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Who is the true #1 WR? (1 Viewer)

Pittsburgh United

Footballguy
I think a lot of people assume it's CJ, but with Palmer's injury, I'm not sold. Smith could have an off-year with Keyshawn in the offense. Who knows what's going to happen with TO? Fitz has Boldin there to siphon catches.

 
sounds like it's between CJ, TO, Fitz, SSmith

Palmer is an issue in Cinncy

TO is whacked

Fitz has Boldin

SSmith has Keyshawn.

I like DelHomme to get the ball to Steve Smith

who may see fewer double teams than last year.

STEVE SMITH

 
I agree with Holt. If only for the fact he has done it before. Holt last year was the 3rd ranked WR in my league on what might be considered a down year with the starting qb missing significant time.

Smith will get his catches but keyshawn and a healthy, big if, Foster will take away a little

CJ needs Palmer to be healthy and on the field and that is not certain at this time.

So right now I would say Holt is the #1 Wr.

 
sounds like it's between CJ, TO, Fitz, SSmithPalmer is an issue in CinncyTO is whackedFitz has BoldinSSmith has Keyshawn.I like DelHomme to get the ball to Steve Smithwho may see fewer double teams than last year.STEVE SMITH
Three of the four posts have been saying Holt is the #1, and you don't even add him to the list?Make it 4 of 5 posts now, because I've got Holt at the top of my draft boards, too.
 
Larry Fitz. Not even 23, coming off a 100 catch 1400 yard season. Edge or no Edge the Cards are going to struggle running the ball. Warner will go his usual 8-9 games. Leinart should be just as good as McCown last year. Fitz will probably catch fewer balls but score more TDs.

 
Wow is Holt overrated.
I read this in this forum every year, and every year he puts up top 5 numbers. FF is about consistency. Holt is the closest thing to a guaranteed 100 yds/1 TD per week that you will find. The word "overrated" shouldn't even be in the same sentence as Torry Holt.
 
Shocked at all the Holt love. I understand Linehan's track record as much as anyone but it is still a new offense for everyone involved. Remember last year in Miami Linehan had Gus Frerotte as his starter (now the backup in StLouis) and Gus had played in Linehan's system for two years prior. Bulger is learning from scratch.

In addition this St Louis team has more legitimate weapons at WR than either Miami or Minnesota when Linehan was there (Holt + Bruce + Curtis + McDonald) >>> (Moss + Burleson + ???) >> (Chambers + Booker + ???). And I think Linehan will take every bit as much advantage of that WR depth as he can.

I also think Steven Jackson is more of a legitimate rushing threat than Linehan has ever coached. Now many will say that rookie Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams were superior but we will have to agree to disagree about that one.

I like Holt about 5th but calling him #1 is a stretch.

Steve Smith, T.O., CJ, Fitz, then Holt.

 
Wow, Holt is the Shaun Alexander/Rodney Dangerfield of WRs.

That being said, I'm going with TO if he can keep his head in order. If not, then Fitz.

 
Steve Smith has to be the favorite to have the best season statistically.

I think that Roy Williams might be a dark horse here, Could be a great season with Martz in town. Martz did refer to Roy as being the Torry Holt of Detroit.

 
I don't know why so many people are overlooking Holt. He's the clear choice at #1, IMO.

Yea, Steve Smith is nice, but he's only had one top 5 year.

As for Chad, he still hasn't had a truly elite season.

 
I don't know why so many people are overlooking Holt. He's the clear choice at #1, IMO.

Yea, Steve Smith is nice, but he's only had one top 5 year.

As for Chad, he still hasn't had a truly elite season.
he may have only had one true top 5 year but look at his last 32 games(excluding the game he broke his leg in)
here are his stats since 2003 from the last 12 weeks of the season when he basically showed he was for real

Excluding 2004 due to the broken bone in his 1st game!

Year.........Games.........Catches........Yards.........TDs.........Games w/out TD

2003..........12.................79............979............6................6

2005..........16................103..........1563..........13................8

05Playoffs....4.................36............466............5.................1

Totals.........32...............214..........3008..........24................15

so 32 games is the equivalent to 2 seasons and smith has avgd what would be

107catches/yr for 2yrs

1504yrds/yr for 2yrs

12 TDs/yr for 2yrs
but FWIW Holt is at the top of my board too
 
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I am surprised Randy Moss is not even being considered here.
After two down years, I'm not surprised. He also hasn't looked the same. But I agree inasmuch as I think Moss will surprise many this year.As for me, I still like Chad Johnson over the rest.
 
