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2014 MBSL ADPs (positional, overall, +/- from SSL) (1 Viewer)

Mr. Irrelevant

IBL Representative
If another Survivor League draft is in the books, it must be time for another faux-rigorous mathematical analysis of the FBG draft picks!

In addition to the overall ADP, this time around I've included a "rising / falling" column providing the change in ADP since the SSLs held in May. Enjoy!

Key:

PR = player's positional rank among all draftees
Player, Team, Bye = hopefully no explanation required
ADP = player's overall average draft position across the two MBSLs (with any player not drafted in a given MBSL assigned #304 for that draft, one round after the last pick)
Chg = net ADP change from the SSLs to the MBSLs (positive = now going earlier, negative = now going later, N/A = not drafted in SSLs)
QB:

PR Player Tm Bye ADP Chg1 Peyton Manning DEN 4 10.0 -1.52 Drew Brees NO 6 22.5 -6.23 Aaron Rodgers GB 9 26.5 -9.74 Matt Stafford DET 9 45.0 -10.55 Nick Foles PHI 7 54.5 +4.56 Andrew Luck IND 10 60.0 -21.07 Tom Brady NE 10 70.0 -10.78 Matt Ryan ATL 9 75.5 -17.29 Cam Newton CAR 12 77.0 -18.010 C Kaepernick SF 8 85.5 -5.511 Jay Cutler CHI 9 87.5 -5.012 Robert Griffin WAS 10 89.0 -24.213 Tony Romo DAL 11 89.0 -14.714 Russell Wilson SEA 4 93.5 -10.715 B Roethlisberge PIT 12 96.5 -0.516 Philip Rivers SD 10 100.0 -12.517 Ryan Tannehill MIA 5 107.5 -9.218 Andy Dalton CIN 4 109.5 -9.019 Carson Palmer ARZ 4 113.0 +1.520 Johnny Manziel CLE 4 138.0 +7.321 Alex D. Smith KC 6 144.0 -24.522 Joe Flacco BAL 11 148.5 -36.023 Jake Locker TEN 9 148.5 -3.024 Eli Manning NYG 8 154.0 -38.225 Josh McCown TB 7 158.0 -11.526 E.J. Manuel BUF 9 168.5 -34.027 Geno Smith NYJ 11 178.0 +57.028 Shaun Hill STL 4 182.0 #N/A29 Matt Cassel MIN 10 195.5 #N/A30 R Fitzpatrick HST 9 202.0 +27.831 T Bridgewater MIN 10 205.5 -56.532 Brian Hoyer CLE 4 211.5 +77.833 Chad Henne JAX 11 218.5 +6.834 Blake Bortles JAX 11 233.0 -1.535 Sam Bradford STL 4 234.0 -105.736 Derek Carr OAK 5 268.5 #N/ARB:

