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Let's talk about Santana Moss (1 Viewer)

bigreese82

Footballguy
With the addition of Lloyd and Randel El hurt or help Santana Moss? Less double teams or less looks

Do you see him sniffing top 10 again? Redraft and dynasty prospects

 
It seems that Brunell and Moss build a pretty good repoir in 2005.

I think he'll be a step below Top 10 but a Top 15 WR is nothing to complain about.

I got him last year (in a dynasty league) at a bargin and now people are trying to buy him.

With the following WR's on my team I might sell him high if he can help me elsewhere (It would have to be a stud though):

L Fitz

N Burleson

T Glenn

M Jones (JAX)

We start 2 or 3 WR's but I'm stacked at RB so I'd never start 3 Wides.

 
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I'm more interested in who will emerge as the second WR in that group. I can't decide who has more value, Lloyd or Randle El...

 
It's gotta hurt a little. Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys. El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.

 
Im more interested in if it will hurt Cooley. Cooley is good, but was the #2 target somewhat by default last year. He's probably good enough to stay the #2 option, but with some workable options at WR2 and WR3, his targets will have to decrease at least a little bit.

 
Lloyd is by far the better receiver. Randle El is NOT a good receiver. He is fun and all that stuff but he is by no means a good receiver. Look at what he did when he was the #2 guy last year..... if he was that good the Steelers would have pushed harder to keep him. He was easily replaceable. Now, return man status is totally different.

Lloyd is a good receiver. I dont think he reached his potential in San Fran because he was IN SAN FRAN! I think this guy will be an awesome compliment to Moss and he will definately post some solid numbers.

The addition of these two guys definately makes Moss better though. Not to mention Portis running the rock will open up the passing game.

 
I'm more interested in who will emerge as the second WR in that group. I can't decide who has more value, Lloyd or Randle El...
That's not something I'd be comfortable answering until week 1. If I had to guess right now, I'd say Lloyd is going to be WR2.
 
Lloyd is by far the better receiver. Randle El is NOT a good receiver. He is fun and all that stuff but he is by no means a good receiver. Look at what he did when he was the #2 guy last year..... if he was that good the Steelers would have pushed harder to keep him. He was easily replaceable. Now, return man status is totally different.

Lloyd is a good receiver. I dont think he reached his potential in San Fran because he was IN SAN FRAN! I think this guy will be an awesome compliment to Moss and he will definately post some solid numbers.

The addition of these two guys definately makes Moss better though. Not to mention Portis running the rock will open up the passing game.
Meh. Lloyd is also incredibly one dimensional. He's a deep threat capable of making the circus catch, but there is not much else to like about him. I don't think he's much better than Randle El.
 
Less double teams or less looks
Both.
Do you see him sniffing top 10 again? Redraft and dynasty prospects
His production will have to decline about 20% from last year to drop out of the top 10. I don't see it dropping that much this year. Gary Clark was top 10 five times in a six-year stretch under Gibbs I. Saunders worked with Holt and Bruce in StL. I think they'll find a way to make him the focal point of the passing game.
 
It's gotta hurt a little. Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys. El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I think it hurts his receptions but I think it helps his YPC and I think his TD's stay the same.....So he will have less catches but more yards per catch. I still think his yards drop from last year but not as much as one would think with a 20% or so drop in receptions....
 
It's gotta hurt a little. Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys. El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I guarantee money will not be a factor when the coaching staff draws up the gameplan and call plays.
 
It's gotta hurt a little. Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys. El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I guarantee money will not be a factor when the coaching staff draws up the gameplan and call plays.
Agreed. The Redskins will consider it money will spent even if the only thing Lloyd and Randle El do is make life a little easier for Moss and Brunell.
 
It's gotta hurt a little. Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys. El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
The REDSKINS overpay a player :confused: :D
 
In the long run, Moss will benefit from his new receivers...(Although Portis will benefit the most)

Last year, Moss had an early season TEAR in yardage. He slowed down in the middle of the season, and that happened around the same time David Patten had a season ending injury.

Yes...Patten isn't a major receiving threat, but he had enough speed and separation power to make defenses honest. That opened up Moss for more one-on-one situations, which he used to his benefit.

