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Your philosophy on starting a player that is also playing vs your D/ST (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter andyk803
- Start date
buck naked
Footballguy
Completely irrelevant. Play your best players.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
It's not completely irrelevant. If you anticipate being a big underdog (or if you're making this decision after the early games have happened and you're already facing a big deficit), then it's something to take into consideration. If you need a big score it's somewhat counterproductive to start an offensive player and a defense that are facing each other.
tonystrong
Footballguy
i agree, start your best players. I don't think its counter productive to start a player and the opposing defense. If the Def has a punt return for a TD, a couple sacks, a few turn overs, and a TD, that wouldn't have a major effect on the offensive player you started.
jabarony
Footballguy
Agreed. If I'm comfortably ahead I don't take it into consideration. Bit of a hedged bet. If I'm way behind I split. Of course, that's really only when discussing near-coin-flip decision. I tend to think it's more relevant for a QB, too.
PinkydaPimp
Footballguy
irrelevant. However i think it should be considered in certain scenarios. If its a late game and your down and have the choice between two defenses, one of which your player is playing against might you consider the other which may have a higher upside while the other might be a slight hedge?
McGarnicle
Footballguy
Completely irrelevant.
need2know
Footballguy
kupcho1
Footballguy
As if what you do with your fake football team has any impact on what happens in the game.
(Of course if you're trolling here, well played.)
Zow
Footballguy
Yep.
My philosophy is that anyone who considers such a thing is a field mouse that I want in my league.
/hawkscreech
kutta
Footballguy
It is not irrelevant, especially if the offensive player is your qb. We don't have a crystal ball so you can't just say that you should start the players who will give you the most points. We don't know that answer ahead of time. But we do know that we want to maximize points. For our defenses, that means we want them to pitch a shutout, and get lots of turnovers. For qbs, we want no turnovers and lots of points. Both scenarios above can't happen if we play the d that is against our qb.
So I believe it does matter, and starting a d against your qb is usually a mistake.
So I believe it does matter, and starting a d against your qb is usually a mistake.
Zow
Footballguy
Zow
Footballguy
kupcho1
Footballguy
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Where did I imply that it does?
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
There are a lot of people in here who apparently failed third grade probability.
Rooster
Footballguy
Before dismissing the position out of hand, let's take a deeper look. I think the assertion here is that if you're starting Peyton Manning as a QB vs the Seattle Defense, you're hedging your bets in a way ... you won't get a great game out of Peyton and the defense because, for the most part, they're mutually exclusive outcomes.
However, if you've got QBs and Defenses of a reasonably similar talent level and you're playing an opponent where you're going to need a monster game to even compete, I can see avoiding a matchup where you're limiting upside by starting your QB against a defense. Under a very specific set of circumstances, I could see opting for a lower probable score in exchange for a higher ceiling as a valid strategy move.
However, if you've got QBs and Defenses of a reasonably similar talent level and you're playing an opponent where you're going to need a monster game to even compete, I can see avoiding a matchup where you're limiting upside by starting your QB against a defense. Under a very specific set of circumstances, I could see opting for a lower probable score in exchange for a higher ceiling as a valid strategy move.
Run It Up
Footballguy
Are you from the united states?
We don't teach kids probability in third grade, some places don't even teach multiplication until the fourth grade.
