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***Official*** Beto O'Rourke Thread (2 Viewers)

Actual quote from Ted Cruz - "If Texas elects a Democrat, they’re going to ban barbecue across the state of Texas.”

 
whoknew said:
Actual quote from Ted Cruz - "If Texas elects a Democrat, they’re going to ban barbecue across the state of Texas.”
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Florida's way ahead of you, Texas.

Florida county tells resident to keep barbecue smoke in his own yard

“I just took three pictures of smoke,” Graham explains. “I can smell it again right now. You’re allowed to have it smell on your property, so that doesn’t count, but when I’m on the street, that’s when it counts.”

Jordan can be heard laughing in the video as the specialist continues to explain the problem.

“Is that against the law?” one of the men questions.

Graham proceeds to pull out his handbook and informs the men that neighbors are allowed to call in if they have concerns about barbecue smoke.  Pinellas County has a 24 hour hotline for residents to call in an emergency air quality complaint.

According to the ordinance, “commercial barbecue cookers are not exempt from causing a nuisance odor. If a sufficient number of complaints, representing different households, are reported and an Inspector witnesses the problem, they can issue a Warning Letter.”

Video  Don't know why these people are being harrassed.

And Georgia.

 
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Amused to Death said:
Florida's way ahead of you, Texas.

Florida county tells resident to keep barbecue smoke in his own yard

“I just took three pictures of smoke,” Graham explains. “I can smell it again right now. You’re allowed to have it smell on your property, so that doesn’t count, but when I’m on the street, that’s when it counts.”

Jordan can be heard laughing in the video as the specialist continues to explain the problem.

“Is that against the law?” one of the men questions.

Graham proceeds to pull out his handbook and informs the men that neighbors are allowed to call in if they have concerns about barbecue smoke.  Pinellas County has a 24 hour hotline for residents to call in an emergency air quality complaint.

According to the ordinance, “commercial barbecue cookers are not exempt from causing a nuisance odor. If a sufficient number of complaints, representing different households, are reported and an Inspector witnesses the problem, they can issue a Warning Letter.”

Video  Don't know why these people are being harrassed.
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Before I clicked on the video, I was going to make a "imagine if they were BBQing while black" joke.  Turns out I I didn't have to imagine that.

 
 
whoknew said:
Latest polling not good for O'Rourke. That's so frustrating.
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I'm not sure I understand this poll.   

In Tuesday's survey, 93 percent of likely voters said they had made up their minds. Both candidates had the support of 94 percent of likely voters in their parties, while O'Rourke held a slim lead among independents.
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Texas is split 40/39 in favor of Democrats as far as voter registration.   Are they saying that the 9 point difference is based on the likelihood of more Republicans voting?  

 
-fish- said:
I'm not sure I understand this poll.   

Texas is split 40/39 in favor of Democrats as far as voter registration.   Are they saying that the 9 point difference is based on the likelihood of more Republicans voting?  
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I guess that is it. I read the article on Quinnipiac and it didn't say how they determined likely voters. At least not that I saw.

 
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whoknew said:
I guess that is it. I read the article on Quinnipiac and it didn't say how they determined likely voters. At least not that I saw.
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LIKELY VOTERS PARTY IDENTIFICATION Republican 35% Democrat 26 Independent 33 Other/DK/NA 5

33% of the likely voters are independent and only 26% of likely voters are Democrat?   Seems odd.

 
As always a pipe dream in Texas.  The Dems need to focus elsewhere. 

I still maintain that Beto could take a serious run at the presidency in 2020. 

 
joffer said:
another poll out this morning has Beto up two. the reality is probably somewhere in the middle (Cruz up 3-4)
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Online poll v. phone.   This one had voters rank their likelihood of voting rather than just saying whether they intended to vote or not.

U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, leads Republican incumbent Ted Cruz by 2 percentage points among likely voters, according to an Ipsos online poll released Wednesday in conjunction with Reuters and the University of Virginia. O’Rourke has been closing the gap over the last several months, but this is the first poll that puts him ahead of Cruz.

Forty-seven percent of likely voters told Reuters they would vote for O'Rourke, while 45 percent said they would cast their ballot for Cruz. Three percent said they would vote for "Other," and 5 percent said "None." The margin of error on that portion of the poll was 3.5 percentage points.

A Quinnipiac poll released Tuesday put Cruz 9 percentage points ahead of O’Rourke among likely voters. That poll was based on phone interviews, while the Ipsos poll used an online survey. But it’s trying to predict who will show up on Election Day that shifts the numbers, said Ipsos Vice President Chris Jackson.

