged 26.5 (although 1 game was shortened by the concussion) passing attempts over the last 4 games of 2010. He played Chicago in week 16, and his stats were 19 of 28 for 229yds and 1TD. That is pretty much what I think can be expected in this game. The Packers will probably win it easily with all the Bears injuries on Def and Off. It will probably be a low scoring game like they usually are, and the packers might run it 30-35 times

Over the last 4 games, the packers are averaging 28.5 rushing attempts, and 27.5 passing attempts. That my friends, is a very Run Heavy team!!!

 

[packseasontix]

@lukinrats

50/50 run pass is not heavy run...

As far as what I would do this weekend:

Underdog - Play Rodgers and hope the Packers open up the offense for parts of the game

Favorites - Play a Solid QB option that might be on your bench or WW

 

[lukinrats]

@lukinrats50/50 run pass is not heavy run...As far as what I would do this weekend:Underdog - Play Rodgers and hope the Packers open up the offense for parts of the gameFavorites - Play a Solid QB option that might be on your bench or WW

I disagree. Houston has been a 50/50 this year (454 pass attempts / 440 Rushing attempts). They have also been the most run heavy team in 2012 so far. So I don't think anyone would question 50/50 as being run heavy in today's NFLGreen Bay has been a little more than 50/50 over the last month. I don't see that changing this Sunday

 

[Patroclus]

Yes, bench Rodgers in the first week of the playoffs

 

[DiStefano]

Over the past four weeks, Rodgers has been the #20 QB in our league in terms of points, playing against relatively easy defenses. Now he faces a tough defense. So I tend to agree with the likelihood of a 220 yard, 1 td game. Could he score more? Of course. But... it's not a gimme.

Over the past 4 weeks, Freeman has been #10. Now he faces an absurdly easy Saints defense. Could he score less than 220 yards, 1 td? Yes, but it's not a gimme.

As a bettor, I'd bet on Freeman.

 

[KiddLattimer]

I'm not going to be the guy who loses with Rodgers on his bench.

 

[BobbyLayne]

Rolling with Freeman. Hotter hand - not just a few weeks, we're talking two mnoths - and a far better matchup. Jordy out, Jennings OK not his usual explosive self, Finley is still a dud, and the TD robber not lighting it up either. Should I go with just because? No, I think this a well thought out decision.

If it works out, I'll go back to Aaron for the SB Week 16. If it doesn't, that's OK. I made what I felt was the best call. I can live with that regardless of the outcome.

 

[Dark Matter]

Yes, bench Rodgers in the first week of the playoffs

No kidding. He got you this far. You gotta roll with him this week. 7 Bear defenders did not practice today. This is The Bears. For the Division. Don't over think it.

 

[humpback]

I'm not going to be the guy who loses with Rodgers on his bench.

No, but you may be the guy who loses with Rodgers in your starting lineup.Obviously it depends on your alternatives, but do this many people really believe it's unthinkable to not start him this week?

 

[BobbyLayne]

I get it's the Bears, and the Pack owns them since Jay rolled into town. Cutler has seven touchdowns and 16 interceptions while posting a 53.1 passer rating in going 1-6 against the Packers as a Bear. NO doubt the Packers will win their sixth straight against Chicago - two teams going in opposite directions.

But you're still saying start Rodgers. Just because. Why? Because he's Aaron freaking Rodgers, that's why. In 2012? No thanks.

The Packers have beaten the Bears an average of 19-13 in the last 5 meetings (all Green Bay wins). I see another low scoring game and more pedestrian numbers for Rodgers.

 

[Routilla]

A guy in my league benched Brees last week because he has been struggling for Schaub. Needless to say he is out of the playoffs and would have won with Brees. I will not make the same mistake, Rodgers baby!!!

 

[chad in Indy]

I see no problem benching him if you've got a good backup option. I think GBs injuries to the WRs is what has really hurt Rodgers production more than anything. However, I think the Bears D is a lot less threatening w/o Urlacher and Jennings though so I don't think it's fair to compare to the last time they played. Personally, I wouldn't bench him over Freeman, but I wouldn't criticize it either. I'm still rolling w/ him, but not b/c he's who got me to the playoffs. Just don't have better options