WRs/TEs Matchups to Exploit/Avoid (1 Viewer)

[jobarules]

I stopped reading when you picked Moore to get more targets than Colston. Moore is the most overvalued player in the league this year.

So you think Colston will have more targets than Moore in every game this year? That makes no sense.

 

[Brides Maids]

Just wondering, didn't see a pick for finial score in the Pack/Bears game, any projection here?

Thanks Brides Maids...I think the Pack have their way with the Bears...Pack: 27Bears: 17

Thanks for the quick reply and thank you for doing this once again this year. FWIW, I have had Olsen on my dynasty team for 2 years now waiting for him to have an opportunity like he has now with a QB to throw to him but with this weeks match up I also have Finnley off the wire and will be going with Finnley because of the Packers Defense (Very impressive in preseason!!) I think Finnley is the play if you have him vs the Bears this week!

 

[shredhead]

I think you are underestimating the Denver secondary. Champ Bailey will likely be covering Chad (Irefuse to call him ochocinco) Johnson all day, and I see a decent but not great day for Chad.

The reason for the poor defensive play by the Broncos last year was the front 7, not the secondary. The secondary was the strength of the poor defense. I expect the Denver D to be improved this season. They won't be an elite defense by any stretch of the imagination, but if the front 7 can put some pressure on opposing QB's and not give them all day to throw, I think the secondary will benefit and Yards and TD's against will improve.

All that being said, I am considering starting Chris Henry over Anthony Gonzalez, because Champ won't be covering Henry. I just think you may want to temper your expectations a bit. The Denver secondary isn't as bad as you think.

Denver 23

Cincy 20 Book it! It's my pick in the survivor pool.

So... You're not the least bit worried about a QB named Tom Brandstater? Please enlighten us on how the Broncos plan on going to Cinci and winning with this guy. This may be a bold prediction on my part, but the Bengals could be a playoff team if and only if Carson Palmer stays healthy. Book it!

Oh, of course I'm worried about the Broncos QB situation. I got carried away with the bold Denver win prediction and the book it comment. The main reason I posted was to point out that the secondary isn't as bad as I felt you makde it sound, and to temper expectations just a little bit for opposing receivers. I think the Bronco secondary is better than last season, and I think Mike Nolan's scheme will put more pressure on opposing QB's this year which will also take pressure off the secondary. You may not be one that falls into the following catergory, but I feel many people on these boards are looking at the Cutler and Marshall situations and basing the Broncos prospects based solely on those 2 things. I don't think people are looking closely enough at the team on the field and the improvements being made when they assess Denver this year. The Broncos have a brutal schedule, and they are going to lose a lot of games this year, no doubt, but I don't think all those losses are going to be 41-3 or 41-10 type games. As a Bronco fan, I will be happier with a 4-12 season as long as the Broncos are competetive in those 12 losses than I was with the 8-8 season where they weren't even competetive in most of the losses.

 

[laughinboy_2000]

Nice write up, but I don't get the Brett Favre comment (again)He doesn't like throwing to a TE more than any other QB. Look at his career targets stats. We've had this discussion before, so when i get home tonight I will try to look it up. But until then, that is just false and you gotta either believe me or look it up yourself.

- Dustin Keller was the TE last year for the Jets. He was targeted 78 times last season in his first year with Favre.- Donald Lee had 6 TDs in 2007 as a TE for the Pack.- Check out Bubba Franks stats when he was a Packer.I don't think he necessarily gives no love to his TEs... JMO...

 

[Badm]

GB vs Chi

I think both teams will score 30. First, it goes with the play all on prime time games. In addition, I think all WRs on both sides are good plays. For those worried about Hester/Bennett, if there was a game to roll the dice on, this one is it. Cutler's first game on prime time against the hated Packers. I see him throwing for 300+ easily....

 

[laughinboy_2000]

GB vs Chi

I think both teams will score 30. First, it goes with the play all on prime time games. In addition, I think all WRs on both sides are good plays. For those worried about Hester/Bennett, if there was a game to roll the dice on, this one is it. Cutler's first game on prime time against the hated Packers. I see him throwing for 300+ easily....

You do know the Pack only allowed two 300 yard passers last year right? The Pack have a solid D this year. I doubt Cutler will sniff 250 yards.

 

[Ripleys]

for those that said you'd NEVER bench Bowe, can I assume you would bench him in favor of Calvin, Boldin, and Steve Smith? Or would you actually bench one of those 3 for Bowe??

If Bowe was my WR4, I'd be looking for a more competitive league...just sayin.

This is a $250 dynasty league. I didn't acquire all those WRs in 1 season. Thanks for the backhanded compliment though.

 

[Chunky Soup]

Philadelphia @Carolina:

Carolina fan here, and I’m here to tell you… The Panthers are going to stink this year! Meh… Maybe I’m wrong but I doubt it…

Philadelphia: Jackson/Curtis/Avent/Celek: Huge DeShaun Jackson fan in this game. The Panthers defense just looks terrible so far. Look for DJax to rack up some yardage and find pay dirt. Avent seems to be more involved than Curtis, so that may be worth watching as the season goes on. Celek is hurt but I like him as a fantasy TE when he’s on the field.

