I think it has more to do with his role as the Cardinals hitting instructor this year.Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
Yep. He still won't get in the Hall, as his HR numbers are the only thing that would put him in, and now he has confirmed that they are tainted. He ain't ever getting in the Hall.I think it has more to do with his role as the Cardinals hitting instructor this year.Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
Any chance he gets in now?Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
Maybe.He should see a little spike next year as some writers will forgive him now that he has admitted it. You might see a bounce into the low 40's percentage-wise. I've heard more than a few writers say they would vote for him if he came clean.Any chance he gets in now?Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
The 2013 HoF election with Bonds and Clemens eligible will be very interestingMaybe.He should see a little spike next year as some writers will forgive him now that he has admitted it. You might see a bounce into the low 40's percentage-wise. I've heard more than a few writers say they would vote for him if he came clean.Any chance he gets in now?Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
no (99.9% sure of this)If he gets an AB in the postseason like LaRussa said he might do, does that start his Hall of Fame years over again? Would that be a ploy to give him more time for the writers to forgive and forget?
In that case, maybe the Cubs can activate Ron Santo after rosters expand. They can send him up for an AB like Eddie Gaedel.If he gets an AB in the postseason like LaRussa said he might do, does that start his Hall of Fame years over again? Would that be a ploy to give him more time for the writers to forgive and forget?
setting aside the dubious notion that McGwire is a one-tool player, how tainted would you guys say his HR totals are (in the sense of asking how many fewer HRs would he have)? I did some analysis on this, and i'd be interested to get some other opinions.Yep. He still won't get in the Hall, as his HR numbers are the only thing that would put him in, and now he has confirmed that they are tainted. He ain't ever getting in the Hall.I think it has more to do with his role as the Cardinals hitting instructor this year.Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
No but it would stall his voting for 5 years. So 5 years from now, he'd still be on year 4 or whatever. Good strategy.no (99.9% sure of this)If he gets an AB in the postseason like LaRussa said he might do, does that start his Hall of Fame years over again? Would that be a ploy to give him more time for the writers to forgive and forget?
Yep. He still won't get in the Hall, as his HR numbers are the only thing that would put him in, and now he has confirmed that they are tainted. He ain't ever getting in the Hall.I think it has more to do with his role as the Cardinals hitting instructor this year.Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
Bonds is a no-brainer, roids or not. He was too good for too long before he did steroids.Clemens could be interesting. Pettitte admitting he did HGh, while working out with Clemens and getting them from Roger's personal trainer doesn't help. Was everything after Boston tainted? Was everything after High School tainted? At least with Bonds, if you look at his baseball cards, you can see when he started.The 2013 HoF election with Bonds and Clemens eligible will be very interestingMaybe.He should see a little spike next year as some writers will forgive him now that he has admitted it. You might see a bounce into the low 40's percentage-wise. I've heard more than a few writers say they would vote for him if he came clean.Any chance he gets in now?Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
Why? Albert, you too can hit 70, here let me show you :needle: (although I'm sure Albert already knows what he's doing)He can coach without letting the world know he ####ed up, but there is no way in hell they let him in the hall without owning up to his past discretion's.I think it has more to do with his role as the Cardinals hitting instructor this year.Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
Doesn't excuse the behavior one bit and expect the writers to take that stance. Couple that with the personality, I think it's going to take the Veteran's Committee to make it happen.Bonds is a no-brainer, roids or not. He was too good for too long before he did steroids.Clemens could be interesting. Pettitte admitting he did HGh, while working out with Clemens and getting them from Roger's personal trainer doesn't help. Was everything after Boston tainted? Was everything after High School tainted? At least with Bonds, if you look at his baseball cards, you can see when he started.The 2013 HoF election with Bonds and Clemens eligible will be very interestingMaybe.He should see a little spike next year as some writers will forgive him now that he has admitted it. You might see a bounce into the low 40's percentage-wise. I've heard more than a few writers say they would vote for him if he came clean.Any chance he gets in now?Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
I'm going to bypass the fact that you're throwing out accusations you can't prove about Pujols (purely out of envy), and instead point out that you're an idiot if you think this is about the Hall of Fame. He's not getting in, and this admission didn't change a thing. If anything, it made it worse because the HRs were really his only HOF-worthy quality. They're tainted.It's about not being a distraction for the Cardinals next month when they report to Jupiter. Period.Why? Albert, you too can hit 70, here let me show you :needle: (although I'm sure Albert already knows what he's doing)He can coach without letting the world know he ####ed up, but there is no way in hell they let him in the hall without owning up to his past discretion's.I think it has more to do with his role as the Cardinals hitting instructor this year.Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
You are the second person to write this. And for the second time I'll sayI'm going to bypass the fact that you're throwing out accusations you can't prove about Pujols (purely out of envy), and instead point out that you're an idiot if you think this is about the Hall of Fame. He's not getting in, and this admission didn't change a thing. If anything, it made it worse because the HRs were really his only HOF-worthy quality. They're tainted.
Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
Nah I don't agree with this, if that was the case he would've come out shortly after receiving 20% for election into the hall. He's doing it now so he doesn't get asked steroid questions every day throughout the year while he's working for the Cards.Without the hall holding this against him, he never would have owned up to it
Like I said above, I really think the writers keep these guys out and let the Veteran Committee decide their fate. And after I posted that, I started to realize that's not going to end well either.You are the second person to write this. And for the second time I'll sayI'm going to bypass the fact that you're throwing out accusations you can't prove about Pujols (purely out of envy), and instead point out that you're an idiot if you think this is about the Hall of Fame. He's not getting in, and this admission didn't change a thing. If anything, it made it worse because the HRs were really his only HOF-worthy quality. They're tainted.
Yea that's what kills me. Sure I could hit a baseball 700ft without steroids. Yea right. Christ, his 62nd hr that year got out because of the steroids. If he wasn't juicing that ball would've come short of the wall, but because of his mammoth biceps he muscled it out for the record breaker.So, basically..."I took roids because of injuries and I really regret it. But it had nothing to do with me hitting 70 and ultimately 580 home runs, it was my hand eye coordination, roids had nothing to do with my success"I give him credit for admitting roids, but I wish ONE of these guys, other than David Segui, would say, I did this because it made me better. I don't even know if he believes that, I think these guys can warp their lies in their own mind and believe their story. I think Bonds, A-Rod and Clemens are all in the same boat, they did roids ,but really don't believe it helped them. Massive ego play here.
In fairness, he did admit to using them all during 1998, if I read the press release correctly.The people who understand the science of it all aren't even 100% sure if it helps you play baseball better. Kinda hard to hold McGwire personally responsible for not clearly stating it made him better. He said he had up and down years, both on and off the juice.All things considered, I think it was one of the most honest and forthright admissions to date. It will be interesting to see how things unfold in the coming weeks as he speaks about it more.Yea that's what kills me. Sure I could hit a baseball 700ft without steroids. Yea right. Christ, his 62nd hr that year got out because of the steroids. If he wasn't juicing that ball would've come short of the wall, but because of his mammoth biceps he muscled it out for the record breaker.So, basically..."I took roids because of injuries and I really regret it. But it had nothing to do with me hitting 70 and ultimately 580 home runs, it was my hand eye coordination, roids had nothing to do with my success"I give him credit for admitting roids, but I wish ONE of these guys, other than David Segui, would say, I did this because it made me better. I don't even know if he believes that, I think these guys can warp their lies in their own mind and believe their story. I think Bonds, A-Rod and Clemens are all in the same boat, they did roids ,but really don't believe it helped them. Massive ego play here.
