Top-5 this year. Moved a bunch of future picks for him to complete my lineup in a league where I was weak at RB and I'm pumped.
I think so too. Im all in.....
People are going to be SO disappointed in Ball this year. Not because he won't be a valuable FF rb but you guys that are looking at this like he's going to be a top 5 RB are nuts.
TO do that, you are going to have to push some seriously ff-friendly rb talent to the side and I don't see it. Lightning in a bottle SELDOM repeats itself in ff with interchangeable parts. Sure, Marshall Faulk was God for a while but the thing is...he was always Marshall Faulk. You don't plug-n-play superlative talent in at RB often.
I get the drawing of the conclusion. People say Ball is so much better than Moreno and look what Moreno did. But, you know, the people with that line of thinking are likely the same people that sat here this time last year and said Moreno might get cut and it's Ball team..and watch out for Hillman.
This assumption that he would be top 5 or so basically means he has to come out here and do everything Eddie Lacy did last year, but a noticeable amount better. I just don't see it in terms of volume. Denver is just not one of those teams that says we are going to put a saddle on our RB and let him march us in. Forget the idea of "they will get leads and will want to milk the clock...blah blah blah." EVERY TEAM says that and I can tell you that Denver is not a team to practice that. If it were Pittsburgh, sure! If it were even San Diego or Tennessee, ok. But nobody in the league, from fans, to coaches, to the league office thinks the best way to showcase (and win) Denver on theire umpteen prime time games is to roll out the final days of Peyton Manning and handing it off 35 times a game. Manning is like a star gone super nova. He's burning hottest and brightest at the end and everyone knows he is to be ridden all the way. If they wanted to run that much, they could have kept Tebow.
This seems really off base to me. You say people are going to be SO disappointed in Ball based on two people saying they think he's top 5. I think Ball certainly has top 5 potential this year and have him ranked around RB8 which looks close to his current ADP from what I've seen. Where do you project him finishing if healthy this year? Outside the top 10, 15? What constitutes SO disappointing?
You then sight Marshal Faulk as some sort of example of lightning in a bottle not repeating itself. Not sure where you were going with that but it's worth noting that when Faulk was replaced as Manning's RB both Edgerrin James and Joseph Addai produced top 5 seasons. Now James, and to a much lesser extent Addai, were both talented guys but neither was Marshall Faulk. Obviously playing in a Peyton Manning offense significantly enhanced their FF value and opportunities. Which is further evidenced by Moreno's top 5 finish last year. Hell, Dominic Rhodes put up a top 5 pace over a 10-11 game stretch with Manning back in 2001.
Ball, IMO, is a better talent than Moreno and Addai, and will now have tremendous opportunity as the lead back in a Manning offense that is coming off a historically productive season. Of course we shouldn't expect a repeat of their record breaking performance but there is every reason to expect this to be a high octane offense that could see even more production on the ground.
And you talk about Denver not being a team that will pound the ball 35 times a game as if that's a requirement for Ball to finish top 5 or close to it. Again Moreno was top 5 last year averaging 15 carries a game. There is good reason to believe that Ball will have a similar, if not higher, workload and that he will be more effective with the touches he gets. He may not duplicate Moreno's 60 catches but I think 45-50 receptions is well within reason.
There are questions on Ball just like there are with every RB, particularly outside of the top 4. But FF has shown that opportunity, particularly at the RB position, can be equally important as talent. Ball has good talent and a great opportunity to produce as a top 10 RB with a realistic shot at top 5.