Exploit: DeShaun Jackson, WR Philly

Carolina: Smith/Moose/Jarrett: Not a lot to see here. Smith is the one guy you can count on to be productive. Enough analysis here.



Philly: 27

Panthers: 21

Stopped reading when you spelled Desean as DeShaun. Seriously?

 

[two_dollars]

GB vs Chi

I think both teams will score 30. First, it goes with the play all on prime time games. In addition, I think all WRs on both sides are good plays. For those worried about Hester/Bennett, if there was a game to roll the dice on, this one is it. Cutler's first game on prime time against the hated Packers. I see him throwing for 300+ easily....

You do know the Pack only allowed two 300 yard passers last year right? The Pack have a solid D this year. I doubt Cutler will sniff 250 yards.

Quoting this for future credibility reference.

 

[laughinboy_2000]

Philadelphia @Carolina:

Carolina fan here, and I’m here to tell you… The Panthers are going to stink this year! Meh… Maybe I’m wrong but I doubt it…

Philadelphia: Jackson/Curtis/Avent/Celek: Huge DeShaun Jackson fan in this game. The Panthers defense just looks terrible so far. Look for DJax to rack up some yardage and find pay dirt. Avent seems to be more involved than Curtis, so that may be worth watching as the season goes on. Celek is hurt but I like him as a fantasy TE when he’s on the field.

Exploit: DeShaun Jackson, WR Philly

Carolina: Smith/Moose/Jarrett: Not a lot to see here. Smith is the one guy you can count on to be productive. Enough analysis here.



Philly: 27

Panthers: 21

Stopped reading when you spelled Desean as DeShaun. Seriously?

Hey at least you read the first eight write ups then right! So sorry, I promise I will NEVER EVER misspell Desean's name again...

 

[Badm]

GB vs Chi

I think both teams will score 30. First, it goes with the play all on prime time games. In addition, I think all WRs on both sides are good plays. For those worried about Hester/Bennett, if there was a game to roll the dice on, this one is it. Cutler's first game on prime time against the hated Packers. I see him throwing for 300+ easily....

You do know the Pack only allowed two 300 yard passers last year right? The Pack have a solid D this year. I doubt Cutler will sniff 250 yards.

I think that stat is a little mis-leading. They didn't exactly match up against prolific passing QBs last year. Brees and Shaub went for 300+ and 400+ respectively. Even Kitna threw for 276. I think the Bears will try to prove to the league how great Cutler is. Especially on prime time TV. I have a hard time thinking the Bear D is gonna stop Rodgers, which leads more into the fact that Cutler is going to throw throw thow. But we shall see...

 

[Manster]

Nice work, but I have a hard time believing the Giants will score 24 points on the Skins D. The Skins strength is shutting down the run, and that's about the only thing the Giants can do well. I don't believe a Toomerless and Burressless WR core will be good enough to burn the skins. NYG could of course still win, but I see this as a low scoring ugly game personally...

few things about this post:1. you're a skins homer. i get the "homer optimism". 2. the giants are at home, and better than the skins3. the giants have, arguably, the best 0-line in the NFL. they SHOULD be able to run with success. and if the skins D is on the field ALOT, which i expect, then they will get tired.

 

[Manster]

Must starts 16 times: Moss, Fitz, AJ, CJ, Wayne, Jennings, Smith, Colston, TJHoush, Welker, AQ, TO, White, Ocho, VJax, Braylon, Santonio, SMossMust start 16 times: Whitten, Clark, Gonzo, Gates, Cooley, Olsen, Daniels, Winslow, Shockey, Fasano, Davis, Scheffler, Shianco, BossWhat has changed in Pittsburgh's secondary? I wouldn't be traumatized if I had to start a Tenn WR or TE...(although I might be traumatized if they were on my roster).What's wrong with Scheffler?Its a little early to be picking sides on the Chris Henry versus Coles debate.If you've rostered Dwayne Bowe, you start Dwayne Bowe.Avoid the Jets passing game for now.If you've rostered Braylon Edwards, you start Braylon Edwards.Santana Moss will surprise this year, imo...Avoid: Greg Olsen, TE Chi. -> FAILWe need some clarification on Wes Welker before deciding....if he's going to play, he's a must start.

very much agree on Olsen, Bowe, and Braylon. not so much on Santana. what do you see him doing, other than a couple huge weeks mixed in with very meager ones? great job, MOP. these threads are great for discussion.

 

[two_dollars]

Must starts 16 times: Moss, Fitz, AJ, CJ, Wayne, Jennings, Smith, Colston, TJHoush, Welker, AQ, TO, White, Ocho, VJax, Braylon, Santonio, SMossMust start 16 times: Whitten, Clark, Gonzo, Gates, Cooley, Olsen, Daniels, Winslow, Shockey, Fasano, Davis, Scheffler, Shianco, BossWhat has changed in Pittsburgh's secondary? I wouldn't be traumatized if I had to start a Tenn WR or TE...(although I might be traumatized if they were on my roster).What's wrong with Scheffler?Its a little early to be picking sides on the Chris Henry versus Coles debate.If you've rostered Dwayne Bowe, you start Dwayne Bowe.Avoid the Jets passing game for now.If you've rostered Braylon Edwards, you start Braylon Edwards.Santana Moss will surprise this year, imo...Avoid: Greg Olsen, TE Chi. -> FAILWe need some clarification on Wes Welker before deciding....if he's going to play, he's a must start.

very much agree on Olsen, Bowe, and Braylon. not so much on Santana. what do you see him doing, other than a couple huge weeks mixed in with very meager ones? great job, MOP. these threads are great for discussion.

