What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

WR Deion Branch Back to NE (1 Viewer)

This makes the Moss trade look terrible, in my opinion. I thought it was a trade of confidence, now it just looks like they are panicking. I know it is "just" a 4th, but this is a steal for Seattle.Regards,THE FANTASY KING
FANTASY KING, what are your thoughts on Branch's fantasy value? Do you see a spike in his receptions as I do?
 
This makes the Moss trade look terrible, in my opinion. I thought it was a trade of confidence, now it just looks like they are panicking. I know it is "just" a 4th, but this is a steal for Seattle.

Regards,

THE FANTASY KING
I don't think you trade a fourth rounder for a guy to be your fourth WR.
Why not? Here are the recent WRs taken in the fourth round:2000: Gari Scott, Trevor Gaylor, Anthony Lucas, Avion Black

2001: Milton Wynn, Justin McCareins, Cedric James

2002: Ron Johnson

2003: Shaun McDonald, Brandon Lloyd, Sam Aiken

2004: Carlos Francis, Samie Parker, Ernest Wilford

2005: Jerome Mathis, Craphonso Thorpe, Chase Lyman [poor guy], Fred Gibson, Roydell Williams

2006: Michael Robinson, Brad Smith, Cory Rodgers, Jason Avant, Demetrius Williams, Will Blackmon, Brandon Marshall, Skyler Green, Domenik Hixon

2007: Ryne Robinson, Chris Davis

2008: William Franklin, Marcus Smith, Arman Shields, Lavelle Hawkins, Keenan Burton

2009: Mike Thomas, Brian Hartline, Louis Murphy, Austin Collie

The bolded are the ones who at some point in their careers appear to be worthy of being at least a WR3 on a passing team.

If you can get someone you know can be a solid contributor, in exchange for a pick that will net you one of these guys, you do it.

 
This makes the Moss trade look terrible, in my opinion. I thought it was a trade of confidence, now it just looks like they are panicking. I know it is "just" a 4th, but this is a steal for Seattle.

Regards,

THE FANTASY KING
I don't think you trade a fourth rounder for a guy to be your fourth WR.
Why not? Here are the recent WRs taken in the fourth round:2000: Gari Scott, Trevor Gaylor, Anthony Lucas, Avion Black

2001: Milton Wynn, Justin McCareins, Cedric James

2002: Ron Johnson

2003: Shaun McDonald, Brandon Lloyd, Sam Aiken

2004: Carlos Francis, Samie Parker, Ernest Wilford

2005: Jerome Mathis, Craphonso Thorpe, Chase Lyman [poor guy], Fred Gibson, Roydell Williams

2006: Michael Robinson, Brad Smith, Cory Rodgers, Jason Avant, Demetrius Williams, Will Blackmon, Brandon Marshall, Skyler Green, Domenik Hixon

2007: Ryne Robinson, Chris Davis

2008: William Franklin, Marcus Smith, Arman Shields, Lavelle Hawkins, Keenan Burton

2009: Mike Thomas, Brian Hartline, Louis Murphy, Austin Collie

The bolded are the ones who at some point in their careers appear to be worthy of being at least a WR3 on a passing team.

If you can get someone you know can be a solid contributor, in exchange for a pick that will net you one of these guys, you do it.
Unless there is a new NFL rule that one must draft a WR in the 4th round I hardly see how this is relevant. A 4th round pick is rather valuable in the NFL. I know 31 other teams that wish they drafted Tom Brady in the 4th round of the 2000 draft...
 
Unless there is a new NFL rule that one must draft a WR in the 4th round I hardly see how this is relevant. A 4th round pick is rather valuable in the NFL. I know 31 other teams that wish they drafted Tom Brady in the 4th round of the 2000 draft...
Geeze, are you going to make me go through this exercise with every position? OK, here are some of the fourth-round QBs taken recently:2000: none

2001: Marques Tuiasosopo

2002: David Garrard, Rohan Davey

2003: Seneca Wallace

2004: Luke McCown

2005: Kyle Orton, Stefan Lefors

2006: none

2007: Isaiah Stanback

2008: none

2009: Pat White

So I'll be generous and give you Kyle Orton and David Garrard as starting-quality QBs; that's two of those in the past 10 years in the fourth round.

The vast majority of fourth round picks at any position will never start a game in the NFL.

 
This makes the Moss trade look terrible, in my opinion. I thought it was a trade of confidence, now it just looks like they are panicking. I know it is "just" a 4th, but this is a steal for Seattle.

