Domination
Footballguy
I REALLY like this pick. Campbell has shown a fondness for his TEs, and Miller showed last year that he can put up good numbers with below average QBs.5.07 Zach Miller, TE OAK
I REALLY like this pick. Campbell has shown a fondness for his TEs, and Miller showed last year that he can put up good numbers with below average QBs.5.07 Zach Miller, TE OAK
optionYea, I scrubbed my normal template of grabbing a top 3/4 TE in this one, but I'm very happy to land Miller as a contingency option. I see the same upside as you and Maurile.I REALLY like this pick. Campbell has shown a fondness for his TEs, and Miller showed last year that he can put up good numbers with below average QBs.5.07 Zach Miller, TE OAK
The answer:1) Dez Bryant becomes a #2 WR. He's been falling progressively towards #2 WR, going from a #3 to a #2, from round #7-8 to round #7-6 to the 5-6 turn (the #29 WR in this draft).Now, as far as strategy goes, that's a risk that either wins the pot on a bluff or makes the #3 WR choice real big. The Q's surrounding Bryant are equal to, and perhaps offset by, the potential rewards.The Q's surrounding the # of footballs in DAL are the other factor. Somebody is gonna be open and where Romo throws it is more a product of how much time he has to get rid of it than who catches it.Witten goes higher, Miles goes higher, Bryant goes higher.....all these guys can't be uber productive with the OFF line going lower. Too many weapons, not enough protection. It will end up with the same result: DAL getting too cute and a physical team dismanteling them in the playoffs.In the mean time and in between time, Bryant's one answer to the question. The only good news is that he didn't last to Jeff T.'s next pick (who rates him as a #25 WR and higher than any other "published" rater).3 teams have not even taken a WR in this back half and we are moving towards guys with some degree of a ceiling. I will be interested to see what the battle plans are for these owners.
There were a few WRs I considered instead (not all were picked so I won't name drop), but unfortunately with my WR1/TE1 already on the same bye week, I needed a WR that would not overlap, so the early bye week was perfect. It is hard to argue his upside in the Dallas passing attack. Maybe I should have taken Maclin here, but I knew Dez wouldn't make it back and he fits into the bye week I have with some players I am targeting later.Gamma,I would like to hear about your 5/6 turn and the selection of Dez Bryant. Not criticizing, just simply would like to know what you were weighing as far as different guys to select. The turn is always interesting because you have to plan ahead a lot more than picks in the middle do. I doubt highly that Dez Bryant would have ever made it back to you, he absolutely would not have, so you probably knew that and wanted him. Any thoughts you could share would be great. I will be doing a review of all teams once we are finished or close to it. Thanks,MOPAnd Toads, what you wrote was awesome.
Maclin and Meachem were my only other thoughts there.6.04 Robert Meachem, WR, NOWanted Wallace here, and thought about other options ... but will go with the speed of Meachem. Can he repeat his crazy TD streak? One can only wish.
That's only because:1) he wanted Cooley,MoP's head just exploded.Just spoke with Bass. He wants Chris Cooley for his next pick if Sinrman doesn't pick him. If he's gone when Bass is up, Bass will check back in around 8-9 tonite.
4) he hates to check back every 10 minutes only to continue to see no movement?
finally....a mod actually doesn't see what others are so not confused about ......glorious!!!!I don't even see an option to forward PMs here.
It's in the drop down of the person sending you the PM.Guess it's a moot point if the reply function distributes to two people.finally....a mod actually doesn't see what others are so not confused about ......glorious!!!!I don't even see an option to forward PMs here.
I actually had Carlson added to the team and talked myself out of it based on bye week. If I added my #1 TE in the same bye week as my #1 QB I was asking for an early exit.So, I used the alternate TE as an "unblocking" option in bye weeks. I just didn't want a bye week #5 mess, or a duplicate bye week, for any of my top six players.Bye Week #5: Moss, CarlsonBye Week #6: Smith, SpillerThe dropoff coming at TE seemed pretty substantial too. Carlson seemed like one of the last possible TEs with unknown upside meaning we haven't seen his best yet. I hope it's this season, we'll see.