MOP didn't do this one, give credit where credit is due.

 

[Manster]

Must starts 16 times: Moss, Fitz, AJ, CJ, Wayne, Jennings, Smith, Colston, TJHoush, Welker, AQ, TO, White, Ocho, VJax, Braylon, Santonio, SMossMust start 16 times: Whitten, Clark, Gonzo, Gates, Cooley, Olsen, Daniels, Winslow, Shockey, Fasano, Davis, Scheffler, Shianco, BossWhat has changed in Pittsburgh's secondary? I wouldn't be traumatized if I had to start a Tenn WR or TE...(although I might be traumatized if they were on my roster).What's wrong with Scheffler?Its a little early to be picking sides on the Chris Henry versus Coles debate.If you've rostered Dwayne Bowe, you start Dwayne Bowe.Avoid the Jets passing game for now.If you've rostered Braylon Edwards, you start Braylon Edwards.Santana Moss will surprise this year, imo...Avoid: Greg Olsen, TE Chi. -> FAILWe need some clarification on Wes Welker before deciding....if he's going to play, he's a must start.

very much agree on Olsen, Bowe, and Braylon. not so much on Santana. what do you see him doing, other than a couple huge weeks mixed in with very meager ones? great job, MOP. these threads are great for discussion.

MOP didn't do this one, give credit where credit is due.

yea, i know he didnt. i was agreeing with SeniorVBD on disagreeing with MOP about Bowe, Olsen, and Braylon. and i disagree with Senior on Santana. then i acknowledged MOP for doing these threads in the first place, cause they lead to good discussion. comprende?

 

[Malabar]

GB vs Chi

I think both teams will score 30. First, it goes with the play all on prime time games. In addition, I think all WRs on both sides are good plays. For those worried about Hester/Bennett, if there was a game to roll the dice on, this one is it. Cutler's first game on prime time against the hated Packers. I see him throwing for 300+ easily....

You do know the Pack only allowed two 300 yard passers last year right? The Pack have a solid D this year. I doubt Cutler will sniff 250 yards.

I think that stat is a little mis-leading. They didn't exactly match up against prolific passing QBs last year. Brees and Shaub went for 300+ and 400+ respectively. Even Kitna threw for 276. I think the Bears will try to prove to the league how great Cutler is. Especially on prime time TV. I have a hard time thinking the Bear D is gonna stop Rodgers, which leads more into the fact that Cutler is going to throw throw thow. But we shall see...

I dont see Cutler having much success on this one as Schaub and Brees last year. Cutler doesnt have as many or as good weapons as those 2 other guys. I think Bennett/Hester is too much of a mismatch for GB corners. This is a Greg Olsen breakout party.

 

[Johnny Ice]

GB vs Chi

I think both teams will score 30. First, it goes with the play all on prime time games. In addition, I think all WRs on both sides are good plays. For those worried about Hester/Bennett, if there was a game to roll the dice on, this one is it. Cutler's first game on prime time against the hated Packers. I see him throwing for 300+ easily....

You do know the Pack only allowed two 300 yard passers last year right? The Pack have a solid D this year. I doubt Cutler will sniff 250 yards.

I think that stat is a little mis-leading. They didn't exactly match up against prolific passing QBs last year. Brees and Shaub went for 300+ and 400+ respectively. Even Kitna threw for 276. I think the Bears will try to prove to the league how great Cutler is. Especially on prime time TV. I have a hard time thinking the Bear D is gonna stop Rodgers, which leads more into the fact that Cutler is going to throw throw thow. But we shall see...

I also doubt Cutler goes for over 300 vs. the Pack and if he does he will have at least 2 picks in there. Lovie doesn't want to get into a shootout with Green Bay. Your gun is a few bullets short. I think you will see a heavy dose of Forte and Olsen to try and shorten the game. If you try to ride Cutler and the WRs it's an automatic L.

 

[thatguy]

Denver @ Cincinnati:

Unlike the above game, this one will feature lots of fantasy production from the team WRs. Let’s take a look at some good matchups to Exploit.

Denver:

Eddie Royal: I firmly believe he’s the “new” #1 WR in Denver even with BMarsh still in town. Royal just fits this offense better by running short routes and having great hands. He’s a solid start this weekend.

Brandon Marshall: This guy has had ZERO time on the field and rightfully so. I’d be worried about how committed this guy will be in Denver in 2009.