Regards,

THE FANTASY KING
I don't think you trade a fourth rounder for a guy to be your fourth WR.
Why not? Here are the recent WRs taken in the fourth round:2000: Gari Scott, Trevor Gaylor, Anthony Lucas, Avion Black

2001: Milton Wynn, Justin McCareins, Cedric James

2002: Ron Johnson

2003: Shaun McDonald, Brandon Lloyd, Sam Aiken

2004: Carlos Francis, Samie Parker, Ernest Wilford

2005: Jerome Mathis, Craphonso Thorpe, Chase Lyman [poor guy], Fred Gibson, Roydell Williams

2006: Michael Robinson, Brad Smith, Cory Rodgers, Jason Avant, Demetrius Williams, Will Blackmon, Brandon Marshall, Skyler Green, Domenik Hixon

2007: Ryne Robinson, Chris Davis

2008: William Franklin, Marcus Smith, Arman Shields, Lavelle Hawkins, Keenan Burton

2009: Mike Thomas, Brian Hartline, Louis Murphy, Austin Collie

The bolded are the ones who at some point in their careers appear to be worthy of being at least a WR3 on a passing team.

If you can get someone you know can be a solid contributor, in exchange for a pick that will net you one of these guys, you do it.
Ummm, so you would happily give away Brandon Marshall for a guy who you intend to use as a deep backup? Teams consider a fourth round pick to be valuable, I can tell you that.
 
Ummm, so you would happily give away Brandon Marshall for a guy who you intend to use as a deep backup? Teams consider a fourth round pick to be valuable, I can tell you that.
No, I would happily give away a chance at a one-in-20 lottery ticket for a guy I know will contribute to my team.
 
Ummm, so you would happily give away Brandon Marshall for a guy who you intend to use as a deep backup? Teams consider a fourth round pick to be valuable, I can tell you that.
No, I would happily give away a chance at a one-in-20 lottery ticket for a guy I know will contribute to my team.
Except the premise here is that he WON"T contribute much. My point was that Branch will contribute and won't be a deep backup. He will be heavily involved and will get more of a share of this offense than the people who jumped on Tate and Edelman care to admit. Otherwise, the trade is really stupid. Because a one in 20 chance at Brandon Marshall IS worth more than a guy who catches 20 or 30 passes as a fourth receiver.
 
4th round picks are valuable because they are temporary slave labor with some longterm upside. its not because they are expecting to find studs.

 
Ummm, so you would happily give away Brandon Marshall for a guy who you intend to use as a deep backup? Teams consider a fourth round pick to be valuable, I can tell you that.
No, I would happily give away a chance at a one-in-20 lottery ticket for a guy I know will contribute to my team.
Except the premise here is that he WON"T contribute much. My point was that Branch will contribute and won't be a deep backup. He will be heavily involved and will get more of a share of this offense than the people who jumped on Tate and Edelman care to admit. Otherwise, the trade is really stupid. Because a one in 20 chance at Brandon Marshall IS worth more than a guy who catches 20 or 30 passes as a fourth receiver.
New England runs a lot of 3WR sets, so he'll be on the field. But I would be surprised if he takes the majority of the snaps at this point in his career. It's really silly to think he'll contribute more than that simply because they traded a fourth-rounder for him. They used a fourth-rounder on Rich Ohrnberger last year and cut him this year. They used a third-rounder on Brandon Tate and a seventh-rounder on Edelman. Branch will contribute if he can contribute; it has nothing to do with the compensation required to acquire him.
 
Ummm, so you would happily give away Brandon Marshall for a guy who you intend to use as a deep backup? Teams consider a fourth round pick to be valuable, I can tell you that.
No, I would happily give away a chance at a one-in-20 lottery ticket for a guy I know will contribute to my team.
Except the premise here is that he WON"T contribute much. My point was that Branch will contribute and won't be a deep backup. He will be heavily involved and will get more of a share of this offense than the people who jumped on Tate and Edelman care to admit. Otherwise, the trade is really stupid. Because a one in 20 chance at Brandon Marshall IS worth more than a guy who catches 20 or 30 passes as a fourth receiver.
New England runs a lot of 3WR sets, so he'll be on the field. But I would be surprised if he takes the majority of the snaps at this point in his career. It's really silly to think he'll contribute more than that simply because they traded a fourth-rounder for him. They used a fourth-rounder on Rich Ohrnberger last year and cut him this year. They used a third-rounder on Brandon Tate and a seventh-rounder on Edelman. Branch will contribute if he can contribute; it has nothing to do with the compensation required to acquire him.
that's really not true anymore --- that was more a mcdaniels thing.and ohrnberger isn't cut.