I think the moral of the story here is don't be the guy to take the first WR. If you've got one of these guys way ahead of the other, then go for it - otherwise it might be best to wait.

Personally, I'm hoping to get Fitz once 3-5 WRs are gone and follow up with Wayne once 6-8 are gone.

(Edited to add that were it not for Palmer's injury, I'd have CJ @ #1)

 
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Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll said:
I love all the caution to the wind on Keyshawn's impact on Steve Smith. :lmao: Give me a break.If Keyshawn lined up next to TO or CJ, nobody would say a word.
Steve Smith really had no decent #2 WR while CJ has Houshmanzadeh and TO has Terry Glenn. For the record if Key had stayed a Cowboy I think people would have downgraded TO. In Carolina for the past two years (Smith in 05 and Muhammed in 04) there has been only one good reciever to hog all the targets. When Smith had a viable #2 with Muhammed in 03 he put up good but not elite numbers. I think its logical to think that Key will steal of Smith's production also factor in more of a rushing attack with addition of D. Williams for the Panthers.
 
Dave Baker said:
WildRover said:
I am surprised Randy Moss is not even being considered here.
After two down years, I'm not surprised. He also hasn't looked the same. But I agree inasmuch as I think Moss will surprise many this year.As for me, I still like Chad Johnson over the rest.
Randy Moss with Aaron Brooks throwing to him.....yechI like SS 1, Holt 2
 
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Where does this false perception of Holt being a consistent top 5 WR even come from?

Code:
Year		Value		Pos. Rank	Overall Rank--------------------------------------------------1999		   0			35			 862000		  90			 7			 172001		  49			 8			 292002		  36			15			 442003		 138			 2			  62004		  70			 7			 192005		  71			 6			 15
I count exactly 1 top 5 season here. Not to mention that several other WRs have far better potential to be the #1 overall IMO.
 
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Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll said:
I love all the caution to the wind on Keyshawn's impact on Steve Smith. :lmao: Give me a break.If Keyshawn lined up next to TO or CJ, nobody would say a word.
Steve Smith really had no decent #2 WR while CJ has Houshmanzadeh and TO has Terry Glenn. For the record if Key had stayed a Cowboy I think people would have downgraded TO. In Carolina for the past two years (Smith in 05 and Muhammed in 04) there has been only one good reciever to hog all the targets. When Smith had a viable #2 with Muhammed in 03 he put up good but not elite numbers. I think its logical to think that Key will steal of Smith's production also factor in more of a rushing attack with addition of D. Williams for the Panthers.
This year, I figured they'd just blanket Smith. Now, it's a little tougher. Does Wayne help Harrison? I think Keyshawn helps him, but that's just me.
 
If you guys want consistency then you should be taking this guy:

Year Value Pos. Rank Overall Rank--------------------------------------------------1996 17 21 541997 7 25 661998 0 31 811999 119 1 72000 115 2 72001 114 1 52002 119 1 62003 83 5 152004 74 5 172005 70 9 18--------------------------------------------------Not Torry Holt.

 
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Wow is Holt overrated.
I read this in this forum every year, and every year he puts up top 5 numbers. FF is about consistency. Holt is the closest thing to a guaranteed 100 yds/1 TD per week that you will find. The word "overrated" shouldn't even be in the same sentence as Torry Holt.
:goodposting: :moneybag:Honestly, I dont know why any choice is better than another. Unless you can forsee injury, youre essentially picking from 1a, 1b, 1c etc. If you really think taking Holt over SSmith or vice versa will make or break your season then: :ptts:
 
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Wow is Holt overrated.
I read this in this forum every year, and every year he puts up top 5 numbers. FF is about consistency. Holt is the closest thing to a guaranteed 100 yds/1 TD per week that you will find. The word "overrated" shouldn't even be in the same sentence as Torry Holt.
:goodposting: :bank:
This is severly inaccurate posting.Again, 7 seasons 1 top 5 finish.TO is more prone to hit 100/1.Holt has never finished as WR1.Holt at WR1 = overrated.
 
