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2019 Post Season Subscriber Contest (1 Viewer)

Welp, small ball lineup really needed the two Bills next week. Maybe work on tackling in-the off season. 

 
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Allen got me about 30, Stills 8.

they were picked to help me make the cut this week. I figure they got me about 1/2 way there. I’ll take it! 

 
Doug Drinen said:
Full standings won't be out until tomorrow morning --- sorry for the delay --- but all you need to know for now is that there are fewer than 4000 entries.
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So that means that everyone advances?

 
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QB - Drew Brees - NO - $38
QB - Patrick Mahomes - KC - $36
QB - Russell Wilson - SEA - $26
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO - $29
RB - Sony Michel - NE - $12
RB - Travis Homer - SEA - $9
WR - Michael Thomas - NO - $34
WR - Kenny Stills - HOU - $10
WR - TreQuan Smith - NO - $9
WR - Mecole Hardman - KC - $8
WR - Demarcus Robinson - KC - $4
WR - Marquez Valdes-Scantling - GB - $2
TE - Travis Kelce - KC - $22
TE - Jordan Akins - HOU - $5
TE - Matt LaCosse - NE - $4
TE - Tyler Conklin - MIN - $2

Other tough part is picking the right teams that advance, but the wrong players (Allen/Singelary/Hausuka) having good games.

 
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Kind of figured that there wouldn’t be 4000 this year. How New Years falls always impacts participation. Sorry but that was a significant competitive edge I didn’t want to share. Played it a little safe taking both Brady and Mariotta. Would have been a great year to load up on the number one seeds. 

 
BassNBrew said:
Kind of figured that there wouldn’t be 4000 this year. How New Years falls always impacts participation. Sorry but that was a significant competitive edge I didn’t want to share. Played it a little safe taking both Brady and Mariotta. Would have been a great year to load up on the number one seeds. 
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This is a reading comprehension post, isn't it?

 
QuizGuy66 said:
Here's my bunch.  Maybe a little more about it later when I get back from hockey.

QB - Lamar Jackson - 40  BAL (SB)
QB - Josh Allen - 21 BUF
QB - Aaron Rodgers - 20 GB (SB)
RB - Aaron Jones - 23 GB (SB)
RB - Derrick Henry - 15 TEN
RB - Travis Homer - 9 SEA
RB - Jamaal Williams - 8 GB (SB)
RB - Miles Sanders - 8 PHI
RB - Gus Edwards - 8 BAL (SB)
RB - Justice Hill - 4 BAL (SB)
RB - Frank Gore - 3 BUF
WR - Davante Adams - 21 GB (SB)
WR - Tre'Quan Smith - 9 NO
WR - Geronimo Allison - 3 GB (SB)
TE - Mark Andrews - 18 BAL (SB)
TE - Hayden Hurst - 6 BAL (SB)
TE - Matt LaCosse - 4 NE
TE - Ben Watson - 4 NE
PK - Wil Lutz - 14 NO
PK - Harrison Butker - 12 KC

Went with the Baltimore-Green Bay Super Bowl.  Very hard to fully fade a #1 seed in SF, but that's part of the deal.  NO was really the other consideration, but I think that's going to be a popular combo.

Recent years have been big in terms of the top-2 seeds making the Super Bowl and even though Green Bay is the strongest looking 13-3, they have good enough 

5 Ravens - Lamar is a must - heck Lamar is kind hard to fade on any entry even if you don't  have Baltimore in your combinations.  I suspect a lot of undead/no hope entries will have him on their rosters and ruin a lot of days.  Had Andrews in, then out in favor of Tucker, then back in again.  Very tough to leave Ingram out - kinda hoping him being dinged up makes it a little more of a committee with Gus and Jus.  Hurst rounds out the bunch.  Total value of $151 on these 10.  I hope it's enough and is helped by lack of faith in Green Bay.

So there ya go :boxing:

-QG
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I had Lamar the whole time (non Baltimore entry) but pulled him for Rodgers and Adams at the last minute.  Just felt like those two would outscore Lamar by a few points. 

 
rockaction said:
I didn't get that at all.

And yes the 4,000 advancing might have altered my strategy. The Bills I have are now gone.  Would've spent some money on GB, darn it. 
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Might have bought the rest of the Packers.

Should have a deleterious effect on next week's cut as well.  Even though I have two Saints and no Vikings a Saints loss might actually help me.

