Catbird
Footballguy
Shanahanigans said:
If I owned Miller I would be looking for an owner in my league like you who is still holding out hope, and use him to either move up in the draft or attain as high a draft pick as possible, which I would imagine is the 16th overall or later. He might serve as good trade bait or an add-on for the Moreno owner.
If you "wait and see" I think you will be holding on to a guy that has zero value next year. The ideal time to trade was last year when his hype was through the roof.
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I don't disagree. This is the nature of a lottery ticket. And it matters a lot what league you are in. If yours is ten teams with rosters of 15, who would waste the spot. But if you're a dozen teams with rosters 25 deep that starts 2 RBs and a couple of flex players, you're holding a lot of garbage with far less upside than Miller. I tend to be in deeper leagues and so have that perspective.
If we go these separate ways on several players like Miller, you will be right on maybe 3/4 of them who never become stars and I'll be right on maybe 1/4. If I can get a quality starting RB 1 out of 4 times for what Miller costs after the Moreno signing (I think more like an early 20s pick in this year's deep draft) I'm good with that. If you already have 3 good RBs and only need 2, I wouldn't hold on to him either.
Trying to have this discussion between large and small roster owners, I think the question is how much potential Miller has to become a solid starter. Guys that aren't power backs always have that shortcoming and I don't think Miller is as elusive as Bush was or Gio is either. That caps his value in the best of situations. But I still think he has the ability to be a productive lead back for the Fins. In my situation, I think Miller's potential is well worth holding onto for a 20+ rookie pick.
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Oops. Edited to attribute quote.
If I owned Miller I would be looking for an owner in my league like you who is still holding out hope, and use him to either move up in the draft or attain as high a draft pick as possible, which I would imagine is the 16th overall or later. He might serve as good trade bait or an add-on for the Moreno owner.
If you "wait and see" I think you will be holding on to a guy that has zero value next year. The ideal time to trade was last year when his hype was through the roof.
_____________
I don't disagree. This is the nature of a lottery ticket. And it matters a lot what league you are in. If yours is ten teams with rosters of 15, who would waste the spot. But if you're a dozen teams with rosters 25 deep that starts 2 RBs and a couple of flex players, you're holding a lot of garbage with far less upside than Miller. I tend to be in deeper leagues and so have that perspective.
If we go these separate ways on several players like Miller, you will be right on maybe 3/4 of them who never become stars and I'll be right on maybe 1/4. If I can get a quality starting RB 1 out of 4 times for what Miller costs after the Moreno signing (I think more like an early 20s pick in this year's deep draft) I'm good with that. If you already have 3 good RBs and only need 2, I wouldn't hold on to him either.
Trying to have this discussion between large and small roster owners, I think the question is how much potential Miller has to become a solid starter. Guys that aren't power backs always have that shortcoming and I don't think Miller is as elusive as Bush was or Gio is either. That caps his value in the best of situations. But I still think he has the ability to be a productive lead back for the Fins. In my situation, I think Miller's potential is well worth holding onto for a 20+ rookie pick.
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Oops. Edited to attribute quote.
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