I look at the bye weeks a little different than you. Early bye weeks are a major plus, more teams and as long as you draft depth you should be OK. QB-Romo(4)WR-R.Moss(5) S.Smith(6)RB-CJ Spiller(6) J.Addai(7)TE-Carlson(5)I can't really grab a QB with the same bye week, that's a no brainer. The WR are not overlapping yet. RBs are not overlapping yet. SO far I don't see this as a major problem. In fact if I can get thru the early bye weeks I'm gonna be a runaway freight train by the time we get to week 8 which is when a bunch of teams run into bye week issues over weeks 8 and 9.(MOP spin)I actually had Carlson added to the team and talked myself out of it based on bye week. If I added my #1 TE in the same bye week as my #1 QB I was asking for an early exit.So, I used the alternate TE as an "unblocking" option in bye weeks. I just didn't want a bye week #5 mess, or a duplicate bye week, for any of my top six players.Bye Week #5: Moss, CarlsonBye Week #6: Smith, SpillerThe dropoff coming at TE seemed pretty substantial too. Carlson seemed like one of the last possible TEs with unknown upside meaning we haven't seen his best yet. I hope it's this season, we'll see.
There's always references to strategy in these deals and the bye week strategy obviously becomes a point of interest after (and for some, before) the bye weeks are revealed.What we're talking about is a basic strategy difference based on bye week:1. Avoiding conflicts within position is a no-brainer.2. Avoiding conflicts with all of the (5) top players and the #1 QB a. that doesn't apply if you don't choose a QB in the top six picks3. Avoiding conflicts within the top six scorers a. that doesn't apply if you pick a top six scorer at any other round in the draft, and b. that doesn't apply if any of your top 6 players are 1.) injured and/or not playing for some other reason (discipline) 2.) not playing due to having wrapped up the division crown in the late weeks, in which case a.) the number two QB needs to avoid all of the above.Maybe this is just the beginning of a bye week discussion strategy? I'm only in year #2 of doing this. My year one observations were that some guys were better than other guys at this and I've been trying to figure out why. There are probably a lot more ideas around bye weeks than those (above) so I'm sure that others will want to chime in....other than the smart comments about not caring and having another drink in the bar (see ***OFFICAL*** Drunk Thread and those guys aren't very good at showing up in the Mock Draft Central deal anyway).We differ on #3....that's a point of demarcation/difference in our strategies. If I could have accepted Carlson based on my strategy determininations (#2 for sure and #3 in general), I'd have him rostered now.You have two bye week conflicts in your top 6 players so you don't subscribe to #3: the pregnant Q is "why not". The "if I can get through the early bye weeks" comment is telling. What if your basic strategy choices turn out to be more important than your player choices and the strategy "Achilles Heel" doesn't allow for that?I can't really grab a QB with the same bye week, that's a no brainer. The WR are not overlapping yet. RBs are not overlapping yet. SO far I don't see this as a major problem. In fact if I can get thru the early bye weeks I'm gonna be a runaway freight train by the time we get to week 8 which is when a bunch of teams run into bye week issues over weeks 8 and 9.(MOP spin)
The good news is you have pointed this out and I have 12 more rounds to correct this dilema. Seriously though, I understand and I did think about it but I feel I can compensate by simply not overlapping within the positions the rest of the way. We'll look at this again in another 6 rounds and perhaps it will look different. Also let's not forget that high scores propel you two more weeks. The two years in I made it into SSL1 I was able to land 3 or 4 high scores along the way and those come in handy. I understand some are going by the strategy of just don't score the least...that's good but some of us have a chance to hit high score once in awhile.Toads said:There's always references to strategy in these deals and the bye week strategy obviously becomes a point of interest after (and for some, before) the bye weeks are revealed.What we're talking about is a basic strategy difference based on bye week:1. Avoiding conflicts within position is a no-brainer.2. Avoiding conflicts with all of the (5) top players and the #1 QBa. that doesn't apply if you don't choose a QB in the top six picks3. Avoiding conflicts within the top six scorersa. that doesn't apply if you pick