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Wow is Holt overrated.
I read this in this forum every year, and every year he puts up top 5 numbers. FF is about consistency. Holt is the closest thing to a guaranteed 100 yds/1 TD per week that you will find. The word "overrated" shouldn't even be in the same sentence as Torry Holt.
:goodposting: :bank:
This is severly inaccurate posting.Again, 7 seasons 1 top 5 finish.TO is more prone to hit 100/1.Holt has never finished as WR1.Holt at WR1 = overrated.
Last I checked, consistancy also refers to reliablility: whether you can expect this guy to show up every week. Hence, I think injury, suspension, etc are all negative factors. Can you rely on TO? Nope. Can you rely on CJ? Well theres always a chance at a suspension with his mouth and the league's new celebration policy. Do you want to be that guy who ends up at Aaron Brooks' mercy?Its hard to single out someone from the SSmith, Fitzgerald, Holt category but it comes down to this. 7 season s from holt, only missed two games. And even with that he put up one of the best statistical seasons of his career. From a PPR standpoint, I dont know of a safer bet. 90+ receptions, 1300+ yards and ~8 TD's every year. You can count on him on the field and not to screw up off the field. One of the few quality players/people of our era. :thumbup:
 
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Wow is Holt overrated.
I read this in this forum every year, and every year he puts up top 5 numbers. FF is about consistency. Holt is the closest thing to a guaranteed 100 yds/1 TD per week that you will find. The word "overrated" shouldn't even be in the same sentence as Torry Holt.
:goodposting: :bank:
This is severly inaccurate posting.Again, 7 seasons 1 top 5 finish.TO is more prone to hit 100/1.Holt has never finished as WR1.Holt at WR1 = overrated.
Last I checked, consistancy also refers to reliablility: whether you can expect this guy to show up every week. Hence, I think injury, suspension, etc are all negative factors. Can you rely on TO? Nope. Can you rely on CJ? Well theres always a chance at a suspension with his mouth and the league's new celebration policy. Do you want to be that guy who ends up at Aaron Brooks' mercy?Its hard to single out someone from the SSmith, Fitzgerald, Holt category but it comes down to this. 7 season s from holt, only missed two games. And even with that he put up one of the best statistical seasons of his career. From a PPR standpoint, I dont know of a safer bet. 90+ receptions, 1300+ yards and ~8 TD's. :thumbup:
The name Marrvin Harrison mean anything to you?
 
Holt can't be overated when he can move up only say 5 spots to the top slot. I will go with one of the Arizona Receivers im thinking Boldin over Fitzgerald. Boldin actually played in 14 games had 1402 yards and 103 receptions, and had the nerve to have one game where he only ran for 15 yards and had no receptions in that game. That is unreal when you think about it. 8 catches per game at 14 yards a catch. I know they have James but this team will be a pass to setup the run with that oline.

 
If you guys want consistency then you should be taking this guy:

Code:
Year		Value		Pos. Rank	Overall Rank--------------------------------------------------1996		  17			21			 541997		   7			25			 661998		   0			31			 811999		 119			 1			  72000		 115			 2			  72001		 114			 1			  52002		 119			 1			  62003		  83			 5			 152004		  74			 5			 172005		  70			 9			 18--------------------------------------------------
Not Torry Holt.
OK ... so who is that? TO?
 
Wow is Holt overrated.
I read this in this forum every year, and every year he puts up top 5 numbers. FF is about consistency. Holt is the closest thing to a guaranteed 100 yds/1 TD per week that you will find. The word "overrated" shouldn't even be in the same sentence as Torry Holt.
:goodposting: :bank:
This is severly inaccurate posting.Again, 7 seasons 1 top 5 finish.TO is more prone to hit 100/1.Holt has never finished as WR1.Holt at WR1 = overrated.
Last I checked, consistancy also refers to reliablility: whether you can expect this guy to show up every week. Hence, I think injury, suspension, etc are all negative factors. Can you rely on TO? Nope. Can you rely on CJ? Well theres always a chance at a suspension with his mouth and the league's new celebration policy. Do you want to be that guy who ends up at Aaron Brooks' mercy?Its hard to single out someone from the SSmith, Fitzgerald, Holt category but it comes down to this. 7 season s from holt, only missed two games. And even with that he put up one of the best statistical seasons of his career. From a PPR standpoint, I dont know of a safer bet. 90+ receptions, 1300+ yards and ~8 TD's. :thumbup:
The name Marrvin Harrison mean anything to you?
Cant believe I left him out of the conversation. Another great pick that should have been there with Holt. Age may be a concern but that frankly has never been much of an issue. Still, I like Holt's upside. Youre looking at close to 120 receptons if he plays 16 games.EDIT: Im not vouching for him here, Im just saying that him being overated is a bit of an overstatement.
 