Exploit: Eddie Royal

Avoid: Brandon Marshall

Cincinnati:

Chris Henry/Ochocinco/Coles:

I’m believing the hype this year with Henry. He’s been terrific in preseason, and Palmer has earned the trust of Palmer. I see a long TD pass this weekend in Denver. #85 is back and looks to be a bit more focused this year. No brainer here. Start him if you got him. He could reach the century mark against a bad Denver secondary. If he scores, expect some kind of TD celebration that will be featured on ESPN. Coles has been non-existent so far in the Bengals passing game. He needs to wake up.

Exploit: Chris Henry

Avoid: Laverneous Coles

Cincinnati: 24

Denver: 17

I think you are underestimating the Denver secondary. Champ Bailey will likely be covering Chad (Irefuse to call him ochocinco) Johnson all day, and I see a decent but not great day for Chad. The reason for the poor defensive play by the Broncos last year was the front 7, not the secondary. The secondary was the strength of the poor defense. I expect the Denver D to be improved this season. They won't be an elite defense by any stretch of the imagination, but if the front 7 can put some pressure on opposing QB's and not give them all day to throw, I think the secondary will benefit and Yards and TD's against will improve.



All that being said, I am considering starting Chris Henry over Anthony Gonzalez, because Champ won't be covering Henry. I just think you may want to temper your expectations a bit. The Denver secondary isn't as bad as you think.

Denver 23

Cincy 20 Book it! It's my pick in the survivor pool.

I said pretty much exactly this in my post earlier in the thread... So,

 

[Maven]

Anyone other than me see a deep 70 yard touchdown to Meachem week 1?

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

very much agree on Olsen, Bowe, and Braylon. not so much on Santana. what do you see him doing, other than a couple huge weeks mixed in with very meager ones? great job, MOP. these threads are great for discussion.

I have a much higher opinion of Campbell having watched the NE / Wash preseason game, and think Moss will make top 15.

 

[CletiusMaximus]

Chicago @ Green Bay:

Awesome to have this kind of rivalry game in week one.

Chicago: Hester/Bennett/Olsen: Not sure I like the matchups here. Green Bay is usually solid against the pass. People expecting big things from this group will be disappointed IMO. The Bears will look to Forte to carry the offense in this game.

Green Bay: Jennings/Driver/Jones/Finley: Like this group a lot this year. Possibly the best tandom of WRs in the league. Look for all of these guys to do some damage. If you’re looking for a sleeper at TE in week one, look no further than GB TE Jermichael Finley.

Avoid: Greg Olsen, TE Chi.

I would not put Olsen in the avoid category based on a couple things - first, for what its worth, Olsen played well against the Packers in both games last season and I believe was the Bears' leading receiver in both games (not that it says much); more importantly, I think the Packers new 3-4 defense will be heavily tested by Cutler throwing to Olsen and Forte in this game because those matchups can exploit the coverage weaknesses in the Packers' new OLBs (two of who are coverted DE's who have looked stiff when trying to cover receivers). I also note that, despite the relatively strong showing by the Packers' defense this preseason, they continue to give up easy yardage over the short-medium middle part of the field, where someone like Olsen will thrive. Finally, I watched some of the Bears game against Denver last week (Denver also being a team who converted to a 3-4 this offseason), and saw a lot of Olsen and Forte catching passes in that game.(note - huge Packer fan with a ton riding on this game, both financially and in terms of smack invested with Bear fan friends over the past several months. I'll be there in the south end zone at Lambeau Sunday night.)

 

[Manster]

Chicago @ Green Bay:

Awesome to have this kind of rivalry game in week one.

Chicago: Hester/Bennett/Olsen: Not sure I like the matchups here. Green Bay is usually solid against the pass. People expecting big things from this group will be disappointed IMO. The Bears will look to Forte to carry the offense in this game.

Green Bay: Jennings/Driver/Jones/Finley: Like this group a lot this year. Possibly the best tandom of WRs in the league. Look for all of these guys to do some damage. If you’re looking for a sleeper at TE in week one, look no further than GB TE Jermichael Finley.

Avoid: Greg Olsen, TE Chi.

I would not put Olsen in the avoid category based on a couple things - first, for what its worth, Olsen played well against the Packers in both games last season and I believe was the Bears' leading receiver in both games (not that it says much); more importantly, I think the Packers new 3-4 defense will be heavily tested by Cutler throwing to Olsen and Forte in this game because those matchups can exploit the coverage weaknesses in the Packers' new OLBs (two of who are coverted DE's who have looked stiff when trying to cover receivers). I also note that, despite the relatively strong showing by the Packers' defense this preseason, they continue to give up easy yardage over the short-medium middle part of the field, where someone like Olsen will thrive. Finally, I watched some of the Bears game against Denver last week (Denver also being a team who converted to a 3-4 this offseason), and saw a lot of Olsen and Forte catching passes in that game.(note - huge Packer fan with a ton riding on this game, both financially and in terms of smack invested with Bear fan friends over the past several months. I'll be there in the south end zone at Lambeau Sunday night.)

so......if the Bears can exploit GB's new 3-4, i'm seein a pretty high scoring game. might think about the over. i believe it's in the mid 40's.

