Sabertooth said:
To test my theory of recency value, I offered Donte Moncrief and Lamar Miller to the Odell owner. He refused and said he could get a lot more. I said to him "Moncrief is the same age as Odell and has Luck." He says backs "I like Moncrief but feel I could get a top 5 running back for him."
So I offered him Dion Lewis. He refused.
Which got me to thinking, "what is a top 5 running back anymore?" You have Leveon and Lacy. Then who? Charles? Adrian? I wouldn't take Lacy for Odell. So it would basically have to be Leveon for him. It's so skewed towards wideouts right now it's crazy.
I think your logic is a bit flawed. OBJ is clearly a superior talent to Moncrief. Drafted way higher. His team's clear #1 WR. Eli may not be as good as Luck but he has never had a problem feeding his #1 and #2 wrs. We are talking about a three game sample size of Moncrief's work also. Hilton's injury, Allen's injury, Andre's lack of production have all possibly played into padding Moncrief's stats a bit. He is very good, but we don't yet know the extent of how good or how much they will use him. Dorsett will be worked in some more, and I imagine the TEs will get more targets as well. I'm not sure Moncrief will ever have the consistency needed as true WR1.
Pointing out their same age doesn't really add anything to your argument either. If I told the Demaryius owner that Rishard Mathew and Travis Benjamin were younger than him and have more points after week 3, I can guarantee he is not trading me DT even if I offered both for him.
As far as a top 5 RB, I would say Leveon, Charles, Peterson, Forte, Lacy(?) are currently there. Maybe Ingram turns into one? Maybe Hill or Gurley? Maybe the every down back is dying, but either way there are a handful who consistently produce at the top each week and they are very valuable and scarce. It is much easier to find a WR to put up 20 points in a pinch than to find a RB who can. I personally wouldn't move OBJ for any other player than Julio, Leveon or maybe Gronk.