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Agreed. Not paying 1% of my entire portfolio every single year for someone just to play psychiatrist. Until retirement that would be hundreds of thousands siphoned off whereas I can instead do a small amount of research, keep that $ and just decide not to try and foolishly time the market. 

With that said, I see where they can provide some value to those who are itching to pull out at the first sign of trouble. Or for those who don't understand that cheap, easy index funds will beat 99% of financial advisors over the long haul (amd will beat most of them by a LOT). But even for those people...pay an actual psychiatrist if you need someone to talk you off a ledge. It'll be a small small fraction of the cost over the long run. 
I have beaten the S&P 500 over the last 20 years with 33% less standard deviation. 

That is why I have been in this industry as long as I have. I provide high end wealth management for clients with at least 500K or more in investable assets who simply want to live and not do any of this nor deal with the market.

It is a service people who can see and appreciate that value and are more than willing to pay for. 

You fall into the group that simply does not need me. But don’t generalize like this stuff is so easy. 

It's not. 

And index funds get murdered in downturns. Far more than the portfolios I have constructed and managed. 

When you buy an S&P ETF they have to buy every stock in the S&P.....regardless if it is great or crap. Then when there is a run on liquidations.....the index fund manager must sell to see redemptions and this is why you are seeing even crazier volatility than ever.

A lot of people think they can index and are fine......until we get events like this.

Glad you can handle it yourself.....but indexing is not the long term answer for most people. They cannot handle the swings at all. They need professionals handling their wealth (and emotions yes that is a huge thing regardless of what you may think) and also doing complex planning and giving them different buckets for income when they harvest the crops. There is a lot more to managing wealth than picking stocks. I won’t go into it here.....but I am glad people still value what I can bring them. 

I have been getting the best phone calls I can get the past week. People opening their statements.......and telling me that they are thrilled they were not down nearly as bad as they thought with all the hoopla on TV everyday.

That is why they pay me.

 
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Thoughts on Alibaba long-term? The price forecasts listed here are absolutely wild: https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=BABA

“The 51 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd have a median target of 1,828.79, with a high estimate of 2,196.15 and a low estimate of 1,483.86. The median estimate represents a +792.40% increase from the last price of 204.93.”

The “low” estimate is a 642% increase in 12 months?  :loco:  What’s the deal here?
Chinese bookkeepers.  Not to say that BABA isn't a great company and if it is anything like Amazon in China, the revenue will be awesome.  But... 

 
Also Intelsat (I) just decided to not pay interest due on their debt. Have 30 day grace period upon which they'll be in default. Just in case anyone looked at their $1 stock and thought it looked cheap. Any name that was stressed coming into this: FTR, CYH, I, etc. are all likely to file as HY debt markets aren't open for CCCs and they won't be able to kick the can anymore. 

 
Thoughts on Alibaba long-term? The price forecasts listed here are absolutely wild: https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=BABA

“The 51 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd have a median target of 1,828.79, with a high estimate of 2,196.15 and a low estimate of 1,483.86. The median estimate represents a +792.40% increase from the last price of 204.93.”

The “low” estimate is a 624% increase in 12 months?  :loco:  What’s the deal here?


Good old BABA the IPO that got me to open my account. Still have it at $93.69 a share. Was thinking I might need to sell it as I would like to get some more cash to put back in. But it looks so good every time I open my account. :)

 
Thoughts on Alibaba long-term? The price forecasts listed here are absolutely wild: https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=BABA

“The 51 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd have a median target of 1,828.79, with a high estimate of 2,196.15 and a low estimate of 1,483.86. The median estimate represents a +792.40% increase from the last price of 204.93.”

The “low” estimate is a 624% increase in 12 months?  :loco:  What’s the deal here?
Doesn't add up. PE close to 60, still trading at close to it's all time high.  

I guess if it is the Chinese Amazon it could hit those forecasts. But it doesn't scream value. Especially if you factor in the Chinese issues. 

 
Thoughts on Alibaba long-term? The price forecasts listed here are absolutely wild: https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=BABA

“The 51 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd have a median target of 1,828.79, with a high estimate of 2,196.15 and a low estimate of 1,483.86. The median estimate represents a +792.40% increase from the last price of 204.93.”