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If you guys want consistency then you should be taking this guy:

Code:
Year		Value		Pos. Rank	Overall Rank--------------------------------------------------1996		  17			21			 541997		   7			25			 661998		   0			31			 811999		 119			 1			  72000		 115			 2			  72001		 114			 1			  52002		 119			 1			  62003		  83			 5			 152004		  74			 5			 172005		  70			 9			 18--------------------------------------------------
Not Torry Holt.
OK ... so who is that? TO?
Marvin Harrison i think
 
If you guys want consistency then you should be taking this guy:

Code:
Year		Value		Pos. Rank	Overall Rank--------------------------------------------------1996		  17			21			 541997		   7			25			 661998		   0			31			 811999		 119			 1			  72000		 115			 2			  72001		 114			 1			  52002		 119			 1			  62003		  83			 5			 152004		  74			 5			 172005		  70			 9			 18--------------------------------------------------
Not Torry Holt.
OK ... so who is that? TO?
Marvin Harrison i think
:yes:
 
If you want nice numbers over the last three years, this guy's are hard to beat.

Code:
Year		Value		Pos. Rank	Overall Rank--------------------------------------------------2001		   0			78			2632002		  26			18			 532003		  91			 3			 112004		  58			 9			 242005		  84			 4			 11
 
If you want nice numbers over the last three years, this guy's are hard to beat.

Code:
Year		Value		Pos. Rank	Overall Rank--------------------------------------------------2001		   0			78			2632002		  26			18			 532003		  91			 3			 112004		  58			 9			 242005		  84			 4			 11
Loss of Palmer is a huge red flag at the moment though.
 
Wow is Holt overrated.
I read this in this forum every year, and every year he puts up top 5 numbers. FF is about consistency. Holt is the closest thing to a guaranteed 100 yds/1 TD per week that you will find. The word "overrated" shouldn't even be in the same sentence as Torry Holt.
:goodposting: :bank:
This is severly inaccurate posting.Again, 7 seasons 1 top 5 finish.

TO is more prone to hit 100/1.

Holt has never finished as WR1.

Holt at WR1 = overrated.
Please read this page and get back to me.http://www.nfl.com/stats/2003/regular

And yes, Iunderstand that different leagues score differently. But in the last 3 seasons Holt has finished:

2003- 1st total receiving yards, 2nd receiving TD's, 1st overall receptions

2004- 4th total receiving yards, tied for 10th receiving TD's, 5th overall receptions

2005- 6th receiving yards, tied for 9th receiving TD's, 4th overall receptions

Severely innacurate? I think not.

 
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I think TO has the highest ceiling due to his ability for high TD totals but he also has quite a bit of risk. I'm not sure who I would take...Holt or Smith

 
Wow is Holt overrated.
Nope, thanks for asking.
Dave Baker said:
WildRover said:
I am surprised Randy Moss is not even being considered here.
After two down years, I'm not surprised. He also hasn't looked the same. But I agree inasmuch as I think Moss will surprise many this year.As for me, I still like Chad Johnson over the rest.
Randy Moss with Aaron Brooks throwing to him.....yech
I'm with you, man. Aaron Brooks couldn't make a stud fantasy WR if his life depended on it.
 
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll said:
I love all the caution to the wind on Keyshawn's impact on Steve Smith. :lmao: Give me a break.

If Keyshawn lined up next to TO or CJ, nobody would say a word.
Steve Smith really had no decent #2 WR while CJ has Houshmanzadeh and TO has Terry Glenn. For the record if Key had stayed a Cowboy I think people would have downgraded TO. In Carolina for the past two years (Smith in 05 and Muhammed in 04) there has been only one good reciever to hog all the targets. When Smith had a viable #2 with Muhammed in 03 he put up good but not elite numbers. I think its logical to think that Key will steal of Smith's production also factor in more of a rushing attack with addition of D. Williams for the Panthers.
actually if you look at the numbers in 2003 you will see something completely different then what you describe....if you look at when steve smith started to truly break out(week 5 of 2003) and then extrapolate those numbers out you will find that he did in fact put up what should/can be considered elite numbers....

for the final 12 games in 2003:

Muhammad put up 42/694 extapolated out for a 16 game season you are looking at 61/1009

Smith put up 79/979 extrapolated out for a 16 game season and you are looking at 105/1305

I would say that 105/1305 are elite WR numbers....you can look here to see how I broke down the carolina offensive projections LINK

 
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