a top six scorer at any other round in the draft, andb. that doesn't apply if any of your top 6 players are1.) injured and/or not playing for some other reason (discipline)2.) not playing due to having wrapped up the division crown in the late weeks, in which casea.) the number two QB needs to avoid all of the above.Maybe this is just the beginning of a bye week discussion strategy? I'm only in year #2 of doing this. My year one observations were that some guys were better than other guys at this and I've been trying to figure out why. There are probably a lot more ideas around bye weeks than those (above) so I'm sure that others will want to chime in....other than the smart comments about not caring and having another drink in the bar (see ***OFFICAL*** Drunk Thread and those guys aren't very good at showing up in the Mock Draft Central deal anyway).We differ on #3....that's a point of demarcation/difference in our strategies. If I could have accepted Carlson based on my strategy determininations (#2 for sure and #3 in general), I'd have him rostered now.You have two bye week conflicts in your top 6 players so you don't subscribe to #3: the pregnant Q is "why not". The "if I can get through the early bye weeks" comment is telling. What if your basic strategy choices turn out to be more important than your player choices and the strategy "Achilles Heel" doesn't allow for that?Ministry of Pain said:I can't really grab a QB with the same bye week, that's a no brainer. The WR are not overlapping yet. RBs are not overlapping yet. SO far I don't see this as a major problem. In fact if I can get thru the early bye weeks I'm gonna be a runaway freight train by the time we get to week 8 which is when a bunch of teams run into bye week issues over weeks 8 and 9.(MOP spin)
I see it there now, but I don't think it works.I don't know what's going on in here anymore.Toads said:It's in the drop down of the person sending you the PM.Guess it's a moot point if the reply function distributes to two people.Ruffrodys05 said:finally....a mod actually doesn't see what others are so not confused about ......glorious!!!!Aaron Rudnicki said:I don't even see an option to forward PMs here.
I'll try that and report back.
Added By Edit: test for reply function sent to MOP and to Aaron.
A forum re-vamping is in the works......right? At least that was the impression I got from Joe Bryant in the "New Site Launched" thread. Things might be a little easier or simpler when the new boards are unveiled.I see it there now, but I don't think it works.I don't know what's going on in here anymore.
I do not think so. QB2 and RB is what I see. The WRs have dropped to a new tier for manyPredicting a WR run from picks 7.06 - 7.11.
I could see someone taking a QB fearing that the QB2 run would happen, but most of those guys have their starting RBs locked up but don't have 3 starters at WR.I do not think so. QB2 and RB is what I see. The WRs have dropped to a new tier for manyPredicting a WR run from picks 7.06 - 7.11.
the QB2s are already going ... looking at SSL1, this round coming up will be some of all positionsI could see someone taking a QB fearing that the QB2 run would happen, but most of those guys have their starting RBs locked up but don't have 3 starters at WR.I do not think so. QB2 and RB is what I see. The WRs have dropped to a new tier for manyPredicting a WR run from picks 7.06 - 7.11.
When I looked at the draft before it started, I figured that Big Ben would go late, and and he would go to one of the guys with an elite QB1. He holds huge value at this point, and considering most orf the top QBs have late bye weeks, I knew that someone would get a good value. I thought about taking him instead of Henne, but a little worried that Kolb might not be consistant enough to begin the season.With the decent qb2 almost gone, I went with Ben. Since Peyton has a later bye I thought it was worth the risk. Also having peyton makes me feel ok for first five games.
Pairing him up with Peyton was a great move. You are solid at that position, probably the best combo in the league. I just thought Ben went a bit early.. maybe by a round.With the decent qb2 almost gone, I went with Ben. Since Peyton has a later bye I thought it was worth the risk. Also having peyton makes me feel ok for first five games.
If I'd had faith enough to count on him on the 6-7 turn I would likely have passed on McNabb. Either one is a helluva #2 if your #1 has a late bye imo.With the decent qb2 almost gone, I went with Ben. Since Peyton has a later bye I thought it was worth the risk. Also having peyton makes me feel ok for first five games.