I would almost tend to agree, but there is too much cause and effect at play here.Watch an old game, say pre 1992 and look at the players the umpires, they are the same size. Post 93 or so, the players really spike precipitiously in size. OK, you say better nutrition, fine, but with their size also goes home run numbers, off like a rocket, all while the roid era is in full swing. With recent enforcement in the past few years, we're back to normal with the home runs. What lead the leagues last year? Where there's smoke, there's fire to me.In fairness, he did admit to using them all during 1998, if I read the press release correctly.The people who understand the science of it all aren't even 100% sure if it helps you play baseball better. Kinda hard to hold McGwire personally responsible for not clearly stating it made him better. He said he had up and down years, both on and off the juice.All things considered, I think it was one of the most honest and forthright admissions to date. It will be interesting to see how things unfold in the coming weeks as he speaks about it more.Yea that's what kills me. Sure I could hit a baseball 700ft without steroids. Yea right. Christ, his 62nd hr that year got out because of the steroids. If he wasn't juicing that ball would've come short of the wall, but because of his mammoth biceps he muscled it out for the record breaker.So, basically..."I took roids because of injuries and I really regret it. But it had nothing to do with me hitting 70 and ultimately 580 home runs, it was my hand eye coordination, roids had nothing to do with my success"I give him credit for admitting roids, but I wish ONE of these guys, other than David Segui, would say, I did this because it made me better. I don't even know if he believes that, I think these guys can warp their lies in their own mind and believe their story. I think Bonds, A-Rod and Clemens are all in the same boat, they did roids ,but really don't believe it helped them. Massive ego play here.
I'm gonna puke if I hear the hand/eye coordination excuse again. We know these guys had God given skills but the extra strength, bat speed, recovery, etc. is a huge boost. Who knows to what extent growth hormones and other designer drugs were in the mix too... If they didn't help, why did you lie about it for so long?So, basically..."I took roids because of injuries and I really regret it. But it had nothing to do with me hitting 70 and ultimately 580 home runs, it was my hand eye coordination, roids had nothing to do with my success"I give him credit for admitting roids, but I wish ONE of these guys, other than David Segui, would say, I did this because it made me better. I don't even know if he believes that, I think these guys can warp their lies in their own mind and believe their story. I think Bonds, A-Rod and Clemens are all in the same boat, they did roids ,but really don't believe it helped them. Massive ego play here.
Funny how he's always got these big HR hitters on his teamI think its time we revisit the "accomplishments" of one Tony LaRussa. Its obvious his record as a manager should be tainted due to the inflated production of guys like McGwire and Canseco, while he looked the other way. To hear his comments today, its evident he doesn't believe there was much wrong doing.
Oh it's wonderful he finally admitted to it but to think he could've hit 70 home runs without the help of any supplements is silly. He flat out said in the interview with Costas that he didn't need the steroids to hit 70, he would've done that without the help. Well I don't believe that at all. He probably hit 10-12 home runs that year because of the juice, and the 62nd was one of them. Steroids may not make you a better ballplayer, but they certainly help you hit the ball harder, and farther. That's kind of obvious, Mr. McGwire.In fairness, he did admit to using them all during 1998, if I read the press release correctly.The people who understand the science of it all aren't even 100% sure if it helps you play baseball better. Kinda hard to hold McGwire personally responsible for not clearly stating it made him better. He said he had up and down years, both on and off the juice.All things considered, I think it was one of the most honest and forthright admissions to date. It will be interesting to see how things unfold in the coming weeks as he speaks about it more.Yea that's what kills me. Sure I could hit a baseball 700ft without steroids. Yea right. Christ, his 62nd hr that year got out because of the steroids. If he wasn't juicing that ball would've come short of the wall, but because of his mammoth biceps he muscled it out for the record breaker.So, basically..."I took roids because of injuries and I really regret it. But it had nothing to do with me hitting 70 and ultimately 580 home runs, it was my hand eye coordination, roids had nothing to do with my success"I give him credit for admitting roids, but I wish ONE of these guys, other than David Segui, would say, I did this because it made me better. I don't even know if he believes that, I think these guys can warp their lies in their own mind and believe their story. I think Bonds, A-Rod and Clemens are all in the same boat, they did roids ,but really don't believe it helped them. Massive ego play here.
