DraftKings Week 15 (2 Viewers)

Caesar said:

Agreed.  I have been doing well in the showdowns.  I think because it is new and the pros haven't had enough data to figure out the formula for it.  I know when draftkings first started, I did fairly well because there weren't too many "pros" and definitely not endless websites and podcasts of information on it.  

I just don't have the willpower to stay away from the chance to win $150K on a $8-10 bet.  I'm a sucker like that.  But I don't have enough money to play a full compliment of lineups every week. 

Speaking of formula for Showdowns, what is yours?  KP talked about always putting a WR in the cpt.  I think that's a good plan.  I just try to put the lowest person salary-wise that I feel comfortable will be heavily involved in the gameplan in cpt spot.  Then fill in and always try to get both QBs in if its expected to be a high scoring game.  Use D and K if its looking like a low scoring game.  

Not too much thought, but mostly feel on the showdowns.  As I said, I have done pretty well on those, so it must work to some extent.

Click to expand...

Caesar said:

Agreed.  I have been doing well in the showdowns.  I think because it is new and the pros haven't had enough data to figure out the formula for it.  I know when draftkings first started, I did fairly well because there weren't too many "pros" and definitely not endless websites and podcasts of information on it.  

I just don't have the willpower to stay away from the chance to win $150K on a $8-10 bet.  I'm a sucker like that.  But I don't have enough money to play a full compliment of lineups every week. 

Speaking of formula for Showdowns, what is yours?  KP talked about always putting a WR in the cpt.  I think that's a good plan.  I just try to put the lowest person salary-wise that I feel comfortable will be heavily involved in the gameplan in cpt spot.  Then fill in and always try to get both QBs in if its expected to be a high scoring game.  Use D and K if its looking like a low scoring game.  

Not too much thought, but mostly feel on the showdowns.  As I said, I have done pretty well on those, so it must work to some extent.

Click to expand...

TwinTurbo said:

Also for MNF, the bulk of my lineups will feature either CMac or Kamara at cpt. For some reason, my gut tells me to fade Cam. 

What are your thoughts on the best strategy for tonight's showdown contests?

Click to expand...

Caesar said:

I like DJ Moore in cpt tonight.  I know cam hasn't looked right and the NO D has been pretty solid of late, but I just think he is a matchup nightmare for NO.  McCaffrey is always a good play, but I don't like the lineups when I put him in the captain spot, so I just have him in the flex.  If I could make a lot of lineups, I would do what you are doing because I think someone down there in the $400-$600 range is going to get value.  I am personally leaning Josh Hill.  Shot in the dark guess, but it could pay off.  

Agree with fading Cam for the most part.  

Carolina middle of the road for special teams.  Going to flyer T. Hill in the flex to make room for better players.  With his occasional use, it wouldn't take much for him to return value at $1400.

Like I said, not sure I have a sound strategy, but more feel of things.  Its been working for now.  I'm probably all over the place with this one.  The plays are so top heavy.  Take a chance on a cheap player and load up as best I can.

Click to expand...

Caesar said:

Agreed.  I have been doing well in the showdowns.  I think because it is new and the pros haven't had enough data to figure out the formula for it.  I know when draftkings first started, I did fairly well because there weren't too many "pros" and definitely not endless websites and podcasts of information on it.  

I just don't have the willpower to stay away from the chance to win $150K on a $8-10 bet.  I'm a sucker like that.  But I don't have enough money to play a full compliment of lineups every week. 

Speaking of formula for Showdowns, what is yours?  KP talked about always putting a WR in the cpt.  I think that's a good plan.  I just try to put the lowest person salary-wise that I feel comfortable will be heavily involved in the gameplan in cpt spot.  Then fill in and always try to get both QBs in if its expected to be a high scoring game.  Use D and K if its looking like a low scoring game.  

Not too much thought, but mostly feel on the showdowns.  As I said, I have done pretty well on those, so it must work to some extent.

Click to expand...

Bobcat10 said:

Brought this up in the FD thread.  I've been tinkering with low cost 1.5x players and had some cashes so far.  Was one Perriman play away Saturday night from a super finish (still finished 125th in a mid size gpp).  Sunday, Smallwood was minimum salary of $200, so his 1.5x slot value was only $300 I think (but that was falling into luck, which is what it takes I guess).  In the 1.5x slot I played Everett (cashed), Rams D (horrible lineup) and Sproles (just missed cashing).  Last night this wasn't a winning strategy from what I can tell with McCaffrey and Kamara doing so well and the QBs stunk (generally what you'd be paying up for), and I didn't notice any Manhertz lineups at the top of the standings or any other cheapo 1.5x players.

Has anyone been trying this out here?  I'm going to read this thread from the beginning now...

edit:  seems like some are tinkering with this, but maybe not as drastic as I have.  I'm digging down into the 2-4k range to find Captains.

Click to expand...

TwinTurbo said:

I've tinkered with lineups that had cheap players in the cpt spot but it usually didn't work out because they don't get enough volume to make a difference. Manhertz was a nice pivot but he only had 1 touch on a trick play. Smallwood was a good example of how it can work out, but it took an in-game injury for it to happen. The showdown lineups mostly come down to luck and having a smash player in the cpt spot. 

Click to expand...

TwinTurbo said:

Finished #1 in the $100k MNF showdown! 

Kamara (cpt), Panthers, Saints, Ingram, CMac, Thomas. The Panthers D run back on the Saints 2pt conversion attempt is what won it. 6 point swing for the Panthers D on that play with the INT, 2pt return, and holding the Saints under 14. We were just talking on this thread about how you needed to get super lucky to win and that play was a perfect example. 

Click to expand...

Caesar said:

Congrats.  That is awesome.  I basically got my money back Monday night, so not a loss, but still hoping for a hit like you got.  

Very cool.  

Click to expand...

TwinTurbo said:

Thanks. The other nice part was that I missed entering it in the $1M showdown but the payout split in the $100k actually ended up being slightly higher because there were only 5 ties instead of 73. So another bit lof luck there as well.

Think about that for a minute. The contest with the $250k top prize paid less to each #1 team than the contest with the $20k top prize after factoring in all the ties and the combined prize pool. 

Click to expand...

KarmaPolice said:

I never seem to get overlay on my price level.  Sounds like what BnB describes - a lot of overlay in $20+ entries?  $20 is about my weekly allowance. 

Click to expand...