Lloyd will be the true #2...and will be more of a possession receiver for them. Randle El will be the biggest benefit to Moss, since his presence in the slot will guarantee single matchups for Moss.

Moss will continue to average around 17 yards per catch...but the big question is if he will repeat his 80+ catch season. My guess is that he has slightly less catches, but potentially more TDs, espeically of the looooong yardage variety. (which helps out owners in leagues that rewards TDS over 40 yards.) Either way, I think he is good for 1,300 and 11 TDs.

 
In the long run, Moss will benefit from his new receivers...(Although Portis will benefit the most)

Last year, Moss had an early season TEAR in yardage. He slowed down in the middle of the season, and that happened around the same time David Patten had a season ending injury.

Yes...Patten isn't a major receiving threat, but he had enough speed and separation power to make defenses honest. That opened up Moss for more one-on-one situations, which he used to his benefit.

Lloyd will be the true #2...and will be more of a possession receiver for them. Randle El will be the biggest benefit to Moss, since his presence in the slot will guarantee single matchups for Moss.

Moss will continue to average around 17 yards per catch...but the big question is if he will repeat his 80+ catch season. My guess is that he has slightly less catches, but potentially more TDs, espeically of the looooong yardage variety. (which helps out owners in leagues that rewards TDS over 40 yards.) Either way, I think he is good for 1,300 and 11 TDs.
I really hope you are right. I acquired S. Moss after week 1 last year as a throw in. He ended up being one of my most valuable players. My gut reaction is that the new additions will result in more passing yards and more passing TDs for the Redskins as a team. I liked the comparison to Gary Clark by an earlier poster. If you go back and look at the stats from Gibbs' first go around you see plenty of seasons with great numbers from the #1, #2, and #3 WRs. My initial breakdown has the Skins throwing for about 3800 yards and 27 TDs. Of that I give Moss 80 catches for 1280 yards and 8 TDs. Good enough to be a #1 but maybe available as your #2.
 
It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I guarantee money will not be a factor when the coaching staff draws up the gameplan and call plays.
No? You don't think after paying a guy $11 million upfront, they might want him to get the ball a few times and make plays? I guarantee both guys will be on the field quite a bit, and they're going to get some targets. Why would you spend a ton of money on receivers and then not design any plays to get them the ball?
 
Im more interested in if it will hurt Cooley. Cooley is good, but was the #2 target somewhat by default last year. He's probably good enough to stay the #2 option, but with some workable options at WR2 and WR3, his targets will have to decrease at least a little bit.
Very valid concern, but I think you shouldn't lose too much sleep over it. Cooley will still be a major red zone target, which is the most important thing. He's not a blocking specialist, so he will be used to strech the field by making them honor the middle. Much of Colloey's production came from dink & dunk passes that he turned into bigger plays. I think that will still happen, but the occasional pass to the slot (Randel El) could hurt a bit.Honestly, I see Moss getting his down the field opportunities still like last year, but his over 5 rec games might be a thing of the past. Another thing to think about, Gibbs plays it safe once he gets the lead by pounding it out w/ the run. If Al Saunders bring consistency to the offense, they could find themselves ahead earlier in games and not having to throw as much in the second half of games as last year too. I guess I'm saying it's more complex than just the addition of the two new WR's.

 
Im more interested in if it will hurt Cooley. Cooley is good, but was the #2 target somewhat by default last year. He's probably good enough to stay the #2 option, but with some workable options at WR2 and WR3, his targets will have to decrease at least a little bit.
I think this does affect Cooley. As you mention, Cooley was the #2 option. Now he will be the 3rd or 4th look when Moss is covered. I do not see Cooley getting 70 catches. 50-60 is likely the high side. I can see him with 50 because they do design some plays for him and will line him up in multiple formations on the outside, slot and out of the backfield. Plus the new coord liked Gonzo in KC so I can see some plays going his way. But don't let that sway too much. They never had much of a #2 at WR in KC so Gonzo was also needed in that role. Things are not that way in Wash now.
 
My take in a nutshell:

The passing game (and running game) improve overall.

Moss's individual numbers will decline.