You have got to be kidding me. Yeah, if I had the hand-eye coordination, I still couldn't hit worth a damn in MLB, right? Why? Because I don't have the bat speed. Give me HUGE arms with the help of steroids and I'll have a better chance because my bat speed would be astronomical. Like swinging a toothpick. I'm just pissed he still truly believes it had no effect. Oh Mark. Way to admit you cheated without admitting that cheating helped your numbers. Your numbers = 0 now. Period. Give him credit for admitting it (if you don't discredit the fact that his timing comes just as he's about to start his return to baseball). But the 'roids helped you make a 500-foot homerun go 580 feet. And, by extension, your 345-foot flyouts went 425 feet and over the wall.In fairness, he did admit to using them all during 1998, if I read the press release correctly.The people who understand the science of it all aren't even 100% sure if it helps you play baseball better. Kinda hard to hold McGwire personally responsible for not clearly stating it made him better. He said he had up and down years, both on and off the juice.Yea that's what kills me. Sure I could hit a baseball 700ft without steroids. Yea right. Christ, his 62nd hr that year got out because of the steroids. If he wasn't juicing that ball would've come short of the wall, but because of his mammoth biceps he muscled it out for the record breaker.So, basically...
"I took roids because of injuries and I really regret it. But it had nothing to do with me hitting 70 and ultimately 580 home runs, it was my hand eye coordination, roids had nothing to do with my success"
I give him credit for admitting roids, but I wish ONE of these guys, other than David Segui, would say, I did this because it made me better. I don't even know if he believes that, I think these guys can warp their lies in their own mind and believe their story. I think Bonds, A-Rod and Clemens are all in the same boat, they did roids ,but really don't believe it helped them. Massive ego play here.
All things considered, I think it was one of the most honest and forthright admissions to date. It will be interesting to see how things unfold in the coming weeks as he speaks about it more.
I kinda get what you are saying here. But it' not nearly a cut and dried a that.My personal gut feeling is pretty much in line with you. My gut tells me that roids make you stronger. Being stronger probably means you can hit the ball harder without having to sacrifice contact. My gut tell me that roids probably turn lazy line outs into singles, tracked down fly balls into doubles into the gap and warning track outs into HRs.You have got to be kidding me. Yeah, if I had the hand-eye coordination, I still couldn't hit worth a damn in MLB, right? Why? Because I don't have the bat speed. Give me HUGE arms with the help of steroids and I'll have a better chance because my bat speed would be astronomical. Like swinging a toothpick. I'm just pissed he still truly believes it had no effect. Oh Mark. Way to admit you cheated without admitting that cheating helped your numbers. Your numbers = 0 now. Period. Give him credit for admitting it (if you don't discredit the fact that his timing comes just as he's about to start his return to baseball). But the 'roids helped you make a 500-foot homerun go 580 feet. And, by extension, your 345-foot flyouts went 425 feet and over the wall.In fairness, he did admit to using them all during 1998, if I read the press release correctly.The people who understand the science of it all aren't even 100% sure if it helps you play baseball better. Kinda hard to hold McGwire personally responsible for not clearly stating it made him better. He said he had up and down years, both on and off the juice.Yea that's what kills me. Sure I could hit a baseball 700ft without steroids. Yea right. Christ, his 62nd hr that year got out because of the steroids. If he wasn't juicing that ball would've come short of the wall, but because of his mammoth biceps he muscled it out for the record breaker.So, basically...
"I took roids because of injuries and I really regret it. But it had nothing to do with me hitting 70 and ultimately 580 home runs, it was my hand eye coordination, roids had nothing to do with my success"
I give him credit for admitting roids, but I wish ONE of these guys, other than David Segui, would say, I did this because it made me better. I don't even know if he believes that, I think these guys can warp their lies in their own mind and believe their story. I think Bonds, A-Rod and Clemens are all in the same boat, they did roids ,but really don't believe it helped them. Massive ego play here.
All things considered, I think it was one of the most honest and forthright admissions to date. It will be interesting to see how things unfold in the coming weeks as he speaks about it more.
