I don't see what I saw at Miami.
This is the major point right here. Thats becuase he isn't there yet! If and when he is though, WAHTCH OUT. I think many like myself are confident he can be at that point next year much like Edge was this year.
the main for me being "if"
Agreed, but even IF he does not get there again, he is still playing well enough to be a top 5 RB. Thats impressive.
he's putting up similar numbers to what Henry put up in 2002 and 2003 (and in some cases worse). I don't think Henry was ever a top 5 RB.
He's only been a featured back/starter in 11 games one of which he did not finish. So 10 games really. In those 10 games he has gone for 954 yds and 11 tds. Thats about (and I hate doing this), 1526/18 for the year. I don't recall Henry ever having any years like that.
great. if you can pull out the game he didn't finish, i can pull out the 4 TD game and extrapolate that. be right back.
I didn't pull anything out. Look it up yourself on
NFL.com. Willis has only STARTED 10 games this season.
he has also had 6 games with less than 15 carries. 4 of which he did not even hit 10.There have only been 2 times all year that Willis has had 15+ carries, but not gotten 100 yds. as well
so you're not going to count a game when he had 16 carries in a yards/game, TDs/game extrapolation? Something tells me if he had 16/94/1 you'd be using it.We're starting to split hairs and I don't think that's the point. So far, McGahee's stats are very similar to Henry's in 2002 and 2003. Henry wins in total yards and YPC, McGahee wins in TDs. They're close enough where I don't see a significant difference. And given that, McGahee is being hyped as a top 5 prospect, and I don't see it.
Make it easier on yourselves.McGahee has 3.9 ypa if you factor in all his attempts. No need to not count this game or weigh the other game more heavily. That's what he did 266 attempts in 2004. That places him 10th in attempts for 2004. Nit picking makes no sense because you've already got a good RB attempts sample size.
How many attempts do you see Buffalo giving him next year? Will the defense be as good? Will Bledsoe be back? If so how much worse will he be next year if that's possible. Will JP Losman be named the starter midway through the season? Can the o-line improve as is? If not, do the adjustments they make in the off-season look good? Will the special teams be as good as they are right now? Will they be a winning team? That's a lot of questions to answer for one guy and everyone is arguing over whether or not you should count a 16 attempt game as valid.
All we know is, McGahee with his current offense has 3.9 ypa. If he gets a top 10 workload next year, he'd come up with similar stats as he has now. The biggest question mark for me is the defense. Are they gonna be able to play up to this level for the 3rd year in a row and consistenly be able to cover for Bledsoe's mistakes? Will the ST teams unit be as dominant, giving the offense good field position? Right now, I think it's an uphill battle for McGahee to REPEAT much less exceed what he's doing now. The only thing he has in his corner right now is youth (which isn't a bad thing for a RB) and hopefully fully recovered from the knee injury. Picking him top 5 just seems too high risk for me as things stand right now. Come August, the situation might be improved.