-QG

 
Balt/NO super bowl
QB - Lamar Jackson - 40
QB - Drew Brees - 38
QB - Russell Wilson - 26
QB - Taysom Hill - 8
RB - Gus Edwards - 8
RB - Justice Hill - 4
WR - Michael Thomas - 34
WR - Mecole Hardman - 8
WR - Demarcus Robinson - 4
TE - Jared Cook - 24
TE - Mark Andrews - 18
TE - Jacob Hollister - 13
TD - Baltimore Ravens - 13
TD - New Orleans Saints - 12

will have 10 in the Super Bowl if I make it....counting on Seattle with a sprinkle of KC

 
Hoping for a Niners-Ravens Superbowl. Will have 12 players in SB if I make it that far.

QB - Lamar Jackson - 40
QB - Russell Wilson - 26
QB - Jimmy Garoppolo - 25
RB - Mark Ingram II - 25
RB - Matt Breida - 7
RB - Jeff Wilson - 2
WR - Marquise Brown - 17
WR - Emmanuel Sanders - 14
WR - John Brown - 13
WR - Tre'Quan Smith - 9
WR - Mohamed Sanu - 8
WR - Willie Snead IV - 7
WR - Dante Pettis - 2
TE - George Kittle - 21
TE - Mark Andrews - 18
TE - Jonnu Smith - 7
PK - Robbie Gould - 8

 
I changed my roster no less than 15 times in a 90 min time period.  Had Russell Wilson & Metcalf figuring Sea had at least 2 games with value.  Then went GB (Jones & Adams) but figured 1st round bye would have me missing the cut this week (foolish now with < 4000)..... Then  decided to go heavy Baltimore....  Lamar, Gus & Andrews...  but then felt I needed points for Week 1 and decided Tenn would score on NEP... and went Henry & Tannehill....  I was all over the map on this ....  finally decided pick and leave it... 

KC (3) vs NOS (2)  ....With 5  players having 1st round bye,  I still have 7 playing.  

QB - Drew Brees - 38
QB - Patrick Mahomes II - 36
RB - James White - 18
RB - Derrick Henry - 15
RB - Raheem Mostert - 14
RB - Travis Homer - 9
WR - Michael Thomas - 34
WR - Tyreek Hill - 26
WR - Deebo Samuel - 16
WR - DK Metcalf - 15
TE - Travis Kelce - 22
TE - Jonnu Smith - 7

 
cam75 said:
Hoping for a Niners-Ravens Superbowl. Will have 12 players in SB if I make it that far.

QB - Russell Wilson - 26
WR - Marquise Brown - 17
WR - John Brown - 13
WR - Tre'Quan Smith - 9
WR - Mohamed Sanu - 8
TE - Jonnu Smith - 7
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If there is a cut, what hope do you have on these players carrying you thru?  

But odds are there won't be a cut, but too risky IMO.  But fate favors the bold!  

 
I get to keep Henry for another week.  Probably better than 2 potential Ben Watson and the other scrub TE games.

-QG

 
Doug Drinen said:
Full standings won't be out until tomorrow morning --- sorry for the delay --- but all you need to know for now is that there are fewer than 4000 entries.
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Did you ever consider lowering the cut off? Seems to reward those that totally bungle their lineup

 
Was there another free to subscribers playoff contest?  Guess I didn't look hard enough for the contest link.  Only saw the pay ones.

Nevermind, I see it now.  :kicksrock:

 
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Well, at least the first 2 games went my way.  Rostered Henry & Fells, and no Bills or Patriots.  Now just need NO & SEA to advance, as I chose no Vikings or Eagles either.  After that, I want a huge cutoff week 2.

 
QB - Drew Brees - 38
QB - Ryan Tannehill - 14
RB - Alvin Kamara - 29
RB - Damien Williams - 16
RB - Derrick Henry - 15
RB - Devin Singletary - 12
RB - Miles Sanders - 8
RB - Matt Breida - 7
WR - Michael Thomas - 34
WR - DK Metcalf - 15
WR - A.J. Brown - 13
WR - John Brown - 13
WR - Allen Lazard - 8
TE - George Kittle - 21
TE - Jonnu Smith - 7

I have lost in the 2nd or 3rd round every year iirc. So that's what I focused on, but now I lose at least $25 in bills. 

 
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TheWinz said:
What the heck happened this year?  Kinda screwed over the folks that wasted money trying to advance.  Congrats to those who mistakenly chose only players from the top 2 seeds.
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OTOH, it might help as well for the 2nd round. I’ve only lost 2 players, and still have Tannehill & Stills left to get me round 2 points to advance to round 3. Wentz too if he wins today. 

i saw the rule about no 1st round cut if below x#, I just didn’t want to risk it. All told it cost me $30. 

sure, I would rather have spent that on a couple more Ravens & Niners, but who knows what happens.

still having fun - great free contest to end the year. I’ve been a subscriber for several years & this is the 1st year for me for both subscriber contests. 