Add me to the put all of them in the Hall if their numbers fit the bill. My assumption that even if all players knowingly connected to steroids are kept out of the Hall, there will be multiple players that are voted in that simply were better at keeping their use a secret. In other words, we will never know for sure who did and didn't and attempting to keep users out will be a futile exercise and every player will be questioned.In regards to McGwire's use, there is no question that he had big time power long before using. There is also no question he would aid his OBP with a high walk rate from day one. So if we are trying to examine the affects of his use on his performance I think we need to look at three things.First, would he been able to recover after 1994 to become an everyday elite player once again without using? He had missed 250+ games in 93-94 at the age of 29-30. He played 104 games in 95 and then began playing nearly full seasons til 99.Second, would his batting average had been high enough to maintain the OBP that is his other significant HOF quality stat? From 87-92, he was a maybe a 240-245 hitter with a 350-355 OBP. From 95-00, he was 270+ hitter with 400+ OBP. Did steroids help him get the extra 15 or so hits a season to raise his average and therefore his OBP into to the elite category?Lastly, does he hit 70 homers in 98 and 583 homers overall? He was 35+ HR guy from 87-92 and then a 50+ HR guy from 95-00. Increasing your HR rate in your early 30's is actually pretty common but a jump from 30+ for multiple seasons to 50+ for multiple seasons is only matched by his steroid contemporaries.Again, I don't think we can pick and choose players we may think that are clean from this era with enough certainty to keep all of the users out. Accordingly, everyone should be allowed in IMO. Yet, I do think it is interesting to examine the possible effects of steroids on performance just the same and McGwire does give us an good case study.
Well said.Add me to the put all of them in the Hall if their numbers fit the bill. My assumption that even if all players knowingly connected to steroids are kept out of the Hall, there will be multiple players that are voted in that simply were better at keeping their use a secret. In other words, we will never know for sure who did and didn't and attempting to keep users out will be a futile exercise and every player will be questioned.In regards to McGwire's use, there is no question that he had big time power long before using. There is also no question he would aid his OBP with a high walk rate from day one. So if we are trying to examine the affects of his use on his performance I think we need to look at three things.First, would he been able to recover after 1994 to become an everyday elite player once again without using? He had missed 250+ games in 93-94 at the age of 29-30. He played 104 games in 95 and then began playing nearly full seasons til 99.Second, would his batting average had been high enough to maintain the OBP that is his other significant HOF quality stat? From 87-92, he was a maybe a 240-245 hitter with a 350-355 OBP. From 95-00, he was 270+ hitter with 400+ OBP. Did steroids help him get the extra 15 or so hits a season to raise his average and therefore his OBP into to the elite category?Lastly, does he hit 70 homers in 98 and 583 homers overall? He was 35+ HR guy from 87-92 and then a 50+ HR guy from 95-00. Increasing your HR rate in your early 30's is actually pretty common but a jump from 30+ for multiple seasons to 50+ for multiple seasons is only matched by his steroid contemporaries.Again, I don't think we can pick and choose players we may think that are clean from this era with enough certainty to keep all of the users out. Accordingly, everyone should be allowed in IMO. Yet, I do think it is interesting to examine the possible effects of steroids on performance just the same and McGwire does give us an good case study.
I don't think he did, especially in regard to this point. And that ties into the bottom line in regard to that point, and there are two questions that most roid admission can't not get past:1. If it didn't help performance/you could have done it without roids, why did you take roids for so long and over such different periods of time as almost all professed users have confessed to?I kinda get what you are saying here. But it' not nearly a cut and dried a that.My personal gut feeling is pretty much in line with you. My gut tells me that roids make you stronger. Being stronger probably means you can hit the ball harder without having to sacrifice contact. My gut tell me that roids probably turn lazy line outs into singles, tracked down fly balls into doubles into the gap and warning track outs into HRs.You have got to be kidding me. Yeah, if I had the hand-eye coordination, I still couldn't hit worth a damn in MLB, right? Why? Because I don't have the bat speed. Give me HUGE arms with the help of steroids and I'll have a better chance because my bat speed would be astronomical. Like swinging a toothpick. I'm just pissed he still truly believes it had no effect. Oh Mark. Way to admit you cheated without admitting that cheating helped your numbers. Your numbers = 0 now. Period. Give him credit for admitting it (if you don't discredit the fact that his timing comes just as he's about to start his return to baseball). But the 'roids helped you make a 500-foot homerun go 580 feet. And, by extension, your 345-foot flyouts went 425 feet and over the wall.In fairness, he did admit to using them all during 1998, if I read the press release correctly.The people who understand the science of it all aren't even 100% sure if it helps you play baseball better. Kinda hard to hold McGwire personally responsible for not clearly stating it made him better. He said he had up and down years, both on and off the juice.Yea that's what kills me. Sure I could hit a baseball 700ft without steroids. Yea right. Christ, his 62nd hr that year got out because of the steroids. If he wasn't juicing that ball would've come short of the wall, but because of his mammoth biceps he muscled it out for the record breaker.So, basically...
