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I have this burning recollection of a dropped TD ~> I’ve fallen and I can’t get up hip pointer knocking me out of the FF playoffs in a game I lost by 3 points. He came out a couple times trying to gut it out but produced a goose egg, ending my season.
Didnt mean to imply it was a good pick just a tidbit on where he went. I had the 8th overall and was hoping he would sneak back around to me in the 4rth. This was a virtual draft so I will ask my neighbor today about it when I see him
Tyrod’s best passing yardage total as a starter was 3,000 yards. Rivers threw for 4,600 yards last year. Unless the Chargers turn Taylor into a volume passer, the Chargers passing and receiving totals are going to drop off.
He's one of those guys that I hope it doesn't happen as I have been passing on him in every league. But I totally understand the rational, to the point where I almost regret not getting a few sprinkles of Cobb on my teams.
It depends if the Chargers are still in contention. And even if (when) he does, I still don’t see him hitting 290 yards passing a game like Rivers. In the last 50 years, there have only been 4 rookie QBs that played in 8 games that averaged 240 yards passing per game.
rookie QB's do much better in recent years, no? 50 years might be a little too much of stretch for this query?
It still doesn't change that there aren’t many guys that hit the ground gunning. Four of 65 rookie QB’s since 2000 that played in 8+ games have averaged 240 passing yards.
I love that you bring stats to your point, but they aren't always relevant though. Like for instance, 65 rookie QB's since 2000. Of those 65, how many have played and started 8 games as is suggested for Hebert here. How many of those were first round picks? I bet all of a sudden the numbers are much more positive as you tried to paint a picture of near impossibility. It is very possible that Hebert can throw for 240 yards a game in today's NFL if he gets an opportunity to play. If anything, it is a near guarantee that the passing game will be much improved with Hebert in there, even if he doesn't reach the "240 ypg" mark.
The bar I set was 290 . . . NOT 240. And why am I the one being asked to research YOUR position?
Herbert can also run much better than folks realize. I think he might even be an upgrade on TMobile
This wasn't my stance at all, I just jumped in the conversation as I found your research to be a little dishonest on this particular point. You are correct, 290 is probably not going to happen, but that is clearly not a fair bar to clear here. You went to 240, which is a much more realistic possibility, so that's why i went with that number.
I'm think sometime around week 5 is when it happens. The lack of preseason will hurt initially, but once he gets some carries, I think he's there to stay. The only thing that concerns me is goal line carries.
That’s seems....early. Cost of league entry =/= skill of managers.
Weird things happen in every draft. He did you a favor because 4.xx would have even been a slight reach. But not unreasonable, like 3.03 is.
Why not go all the way back to leather helmets, before they invented “the forward pass”?
I commented on something similar in another thread. Rivers threw the ball almost 600 times last year and one year had 660 attempts. The most attempts Taylor has had in a season is 436. I would not expect the same volume of passing attempts with Taylor . . . so Allen could see the most targets on the team and still have a dip in total targets. Allen averaged 9.3 targets per game last year. If Taylor is used similarly to when he started in BUF, he averaged 10 fewer passing attempts per game than Rivers did last year.
I also recall Rivers having more of a knack for air yards, where Ekeler seems like he’ll be the king or dump-offs once again.