Scarcity + production. I can get something out of WR64 off the board, but QB33 is a dicely proposition.Seems like QB's go earlier in these things every year. I just don't see a lot of value in QB22-25 when teams are still missing WR3's and RB2's. I'm seeing 9/10th round QB's going in the 6/7th...so I'm gonna zig against the zag and take what I see as ridiculous value falling elsewhere.
plus in SSL, you cannot make up for lack of quality with quantityScarcity + production. I can get something out of WR64 off the board, but QB33 is a dicely proposition.Seems like QB's go earlier in these things every year. I just don't see a lot of value in QB22-25 when teams are still missing WR3's and RB2's. I'm seeing 9/10th round QB's going in the 6/7th...so I'm gonna zig against the zag and take what I see as ridiculous value falling elsewhere.
Just saying that after a certain point, there's little to gain with these QB's...they will stay on your bench 4 weeks out of five...while the RB2/3 or WR 4/5 you WOULD HAVE HAD at that price would score for you almost every week. The deeper backup QB's (22+) are badly over-rated in these leagues IMHO.Scarcity + production. I can get something out of WR64 off the board, but QB33 is a dicely proposition.Seems like QB's go earlier in these things every year. I just don't see a lot of value in QB22-25 when teams are still missing WR3's and RB2's. I'm seeing 9/10th round QB's going in the 6/7th...so I'm gonna zig against the zag and take what I see as ridiculous value falling elsewhere.
QB24+ is NOT quality though! But at the QB24 or so price, many quality players are still available at other positions.plus in SSL, you cannot make up for lack of quality with quantityScarcity + production. I can get something out of WR64 off the board, but QB33 is a dicely proposition.Seems like QB's go earlier in these things every year. I just don't see a lot of value in QB22-25 when teams are still missing WR3's and RB2's. I'm seeing 9/10th round QB's going in the 6/7th...so I'm gonna zig against the zag and take what I see as ridiculous value falling elsewhere.
the last few QBs taken are quality, imo, when compared to some of the choices left. There are several NFL teams with uncertainty at the position. There are quality players available at other positions. Most are better players than the QBs, but the dropoff at QB is much steeper so relative value comes into play. This is where the SSLs become more difficult. In the WSL/PDSL, taking three QBs is no big deal.QB24+ is NOT quality though! But at the QB24 or so price, many quality players are still available at other positions.plus in SSL, you cannot make up for lack of quality with quantityScarcity + production. I can get something out of WR64 off the board, but QB33 is a dicely proposition.Seems like QB's go earlier in these things every year. I just don't see a lot of value in QB22-25 when teams are still missing WR3's and RB2's. I'm seeing 9/10th round QB's going in the 6/7th...so I'm gonna zig against the zag and take what I see as ridiculous value falling elsewhere.
the last few QBs taken are quality, imo, when compared to some of the choices left. There are several NFL teams with uncertainty at the position. There are quality players available at other positions. Most are better players than the QBs, but the dropoff at QB is much steeper so relative value comes into play. This is where the SSLs become more difficult. In the WSL/PDSL, taking three QBs is no big deal.QB24+ is NOT quality though! But at the QB24 or so price, many quality players are still available at other positions.plus in SSL, you cannot make up for lack of quality with quantityScarcity + production. I can get something out of WR64 off the board, but QB33 is a dicely proposition.Seems like QB's go earlier in these things every year. I just don't see a lot of value in QB22-25 when teams are still missing WR3's and RB2's. I'm seeing 9/10th round QB's going in the 6/7th...so I'm gonna zig against the zag and take what I see as ridiculous value falling elsewhere.
Matt Moore averaged 18+ ppg in his last 4 starts in 2010. I'll take that type of production from the QB26 selected.QB24+ is NOT quality though! But at the QB24 or so price, many quality players are still available at other positions.plus in SSL, you cannot make up for lack of quality with quantityScarcity + production. I can get something out of WR64 off the board, but QB33 is a dicely proposition.Seems like QB's go earlier in these things every year. I just don't see a lot of value in QB22-25 when teams are still missing WR3's and RB2's. I'm seeing 9/10th round QB's going in the 6/7th...so I'm gonna zig against the zag and take what I see as ridiculous value falling elsewhere.