 
Im more interested in if it will hurt Cooley. Cooley is good, but was the #2 target somewhat by default last year. He's probably good enough to stay the #2 option, but with some workable options at WR2 and WR3, his targets will have to decrease at least a little bit.
I think Cooley will be fine. I just don't think you're going to see Mike Sellers with 7 TD's again. :D
 
It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
The REDSKINS overpay a player :confused: :D
Ouch. That's really going to affect what they do on the field. :rolleyes: But I'm sure it's going to hurt them in FA next year, right? It's got to . . . :mellow:

 
It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I guarantee money will not be a factor when the coaching staff draws up the gameplan and call plays.
No? You don't think after paying a guy $11 million upfront, they might want him to get the ball a few times and make plays? I guarantee both guys will be on the field quite a bit, and they're going to get some targets. Why would you spend a ton of money on receivers and then not design any plays to get them the ball?
I guess that means that Lavar played the most snaps last year as the highest paid Redskin, right? :lmao: Don't be a bozo.

 
It's gotta hurt a little. Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys. El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I guarantee money will not be a factor when the coaching staff draws up the gameplan and call plays.
No? You don't think after paying a guy $11 million upfront, they might want him to get the ball a few times and make plays? I guarantee both guys will be on the field quite a bit, and they're going to get some targets.
Of course they want him to. But, if he doesn't show he should be in that position, he won't be.Gibbs: Randle El, you won't be starting today.

ARE: But coach, I make a lot of money.

Gibbs: Oh, okay, you're in.

:no:

Why would you spend a ton of money on receivers and then not design any plays to get them the ball?
Their ability to make plays as compared to the next guy on the roster decides this, not their contract. He's been paid a certain amount of money already regardless of his performance. Therefore, money plays no role in his playing time.
 
It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I guarantee money will not be a factor when the coaching staff draws up the gameplan and call plays.
No? You don't think after paying a guy $11 million upfront, they might want him to get the ball a few times and make plays? I guarantee both guys will be on the field quite a bit, and they're going to get some targets. Why would you spend a ton of money on receivers and then not design any plays to get them the ball?
I guess that means that Lavar played the most snaps last year as the highest paid Redskin, right? :lmao: Don't be a bozo.
Did the current regime give LaVar that contract, or did he sign prior to Gibbs' return? Before you start acting like a condescending know-it-all... why don't you tell me what you think the breakdown of targets among the WRs is going to be, percentage-wise?
 
It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I guarantee money will not be a factor when the coaching staff draws up the gameplan and call plays.
No? You don't think after paying a guy $11 million upfront, they might want him to get the ball a few times and make plays? I guarantee both guys will be on the field quite a bit, and they're going to get some targets.
Of course they want him to. But, if he doesn't show he should be in that position, he won't be.Gibbs: Randle El, you won't be starting today.

ARE: But coach, I make a lot of money.

Gibbs: Oh, okay, you're in.

:no:

Why would you spend a ton of money on receivers and then not design any plays to get them the ball?
Their ability to make plays as compared to the next guy on the roster decides this, not their contract. He's been paid a certain amount of money already regardless of his performance. Therefore, money plays no role in his playing time.
Playing time is not the issue. Those guys are good enough to be on the field. The issue at hand is whether the Skins will design plays to utilize the talent that they paid for. If you're not going to mix your offense up a little bit and spread the ball around, why would you spend $45 million (or whatever the aggregate is) on complementary recievers, when they had guys who were capable of drawing defenders away from Moss as it was?
 
It's gotta hurt a little. Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys. El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I think it hurts his receptions but I think it helps his YPC and I think his TD's stay the same.....So he will have less catches but more yards per catch. I still think his yards drop from last year but not as much as one would think with a 20% or so drop in receptions....
Santana Moss dynasty owner :wub:
 
Money is a valid factor to consider when a player is brought in by a new regime. While they obviously don't sit down and game plan based on money, they DO spend money based on a very good idea of how they expect to game plan. So if a player comes in with a pretty good contract, that signals an intent by the team to use that player a certain amount. Obviously a player can bust, but teams don't go throwing money around to players with the idea that they'll just figure out how they are going to use them later on--they already have a very good idea on that before they offer the contract.

