To all the Maroney haters out there, and even just the avoiders...
The Patriots will be much more of a rushing team this year.
Learn it . . . Live it . . . Love it
Belichick, more so than any other coach, goes with what will work. If you look at the Patriots schedule this year, they go against many really bad rush defenses, and not many bad pass defenses...
Here is the 2008 schedule with their opponent's 2007 fantasy points per game, or combined TDs and yards, rankings...
Team Rushing Passing
KC.......23...........03
NYJ......28...........06
Mia......31...........16
bye
SF.......17...........22
SD......15...........13
Den.....30...........12
StL......25...........23
Ind......12...........01
Buf......26...........21
NYJ......28...........06
Mia......31...........16
Pit.......02...........04
Sea.....21...........07
Oak.....32...........05
Ari.......14...........27
Buf......26...........21
Yes, those rankings will change this year, teams like Mia will probably be much better against the rush, but the trend of lighter running schedule compared to passing schedule should still be true.
Rushing
1 in the 10 - 01
3 in the 16 - 11
4 in the 25 - 17
8 in the 32 - 26
Or 4 games against top half rushing Ds, and 12 against bottom half
Passing
7 in the 10 - 01
4 in the 16 - 11
4 in the 25 - 17
1 in the 32 - 26
Or 11 games against top half passing Ds, and 5 against bottom half
So, what has the team done? Dropped Dante Stallworth without replacing him, and added Lemont Jordan. This seems to say the emphasis will be more on the running game.
I'm not saying that they will be a bad passing team, just nowhere near last year, probably around 10th, which is closer to their normal production with Brady.
This leaves more opportunities for the RB, and the starter is Maroney. At the end of the last season, when they did start running more, his per game average was 19.6 carries, 102 yards and 1.3 TDs. That's not bad. He could very easily finish as a top 10 RB this year, which is much higher then his current ADP of RB17.