If I didn't already have Sanchez and Greene on my team, I would have considered taking LT. If I remember right, he lasted longer in the other SSLs, so I would have looked to take him in the 8th or so. But again, I already have two Jets, so taking him or Cotchery (who I seriously considered instead of Jacobs, but was sniped right before it was my turn) would have been kind of silly.I don't think LT will be used as much as you think. Because he has missed a step and isn't getting any younger, I think he'll be used like a scat back and for blocking. He'll be used, and will produce about where you drafted him, but I don't see him top 15-20.I'm sure LT wasn't on anyone's radar but mine and I almost picked him in the 7th as he was part of the late value I found at RB in the other drafts. This is a sharp group and Aaron really tore my heart out on the 6/7 turn when he grabbed Ricky Williams from me. I'd say it was a Buffalo fan sticking it to me for CJ Spiller, but he had a chance to get him in the 4/5 turn and didn't so I doubt he was on Aaron's radar much. I feel LT has lost a step or two as others but the fact is they shipped the 3rd down threat off to Seattle. In LT...no way is McKnight gonna be doing 3rd down duty as a rookie who has a hard time pass blocking. LT will get about 200 carries, 700 yds rushing, another 35-40 receptions,and 10-12 Tds. That's what he was brought in for and he'll do just fine as my RB3. WOuld have been doing cartwheels if I could have paired him with RIcky behind Addai and Spiller, would have loved that but the draft isn't over and there is a lot out there still. Also, NY has very little invested at RB here. Both Greene and McKnight were 4th round picks so there isn't a huge need to push them on the field. Greene couldn't really handle the full load at the end of the season last year even after he was well rested going into the playoffs. As long as LT can stay healthy with less touches, I see no reason he can't be top15-20 this season.
I've done it both ways and allways ended up with the final thought of "how many of these guys will start all 16 games?"In the end, it's about finding points and finding points in Weeks 15-17, should you be so fortunate as to get there. That supports your theory of the top #10-#15 rated QB's and trying to get a top ten score from them for all the weeks, including bench weeks for playoff QB's.Ahh, I see a QB discussion brewing.
When he say's tough pick, I sympathize with him. That's tempting fate there.Tough picks.
Going with 8.13 WR Anthony Gonzalez, Indy
So, Glumpy is all over this player in a 48-64 pick range.Gotta love it.Good pick. I've been eying him the last three rounds and he would not have passed me a fourth.9.02 WR Santonio Holmes
pming Kun
To clarify--"tough picks" was in reference to the ones leading up to mine when my primary targets got gone.When he say's tough pick, I sympathize with him. That's tempting fate there.Tough picks.
Going with 8.13 WR Anthony Gonzalez, Indy
I considered him over the Edelman pick, and it was a tossup too with Gonzalez. I was drafting for need after the early double QB, and despite needing RB woulda doubled here.So, Glumpy is all over this player in a 48-64 pick range.Gotta love it.Good pick. I've been eying him the last three rounds and he would not have passed me a fourth.9.02 WR Santonio Holmes
pming Kun
Cutler 8Gore 9, F.Jones 4, F Jackson 6, Jennings 10, Britt 9, Aromashodu 8, Miller 10
You're gonna have 18 roster spots and 7 bye weeks with 12 teams off over 2 of them...there is no way you can totally take bye week issues out. I definitely have some things I need to cover on my own team but as long as you have enough at a position to cover, you should be OK.Kevin Kolb- 8, Chad Henne- 5
LeSean McCoy- 8, Laurence Maroney- 5, Darren McFadden- 10
Andre Johnson- 7, Anquan Boldin- 8, Wes Welker- 5
Vernon Davis- 9
I like this team so far, although I have multiple players on common bye weeks.