 
I think Lloyd will outperform Randle El as a receiver. I think Moss will have fewer targets, and probably fewer catches as a result, but his YPC will increase and his TD's will stay about the same. There were few times last year where other teams could cover him, and I don't see that changing with the addition of better #2 and #3 WR's than they had last year.

Mike Sellers and Robert Royal had 9 TD's between them last year, which will likely be divided up between Lloyd, Randle El, Patten, and Portis. Cooley will likely stay at about the same production rate. The offense as a whole will likely gain more yards and score more points than last year.

All assuming the same level of injuries as last year.

The major beneficiary of adding Loyd and Randle El will be Clinton Portis.

 
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It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I guarantee money will not be a factor when the coaching staff draws up the gameplan and call plays.
No? You don't think after paying a guy $11 million upfront, they might want him to get the ball a few times and make plays? I guarantee both guys will be on the field quite a bit, and they're going to get some targets. Why would you spend a ton of money on receivers and then not design any plays to get them the ball?
I guess that means that Lavar played the most snaps last year as the highest paid Redskin, right? :lmao: Don't be a bozo.
Did the current regime give LaVar that contract, or did he sign prior to Gibbs' return? Before you start acting like a condescending know-it-all... why don't you tell me what you think the breakdown of targets among the WRs is going to be, percentage-wise?
I'm more than happy to give you a % breakdown, and I'm already on record as saying Moss' numbers will decline. But none of that has anything to do with contract status or cap numbers. :loco: Speaking of condecension, don't you think it's a bit condescending to think you know more about how the offense will be run than guys who follow the team avidly just because you took a quick glance at contract numbers? :bye:

 
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It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
I guarantee money will not be a factor when the coaching staff draws up the gameplan and call plays.
No? You don't think after paying a guy $11 million upfront, they might want him to get the ball a few times and make plays? I guarantee both guys will be on the field quite a bit, and they're going to get some targets. Why would you spend a ton of money on receivers and then not design any plays to get them the ball?
I guess that means that Lavar played the most snaps last year as the highest paid Redskin, right? :lmao: Don't be a bozo.
Did the current regime give LaVar that contract, or did he sign prior to Gibbs' return? Before you start acting like a condescending know-it-all... why don't you tell me what you think the breakdown of targets among the WRs is going to be, percentage-wise?
I'm more than happy to give you a % breakdown, and I'm already on record as saying Moss' numbers will decline. But none of that has anything to do with contract status or cap numbers. :loco: Speaking of condecension, don't you think it's a bit condescending to think you know more about how the offense will be run than guys who follow the team avidly just because you took a quick glance at contract numbers? :bye:
#1 - I never said his numbers would fall off due to cap numbers. RIF, man. I said the Skins wouldn't have revamped their whole receiving corps if they didn't plan to spread the ball around a little more. I don't think Moss is going to get almost 60% of the WR targets with both El and Lloyd in the mix. It's not because those guys make x amount of dollars, it's because the Redskins wouldn't have paid them that amount to stand around. They're going to want to get the ball to these guys, that's why they paid them - not the other way around.#2 - It's now condescending to have an opinion? I never purported what I said as fact, and I certainly didn't insult you for having opinions of your own. I looked at the situation as a football fan and drew certain conclusions. I'm sure you're the end all-be all of Redskins knowledge, so obviously your opinions carry far more weight. But I'll tell you what, when I start calling you a bozo or posting :lmao: icons unsolicited on your comments, then you can call me condescending. Until then, don't act like a jackass and try to turn it around on me.