 
Here is an interview done today with Pats insider Tom Curran about Deion Branch's return and possible role going forward. (LINK)

Bottom line: Tom Brady wanted Branch, they got him Branch. This was more about appeasing Brady than it was an organization wanting a player to fill a big role.

 
The Pats have to give SEA their best 4th round pick whatever that turns out to be. Clearly as things stand now that would be the pick they got from DEN. I believe if they acquire another 4th round pick even better than Denver's, it's the best pick in the round that has to head to SEA.

Bottom line, the Pats traded Maroney for Branch.

I'm still looking into whether Branch renegotiated or did anything different to his contract.

 
Pats took Branch's contract as is ($5.5 million this year, roughly $6 million next year) but are currently trying to renegotiate changes to his contract.

 
So, owning a Pats WR is going to be like owning a Saints WR? I'm still shocked that the Patriots gave up a 4th to get Branch back! :eek: (not to be confused with Reche Caldwell)

 
I'm not a fan of this move at all. 4th for Branch is too steep a price to pay. I don't see a role he fills on this team that couldn't be filled by someone already on the roster. He has injury issues. I don't see this helping much at all, unless Branch shows a penchant for mentoring the younger guys.

I don't expect to see much in the way of on-field value from Branch.

 
I suspect that Branch goes to near the front of the WR line and will see a lot of reps on the outside opposite Tate. Welker continues to get his as a first option guy. Hernandez continues to get used in various spots in a variety of formations. Edelman loses out and looks to be a backup to Welker at this point and recovering from an ankle injury in training camp won't help him get more time on the field.

Brady apparently was really, really the driving force in getting Branch. Can't see them not sticking him on the field a lot just to be no more than a bit player. NE is on the hook for $4+ million for Branch this year, so I doubt he is relegated to being a bottom of the depth chart guy.

Whether Brady and Branch still have it, whether Branch has lost a step, and whether Branch can stay healthy are all big question marks at this point.

 
Pats took Branch's contract as is ($5.5 million this year, roughly $6 million next year) but are currently trying to renegotiate changes to his contract.
I wonder if Brady is kicking in any of his own money, if he's really the one who pushed for Branch to come back...
 