 

[Manster]

very much agree on Olsen, Bowe, and Braylon. not so much on Santana. what do you see him doing, other than a couple huge weeks mixed in with very meager ones? great job, MOP. these threads are great for discussion.

I have a much higher opinion of Campbell having watched the NE / Wash preseason game, and think Moss will make top 15.

got him in as a WR3/4 cause he was there. not too excited about him though. he's tuf to count on in fantasy, although as WR3/4 i can play matchups i guess.

 

[laughinboy_2000]

so......if the Bears can exploit GB's new 3-4, i'm seein a pretty high scoring game. might think about the over. i believe it's in the mid 40's.

The over/under is 46.5 according to betonus.com. Just an FYI. A bit high if you ask me. JMO.

 

[two_dollars]

Must starts 16 times: Moss, Fitz, AJ, CJ, Wayne, Jennings, Smith, Colston, TJHoush, Welker, AQ, TO, White, Ocho, VJax, Braylon, Santonio, SMossMust start 16 times: Whitten, Clark, Gonzo, Gates, Cooley, Olsen, Daniels, Winslow, Shockey, Fasano, Davis, Scheffler, Shianco, BossWhat has changed in Pittsburgh's secondary? I wouldn't be traumatized if I had to start a Tenn WR or TE...(although I might be traumatized if they were on my roster).What's wrong with Scheffler?Its a little early to be picking sides on the Chris Henry versus Coles debate.If you've rostered Dwayne Bowe, you start Dwayne Bowe.Avoid the Jets passing game for now.If you've rostered Braylon Edwards, you start Braylon Edwards.Santana Moss will surprise this year, imo...Avoid: Greg Olsen, TE Chi. -> FAILWe need some clarification on Wes Welker before deciding....if he's going to play, he's a must start.

very much agree on Olsen, Bowe, and Braylon. not so much on Santana. what do you see him doing, other than a couple huge weeks mixed in with very meager ones? great job, MOP. these threads are great for discussion.

MOP didn't do this one, give credit where credit is due.

yea, i know he didnt. i was agreeing with SeniorVBD on disagreeing with MOP about Bowe, Olsen, and Braylon. and i disagree with Senior on Santana. then i acknowledged MOP for doing these threads in the first place, cause they lead to good discussion. comprende?

si.

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

very much agree on Olsen, Bowe, and Braylon. not so much on Santana. what do you see him doing, other than a couple huge weeks mixed in with very meager ones? great job, MOP. these threads are great for discussion.

I have a much higher opinion of Campbell having watched the NE / Wash preseason game, and think Moss will make top 15.

got him in as a WR3/4 cause he was there. not too excited about him though. he's tuf to count on in fantasy, although as WR3/4 i can play matchups i guess.

He's been a WR3/4 these last few years. This year I value him as a WR2.

 

[laughinboy_2000]

very much agree on Olsen, Bowe, and Braylon. not so much on Santana. what do you see him doing, other than a couple huge weeks mixed in with very meager ones? great job, MOP. these threads are great for discussion.

I have a much higher opinion of Campbell having watched the NE / Wash preseason game, and think Moss will make top 15.

got him in as a WR3/4 cause he was there. not too excited about him though. he's tuf to count on in fantasy, although as WR3/4 i can play matchups i guess.

He's been a WR3/4 these last few years. This year I value him as a WR2.

Moss gets a lot of targets when Campbell has time. Second year in the same system for both Moss and Campbell could mean an increase in production for Santana this year. He's clearly the favorite in the passing game, and the Skins have a much easier schedule than they did last year. Not sure if he's a WR2, but WR3 I think is a possibility.

 

[Instinctive]

Nice write up, but I don't get the Brett Favre comment (again)He doesn't like throwing to a TE more than any other QB. Look at his career targets stats. We've had this discussion before, so when i get home tonight I will try to look it up. But until then, that is just false and you gotta either believe me or look it up yourself.

- Dustin Keller was the TE last year for the Jets. He was targeted 78 times last season in his first year with Favre.- Donald Lee had 6 TDs in 2007 as a TE for the Pack.- Check out Bubba Franks stats when he was a Packer.I don't think he necessarily gives no love to his TEs... JMO...

But he doesn't give any more love than any other QB, for the most part. Shiancoe should eb better thsi year than last, I agree...but it will be because he is better, nto because of Favre. He's young and improving, and when he gains consistency (which is really all he needs to do, IMHO) he'll be very good. But he'd be just as good with Sage or TJack.

 

[laughinboy_2000]

But he doesn't give any more love than any other QB, for the most part. Shiancoe should eb better thsi year than last, I agree...but it will be because he is better, nto because of Favre. He's young and improving, and when he gains consistency (which is really all he needs to do, IMHO) he'll be very good. But he'd be just as good with Sage or TJack.

So basically what you're saying is TJax, Sage, and Favre play the QB position at the same level right now?

 

[Instinctive]

But he doesn't give any more love than any other QB, for the most part. Shiancoe should eb better thsi year than last, I agree...but it will be because he is better, nto because of Favre. He's young and improving, and when he gains consistency (which is really all he needs to do, IMHO) he'll be very good. But he'd be just as good with Sage or TJack.