 
#1 - I never said his numbers would fall off due to cap numbers. RIF, man. I said the Skins wouldn't have revamped their whole receiving corps if they didn't plan to spread the ball around a little more. I don't think Moss is going to get almost 60% of the WR targets with both El and Lloyd in the mix. It's not because those guys make x amount of dollars, it's because the Redskins wouldn't have paid them that amount to stand around. They're going to want to get the ball to these guys, that's why they paid them - not the other way around.
It's gotta hurt a little. Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys. El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
RI indeed F. :bye:
 
#1 - I never said his numbers would fall off due to cap numbers.  RIF, man.  I said the Skins wouldn't have revamped their whole receiving corps if they didn't plan to spread the ball around a little more.  I don't think Moss is going to get almost 60% of the WR targets with both El and Lloyd in the mix.  It's not because those guys make x amount of dollars, it's because the Redskins wouldn't have paid them that amount to stand around. They're going to want to get the ball to these guys, that's why they paid them - not the other way around.
It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
RI indeed F. :bye:
I just explained all that above. Are you this dense? My point was, why pay the guy that much money and then not throw him the ball? I'm assuming by the salary he got, their regard for him is high enough to garner a # of targets. Same with Lloyd, or they wouldn't have traded two draft picks to get him. Moss can still get 40-45% of the targets and be in the range I indicated.
 
#1 - I never said his numbers would fall off due to cap numbers.  RIF, man.  I said the Skins wouldn't have revamped their whole receiving corps if they didn't plan to spread the ball around a little more.  I don't think Moss is going to get almost 60% of the WR targets with both El and Lloyd in the mix.  It's not because those guys make x amount of dollars, it's because the Redskins wouldn't have paid them that amount to stand around.  They're going to want to get the ball to these guys, that's why they paid them - not the other way around.
It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
RI indeed F. :bye:
I just explained all that above. Are you this dense? My point was, why pay the guy that much money and then not throw him the ball? I'm assuming by the salary he got, their regard for him is high enough to garner a # of targets. Same with Lloyd, or they wouldn't have traded two draft picks to get him. Moss can still get 40-45% of the targets and be in the range I indicated.
There are two ways to interpret your comments:1) you were reiterating the tired theme of Redskins overspending on FA's by trying to work it into a discussion about WR's (one of whom was signed away BTW from your favorite team after being the Super Bowl hero) where it didn't belong; or

2) you were stating something so blatantly obvious (i.e. the Redskins actually plan to use the FA WR's who they signed in their offense) that it didn't need to be stated to begin with.

Neither of these is an attractive explanation. I'd point out that as for the second one (the one you're arguing for), no mention of "overpayment" or the value of their contracts needed to be made.

 
#1 - I never said his numbers would fall off due to cap numbers.  RIF, man.  I said the Skins wouldn't have revamped their whole receiving corps if they didn't plan to spread the ball around a little more.  I don't think Moss is going to get almost 60% of the WR targets with both El and Lloyd in the mix.  It's not because those guys make x amount of dollars, it's because the Redskins wouldn't have paid them that amount to stand around.  They're going to want to get the ball to these guys, that's why they paid them - not the other way around.
It's gotta hurt a little.  Sure, he may see less double teams, but one would think his targets would have to drop by at least 20-30% based on the $$ they're paying these guys.  El, grabbing 35 balls at the price they're paying for him, would be grossly overpaid.
RI indeed F. :bye:
I just explained all that above. Are you this dense? My point was, why pay the guy that much money and then not throw him the ball? I'm assuming by the salary he got, their regard for him is high enough to garner a # of targets. Same with Lloyd, or they wouldn't have traded two draft picks to get him. Moss can still get 40-45% of the targets and be in the range I indicated.
There are two ways to interpret your comments:1) you were reiterating the tired theme of Redskins overspending on FA's by trying to work it into a discussion about WR's (one of whom was signed away BTW from your favorite team after being the Super Bowl hero) where it didn't belong; or

2) you were stating something so blatantly obvious (i.e. the Redskins actually plan to use the FA WR's who they signed in their offense) that it didn't need to be stated to begin with.

Neither of these is an attractive explanation. I'd point out that as for the second one (the one you're arguing for), no mention of "overpayment" or the value of their contracts needed to be made.
It had nothing to do with overpayment. I'm a Steelers fan, I know what El can do. I also was a Lloyd owner so I watched a lot of him, too. These guys are talented receivers who were paid well to come in and help open up the offense, so they wouldn't have to throw it to Moss 60% of the time. That's my only assertion. As a result of this upgrade, Moss will see less targets. They wouldn't bring El in, for example, at $11 million up front, to be a decoy and catch 30 balls, IMO. It's bound to taper Moss' target numbers. If this is so "blatantly obvious", then get after the guy who started the thread asking the question, not me for providing an answer.There's also a less hostile way to disagree with people. Name-calling and laughing at people's assertions for making an innocuous statment leads me to believe you're just a touch oversensitive when it comes to discussions about Washington's free agent spending.

