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Your ODDEST #1 pick ever............. (1 Viewer)

TZMarkie

Footballguy
Ok boys, I have a new one.

Invariably every year I see a pick or two that goes against the grain.

The leagues I play in are competitive, and people "generally" know what they are doing.

So I have seen a few picks here and there I didn't like, and 2 or 3 I thought that were outright stupid and those generally come from homers on specific teams.

Anyway, last night I was discussing with a good friend just prior to a draft, that I never want the #1 pick. Sure enough a few minutes later.... in the oldest league I am in, the order is decided at random 15 minutes prior to drafting, when the draft room opens and of course I get the #1 overall. (I don't believe I have had this in many years now that i think about it)

Other leagues we predetermine the order, so I am essentially going in with a plan. Not this time.

I told my buddy not 20 minutes before the room opens, I have "no idea what I will do if I am drawn first".

I actually had a good idea and it was down to 2-3 guys, but I knew it was going to be an against the grain pick, if I actually decided to pull the trigger.

This year the leagues I am in are ALL 3WR leagues, so WRs go off the boards a little quicker. This is a bit of a hint.

I will post my pick later on today.

Of all the leagues you have ever been in, what is the oddest #1 pick you ever talked yourself into???

(note this doesn't really have to be the worst strategy wise, but moreso against the normal thoughts)

I'm not talking about some free public league obviously, but I am more looking more towards a competitive money league.

If you picked Montee Ball last year at #1 overall, then here is the spot to own up to it.

When I say who I actually picked at #1, many of you might just say "oh well that's no biggie" but everyone laughed when I actually fired the pick in.

Thoughts anyone????

TZM

 
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Last year i started dez at number one pick. I went into the draft wanting him so bad my teeth hurt. When they drew for picks I ended up with number 1 overall. Alot of guys made fun of me but when I hoisted that trophy at the end of the year i was the one laughing!of course drafting hill and c.j. late paired with adding odb (thanks fbgs) it helped my team take the title with ease. Im glad I went with dez because my other pick would have been shady or Charles and both were headaches last year.

 
If you picked Antonio Brown, Dez or OBJ, it isn't an odd pick.

Seeing Gronk go #1 seems odd, but it really isn't either.

Wasn't me, but I'll always remember the 2003 rookie draft (the one with Andre Johnson, McGahee, and Charles Rogers the consensus top picks), in an IDP league, the top pick was Terrence Newman.

In another rookie draft, I took Dez over Ryan Mathews. Some people thought that was weird.

I haven't had the top pick often and when I do, it's not a weird pick. Maybe back in the early 90s when I took Troy Aikman?

 
In recent years, with both the premium on the passing game, and the shift towards RBBC leaguewide, I've frequently gone QB #1 in standard scoring leagues, often to the derision of the crowds. Remember, a lot of this has been in an era when purported experts will tell you the first QB's are really only 3rd, 4th, or 5th round values.

For the most part, I prefer early round safety as much as possible, and will sacrifice some upside for it. With all the protections the league is affording QB's these days, I'd argue the safety isn't illusory.

Peyton a couple years ago was the only guy who returned slam dunk #1 overall type value. But when I've followed this strategy, I've found myself almost bust proof. Which is typically good enough to make a run.

Alas, only went that way a few times this year. WR felt valuable enough to go off script for a season. With no one laughing, I feel much less comfortable

 
If you picked Antonio Brown, Dez or OBJ, it isn't an odd pick.

Seeing Gronk go #1 seems odd, but it really isn't either.

Wasn't me, but I'll always remember the 2003 rookie draft (the one with Andre Johnson, McGahee, and Charles Rogers the consensus top picks), in an IDP league, the top pick was Terrence Newman.

In another rookie draft, I took Dez over Ryan Mathews. Some people thought that was weird.

I haven't had the top pick often and when I do, it's not a weird pick. Maybe back in the early 90s when I took Troy Aikman?
A pick doesn't have to be all that odd to be your oddest. Probably shouldn't be if you know what you're doing. :shrug:

 
In recent years, with both the premium on the passing game, and the shift towards RBBC leaguewide, I've frequently gone QB #1 in standard scoring leagues, often to the derision of the crowds. Remember, a lot of this has been in an era when purported experts will tell you the first QB's are really only 3rd, 4th, or 5th round values.

For the most part, I prefer early round safety as much as possible, and will sacrifice some upside for it. With all the protections the league is affording QB's these days, I'd argue the safety isn't illusory.

Peyton a couple years ago was the only guy who returned slam dunk #1 overall type value. But when I've followed this strategy, I've found myself almost bust proof. Which is typically good enough to make a run.

Alas, only went that way a few times this year. WR felt valuable enough to go off script for a season. With no one laughing, I feel much less comfortable
I've been doing this, too, but only in the latter half of a round. Once the top 3-4 RBs are gone and the top 1-2 WRs, and Gronk, there's no good reason not to take Luck this year.
 