So basically what you're saying is TJax, Sage, and Favre play the QB position at the same level right now?

I am saying that they would have roughly the same effect on the statistics of Visanthe Shiancoe, this season, 2009.Actually, Sage might hurt (IIRC Owen Daniels had his worst games with Sage at the helm, I believe he leaned on the wideouts and Slaton)

 

[MCguidance]

Philadelphia @Carolina:

Carolina fan here, and I’m here to tell you… The Panthers are going to stink this year! Meh… Maybe I’m wrong but I doubt it…

Philadelphia: Jackson/Curtis/Avent/Celek: Huge DeShaun Jackson fan in this game. The Panthers defense just looks terrible so far. Look for DJax to rack up some yardage and find pay dirt. Avent seems to be more involved than Curtis, so that may be worth watching as the season goes on. Celek is hurt but I like him as a fantasy TE when he’s on the field.

Exploit: DeShaun Jackson, WR Philly

Carolina: Smith/Moose/Jarrett: Not a lot to see here. Smith is the one guy you can count on to be productive. Enough analysis here.



Philly: 27

Panthers: 21

Stopped reading when you spelled Desean as DeShaun. Seriously?

Seriously?Keep up the good work LB.

 

[Hipple Long Ware & Peete]

I stopped reading when you picked Moore to get more targets than Colston. Moore is the most overvalued player in the league this year.

These weekly threads are a solid contribution to the pool; I wish you would post the reasons why you think Moore is so overrated this year, as I would likely benefit from this (not even being a jerk, but it's probably worthwhile since I always have a lot to learn). Negativity is lame, knowledge is what we need here, brother.

 

[mattsam]

As a #3 WR/TE I have the option to play Bowe or Olsen if Boldin is good to go. Who will get into the end zone more? I agree Bowe should get a garbage TD but Cutler will be feeding it to Olsen. Or is Boldin too much of a risk being I need to set the line up tomorrow?

Matt

I had them predicted at:

Boldin (if healthy) 5 for 65 and 1 TD

Olsen 4 for 40 and 1 TD

Bowe 6 for 85 and 1 TD

 

[laughinboy_2000]

As a #3 WR/TE I have the option to play Bowe or Olsen if Boldin is good to go. Who will get into the end zone more? I agree Bowe should get a garbage TD but Cutler will be feeding it to Olsen. Or is Boldin too much of a risk being I need to set the line up tomorrow?MattI had them predicted at:Boldin (if healthy) 5 for 65 and 1 TDOlsen 4 for 40 and 1 TDBowe 6 for 85 and 1 TD

Between Olsen and Bowe I like Olsen's situation a bit better for week one. I just don't like what I've seen in KC as far as the QB situation (Cassell hurting) and new O'Coordinator. That could change after week one. Olsen should be able to get some catches and yards. More than Bowe IMO.

 

[laughinboy_2000]

As a #3 WR/TE I have the option to play Bowe or Olsen if Boldin is good to go. Who will get into the end zone more? I agree Bowe should get a garbage TD but Cutler will be feeding it to Olsen. Or is Boldin too much of a risk being I need to set the line up tomorrow?MattI had them predicted at:Boldin (if healthy) 5 for 65 and 1 TDOlsen 4 for 40 and 1 TDBowe 6 for 85 and 1 TD

BTW, Boldin is one tough hombre. He'll start Sunday and do some damage. Just check out his stats against the 49er's last year.

 

[laughinboy_2000]

Lets get to business folks. As usual, RED means it's a matchup to AVOID, and GREEN means it's a matchup to EXPLOIT

Tenn. @ Pittsburgh:

This game will have too much defense to start any WRs from either team. I expect a low scoring fist fight between these two teams.

AVOID: All Tenn & Pittsburgh WRs and TEs

Steelers 17

Titans 13

Denver @ Cincinnati:

Unlike the above game, this one will feature lots of fantasy production from the team WRs. Let’s take a look at some good matchups to Exploit.

Denver:

Eddie Royal: I firmly believe he’s the “new” #1 WR in Denver even with BMarsh still in town. Royal just fits this offense better by running short routes and having great hands. He’s a solid start this weekend.

Brandon Marshall: This guy has had ZERO time on the field and rightfully so. I’d be worried about how committed this guy will be in Denver in 2009.

Exploit: Eddie Royal

Avoid: Brandon Marshall

Cincinnati:

Chris Henry/Ochocinco/Coles:

I’m believing the hype this year with Henry. He’s been terrific in preseason, and Palmer has earned the trust of Palmer. I see a long TD pass this weekend in Denver. #85 is back and looks to be a bit more focused this year. No brainer here. Start him if you got him. He could reach the century mark against a bad Denver secondary. If he scores, expect some kind of TD celebration that will be featured on ESPN. Coles has been non-existent so far in the Bengals passing game. He needs to wake up.

Exploit: Chris Henry

Avoid: Laverneous Coles

Cincinnati: 24

Denver: 17

Kansas City @ Baltimore:

I can’t imagine Kansas City ‘O hanging with Ray Lewis and the Raven D. QB and coaching issues have me wanting to avoid any and all Chief offensive players this weekend.