 
Can't we all get along? ;) Sorry, couldn't resist!

I think the choice of words used made it more confrontational. I think the things said by both the RED and EVIL are right...just didn't use the right words/tone to bring across originally, so you guys have been dancing....uhhhh, in circles.

 
Can't we all get along? ;) Sorry, couldn't resist!

I think the choice of words used made it more confrontational. I think the things said by both the RED and EVIL are right...just didn't use the right words/tone to bring across originally, so you guys have been dancing....uhhhh, in circles.
I may not have articulated my viewpoint well initially, and it seems redman is oversensitive to questions on the Redskins allocation of free agent $$, which is understandable. If everyone had the same viewpoint here, it would be awfully boring, it's the diversity of opinion that engenders thoughtful debate in this forum. However, while I have come to expect a certain degree of cynicism, ribbing, what have you, in the FFA - I tend to think of the Shark Pool as a place where people can have a spirited debate without resorting to name-calling or laughing at the opinions of others. This is what I took issue with, not his assertions, which are completely valid.I still contend that Washington would not have shelled out money and draft picks to acquire El and Lloyd if they did not intend to spread the ball around a bit more. This, by definition, would decrease Moss' targets somewhat, as they have Portis and aren't going to suddenly start throwing the ball 70% of the time. This observation has been deemed "so blatantly obvious...that it didn't need to be stated to begin with" but the question was asked. I agree with the posters who think Moss' TD and yardage numbers will remain high, although I think that the assistance provided to him by seeing fewer double teams will be more than offset by a decrease in targets. Thus, I believe he'll struggle to reach last year's lofty numbers, but I still wouldn't hesitate to draft him in round 3 or later as my WR1 or a VERY strong WR2.

 
Moss can still get 40-45% of the targets and be in the range I indicated.
Actually...you will be surprised to know that Moss only received 29% of the Redskins passing targets last year.I just finished manually calculating the Redskin passing targets for the '05 season and here are the final results.

Total Targets

Moss 29%

Cooley 22%

Patten 11% (Out for 7 games)

Portis 9%

Royal 7%

Thrash 6% (Out for 4 games)

Jacobs 5%

Sellers 4%

Betts 3%

4 non factor players have the remaining 4%

I think it is quite amazing that Moss grabbed 1,400/9 with only 29% of his teams' total targets, especially with Patten out for a good chunk of the season.

Now that we have some figures to benchmark; how will these percentages change after the addition of Randle El and Lloyd? I have no reason to believe Moss' targets will dip any lower than they already are.

 
  Moss can still get 40-45% of the targets and be in the range I indicated.
Actually...you will be surprised to know that Moss only received 29% of the Redskins passing targets last year.I just finished manually calculating the Redskin passing targets for the '05 season and here are the final results.

Total Targets

Moss 29%

Cooley 22%

Patten 11% (Out for 7 games)

Portis 9%

Royal 7%

Thrash 6% (Out for 4 games)

Jacobs 5%

Sellers 4%

Betts 3%

4 non factor players have the remaining 4%

I think it is quite amazing that Moss grabbed 1,400/9 with only 29% of his teams' total targets, especially with Patten out for a good chunk of the season.

Now that we have some figures to benchmark; how will these percentages change after the addition of Randle El and Lloyd? I have no reason to believe Moss' targets will dip any lower than they already are.
He received 56% of the WR targets, that's what I was referring to.
 
Lloyd is by far the better receiver. Randle El is NOT a good receiver. He is fun and all that stuff but he is by no means a good receiver. Look at what he did when he was the #2 guy last year..... if he was that good the Steelers would have pushed harder to keep him. He was easily replaceable. Now, return man status is totally different.

Lloyd is a good receiver. I dont think he reached his potential in San Fran because he was IN SAN FRAN! I think this guy will be an awesome compliment to Moss and he will definately post some solid numbers.