So what kind of pass rusher or corner can you get for a 4th and a $5 mil contract?
20104-2 100 Everson Griffin Vikings DE USC 4 102 Darryl Sharpton Texans LB Miami (FL) 5 103 Perry Riley Redskins LB Louisiana State 6 104 Alterraun Verner Titans DB UCLA 7 105 Trevard Lindley Eagles DB Kentucky 11 109 Corey Wootton Bears DE Northwestern 12 110 Darrell Stuckey Chargers DB Kansas 13 111 Walter Thurmond Seahawks DB Oregon 17 115 Phillip Dillard Giants LB Nebraska 18 116 Thaddeus Gibson Steelers LB Ohio State 21 119 A.J. Edds Dolphins LB Iowa 23 121 Keenan Clayton Eagles LB Oklahoma 26 124 Eric Norwood Panthers LB South Carolina 28 126 Akwasi Owusu-Ansah Cowboys DB Indiana (PA) 29 127 E.J. Wilson Seahawks DE North Carolina 32 130 O'Brien Schofield Cardinals LB Wisconsin 20094 2 102 Donald Washington Chiefs DB Ohio State 4 104 Kaluka Maiava Browns LB USC 5 105 Henry Melton Bears DE Texas 10 110 Victor Butler Cowboys DE Oregon State 12 112 Glover Quin Texans DB New Mexico 14 114 David Bruton Broncos DB Notre Dame 16 116 Chip Vaughn Saints DB Wake Forest 17 117 Kyle Moore Buccaneers DE USC 18 118 Stanley Arnoux Saints LB Wake Forest 19 119 D.J. Moore Bears DB Vanderbilt 20 120 Brandon Williams Cowboys DE Texas Tech 25 125 Lawrence Sidbury Jr. Falcons DE Richmond 26 126 Slade Norris Raiders LB Oregon State 30 130 Gerald McRath Titans LB Southern Mississippi 31 131 Greg Toler Cardinals DB St. Pauls 20084 1 100 Tyvon Branch Raiders DB Connecticut 2 101 Justin King Rams DB Penn State 3 102 Jeremy Thompson Packers DE Wake Forest 4 103 William Hayes Titans DE Winston-Salem State 5 104 Beau Bell Browns LB Nevada-Las Vegas 14 113 Dwight Lowery Jets DB San Jose State 15 114 Reggie Corner Bills DB Akron 17 116 Kenny Iwebema Cardinals DE Iowa 18 117 Quintin Demps Eagles DB Texas-El Paso 19 118 Xavier Adibi Texans LB Virginia Tech 20 119 Jack Williams Broncos DB Kent State 21 120 Craig Steltz Bears DB Louisiana State 24 123 Bryan Kehl Giants LB Brigham Young 25 124 Justin Tryon Redskins DB Arizona State 30 129 Jonathan Wilhite Patriots DB Auburn 32 131 Jack Ikegwuonu Eagles DB Wisconsin 20074 4 101 Darnell Bing Raiders DB USC 5 102 Calvin Lowry Titans DB Penn State 8 105 Ko Simpson Bills DB South Carolina 13 110 Leon Williams Browns LB Miami (FL) 16 113 Victor Adeyanju Rams DE Indiana 19 116 Stephen Tulloch Titans LB North Carolina State 23 120 Jamar Williams Bears LB Arizona State 24 121 Nate Salley Panthers DB Ohio State 25 122 Alan Zemaitis Buccaneers DB Penn State 29 126 Elvis Dumervil Broncos DE Louisville 30 127 Ray Edwards Vikings DE Purdue 20064 1 102 Sean Considine Eagles DB Iowa 2 103 Antonio Perkins Browns DB Oklahoma 3 104 Travis Daniels Dolphins DB Louisiana State 7 108 Vincent Fuller Titans DB Virginia Tech 14 115 Marviel Underwood Packers DB San Diego State 16 117 Jerome Carter Rams DB Florida State 22 123 Kerry Rhodes Jets DB Louisville 24 125 Brady Poppinga Packers LB Brigham Young 27 128 Chauncey Davis Falcons DE Florida State 31 132 Chris Canty Cowboys DE Virginia 32 133 James Sanders Patriots DB Fresno State
 
In the 16th century they used the sword to duel, by the mid-18th century the duelling pistol was on the scene. Now we have the duelling emoticon; I suppose this is progress.
This is one of the better posts I've ever read on this board. Please accept this rare emoticon that I have never once used as my humble thanks. :goodposting: As far as Branch, DY is right. I see him starting on the outside opposite Tate as soon as he is ready. Also, someone mentioned the Pats run a lot of 3-wide, that actually is not true this year. That formation has been in the minority. The top formation is the 2TE 2WR set. Again, it's been said but bears repeating: the big winner here is Aaron Hernandez. I see him as Top 5 TE going forward, red zone look dependent.
 
