I was not on his train in the summer, but the buzz has been pretty consistent, and he's a special athlete. (I was out in this guy and Brian Thomas, looks like two whiffs).
Only from a dynasty lens, I think the arrow is pointing in the right direction. And after the "business decision" play which got some traction, I might now be higher on him than consensus. Maybe a lot higher.
I could see a lot of things breaking his way. For one, ARich isn't throwing for 300 yards, but that can change. Bad QB situations become good ones quickly.
For another, I think there's a good chance Michael Pittman is only decent. If I thought Pittman was a true #1, that would cap AD. But Pittman has been a compiler in IND. I drafted this guy as a rookie, and I cannot recall a special game from him.