The “low” estimate is a 624% increase in 12 months?  :loco:  What’s the deal here?
Every time I touch a China stock it turns out their books have been cooked.  Wuhan Fruad.

 
One thing that I've reaffirmed during this pandemic is that people will undoubtedly complain about anything and everything.
This. Staying home, watching Netflix, cooking every evening (I like to cook), playing video games, and the Feds are writing me a check to do it? Other than being stuck in a confined space with family members, what's not to love?

 
This. Staying home, watching Netflix, cooking every evening (I like to cook), playing video games, and the Feds are writing me a check to do it? Other than being stuck in a confined space with family members, what's not to love?
Coming to the ####### office everyday and doing the work for all the people watching netfliz everyday.  :boxing:

 
If you've filed 2019 w/ D.D., then you're first in line.   I believe everyone else will be in line for paper checks.  That order could be scaled by income.  I could be wrong also.


IRS has my DD info but I paid by credit card this year. 🤷‍♂️
Glad I checked the IRS site.

"You are eligible for payment but the IRS does not have your information"

30 minutes later and a few site crashes I entered my information and we're set to go.

Now I wait.

Shoulda checked it a few days ago but I had given my DD info every year until this past return.

 
Damn, I wish I hadn’t but on more CYDY. Still up nicely overall but should have known the shorts would take over for a while in this lack of news period.

 
CYDY down big today but for no visible reason.   That's usually when I would view something like this as a buying opportunity.

Edit to say: not buying, have enough, just saying

 
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CYDY down big today but for no visible reason.   That's usually when I would view something like this as a buying opportunity.

Edit to say: not buying, have enough, just saying
So mad I bought more in the high 2s. Should have just left it at what I had at a buck. I do think this is 100% shorts manipulating the lack of news. Still up but not nearly as much.

@chet Anything thoughts?

 
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Continuing to drop.  Might be the biggest market loser of the day.  Something bad is happening we don't know about.
My biggest loser today by far. I don’t know if it’s something bad or an OTC stock that shorts are winning on. People who bought at $1 and under could be jumping as it goes down and the shorting that @General Malaise mentioned is pushing it down more.

Also, these trials aren’t daily reports so while things could be going great the studies were 14 and 28 day measures IIRC so there was going to be dead news time which is a great time for the folks shorting the stock hard. 

 
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Mancini - After a 30% rally finally getting a cool-off today down 2.7%, a few points shy of my 2855 level in $SPX. The key pattern is the rising wedge in my chart-looking for this to "fill out" more back towards resistance now at 2855. Failure of todays low (2754 on ES=F) opens up wedge support at 2670.

 
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...  No more TZA. While I'm better off having bought that and staying long in the market (so far) it's not a thing I meant to keep long term, had planned to get rid of it last week but kept it thinking the market surely would crash again. 🤷‍♂️
TZA up 12% today. D'oh. 

 
Bought another 1000 shares at $2.05, figuring it might bounce off a whole number like 2 bucks. Back up to 10000 shares. Makes the math easier, at least. 
I have been lurking following this thread since it was around $1 right before the weekend a few weeks ago and have been kicking myself for not jumping in then. I'm really wanting to jump in now but would waiting to hear an explanation for what is happening with the current free fall.

 
So mad I bought more in the high 2s. Should have just left it at what I had at a buck. I do think this is 100% shorts manipulating the lack of news. Still up but not nearly as much.

@chet Anything thoughts?
Or Chet sold his shares and is on his PJ headed to his new private island. 

 
Mancini - After a 30% rally finally getting a cool-off today down 2.7%, a few points shy of my 2855 level in $SPX. The key pattern is the rising wedge in my chart-looking for this to "fill out" more back towards resistance now at 2855. Failure of todays low (2754 on ES=F) opens up wedge support at 2670.
So the rising wedge means the distance between support and resistance keeps getting smaller until we break through - one way or the other?

 
I have been lurking following this thread since it was around $1 right before the weekend a few weeks ago and have been kicking myself for not jumping in then. I'm really wanting to jump in now but would waiting to hear an explanation for what is happening with the current free fall.
It went up a lot really fast and is traded OTC. I think that’s really it. 

 
CytoDyn’s Phase 2 Basket Trial for 22 Solid Cancer Tumors Treats First Patient with Leronlimab; Patient Enrollment Delayed Due to COVID-19

 

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