Odd to me is taking a guy with ONE good year under his belt at #1...

Any player that has put up back2back or more really good seasons (meaning any top 5 rb/wr/gronk/luck/rodgers) is worth a #1 pick

again... the point in rnd 1 is NOT TO BLOW IT. Safe elite production is rule #1 in my books

 
Remember in a long time league I've be in with FBG Tanner Boyle that one year he drafted Jeff Garcia with the number 1 pick ahead of Marshall Faulk, who went at number 2. Always thought that was a WTF moment.

 
Guy last year took Alex Smith number 1.1.

The year Drew Bledsoe and Peerless Price blowed up, this dude took them with his first two picks and was subsequently ridiculed. It was so frustrating watching his team decimate the league that year.

 
Well to answer a few of the above points -

A- I can't trade down in this one league. I would have liked to, but that league doesn't do that. It sucks but it is what it is.

B- To Soulfly- I agree, I believe you are referring to Odell Beckham Jr. I am not on board with his value at all. Not only was the majority of that GMEN wr corps hurt (Cruz) all his truly huge games came against bad defenses.

Don't get me wrong, I like the guys talent, and he may well blow up again. But I'm willing to let him blow up on someone else's team.

I like hearing some of the above opinions, and Alex Smith at 1.1 last year may have been the worst. Almost certainly was a KC or Chiefs homer???

Anyway, the person I picked was JULIO JONES.

For me it was either him or a stud RB, and I like having at least one top WR in this format.

His schedule may be the softest of any top end WR out there, and I have been trying to get him everywhere and I have, except the biggest league I am in.

He was 3rd in targets (even missing a game) had almost 1,600 yards and flukey low TDs.

The only thing I am spooked about is the possible injury and his history.

I also may not have mentioned this is the smallest money league I am in, $$ wise anyway.

In the biggest if I was stuck with #1, I may have talked myself out of it.

I guess I tend to look at the top 3 rounds as "safe ironclad points" and thats why the last year I have been shying away from RBs, especially in many of the 3WR leagues I am in....and drafting WR heavy. (cue the is Julio safe points debate ) :)

I tend to approach my leagues as sort a fantasy "RBBC" and although its been a bit more work and juggling each week, I like the strong output at the WR position. Loading up in mid round RBs lends itself well to this and if you can pick a few of the solid RB2 types, its a huge help.

More later.

TZM



 
Julio went 2nd overall in my money redraft this year. The guy said he was taking Julio in the first in all his leagues, regardless of where the pick was. He's won our league the last two years and plays in some of the high-stakes leagues, so he knows what he's doing.

 
And lo and ####### behold, in my last draft (starting soon) I am in the #1 slot YET again....in the only other draft I can't control it.

I may take the plunge and get Julio again.

Crazy I get the #1 pick in the only 2 leagues I am in where its determined randomly.

End of rant./

TZM

 
If you can't trade picks and the guy you take isn't going to be there for your next pick it isn't an odd pick or reach IMO. You gotta pick who you believe in.

 
I remember a draft in 2003 a few nights AFTER Michael Vick broke his leg, a guy drafted him with the #1 overall pick. We were nice and told him Vick had broken his leg and he could re-pick. Our scoring was 4 pts for passing TDs and 1 pt for 50 yds passing, so a healthy Vick would have been worth more than in many leagues. The guy said he knew Vick had broken his leg and he wanted him anyway because when he came back he was going to lap the field at QB.

 
My first ever draft in 2004 I took McNabb with my first pick, I remember that I drafted pretty high but not sure if it was top overall. I assumed it was like the NFL and getting a QB was crucial so I took the guy starting for my fav team. Didn't work out so bad but I was (deservedly) ridiculed throughout the draft. :lol:

 
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Back in the day when Ki-Jana Carter was a rookie I took him in our rookie draft. I put him on IR after draft that night and snagged Terrel Davis. He carried me to 3 consecutive championships.

 
I took Monte Ball in a PPR league last year in the 1st. I ended up winning the league anyway. Just goes to show that here's more to a draft then a first round pick.

 
Nowhere near the oddest you will hear but I took Antonio Brown overall #2 in a ppr league this year and people said........too early why did you do that? My response was: I wanted him on my teal and he wouldnt have been there end of the 2nd round so WHY NOW take him? Also unsaid was that I know based on last year these guys do not scarf up Rbs like most leagues do.

 
Not the number one overall pick, but my first year playing fantasy football, 2000, I picked up a magazine the day before my draft and decided no matter what I would take Steve Beurlien as my first rounder and I would havr my full compliment of starters- kicket and all before I drafted any backups. So I ended up taking a kicker in the sixth round.

 
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