As to the notion that Branch will hold out for 10 games, come in, and get franchised, that makes no sense to me. They will have just lived without him for the majority of this season, and obviously don't view him as a top 5 WR, but they're going to turn around and pay him top 5 money next season? And keep him around unhappy?
The Pats are so far under the cap right now that they could franchise him out of spite and not play him. I'm not sure if they changed the rules after the T.O. mess, so maybe they play him a couple plays a game (as you can't tell the coach how to use his players).I've been following this pretty closely, and Branch and the team are so far apart that I'me not sure meeting in the middle will be all that easy.Branch's argument seems to hinge on what he MIGHT be able to do as the clear #1 on another team and that it's essentially not his fault that the Pats spread the ball around so much. The Pats feel that SINCE they spread the ball around so much they should not have to pay him as a top shelf WR1. Branch looks at what Givens got as a contract as what is beneath him and what Wayne has as a starting point. (He also seems to think that he deserves more than Wayne, as some sources are saying he was more on average than what Wayne got). He also has been pointing to the $11.5 million signing bonus Randle El got from Washington.The Pats seem to be offering him a bit more than Givens got from Tennessee, but certainly not what Wayne got (or more). The last formal offer that I saw had Branch averaging a deent amount per year over the length of the contract, but the majority of the money was wrapped up in the last two years when the Pats could easily cut him if they choice or try to get him to restructure. I also believe the signing bonus was close to half what he wanted.Add it all up and from what I've seen, there are a lot of reasons why Branch could sit in idle for a few months. The Pats still are roughly $15 million under the cap last I saw, have Brady lamenting about having no one to throw to and Branch being his #1 guy, and a whole lot of question marks at WR without Branch in the lineup.What needs to happen is the Pats need to open up the check book and kick in some more money in a more player friendly deal (ie not all rolled into the last year of the contract) with a decent signing bonus. They certainly can afford it in real money or cap dollars. Branch also needs to wake up and understand that he's not a true uber elite receiver. As it's been said many, many times, he struggles with double teams and IMO is not a Randy Moss, Chad Johnson, et al. He's very good, but he's not elite.
Maybe he's not, but it stands to reason that he'll get more on the open market. The Pats are a system offense, and don't feel they need to pay a #1 WR, fair enough. That doesn't mean they are in the right by lowballing him. Branch knows that the second contract is the only big one most guys get, he should take less because the Pats are such a swell organization? Of course not. But the Pats can play hardball here, force him to play this season on his rook deal, then franchise him for one season. Which is within their rights.And Branch can as well. He can sit out 10 games, avoiding injury, and taking away Brady's #1 target. Which is within his rights as a player. But I have feeling that Branch's actions will be seen as selfish, but the Pats actions will just be the act of a fiscally sound organization.As to Branch hurting himself by holding out, or "playing with fire", I don't see that. If he comes back in week 9 or 10, and plays out his deal, then hits the open market, he'll get his money.EDIT: These comments weren't directed at you, David, more just in 'general' thoughts.