KC: Bowe/Bradley/Engram: Bowe is the option for the Chiefs D, but I would avoid this matchup this weekend on the road against a tough D. This goes for the rest of the KC WRs as well.

Avoid: Dwayne Bowe



Baltimore: Derrick Mason/Heap: Mason has a great matchup this weekend, especially in PPR leagues. Look for Mason to rack up 6-8 catches for 70 yards and a possible score. Heap is a shell of his former self, but this is the Chiefs we are talking about. He’s been healthy this preseason and may be somewhat productive this week. On paper this looks like a great “spot” start.

Exploit: Derrick Mason/Todd Heap

Ravens: 24

Chiefs: 10

Detroit @ New Orleans:

Chances are if you drafted a Lion or Saint, you are salivating over these matchups. Let’s take a look.

Detroit: Megatron: No brainer; Would not recommend any other Lion WRs or TEs though.

New Orleans:

Colston/Lance Moore/Shockey: Colston is healthy and should be studly this weekend. I have a feeling Moore and Brees will be connecting a few times this weekend. I would not be surprised if he gets more targets than Colston. Like Colston, Shockey is healthy and producing. Look for Shock to be open in the middle of the field quite a bit

Exploit: Lance Moore, WR NO

Game will be a bit closer than most think IMO…

New Orleans: 34

Detroit: 24

Miami @ Atlanta:

This should be one of the better games of the weekend IMO…

Miami: Ginn/Bess/Camarillo: Between these three, I like Bess and Camarillo. One thing I want to see is if Camarillo is healthy. If he’s not, look for Bess to make the best of his opportunities. Like the matchup here though against what I think will be a weak Birds secondary.



Atlanta: White/Jenkins/Gonzo: Look for White and Gonzo to be heavily involved in the passing game. I don’t see Burner Turner having too much success running the ball, but I do see QB Matt Ryan having success through the air. Jenkins could get open for a TD if the Fins D focuses on stopping Turner, White, and Gonzo



Falcons: 24

Fins: 21

NYJ @ Houston:

Houston is a team I love this year and should be playoff bound IF the team can stay healthy. The Jets though should make things interesting in week one.

NYJ: Cotchery/Stuckey/Clowney/Keller: Cotchery now assumes the #1 WR for the Jets and has a decent matchup in week one. I think the Jets will be in catch up mode which will provide some opportunities for Cotch in the passing game. Stuckey and Clowney are unproven and need to remain on the waiver wire. TE Dustin Keller presents some nice value this weekend as well.

Exploit: Jerricho Cotchery

Houston: Andre Johnson/Kevin Walters/Owen Daniels: Great matchup all around here. I think Shaub starts and is solid. Look for Andre and Daniels to do most of the damage here. Walters is injured which means more looks for Andre and Daniels. Check the injury stats of Walters before plugging him in. Even if he plays, give him a week to see what he looks like.



Exploit: Owen Daniels, TE Houston

Houston: 27

NYJ: 20

Jacksonville @ Indy:

I would like the Jags a little more in this game, but MJDs’ injury scare me a bit. I see Indy putting up some points at home.

Jax: Holt/Williamson/Walker: Garrard will do a good job spreading the ball around. Good matchup I feel, but choosing which WR will have the better game is giving me a headache.

Indy: Wayne/Gonzo/Garcon/Clark/: Wayne is a notorious Jags killer. Check out his stats in the past. Just plain silly. Gonzo should be another solid play this week, but I see Clark actually being the Colts #2 WR this year. I’ve liked what I’ve seen from Garcon in preseason, but it remains to be seen how many targets he’ll see in this offense.



Indy: 31

Jags: 20

Minnesota @ Cleveland

Favre should have some success through the air in the Dog Pound, but the Browns won’t be so lucky.

Minnesota: Berrian/Rice/Harvin/Shiancoe: Like this group against a terrible Browns secondary. Good matchup here for both Rice and Harvin I believe. Why you ask? The injury to Berrian. Shiancoe better get ready this weekend to, because Brett loves throwing to his TEs.

Exploit: Sidney Rice/Percy Harvin

Avoid: Bernard Berrian



Cleveland: Edwards/Furrey/Cribbs/Royal: No, No, No, and lets see…. No! Bad matchup. Stay far away.

Avoid: Braylon Edwards

Minnesota: 21

Cleveland: 10

Philadelphia @Carolina:

Carolina fan here, and I’m here to tell you… The Panthers are going to stink this year! Meh… Maybe I’m wrong but I doubt it…

Philadelphia: Jackson/Curtis/Avent/Celek: Huge DeShaun Jackson fan in this game. The Panthers defense just looks terrible so far. Look for DJax to rack up some yardage and find pay dirt. Avent seems to be more involved than Curtis, so that may be worth watching as the season goes on. Celek is hurt but I like him as a fantasy TE when he’s on the field.

Exploit: DeShaun Jackson, WR Philly

Carolina: Smith/Moose/Jarrett: Not a lot to see here. Smith is the one guy you can count on to be productive. Enough analysis here.



