koreansteve
Footballguy
I would love to see some explanation and reasoning behind your top 10 list. I'm much less informed than many of you, but here's my initial list...
1. Adrian Peterson - Not a whole lot has changed. He's unbelievable and the lack of a decent passing game doesn't seem to affect him. No reason to think he won't get over 300 carries, double digits rushing TDs, and at least 30 catches. I expect his YPC to come down a bit from last year (6.0).
2. Arian Foster - His YPC and number of receptions have declined each of the past 3 years. But he has remained one of the most consistent players week-to-week and continues to be on pace for 15 rushing TDs every year.
3. Doug Martin - 300 carries and 50 receptions seems easily within his grasp. Upgrades on the O-line, a year of experience under his belt, and the entire offense in year 2 under Mike Sullivan make me think that a regression is unlikely.
4. Jamal Charles - As a Charles owner last year, watching him underutilized (less than 13 carries in 4 games last year) was frustrating to say the least. With Andy Reid, a more competent QB in Alex Smith, Charles should see an uptick in receptions and hopefully defenses will not be able to put 8-9 in the box.
5. C.J. Spiller - He proved that he can maintain his impressive YPC average even with an increased workload. Fred Jackson is 32 and I expect Spiller to get at least 235 carries and 50+ receptions. The scary part to me is that this offense might stall often and Buffalo will likely play from behind in most games. Hopefully BUF's plans to go more up-tempo helps increase their total number of plays in 2013.
6. Alfred Morris - His lack of receptions is really the only thing I see holding him back. 300 carries and double digit TDs seem very likely in 2013.
7. Ray Rice - The loss of Cam Cameron and the emergence of Bernard Pierce scare me...perhaps more than they should. I think he's a solid option and a great bet to finish #5 to #9...but I don't really see top 3 upside...which all of the guys above him possess. Solid but unspectacular would be how I see it.
8. Marshawn Lynch - I would have him at #5 but we're going to have to wait to see how the whole DUI situation works out and how many games he's suspended. SEA should be leading most games, but Turbin and Michael may see the field more often than Lynch owners would like.
9. Lesean McCoy - Chip Kelly, up-tempo, lots of opportunity. But the uncertainty at QB and the emergence of Bryce Brown as a very capable player are concerning. I don't see him getting the 270+ carries he received in 2011. Could be a stud in the new offensive scheme...but I'm not buying it just yet.
10. Steven Jackson - I have a lot of players bunched up here. Forte's lack of TD potential, CJohnson's inconsistency from week-to-week, TRich's injury history and low YPC average... I think SJAX thrives in a high-powered offense in ATL. Atlanta should be ahead more often than not, obviously he'll get more opportunities near the goal-line than he ever did in STL, and he doesn't appear to have lost much based on watching him last year.
That's my list right now...would love to hear from smarter voices.
1. Adrian Peterson - Not a whole lot has changed. He's unbelievable and the lack of a decent passing game doesn't seem to affect him. No reason to think he won't get over 300 carries, double digits rushing TDs, and at least 30 catches. I expect his YPC to come down a bit from last year (6.0).
2. Arian Foster - His YPC and number of receptions have declined each of the past 3 years. But he has remained one of the most consistent players week-to-week and continues to be on pace for 15 rushing TDs every year.
3. Doug Martin - 300 carries and 50 receptions seems easily within his grasp. Upgrades on the O-line, a year of experience under his belt, and the entire offense in year 2 under Mike Sullivan make me think that a regression is unlikely.
4. Jamal Charles - As a Charles owner last year, watching him underutilized (less than 13 carries in 4 games last year) was frustrating to say the least. With Andy Reid, a more competent QB in Alex Smith, Charles should see an uptick in receptions and hopefully defenses will not be able to put 8-9 in the box.
5. C.J. Spiller - He proved that he can maintain his impressive YPC average even with an increased workload. Fred Jackson is 32 and I expect Spiller to get at least 235 carries and 50+ receptions. The scary part to me is that this offense might stall often and Buffalo will likely play from behind in most games. Hopefully BUF's plans to go more up-tempo helps increase their total number of plays in 2013.
6. Alfred Morris - His lack of receptions is really the only thing I see holding him back. 300 carries and double digit TDs seem very likely in 2013.
7. Ray Rice - The loss of Cam Cameron and the emergence of Bernard Pierce scare me...perhaps more than they should. I think he's a solid option and a great bet to finish #5 to #9...but I don't really see top 3 upside...which all of the guys above him possess. Solid but unspectacular would be how I see it.
8. Marshawn Lynch - I would have him at #5 but we're going to have to wait to see how the whole DUI situation works out and how many games he's suspended. SEA should be leading most games, but Turbin and Michael may see the field more often than Lynch owners would like.
9. Lesean McCoy - Chip Kelly, up-tempo, lots of opportunity. But the uncertainty at QB and the emergence of Bryce Brown as a very capable player are concerning. I don't see him getting the 270+ carries he received in 2011. Could be a stud in the new offensive scheme...but I'm not buying it just yet.
10. Steven Jackson - I have a lot of players bunched up here. Forte's lack of TD potential, CJohnson's inconsistency from week-to-week, TRich's injury history and low YPC average... I think SJAX thrives in a high-powered offense in ATL. Atlanta should be ahead more often than not, obviously he'll get more opportunities near the goal-line than he ever did in STL, and he doesn't appear to have lost much based on watching him last year.
That's my list right now...would love to hear from smarter voices.