 
Hot Sauce Guy said:
OTOH, it might help as well for the 2nd round. I’ve only lost 2 players, and still have Tannehill & Stills left to get me round 2 points to advance to round 3. Wentz too if he wins today.

i saw the rule about no 1st round cut if below x#, I just didn’t want to risk it. All told it cost me $30. 

sure, I would rather have spent that on a couple more Ravens & Niners, but who knows what happens.

still having fun - great free contest to end the year. I’ve been a subscriber for several years & this is the 1st year for me for both subscriber contests. 
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I also saw the no cutline rule, but that's why I researched past years before I made my lineup.  If you scroll up just a few posts, how could anyone who knew those numbers have guessed the entries would plummet to under 4000?  In this case, the most informed people are actually at a disadvantage, because they spent $$ on players they really don't expect to advance to week 3 (or even week 2 in some cases), but hedged to ensure they didn't get booted in week 1.  Had I known there would be no cut, I would've spent more on my 2 SB hopefuls.  Now I have no shot at the top prize, even though I spent $174 on a KC/NO matchup.  I will just have to hope for around 10th place if all goes right.

 
TheWinz said:
I also saw the no cutline rule, but that's why I researched past years before I made my lineup.  If you scroll up just a few posts, how could anyone who knew those numbers have guessed the entries would plummet to under 4000?  In this case, the most informed people are actually at a disadvantage, because they spent $$ on players they really don't expect to advance to week 3 (or even week 2 in some cases), but hedged to ensure they didn't get booted in week 1.  Had I known there would be no cut, I would've spent more on my 2 SB hopefuls.  Now I have no shot at the top prize, even though I spent $174 on a KC/NO matchup.  I will just have to hope for around 10th place if all goes right.
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You still have a shot - if 

1. you’re in rare air with that matchup, and it is indeed KC/NO (in which case I have no shot)

2. You took a unique lineup that outperforms others. 

My SF/BAL stack is very likely more common. 

 
TheWinz said:
What the heck happened this year?  Kinda screwed over the folks that wasted money trying to advance.  Congrats to those who mistakenly chose only players from the top 2 seeds.
Click to expand...
New Years falling right in the middle of the week.  Contest came out on a holiday and a day later than typical.  The reminders in the e-mails were buried after the FPPC pitch.

 
TheWinz said:
I also saw the no cutline rule, but that's why I researched past years before I made my lineup.  If you scroll up just a few posts, how could anyone who knew those numbers have guessed the entries would plummet to under 4000?  In this case, the most informed people are actually at a disadvantage, because they spent $$ on players they really don't expect to advance to week 3 (or even week 2 in some cases), but hedged to ensure they didn't get booted in week 1.  Had I known there would be no cut, I would've spent more on my 2 SB hopefuls.  Now I have no shot at the top prize, even though I spent $174 on a KC/NO matchup.  I will just have to hope for around 10th place if all goes right.
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Did you research the main contest entries dropping from 15000+ to about 12500 this year?  Traffic in the DFS forum is almost nonexistent.  

 
TheWinz said:
I also saw the no cutline rule, but that's why I researched past years before I made my lineup.  If you scroll up just a few posts, how could anyone who knew those numbers have guessed the entries would plummet to under 4000?  In this case, the most informed people are actually at a disadvantage, because they spent $$ on players they really don't expect to advance to week 3 (or even week 2 in some cases), but hedged to ensure they didn't get booted in week 1.  Had I known there would be no cut, I would've spent more on my 2 SB hopefuls.  Now I have no shot at the top prize, even though I spent $174 on a KC/NO matchup.  I will just have to hope for around 10th place if all goes right.
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Yep. No cut line rewards those that didn't understand the rules and totally punted week 1. It will be interesting to seethe top 10 teams and their strategy or lack thereof

 
BassNBrew said:
New Years falling right in the middle of the week.  Contest came out on a holiday and a day later than typical.  The reminders in the e-mails were buried after the FPPC pitch.
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They're always buried after  a salespitch. And the contest came out at a no different time than other years - right after the regular season and first week of the playoffs. I don't think it was a huge factor

ETA: Just saw your post about the main contest entries dropping from 15000+ to about 12500 this year. What do you attribute that to? So both contests had the number of entries drop. More likely less subscribers than falling on a holiday IMO.