Ipsos is trying to gauge political enthusiasm on each side, said Jackson. The poll asked respondents to estimate the likelihood that they’d vote in the midterm elections on a scale from one to 10. “More Democrats are registering at the highest part of the scale, at the 10, than the Republicans,” Jackson said. And that’s what’s interesting, he said, because Republicans usually have the momentum advantage in Texas.

“It demonstrates how Democrats are mobilized,” said Jackson. “This election is going to be really competitive and its going be very hard fought.”

Healthcare and immigration were the issues that Texas voters valued most, according to the poll, but it’s “very lopsided,” Jackson said. Republican respondents cared most about immigration and Democrats cared most about healthcare with very little overlap.

Respondents were also asked whether they perceived Cruz and O’Rourke as “traditional” politicians. Among likely voters, 76 percent saw Cruz as traditional, while only 32 percent perceived O’Rourke that way — something that may be to O’Rourke’s advantage in a political climate that leans away from establishment politics, Jackson said.

The poll also questioned voters about the Texas gubernatorial election and found that Gov. Greg Abbott leads his Democratic challenger, Lupe Valdez, by 9 percentage points among likely voters.
Click to expand...

 
-fish- said:
Online poll v. phone.   This one had voters rank their likelihood of voting rather than just saying whether they intended to vote or not.
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I assume that the ideal poll would be a combination of online and phone? And that online would skew towards younger voters and phone would skew towards older?

 
whoknew said:
I assume that the ideal poll would be a combination of online and phone? And that online would skew towards younger voters and phone would skew towards older?
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I would think a combination would be more accurate.

Quinnipac uses landlines and cellphones.  Landlines have traditionally skewed republican because only older people have them, but it looks like over 65 is shifting democrat, so who knows.

I like Reuters approach of ranking the respondent's likelihood of voting on a scale of 1-10 and then correlating that to results.   That seems more accurate in determining who is really going to vote versus someone answering a binary question.  

 
whoknew said:
From twitter  - in debate w/O’Rourke, Cruz says he’s a Republican because Rs supported the civil rights movement while Democrats in the South opposed it he claimed Martin Luther King would side w/him in opposing NFL athletes who kneel during National Anthem because King respected the flag.

:lmao:
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Condoleezza Rice said the same thing, she’s a republican because Democrats didn’t let her father vote or some BS like that. 

Its such a stupid talking point. 

They don’t talk about how the south turned from blue to red basically overnight when the civil rights act was passed. 

 
Gachi said:
Condoleezza Rice said the same thing, she’s a republican because Democrats didn’t let her father vote or some BS like that. 

Its such a stupid talking point. 

They don’t talk about how the south turned from blue to red basically overnight when the civil rights act was passed. 
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Yeah.   Cruz turned 18 in 1988.   24 years after LBJ signed the Civil Rights Act and 20 years after the GOP welcomed all the former Southern Democrat racists with open arms.

 
Gachi said:

Its such a stupid talking point.

They don’t talk about how the south turned from blue to red basically overnight when the civil rights act was passed.
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It's also a stupid talking point because every single southern Republican in Congress voted against the 1964 Civil Rights bill.

"I joined the only party in the south that was 100% opposed to Civil Rights!"

 
Beto did well; had a lull here and there, but landed a few too ... paraphrasing an early favorite, "thoughts and prayers are not going to cut it anymore."

Cruz is an absolute master of subtle slime.

[Please don't ban me] The blonde moderator had a hot Gilda Radner vibe.

ETA: Link

 
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Mister CIA said:
Beto did well; had a lull here and there, but landed a few too ... paraphrasing an early favorite, "thoughts and prayers are not going to cut it anymore."

Cruz is an absolute master of subtle slime.

[Please don't ban me] The blonde moderator had a hot Gilda Radner vibe.

ETA: Link
Click to expand...
I thought Beto missed an opportunity to point out that Trump and the GOP have not solved the healthcare issue and costs have continued to rise under them. And point out how they are purposely undermining the ACA.  Instead he focused on a couple of cases for protecting existing conditions, which Cruz had already said he wanted to protect.

 
Amused to Death said:
I thought Beto missed an opportunity to point out that Trump and the GOP have not solved the healthcare issue and costs have continued to rise under them. And point out how they are purposely undermining the ACA.  Instead he focused on a couple of cases for protecting existing conditions, which Cruz had already said he wanted to protect.
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.. while saving people 5000/yr on their health insurance.

suuuuure.,

 
I understand dipshots make the argument, but i didn't think an educated man like cruz would pull the "democrats voted against civil rights" line with a straight face. I guess you gotta speak a rube's language.

 
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