"I took roids because of injuries and I really regret it. But it had nothing to do with me hitting 70 and ultimately 580 home runs, it was my hand eye coordination, roids had nothing to do with my success"
I give him credit for admitting roids, but I wish ONE of these guys, other than David Segui, would say, I did this because it made me better. I don't even know if he believes that, I think these guys can warp their lies in their own mind and believe their story. I think Bonds, A-Rod and Clemens are all in the same boat, they did roids ,but really don't believe it helped them. Massive ego play here.
All things considered, I think it was one of the most honest and forthright admissions to date. It will be interesting to see how things unfold in the coming weeks as he speaks about it more.
However, even if all that is true (and it's far from true, it's all my best guess), we still don't know what that means for a players numbers. How many warning track shots become HRs over a career? When we look at McGwire specifically, he hit 583 HRs over his career. You could take away at least 10% of them and he still has HOF numbers. You could probably take 15-20% away and he would till be in the discussion, at worst. Did roids give him an extra 90 HRs over the course of his career? Seriously, who can answer that? No one can.
I said it in another thread (I believe the HOF voting thread) that I don't know what to do with McGwire. His numbers are no-brainer HOF numbers. But how many HRs would he have hit clean? How many did roids give him? He's a really difficult case, because without 500 HRs (or at least close to it), he's probably not a HOFer.
As far as McGwire's admission, I feel like the initial backlash against him is for what he believes, not what he did. No one has come out and volunteered as much guilt as McGwire has. A-rod came out and admitted to what he knew could be proved. No way on God' green earth do I believe what he admitted to was the *only* time he did PEDs. Same thing with Pettitte - he admitted to what he knew he was nailed on. Clemens and Bonds won't even do that.
McGwire could have easily said "I just did them a couple times when I was hurt". Or he could have gone the full blown Sammy Sosa route and continue to deny ever doing them. But what he did do was admit that he used him pretty much his entire career and he specifically admitted using them in 98, which is the question everyone *really* wanted to know the answer to. He wasn't caught red handed on anything, really, yet he admitted to using them for his entire career.
So, now we get upset because he *believes* he could have still hit 70 without the roids? Really? The man is delusional. I personally believe that he really does believe that he could have hit 70 without the roids. John Kruk basically said the same thing tonight on ESPN. Great athletes usually have the ability to overcome the mental part of life, they can convince themselves of anything, lie to themselves over anything, if it means success. McGwire probably does believe that he could have hit 70 clean. Personally, I think he's crazy. But I'm not going to get all bent out of shape because he believes that.
All I can say is this: McGwire is the first and only ball player that has come clean about all the times he used. He basically admitted that no part of his career was clean. He didn't do it because he was dead to rights proven guilty first, like A-rod or Pettitte did. He admitted to way more then could be proven and probably way more then most people even thought he did. I feel like he's telling the truth, so I'll give him full credit for that as a human being.
Unfortunately, that still doesn't help any of us figure out what to make of his career. We know he cheated for over 10 years of his 16 year career. What type of numbers he would have put up without roids is the mystery that we will never really know the answer to.
Bronson Arroyo did, although it was other banned substances and not roids.I give him credit for admitting roids, but I wish ONE of these guys, other than David Segui, would say, I did this because it made me better.