 
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BassNBrew said:
Did you research the main contest entries dropping from 15000+ to about 12500 this year?  Traffic in the DFS forum is almost nonexistent.  
Click to expand...
To drop to somewhere in the 3000's is quite different than dropping from 15K to 12.5K.  And, as @KingPrawn said, this contest is the same as the last few years.  Did anyone expect it to drop nearly 50%?  Just look at these numbers...

2018 - 6782 teams

2017 - 6679 teams

2016 - 6284 teams

2015 - 5522 teams

2014 - 4706 teams

At this rate, next year's regular season contest won't have a cutoff for the first 6 weeks!  Half my team will be on IR by the time I need them.

 
KingPrawn said:
They're always buried after  a salespitch. And the contest came out at a no different time than other years - right after the regular season and first week of the playoffs. I don't think it was a huge factor

ETA: Just saw your post about the main contest entries dropping from 15000+ to about 12500 this year. What do you attribute that to? So both contests had the number of entries drop. More likely less subscribers than falling on a holiday IMO.
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I may be wrong, but I seem to remember a FBG post season subscriber contest specific e-mail in years gone by.  May have been before the FPPC.

I think you're underestimating the impact of the holiday shifting to mid week and the contest coming out late in the day New Years Eve.  Only two work days to tinker with this and I suspect many of us actually did some work this Thursday relative to other Thursdays.

I think fantasy football has peaked.  I was shocked how much the activity fell off in the DFS this year.  I was thinking about starting a thread about all of the in the shark pool but have been busy catching up from the holidays and scrambling to get a post season league draft done in two days.

 
No Titans and one less week of Sanu and Michel than I had planned.  Banking on NO over KC in the superbowl....

QB - Drew Brees - 38
QB - Patrick Mahomes II - 36
RB - Sony Michel - 12
RB - Travis Homer - 9
RB - Gus Edwards - 8
RB - Darwin Thompson - 6
WR - Michael Thomas - 34
WR - DK Metcalf - 15
WR - Ted Ginn Jr - 9
WR - Mecole Hardman - 8
WR - Mohamed Sanu - 8
WR - Demarcus Robinson - 4
WR - DeAndre Carter - 3
TE - Dawson Knox - 5
TE - Jordan Akins - 5
TE - Luke Willson - 2
PK - Wil Lutz - 14
PK - Harrison Butker - 12
TD - New Orleans Saints - 12
TD - Kansas City Chiefs - 10

 
zed2283 said:
I find it amusing all you guys saying that the no-cut rewarded people who "screwed up" and "bungled" and were "ignorant of the rules."  Hey, maybe people just did something different than you did, ever think of that?
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Of those who did not consider Week 1 specifics, what percentage do you think did so on the basis of a deliberate strategy banking on less than 4000 entries?

I'll say 0.01%.  Or less.

 
SeniorVBDStudent said:
Of those who did not consider Week 1 specifics, what percentage do you think did so on the basis of a deliberate strategy banking on less than 4000 entries?

I'll say 0.01%.  Or less.
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What percentage of participants do you think did not consider Week 1 specifics?  You guys have no idea, you're just spouting off.

 
zed2283 said:
I find it amusing all you guys saying that the no-cut rewarded people who "screwed up" and "bungled" and were "ignorant of the rules."  Hey, maybe people just did something different than you did, ever think of that?
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If that something different is selecting no players from week 1 and still being alive at the start of week 2, then yes, they were rewarded for screwing up, bungling, and being ignorant.  There will be many entries with limited week 1 players, but at least those people took a calculated risk of missing the cut, had there been one.

 
BassNBrew said:
I may be wrong, but I seem to remember a FBG post season subscriber contest specific e-mail in years gone by.  May have been before the FPPC.

I think you're underestimating the impact of the holiday shifting to mid week and the contest coming out late in the day New Years Eve.  Only two work days to tinker with this and I suspect many of us actually did some work this Thursday relative to other Thursdays.

I think fantasy football has peaked.  I was shocked how much the activity fell off in the DFS this year.  I was thinking about starting a thread about all of the in the shark pool but have been busy catching up from the holidays and scrambling to get a post season league draft done in two days.
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The NFL is actually what has peaked, IMO. In 20 years we'll look back on 2014-2015 as the peak. 

 
TheWinz said:
If that something different is selecting no players from week 1 and still being alive at the start of week 2, then yes, they were rewarded for screwing up, bungling, and being ignorant.  There will be many entries with limited week 1 players, but at least those people took a calculated risk of missing the cut, had there been one.
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How many entries selected no players from week 1?

 
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