So what kind of pass rusher or corner can you get for a 4th and a $5 mil contract?
20104-2 100 Everson Griffin Vikings DE USC 4 102 Darryl Sharpton Texans LB Miami (FL) 5 103 Perry Riley Redskins LB Louisiana State 6 104 Alterraun Verner Titans DB UCLA 7 105 Trevard Lindley Eagles DB Kentucky 11 109 Corey Wootton Bears DE Northwestern 12 110 Darrell Stuckey Chargers DB Kansas 13 111 Walter Thurmond Seahawks DB Oregon 17 115 Phillip Dillard Giants LB Nebraska 18 116 Thaddeus Gibson Steelers LB Ohio State 21 119 A.J. Edds Dolphins LB Iowa 23 121 Keenan Clayton Eagles LB Oklahoma 26 124 Eric Norwood Panthers LB South Carolina 28 126 Akwasi Owusu-Ansah Cowboys DB Indiana (PA) 29 127 E.J. Wilson Seahawks DE North Carolina 32 130 O'Brien Schofield Cardinals LB Wisconsin 20094 2 102 Donald Washington Chiefs DB Ohio State 4 104 Kaluka Maiava Browns LB USC 5 105 Henry Melton Bears DE Texas 10 110 Victor Butler Cowboys DE Oregon State 12 112 Glover Quin Texans DB New Mexico 14 114 David Bruton Broncos DB Notre Dame 16 116 Chip Vaughn Saints DB Wake Forest 17 117 Kyle Moore Buccaneers DE USC 18 118 Stanley Arnoux Saints LB Wake Forest 19 119 D.J. Moore Bears DB Vanderbilt 20 120 Brandon Williams Cowboys DE Texas Tech 25 125 Lawrence Sidbury Jr. Falcons DE Richmond 26 126 Slade Norris Raiders LB Oregon State 30 130 Gerald McRath Titans LB Southern Mississippi 31 131 Greg Toler Cardinals DB St. Pauls 20084 1 100 Tyvon Branch Raiders DB Connecticut 2 101 Justin King Rams DB Penn State 3 102 Jeremy Thompson Packers DE Wake Forest 4 103 William Hayes Titans DE Winston-Salem State 5 104 Beau Bell Browns LB Nevada-Las Vegas 14 113 Dwight Lowery Jets DB San Jose State 15 114 Reggie Corner Bills DB Akron 17 116 Kenny Iwebema Cardinals DE Iowa 18 117 Quintin Demps Eagles DB Texas-El Paso 19 118 Xavier Adibi Texans LB Virginia Tech 20 119 Jack Williams Broncos DB Kent State 21 120 Craig Steltz Bears DB Louisiana State 24 123 Bryan Kehl Giants LB Brigham Young 25 124 Justin Tryon Redskins DB Arizona State 30 129 Jonathan Wilhite Patriots DB Auburn 32 131 Jack Ikegwuonu Eagles DB Wisconsin 20074 4 101 Darnell Bing Raiders DB USC 5 102 Calvin Lowry Titans DB Penn State 8 105 Ko Simpson Bills DB South Carolina 13 110 Leon Williams Browns LB Miami (FL) 16 113 Victor Adeyanju Rams DE Indiana 19 116 Stephen Tulloch Titans LB North Carolina State 23 120 Jamar Williams Bears LB Arizona State 24 121 Nate Salley Panthers DB Ohio State 25 122 Alan Zemaitis Buccaneers DB Penn State 29 126 Elvis Dumervil Broncos DE Louisville 30 127 Ray Edwards Vikings DE Purdue 20064 1 102 Sean Considine Eagles DB Iowa 2 103 Antonio Perkins Browns DB Oklahoma 3 104 Travis Daniels Dolphins DB Louisiana State 7 108 Vincent Fuller Titans DB Virginia Tech 14 115 Marviel Underwood Packers DB San Diego State 16 117 Jerome Carter Rams DB Florida State 22 123 Kerry Rhodes Jets DB Louisville 24 125 Brady Poppinga Packers LB Brigham Young 27 128 Chauncey Davis Falcons DE Florida State 31 132 Chris Canty Cowboys DE Virginia 32 133 James Sanders Patriots DB Fresno State
Thanks Dave. But I was thinking more along the lines of a trade. I like Deion, and they probably can use more depth at receiver, but it seems like for the price they paid there are maybe more pressing needs that might have been addressed.
 
I suspect that Branch goes to near the front of the WR line and will see a lot of reps on the outside opposite Tate. Welker continues to get his as a first option guy. Hernandez continues to get used in various spots in a variety of formations. Edelman loses out and looks to be a backup to Welker at this point and recovering from an ankle injury in training camp won't help him get more time on the field.Brady apparently was really, really the driving force in getting Branch. Can't see them not sticking him on the field a lot just to be no more than a bit player. NE is on the hook for $4+ million for Branch this year, so I doubt he is relegated to being a bottom of the depth chart guy.Whether Brady and Branch still have it, whether Branch has lost a step, and whether Branch can stay healthy are all big question marks at this point.
This is how I see it too. They are not going to want to move Welker to the outside--that's not his forte and why change his role when he is so good at his current role. The loser here is Edelman, who won't be moved up to start. I think people over play the role of player's wishes in these things, but if it is true that the teams got Branch because Brady asked for him, then that is even stronger signal that Branch will be used quite a bit. Brady is the guy who throws the ball, and if he trust Branch, Branch will see targets.
 
Branch renegotiated his contract. Instead of $6 million due in 2011, he pared it down to $2.2 million (plus incentives it could be worth a total of $4 million).

 
Last edited by a moderator:
The Pats have to give SEA their best 4th round pick whatever that turns out to be. Clearly as things stand now that would be the pick they got from DEN. I believe if they acquire another 4th round pick even better than Denver's, it's the best pick in the round that has to head to SEA.
Not a big issue, but the trade covering a future-acquired higher 4th seems unlikely to me. That would prevent Pats from trading up in 4th, and while that isn't likely it seems a silly thing to give away...seems a lot more likely the deal gives Sea the higher of the two the Pats presently own.But anything is possible....
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top