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I think in years past using you scenario it would have been one of (J. Jones 23, Marshall 22, Cruz 22, or Green 22) and two of (Blackman 7, Wright 6, or Amendola 6).CJ is projected to score 13 TDs v. 11-13 TDs with two from your list. In years past the equal dollar combos would have been projected around 15 TDs. This always made for a tough decision of locking up stud numbers or relying of a best ball scatter gun approach.
you are very wrong.here are rodgers and gabberts pts scored from last year
13 30.4 19.7 23.2 11.3 20.9 19.1 B 29.8 28.5 22.1 30.4 16.4 39 29.2 24.4 17.324.5 27.1 8.1 23.2 21.5 B 10.9 13.6 36.2 23.1 22 15.5 32.7 29 19.5 17 31.2
I wasn't saying one way was better than the other. I was just trying to get some conversations going. Like I said, my roster keeps getting smaller and smaller...can you guess what side of the fence I'm on.
i am saying one way IS better than the other. the only exception is at wr, but even then, you are only hoping to equal what a group of studs will get you. i think it's a better idea to get $3 guys that can turn into $10 guys and provide you with good depth as opposed to $15 guys that can turn into $30 guys.for example, i can't imagine why anyone would not take royster and benson. add 2 studs and 1 more guy like b scott and that looks like the best possible value at the rb position to me. the risk is if stud1 or stud2 gets hurt, but you are not going to survive is ryan williams goes down either.
You'd think they'd at least wait until the rosters lock.
5 RBs is a minimum, as is 7 WRs
why? aren't you pretty much out of the contest if you get an injury? why prepair for it if you are out either way?
If you don't prepare for it, you'll go out. Proper preparation avoids it. Lost my top 2 RBs early last season (and a 3rd for several weeks) and still made it to the final cut. Would have made the finals if one of my WRs hadn't dropped aTD pass.
correct me if i am wrong but aren't there 10,000+ entries? im not posting my roster but to those who do, it's not going to make a difference
You're right about the 10k entries, but wrong about all the "helpful" people posting strategies and bargains in this thread not making a difference.
this is my first year in this. my conclusions are coming from my obsessive number crunching plus a dash of common sense. what you said makes more sense to me now. to give back a little, i found that on average, for every $1 you spend on a k or d after the $6 minimum, you should expect to add .4-.5 ppg to your weekly average. this assumes that you spend your k&d money wisely. there are millions of variables of course, but that's about the gain/loss per dollar spent you should expect.as your 5th rb, what would you say is better? handcuffing rice with pierce, or going with rice and an upside guy like powell or mendy?also, what do you think about britt and mendy. they won't help you early, but that would be during the easy weeks. they could turn into great flex plays for their cost through the important part of the year'apalmer said:
Well not being the sharpest tool in the shed I know I appreciate all the help I can get.
the odds of you finishing in a spot in which you will loose money if you move 1 spot lower is 0.14%if 10 people see your post and change their rosters, about half will improve their team because of it. the odds of at least 1 of those people finishing in the top 150 is 7.5%
no, this is linear. if you add one magic team that scores 300 per week, its not going to flip the final standings upside down. all it would do it move the 100th place team to 101st, the 1050th team to 1051st ect...the butterfly effect would apply negatively to something like an injury to a significant player. if tom brady breaks his leg in week 1, then you would have the tom brady teams finishing in 2,000th, 4500th and 6,000th place rather than 5th, 400th and 900th and all the non brady teams would move up in a linear progression as those brady teams are knocked out. it would also result in drastically different outcomes for teams that had gronk, welker, lloyd, ridley and hernandez on their rosters, for better or worse.
How many on your roster this year v. last?
Not saying that you're wrong but this is hardlyconclusive. You selected 2 situations that happen to prove your point, including 2 players who had absolutely monstr seasons. . I'm sure I could find two combos that pointed the other way. Also for the Wrs did you take into account the ability to have both players count toward your score?
I was referring to the player selection process, since that's what we were talking about - people posting full rosters or low cost studs and influencing other readers to change their selections. Anyway, in previous years I've tried to determine how many people actually read this thread, and it has typically been around 10% of the total entries. A very rough guess of course. But what happens every year, without fail, is that the readers of this thread will have very high ownership of about 7 or 8 players in common. That can definitely change the landscape of the Final 250 entries if a few of those players hit. From that point on though, coming out as #1 in the final 3 weeks is mostly luck of course.
I'd argue that this is more out of those 7 or 8 players being "hot sleepers" that anyone who spends any time on these message boards would be higher on, than specifically because of this thread. The major contributors to this thread, imo, tend not to reveal anything serious about their rosters until it's locked.
I also agree. The problem though is so many people are unwilling to discuss roster/strategy before they lock, and after they lock, this thread gets bombarded with people posting their teams, most of which don't even post any reasoning behind them.
Everybody thinks their strategy is the winning one and that they're the only ones who notice that guys like Benson and Tannehill are dirt cheap.I also agree. The problem though is so many people are unwilling to discuss roster/strategy before they lock, and after they lock, this thread gets bombarded with people posting their teams, most of which don't even post any reasoning behind them.
ShhhhhhhEverybody thinks their strategy is the winning one and that they're the only ones who notice that guys like Benson and Tannehill are dirt cheap.I also agree. The problem though is so many people are unwilling to discuss roster/strategy before they lock, and after they lock, this thread gets bombarded with people posting their teams, most of which don't even post any reasoning behind them.
The was one dirt cheap guy as well as something else I had missed.Everybody thinks their strategy is the winning one and that they're the only ones who notice that guys like Benson and Tannehill are dirt cheap.I also agree. The problem though is so many people are unwilling to discuss roster/strategy before they lock, and after they lock, this thread gets bombarded with people posting their teams, most of which don't even post any reasoning behind them.
Love this idea. If you spot "value" plays early in the preseason, you can lock them in on your roster for cheap. As the preseason goes on and the inevitable hype builds, the latecomers will have to pay more for the same player.I imagine this would be a programming nightmare, though, so I'm sure it will never happen.
I didn't tell you any players. Maybe I'm just confused as to what you're doing. But last year a strategy of two middle QB's could have outproduced a top + cheap qb. The Stafford/Newton combo cost only $1 more than Rodgers alone and you probably got better or at worse equal production than Rodgers + anyone else, at a discount.
hairy did. im taking a stud+scrub and to med players and showing the production in a start 1 best ball format
Ok, so if you take Stafford last year, plus any other middle QB, doesn't that give you stats similar or better to any top + scrub QB combination?I think it's unfair to compare using last year stats because last years stats are the reason that Rodgers is the most expensive choice and Ryan and Cutler are middling. It comes down to making the right selection.
I'll beat you to the punch....not that anyone else cares.
But would it be set up like the stock market? If you you do choose Chad Johnson for $4 dollars and then he headbutts his wife, his price goes down. But you invested in the $4 dollar Johnson, so when he drops to $1 you lose $3 total dollars from the total price you can pick from in the end. So instead of having $250, you only have $247 left if you choose to cut him from your team.
here http://football11.myfantasyleague.com/2012/options?L=74029&O=08that has the scoring system in it
no because the people that adjust daily would have a huge advantage over the normal players
thanks. so what happens when we tie for 1st? do we each get 20k or do we split it?
