This is the entirety of your post. The bolded is made without qualification, and the second paragraph is an assessment of the specific trade you were replying to. The third paragraph is sound strategy, but not relevant to the first paragraph. (It even undermines it to an extent, by suggesting that 1.12, which is almost a 2nd round pick, is worth less than a 1st next year. Not that next year’s pick would be worth less for being a year out.)A good rule of thumb is to decrease picks 2 years out by 1 round for value given you have to wait forever for it to pay off, but in this case 2021 is only a year out.
Regardless, youd have to finish top 3 in 2020 to make this pay off. This, to me, looks like a classic case of buying into 2020 being a way better draft class than 2021, which may not be the case. It may be better, but I'm not sure it's that much to make this trade.
IMO almost any time you can trade 1.12 for any future 1st round pick, it's a win.
Accordingly, it’s rather rude and insulting to double down with an accusation that people aren’t reading what you wrote, and implying we are all idiots compared to “other dynasty forums.” Please point me to what you wrote that indicates you didn’t really mean the bolded part above, because I guess I’m one of those idiots...it isn’t at all obvious to me:
By the way, the part about a 1st in 2020 being worth more than a future 1st is common sense, but irrelevant to the discussion of how much discounting to apply. My only contention is that the discount in value is far smaller than the drop to a second round pick.Right. I'm talking about value in a trade. if someone offers me a 2022 first or a 2021 first, I'm taking the 2021 1st. If he wants to give me the 2022 1st it will require more, because the 2022 1st is worth less than 2021 since I have to wait 2 more years to use it, and then time for that player to develop.
That's what I'm talking about. No one would trade a 2021 1st for a 2020 2nd. That's not what I'm talking about. Wish people would read everything rather than snippets or just one post. $5 says I have to repeat this at least 1 more time for someone who didnt read this and thinks I'm saying a 2021 1st is equal value to a 2020 2nd
I'm surprised this is such a foreign concept in this forum. Other dynasty-based forums this is common knowledge and not misinterpreted
You make a lot of good posts and I like your insight on things, but you have a tendency to take cheap shots at people who disagree with you, and I’m disappointed to find myself on the receiving end today.