cobalt_27
Footballguy
This. I can see it going one of two ways.Biff84 said:I’m in the minority at 60-70% not because the GOP will do the right thing but because they know Trump is a lost cause. They know that he will do something even worse or he’s already done it and it’s bound to come out.
As a Trump re-election looks less likely, I think they will choose to move on sooner than later to get a new candidate on the ticket to try and save their chances in 2020.
In one scenario, GOP knows they’re cooked because of Trump and for political expediency they race to be the first to repudiate. We aren’t there yet, but I think it’s close and more disclosures very certainly accelerates momentum we are seeing this week. 10%
In the other scenario, they’re pot committed and no matter how bad it is, they can’t turn on him because they don’t have enough time to rehabilitate their own image (GOP in general, but personally too because they defended him so long). They’ll say things like “impeachment is bad for the country, let the voters decide in a few months.” In essence they frame it not as a yeah/nay vote on conviction. Those in purple districts can even express disdain for his behavior, accept that he’s got no chance for re-election, but maybe they themselves retain the base and look reasonable to moderates in their own personal races. They will appeal to the “for the good of democracy” argument. 90%