PR Player Tm By ADP Chg1 LeSean McCoy PHI 7 1.0 +1.02 Jamaal Charles KC 6 2.0 -0.53 Adrian Peterson MIN 10 3.5 +0.54 Matt Forte CHI 9 4.5 +1.85 Eddie Lacy GB 9 6.0 +3.36 DeMarco Murray DAL 11 17.0 +1.87 Montee Ball DEN 4 18.0 +7.58 Marshawn Lynch SEA 4 18.0 -4.09 Arian Foster HST 10 21.5 +1.010 Giovani Bernard CIN 4 22.5 0.011 Doug Martin TB 7 23.0 -3.212 Le’Veon Bell PIT 12 29.0 -13.213 Andre Ellington ARZ 4 31.0 +7.514 Alfred Morris WAS 10 36.5 +5.015 Reggie Bush DET 9 39.5 -9.716 Zac Stacy STL 4 40.0 -8.217 C.J. Spiller BUF 9 43.0 -9.518 Ryan Mathews SD 10 45.0 0.019 Shane Vereen NE 10 46.0 +2.320 Toby Gerhart JAX 11 49.5 +25.821 Ray Rice BAL 11 52.5 +6.022 Rashad Jennings NYG 8 53.5 +36.023 Joique Bell DET 9 54.0 +23.324 Chris Johnson NYJ 11 58.5 +10.025 T Richardson IND 10 65.5 -13.226 Frank Gore SF 8 66.5 +4.527 Pierre Thomas NO 6 74.0 +31.328 Bishop Sankey TEN 9 76.0 -10.029 Ben Tate CLE 4 81.5 -25.030 Lamar Miller MIA 5 82.0 +82.831 Fred Jackson BUF 9 102.0 +27.032 Stevan Ridley NE 10 102.5 -10.033 Danny Woodhead SD 10 103.0 +14.034 M Jones-Drew OAK 5 108.0 +2.835 Carlos Hyde SF 8 110.0 +52.336 Darren Sproles PHI 7 114.5 -38.737 Steven Jackson ATL 9 116.5 -27.738 Bernard Pierce BAL 11 126.5 +22.839 Knowshon Moreno MIA 5 129.5 -64.540 Mark Ingram NO 6 130.0 +18.341 Darren McFadden OAK 5 131.5 -26.242 Devonta Freeman ATL 9 133.5 +21.543 Jeremy Hill CIN 4 134.0 +52.544 DeAng Williams CAR 12 141.0 -21.045 Terrance West CLE 4 143.0 +62.046 Jonathn Stewart CAR 12 144.5 +31.047 Khiry Robinson NO 6 146.0 -15.548 Andre Williams NYG 8 147.5 +66.049 Chris Ivory NYJ 11 153.0 +9.050 Lance Dunbar DAL 11 161.0 +79.551 James White NE 10 168.5 #N/A52 Ahmad Bradshaw IND 10 171.5 +27.553 L Blount PIT 12 172.5 +9.554 C Michael SEA 4 185.0 +19.555 Roy Helu WAS 10 186.5 +63.856 Dex McCluster TEN 9 187.5 +16.357 Donald Brown SD 10 191.5 +4.558 Jacquizz Rogers ATL 9 203.5 +9.359 Shonn Greene TEN 9 210.5 -6.760 Knile Davis KC 6 213.5 +7.361 Tre Mason STL 4 217.0 -48.262 Ronnie Hillman DEN 4 224.5 +74.863 Jonathan Grimes HST 10 238.5 #N/A64 James Starks GB 9 240.5 -0.565 C.J. Anderson DEN 4 244.5 -21.266 Bryce Brown BUF 7 255.0 -4.067 Ka'Deem Carey CHI 9 259.5 -53.768 Ben Cunningham STL 4 262.0 #N/A69 Dri Archer PIT 12 285.5 -14.570 Robert Turbin SEA 4 285.5 #N/A71 Mike Tolbert CAR 12 294.0 -30.772 Dan Hammond IND 10 295.5 #N/AWR:

PR Player Tm By ADP Chg1 Calvin Johnson DET 9 5.0 -0.22 Demaryiu Thomas DEN 4 9.0 -0.53 Dez Bryant DAL 11 10.5 0.04 Julio Jones ATL 9 13.0 +2.85 A.J. Green CIN 4 14.0 -5.76 Brando Marshall CHI 9 15.5 +0.07 Jordy Nelson GB 9 21.0 +6.08 Alshon Jeffery CHI 9 22.5 -2.79 Antonio Brown PIT 12 23.0 +2.510 Randall Cobb GB 9 27.5 0.011 Vincent Jackson TB 7 29.5 +15.312 Keenan Allen SD 10 31.0 +5.313 Victor Cruz NYG 8 31.5 +7.514 Andre Johnson HST 10 34.0 +2.815 Pierre Garcon WAS 10 38.0 -2.516 Roddy White ATL 9 39.5 +14.317 L Fitzgerald ARZ 4 42.0 -11.018 C Patterson MIN 10 45.5 +0.319 Percy Harvin SEA 4 45.5 -2.720 Michael Floyd ARZ 4 49.5 +22.521 Michae Crabtree SF 8 49.5 +2.022 DeSean Jackson WAS 10 58.5 -5.523 Torrey Smith BAL 11 59.0 +3.824 T.Y. Hilton IND 10 62.5 -1.225 Mike Wallace MIA 5 63.0 +14.026 Emmanue Sanders DEN 4 63.0 +38.527 Wes Welker DEN 4 64.0 -17.528 Kendall Wright TEN 9 65.5 +12.829 Julian Edelman NE 10 67.0 +14.530 Terr Williams DAL 11 75.5 +18.331 Eric Decker NYJ 11 80.5 -5.032 Justin Hunter TEN 9 81.5 +32.033 Jeremy Maclin PHI 7 81.5 +4.534 Marques Colston NO 6 82.5 +1.035 Brandin Cooks NO 6 89.0 +38.036 Sammy Watkins BUF 9 93.5 -12.237 Rueben Randle NYG 8 94.0 +42.038 Golden Tate DET 9 97.5 +7.039 DeAndre Hopkins HST 10 97.5 +10.540 Reggie Wayne IND 10 100.0 -11.741 Kelvin Benjamin CAR 12 101.5 +39.542 Mike Evans TB 7 104.5 -4.243 Tavon Austin STL 4 106.5 -2.044 Dwayne Bowe KC 6 109.5 -2.745 Cecil Shorts JAX 11 113.5 -13.746 Greg Jennings MIN 10 117.0 +20.347 Anquan Boldin SF 8 121.5 -2.248 Riley Cooper PHI 7 122.5 -19.249 Kenny Stills NO 6 126.5 +4.550 Hakeem Nicks IND 10 128.0 -11.751 Jordan Matthews PHI 7 129.5 +28.852 Jarrett Boykin GB 9 131.5 +3.353 Brian Hartline MIA 5 134.0 +4.854 Markus Wheaton PIT 12 137.0 +6.555 Danny Amendola NE 10 145.5 -28.756 Kenny Britt STL 4 149.0 +38.057 Josh Gordon CLE 4 150.0 +36.058 Cody Latimer DEN 4 151.5 +51.359 Steve L. Smith BAL 11 154.5 -19.760 Andrew Hawkins CLE 4 157.5 +106.061 Doug Baldwin SEA 4 158.0 +17.062 Marqise Lee JAX 11 159.0 +3.563 James Jones OAK 5 161.5 -17.764 Harry Douglas ATL 9 163.5 +37.365 Rod Streater OAK 5 165.0 +41.566 Malcom Floyd SD 10 174.0 +61.867 Aaron Dobson NE 10 178.0 -18.568 Mike Williams BUF 9 185.0 +20.069 Robert Woods BUF 9 186.0 -17.570 Marvin Jones CIN 4 190.0 -67.771 Mohamed Sanu CIN 4 196.0 +86.372 K Thompkins NE 10 202.5 +97.073 Jermaine Kearse SEA 4 209.0 +85.574 Miles Austin CLE 4 212.0 +20.375 Andre Holmes OAK 5 214.5 +53.576 Nate Washington TEN 9 219.0 -21.777 Odell Beckham NYG 8 219.5 -58.078 J Cotchery CAR 12 220.0 -20.579 Brian Quick STL 4 224.0 #N/A80 Jarvis Landry MIA 5 235.0 +47.581 Steve Johnson SF 8 241.0 -67.082 Donnie Avery KC 6 243.5 +22.883 Allen Hurns JAX 11 247.5 #N/A84 Devante Adams GB 9 249.0 -20.585 Marlon Brown BAL 11 256.0 -17.586 Paul Richardson SEA 4 257.5 #N/A87 Denarius Moore OAK 5 260.5 -81.288 Jeremy Kerley NYJ 11 269.5 -40.089 Allen Robinson JAX 11 281.5 -45.590 Brandon LaFell NE 10 291.5 -42.091 Andre Roberts WAS 10 291.5 -13.292 Cole Beasley DAL 11 293.0 +4.393 Frankie Hammond KC 6 293.5 #N/A94 Andre Caldwell DEN 4 295.5 -1.2TE:

PR Player Tm By ADP Chg1 Jimmy Graham NO 6 6.0 -2.52 Rob Gronkowski NE 10 11.5 +7.03 Julius Thomas DEN 4 12.0 +11.84 Jordan Cameron CLE 4 28.5 +10.85 Jason Witten DAL 11 43.0 +3.36 Vernon Davis SF 8 56.5 -19.57 Kyle Rudolph MIN 10 59.5 +16.08 Greg Olsen CAR 12 60.0 -2.09 Jordan Reed WAS 10 68.0 -2.710 Dennis Pitta BAL 11 70.5 -4.511 M Bennett CHI 9 81.0 +8.312 Zach Ertz PHI 7 82.5 -11.713 Charles Clay MIA 5 100.5 -7.014 Travis Kelce KC 6 103.0 +33.815 Delanie Walker TEN 9 105.5 +23.316 Ladarius Green SD 10 109.5 +18.817 Heath Miller PIT 12 119.0 +16.018 Antonio Gates SD 10 127.0 -3.719 Tyler Eifert CIN 4 128.0 -11.020 Dwayne Allen IND 10 143.0 -17.021 Eric Ebron DET 9 145.5 -28.022 Jared Cook STL 4 151.5 +3.023 Garrett Graham HST 10 165.5 -9.224 Coby Fleener IND 10 166.5 -25.725 Marcedes Lewis JAX 11 186.0 +1.326 Jace Amaro NYJ 11 200.0 -43.227 Timothy Wright NE 7 210.0 +36.328 Austin Sefarian TB 7 215.5 -41.229 Mychal Rivera OAK 5 223.5 -26.030 Scott Chandler BUF 9 228.5 +18.331 Levine Toilolo ATL 9 234.0 +12.032 Richard Rodgers GB 9 260.0 #N/A33 CJ Fiedorowicz HST 10 263.5 #N/A34 Zach Miller SEA 4 270.5 +28.835 Jermain Gresham CIN 4 278.0 -20.736 Brent Celek PHI 7 283.0 #N/A37 Joseph Fauria DET 9 289.0 #N/A38 Jacob Tamme DEN 4 296.0 #N/AK:

PR Player Tm By ADP Chg1 S Gostkowski NE 10 195.5 +2.32 Steven Hauschka SEA 4 206.0 -5.03 Dan Bailey DAL 11 207.5 +10.54 Mason Crosby GB 9 210.5 +2.35 Justin Tucker BAL 11 217.0 -7.56 Phil Dawson SF 8 221.0 -5.57 Matt Bryant ATL 9 225.0 +3.38 Robbie Gould CHI 9 225.5 +0.59 Nick Novak SD 10 226.5 -1.510 Adam Vinatieri IND 10 227.5 +0.511 Blair Walsh MIN 10 233.5 -7.712 Greg Zuerlein STL 4 234.5 -5.013 Shayne Graham NO 6 241.0 -21.514 Shaun Suisham PIT 12 245.0 -9.015 Graham Gano CAR 12 252.0 -21.216 Mike Nugent CIN 4 252.5 +0.817 Ryan Succop KC 6 256.5 -15.018 Matt Prater DEN 4 259.0 -65.719 Nick Folk NYJ 11 263.5 -14.020 S Janikowski OAK 5 265.0 -36.221 Nate Freese DET 9 269.0 +4.322 Alex Henery PHI 7 270.5 -30.023 C Catanzaro ARZ 4 271.5 #N/A24 Nate Freese DET 9 272.5 +0.825 Dan Carpenter BUF 9 274.0 -10.026 Caleb Sturgis MIA 5 274.0 -31.527 Derek Dimke NO 6 279.0 #N/A28 Cody Parkey PHI 7 286.5 #N/A29 Josh Brown NYG 8 289.0 -36.530 Randy Bullock HST 10 292.5 -17.2DST:

PR Team Tm By ADP Chg1 Seahawks SEA 4 125.0 +15.52 Rams STL 4 152.5 +26.53 49ers SF 8 181.0 -26.04 Panthers CAR 12 185.5 -14.25 Bengals CIN 4 186.0 -10.26 Broncos DEN 4 186.0 -8.77 Patriots NE 10 188.0 -1.08 Cardinals ARZ 4 198.5 -24.09 Bills BUF 9 204.5 +17.510 Chiefs KC 6 205.0 -36.011 Texans HST 10 207.0 -21.212 Saints NO 6 208.5 +28.013 Buccaneers TB 7 219.0 +10.014 Bears CHI 9 220.0 -18.015 Steelers PIT 12 234.0 -14.016 Packers GB 9 241.0 +9.817 Ravens BAL 11 245.0 -28.218 Eagles PHI 7 246.0 +18.019 Browns CLE 4 246.5 -41.020 Jets NYJ 11 250.5 -25.221 Lions DET 9 252.5 +8.822 Colts IND 10 256.0 +18.023 Vikings MIN 10 256.0 +18.324 Dolphins MIA 5 257.5 -3.025 Titans TEN 9 262.5 +12.826 Giants NYG 8 267.0 -13.027 Jaguars JAX 11 272.5 +21.028 Chargers SD 10 274.5 +5.829 Redskins WAS 10 282.0 -3.030 Cowboys DAL 11 285.0 +1.531 Falcons ATL 9 295.0 +2.032 Raiders OAK 5 304.0 -5.2Biggest risers: QB - Brian Hoyer (+78 spots), RB - Lamar Miller (+82), WR - Andrew Hawkins (+106), TE - Travis Kelce (+34)

Biggest fallers: QB - Teddy Bridgewater (-57), RB - Knowshon Moreno (-65), WR - Denarius Moore (-81), TE - Jace Amaro (-43)

Random fun MBSL factoid #1: 16 of the top 17 QBs went later in the MBSLs than in the SSLs. Apparently all the cool kids are waiting on QB this year.

Random fun MBSL factoid #2: Josh Gordon averaged 2+ rounds (36 picks) higher in the MBSLs than in the SSLs. :lol:

 

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