The Rams recently took Tavon Austin in the NFL Draft. Now, my mind has been rattling with how much "upside" Tavon Austin really has. I think we can get a rough estimate:
In his Senior Campaign, Austin posted:
Senior Year:
114 Receptions / 1289 Yards / 11.3YPC / 12TD
47 Rushes / 643 Rushing Yards / 7.1YPC / 3TD
Now, I fully expect to see Austin used in many dimensions as a Rookie (PR, WR, RB). Austin is likely going to replace the role Danny Amendola. Last year, Amendola averaged about 7 catches a game.
Assuming Austin gets the same mileage, this equals out to about 112 Catches on the year.
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Let's peg Austin in for about 100 Catches in the same role as Danny Amendola.
If you're unsure on HOW exactly Amendola was used this video against the 49ers (a tough defense) shows it quite well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-K4cdN8dML8
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Amendola averaged 10.6 YPC in this offense and Austin is MUCH more explosive than Amendola is. But for argument's sake and since we are determining a POTENTIAL floor, let's say as a Rookie he only matches Austin had an (11.3YPC in College). So far, this gives us:
100 Catches @ 10.6 YPC for 1,060 Yards
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It would be foolish for the Rams NOT to line up Austin at halfback especially looking at the production he had in college (7.1YPC Senior Year) and the lack of Running Backs in St. Louis.
Let's say he gets 35 Carries as a Rookie (about 2.1 designed rushes a game) and runs them for an average of about 5.5YPC.
40 Rushes @ 5.5YPC for 220 Yards.
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These are obviously rough numbers but I don't think it would be difficult for Tavon Austin to put-up a statline of:
100 Catches @ 10.6 YPC for 1,060 Yards (6 Touchdowns)
40 Rushes @ 5.5 YPC for 220 Yards (2 Touchdowns)
If we adjust the conservative YPC numbers and uptick his TDs, there is even more upside:
100 Catches @ 13 YPC for 1,300 Yards (8 Touchdowns)
40 Rushes @ 7 YPC for 280 Yards (4 Touchdowns)
In any type of PPR, he makes a strong case for the 1.01. Besides that, if you can get this guy as your WR3 in Redraft it could end up paying HUGE DIVIDENDS for you.
In his Senior Campaign, Austin posted:
Senior Year:
114 Receptions / 1289 Yards / 11.3YPC / 12TD
47 Rushes / 643 Rushing Yards / 7.1YPC / 3TD
Now, I fully expect to see Austin used in many dimensions as a Rookie (PR, WR, RB). Austin is likely going to replace the role Danny Amendola. Last year, Amendola averaged about 7 catches a game.
Assuming Austin gets the same mileage, this equals out to about 112 Catches on the year.
-
Let's peg Austin in for about 100 Catches in the same role as Danny Amendola.
If you're unsure on HOW exactly Amendola was used this video against the 49ers (a tough defense) shows it quite well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-K4cdN8dML8
-
Amendola averaged 10.6 YPC in this offense and Austin is MUCH more explosive than Amendola is. But for argument's sake and since we are determining a POTENTIAL floor, let's say as a Rookie he only matches Austin had an (11.3YPC in College). So far, this gives us:
100 Catches @ 10.6 YPC for 1,060 Yards
-
It would be foolish for the Rams NOT to line up Austin at halfback especially looking at the production he had in college (7.1YPC Senior Year) and the lack of Running Backs in St. Louis.
Let's say he gets 35 Carries as a Rookie (about 2.1 designed rushes a game) and runs them for an average of about 5.5YPC.
40 Rushes @ 5.5YPC for 220 Yards.
-
These are obviously rough numbers but I don't think it would be difficult for Tavon Austin to put-up a statline of:
100 Catches @ 10.6 YPC for 1,060 Yards (6 Touchdowns)
40 Rushes @ 5.5 YPC for 220 Yards (2 Touchdowns)
If we adjust the conservative YPC numbers and uptick his TDs, there is even more upside:
100 Catches @ 13 YPC for 1,300 Yards (8 Touchdowns)
40 Rushes @ 7 YPC for 280 Yards (4 Touchdowns)
In any type of PPR, he makes a strong case for the 1.01. Besides that, if you can get this guy as your WR3 in Redraft it could end up paying HUGE DIVIDENDS for you.