The addition of these two guys definately makes Moss better though. Not to mention Portis running the rock will open up the passing game.
Meh. Lloyd is also incredibly one dimensional. He's a deep threat capable of making the circus catch, but there is not much else to like about him. I don't think he's much better than Randle El.
Sorry but I think we will have to agree to disagree on that one. A friend of mine is a huge Lloyd fan and made me watch a highlight reel of the guy, he doesn't just make circus catches, he has great hands. Also, it seem that everyone isn't looking at the numbers he put up last season on the worst team in the NFL in my opinion, the worst offense at least.

Lloyd- 48 receptions for 733 yards and 5 TD on a team with a swinging door at QB.

Randle El- 35 receptions 558 yards 1 TD on a super bowl caliber team.

 
Can't we all get along?  ;)   Sorry, couldn't resist!

I think the choice of words used made it more confrontational.  I think the things said by both the RED and EVIL are right...just didn't use the right words/tone to bring across originally, so you guys have been dancing....uhhhh, in circles.
I may not have articulated my viewpoint well initially, and it seems redman is oversensitive to questions on the Redskins allocation of free agent $$, which is understandable. If everyone had the same viewpoint here, it would be awfully boring, it's the diversity of opinion that engenders thoughtful debate in this forum. However, while I have come to expect a certain degree of cynicism, ribbing, what have you, in the FFA - I tend to think of the Shark Pool as a place where people can have a spirited debate without resorting to name-calling or laughing at the opinions of others. This is what I took issue with, not his assertions, which are completely valid.I still contend that Washington would not have shelled out money and draft picks to acquire El and Lloyd if they did not intend to spread the ball around a bit more. This, by definition, would decrease Moss' targets somewhat, as they have Portis and aren't going to suddenly start throwing the ball 70% of the time. This observation has been deemed "so blatantly obvious...that it didn't need to be stated to begin with" but the question was asked. I agree with the posters who think Moss' TD and yardage numbers will remain high, although I think that the assistance provided to him by seeing fewer double teams will be more than offset by a decrease in targets. Thus, I believe he'll struggle to reach last year's lofty numbers, but I still wouldn't hesitate to draft him in round 3 or later as my WR1 or a VERY strong WR2.
Fair enough . . . you jerk! :P Moss will still be the #1 WR in Washington, but he'll not have elite fantasy WR numbers. I'm figuring something along the lines of 75 catches, 1200 yards and 8 TD's or so. Solid to be sure but not elite.

Lloyd and ARE are going to surprise IMHO in terms of their production. Again, they won't be elite WR's either, but they'll put up career high numbers all the same.

The key to this offense with Saunders and Gibbs is that they want multiple options for the defense to contend with, and they want the threat of those options being open deep on any given play, or to take a short or medium range reception to the end zone on any given play. Something that hasn't been discussed a lot regarding the addition of Lloyd and ARE to these WR's is the dramtic increase in overall speed that they'll bring to the team. Thrash and Patten aren't slow, but these guys have great speed to go with their better receiving skills.

This is going to be a dramatically different offense provided Brunell and the o-line hold up and stay healthy.

 
  Moss can still get 40-45% of the targets and be in the range I indicated.
Actually...you will be surprised to know that Moss only received 29% of the Redskins passing targets last year.I just finished manually calculating the Redskin passing targets for the '05 season and here are the final results.

Total Targets

Moss 29%

Cooley 22%

Patten 11% (Out for 7 games)

Portis 9%

Royal 7%

Thrash 6% (Out for 4 games)

Jacobs 5%

Sellers 4%

Betts 3%

4 non factor players have the remaining 4%

I think it is quite amazing that Moss grabbed 1,400/9 with only 29% of his teams' total targets, especially with Patten out for a good chunk of the season.

Now that we have some figures to benchmark; how will these percentages change after the addition of Randle El and Lloyd? I have no reason to believe Moss' targets will dip any lower than they already are.
The overall receiver targets will go up in this offense because ARE and Lloyd should enable it to be opened up more. These numbers last year came from the need to throw more short and medium passses to RB's and TE's/H-backs because Moss was the only WR option to throw to, and he drew more and more coverage as the year went on.
 

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