Philly: 27

Panthers: 21

Dallas @ Tampa Bay:

Romo against a decent Bucs secondary, and Leftwich against what I think will be an improved Cowboy secondary.

Dallas: Williams/Crayton/Witten: Keep an eye on Roy Williams’ injury. It could open an opportunity for Crayton to be somewhat productive. Witten of course though is the key guy in the Dallas passing game.

Avoid: Roy Williams

Tampa Bay: Bryant/Clayton/Stovall/Winslow: Should be interesting to see how the Bucs passing game looks against the Cowboys. Rolling the dice on any of these WRs is risky, but you have the think Winslow will be involved somehow.

‘Boys: 17

Bucs: 14

Arizona @ San Fran:

Better game IMO than most people think.

Arizona: Boldin/Fitz/Breaston: You would have to think the Cards are going to throw the ball with the weapons that have here. Boldin was the better play last year against the 49er’s but Fitz is one of the best in the Biz. Really like Breaston too, since Boldin is a bit dinged up.

San Fran: Morgan/Bruce/Battle/Davis: The Niners are going to have to throw the ball to win this game IMO. I know this sounds crazy, but my gut tells me Vernon Davis will be productive against the Cards. Look for Niners to try and exploit the matchups he will have against the Arizona linebackers.

Exploit: Vernon Davis, TE San Fran

Arizona: 24

SF: 17

St. Louis @ Seattle:

I see a shoot out here. Look for the St. Louis to get the run game going and the Seattle passing attach to be in true form.

St. Louis: Avery/Robinson/Burton: Rams WR Donnie Avery has pronounced himself ready, so he’s worth a look here. Laurent Robinson looks to the Rams #2 WR this year and may be decent. I need to see more of him though to recommend him as an Exploit. I have not been impressed with Burton so far.



Exploit: Donnie Avery, WR STL

Seattle: Houshmandzadeh/Burlson/Butler/Carlson: Like this group, particularly Carlson. Housh will be his usual possession receiver self, but look for Carlson to get the red zone looks. I like Butler this year, but need to see more of him to recommend him as an Exploit. In other words, Housh and Carlson are the players you want to take advantage of in week one.

‘Hawks: 27

Rams: 20

Washington @ New York:

For the second straight year, the Skins will open up against the G-men.

Washington: Moss/Kelly/Randle El/Cooley: The images of how the Skins looked in week one last week against the Gints are still firmly in my head. I just don’t see Campbell and this offense having much success against the Gints defense.

NYG: Smith/Hixon/Nicks/Boss: The Gints run too much for me to recommend an Exploit here. Plus, I think the Skins D will do a good enough job against Peyton’s younger brother.

Avoid: Santana Moss, WR Wash.

Giants: 24

Skins: 10

Chicago @ Green Bay:

Awesome to have this kind of rivalry game in week one.

Chicago: Hester/Bennett/Olsen: Not sure I like the matchups here. Green Bay is usually solid against the pass. People expecting big things from this group will be disappointed IMO. The Bears will look to Forte to carry the offense in this game.

Green Bay: Jennings/Driver/Jones/Finley: Like this group a lot this year. Possibly the best tandom of WRs in the league. Look for all of these guys to do some damage. If you’re looking for a sleeper at TE in week one, look no further than GB TE Jermichael Finley.

Avoid: Greg Olsen, TE Chi.

Buffalo @ New England:

Buffalo: Evans/Owens/Reed/Shouman: Bills WR Lee Evans is a notorious slow starter, so this I would think is a bad matchup, especially on the road. TO will make his debut, and the Bills will need to throw to somebody to keep up with the Pats. Reed and Shoumand will be non-factors.

New England: Moss/Welker/Galloway/Baker: Watch the injury report for Welker. If he can’t go, I think Galloway will be more involved which could mean 60-70 yards and a score. Moss and Brady should have no problems hooking up. Baker could see some red zone targets when the Pats move the ball.

Avoid: Wes Welker, WR Pats





Pats: 34

Bills: 20

San Diego @ Oakland:

San Diego: Jackson/Chambers/Gates: I think Gates will return in 2009 as the top TE in fantasy land. I can’t think of a better game for him to bust loose. VJax unfortunately will draw the Raiders best cover man, but he hurting with an injury. I see Rivers finding his groove and able to have success through the air.

Oakland: Heyward-Bey/Murphy/Miller: Only option in the passing game to me will be Zach Miller. Stay away from the Raiders passing attack. Look for the Bolts to put this game away… early…

Bolts: 30

Raiders:17

Hope you peeps enjoy and thanks for reading. Now, let's discuss.

For the first weekend of the NFL, not bad on some of the Exploits and Avoids. Got a lot of feedback on the AVOID on Dwayne Bowe and AVOID on Greg Olson. Bowe did OK I guess, but I was on the money with Bears TE Greg Olsen and some others. Cutler and Shaub looked awful. Some guys that disappointed me that I labeled as Exploit were Chris Henry and Chris Henry. Texans are kind of scaring me too, but I think that offense will rebound sometime.Hope everybody had a good weekend of fantasy football and thanks for reading!