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Mister CIA

***Official*** Beto O'Rourke Thread

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19 minutes ago, Qanon said:

Beto is a fraud. He won't even use his real name, just to get the Latino vote.

It's a childhood nickname, so apparently his parents have been running the longest con since Obama's grandparents placed that false birth announcement in two different Hawaii papers.

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39 minutes ago, Qanon said:

Beto is a fraud. He won't even use his real name, just to get the Latino vote.

Rafael should really push that in his campaign. 

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1 hour ago, Qanon said:

Trump is going to Texas maybe twice to hold a rally for Cruz. The boy wasted a lot of his money. :thumbup:

His bill boards will probably actually help Cruz.

How embarrassing for Texas.  

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If nothing else, you can tell Qanon is really worried about Beto winning.  He wouldn't be trying so hard in this thread otherwise.

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On 9/2/2018 at 8:06 PM, Henry Ford said:

Rafael should really push that in his campaign. 

Oh, he is. It's a really, really stupid point to highlight, too.

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Got my vote.  Have given $500 so far as well.  $250 last year and same this year.  Have had sign in yard for months, too.  Would have worked on campaign, but spend my work weeks in NY and general only home weekends.  

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On 9/2/2018 at 9:23 AM, Dedfin said:

It could be Joe's alias for all we know.

Nah. Even though Joe leans right a bit, and is a grown man who wears Crocs, he wouldn’t write what kind of stuff on his own board.

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3 minutes ago, Henry Ford said:

Wait til they find out he smokes weed. 

Will only get out more Republican votes. They never learn, Look how much Zay Z and Beyonce helped HRC.

I wonder if he is a Cruz plant? 

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13 minutes ago, Henry Ford said:

Wait til they find out he smokes weed. 

He didn't pay taxes.   Doesn't that make him a conservative hero no matter what?

 

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1 hour ago, fatguyinalittlecoat said:

Yeah gotta get some A listers like Diamond and Silk.

Scott Baio would take offense at you leaving him off that list, but he had to leave to go work the graveyard shift at Arby's

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7 minutes ago, whoknew said:

Actual quote from Ted Cruz - "If Texas elects a Democrat, they’re going to ban barbecue across the state of Texas.”

Doesn’t sound too desperate. Solid work Canadian immigrant Rafael Cruz!

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18 minutes ago, whoknew said:

Actual quote from Ted Cruz - "If Texas elects a Democrat, they’re going to ban barbecue across the state of Texas.”

Meh, I have learned to not cast my votes based on culinary threats after the Tremendous Taco Truck Tragedy of '16.

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56 minutes ago, whoknew said:

Actual quote from Ted Cruz - "If Texas elects a Democrat, they’re going to ban barbecue across the state of Texas.”

Come on this one was clearly a joke.  Plenty of actual horrible things to criticize Cruz over, no need to focus on this.

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2 hours ago, whoknew said:

Actual quote from Ted Cruz - "If Texas elects a Democrat, they’re going to ban barbecue across the state of Texas.”

Florida's way ahead of you, Texas.

Florida county tells resident to keep barbecue smoke in his own yard

“I just took three pictures of smoke,” Graham explains. “I can smell it again right now. You’re allowed to have it smell on your property, so that doesn’t count, but when I’m on the street, that’s when it counts.”

Jordan can be heard laughing in the video as the specialist continues to explain the problem.

“Is that against the law?” one of the men questions.

Graham proceeds to pull out his handbook and informs the men that neighbors are allowed to call in if they have concerns about barbecue smoke.  Pinellas County has a 24 hour hotline for residents to call in an emergency air quality complaint.

According to the ordinance, “commercial barbecue cookers are not exempt from causing a nuisance odor. If a sufficient number of complaints, representing different households, are reported and an Inspector witnesses the problem, they can issue a Warning Letter.”

Video  Don't know why these people are being harrassed.

And Georgia.

Edited by Amused to Death

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1 hour ago, fatguyinalittlecoat said:

Come on this one was clearly a joke.  Plenty of actual horrible things to criticize Cruz over, no need to focus on this.

Beto wants to tax away your BBQ and give it away for free in the form of Healthcare.  That's Socialism.

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6 minutes ago, Amused to Death said:

Florida's way ahead of you, Texas.

Florida county tells resident to keep barbecue smoke in his own yard

“I just took three pictures of smoke,” Graham explains. “I can smell it again right now. You’re allowed to have it smell on your property, so that doesn’t count, but when I’m on the street, that’s when it counts.”

Jordan can be heard laughing in the video as the specialist continues to explain the problem.

“Is that against the law?” one of the men questions.

Graham proceeds to pull out his handbook and informs the men that neighbors are allowed to call in if they have concerns about barbecue smoke.  Pinellas County has a 24 hour hotline for residents to call in an emergency air quality complaint.

According to the ordinance, “commercial barbecue cookers are not exempt from causing a nuisance odor. If a sufficient number of complaints, representing different households, are reported and an Inspector witnesses the problem, they can issue a Warning Letter.”

Video  Don't know why these people are being harrassed.

Before I clicked on the video, I was going to make a "imagine if they were BBQing while black" joke.  Turns out I I didn't have to imagine that.

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1 minute ago, SacramentoBob said:

Before I clicked on the video, I was going to make a "imagine if they were BBQing while black" joke.  Turns out I I didn't have to imagine that.

Yeah but check the 2nd link I added.

NM - he's black too.

Edited by Amused to Death

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18 minutes ago, ericttspikes said:

Love that Beto accepts no PAC money and still out raised Cruz. 

At least there are a couple of people from Texas on this list of Cruz's PAC donors (you have to scroll down a ways).

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I donated to Beto O’Rourke's campaign.  First time I've ever donated to a Democrat. 

F Cruz.

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38 minutes ago, whoknew said:

Latest polling not good for O'Rourke. That's so frustrating.

I'm not sure I understand this poll.   

Quote

In Tuesday's survey, 93 percent of likely voters said they had made up their minds. Both candidates had the support of 94 percent of likely voters in their parties, while O'Rourke held a slim lead among independents.

Texas is split 40/39 in favor of Democrats as far as voter registration.   Are they saying that the 9 point difference is based on the likelihood of more Republicans voting?  

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24 minutes ago, -fish- said:

I'm not sure I understand this poll.   

Texas is split 40/39 in favor of Democrats as far as voter registration.   Are they saying that the 9 point difference is based on the likelihood of more Republicans voting?  

I guess that is it. I read the article on Quinnipiac and it didn't say how they determined likely voters. At least not that I saw.

Edited by whoknew

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11 minutes ago, whoknew said:

I guess that is it. I read the article on Quinnipiac and it didn't say how they determined likely voters. At least not that I saw.

LIKELY VOTERS PARTY IDENTIFICATION Republican 35% Democrat 26 Independent 33 Other/DK/NA 5

33% of the likely voters are independent and only 26% of likely voters are Democrat?   Seems odd.

 

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As always a pipe dream in Texas.  The Dems need to focus elsewhere. 

I still maintain that Beto could take a serious run at the presidency in 2020. 

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20 hours ago, whoknew said:

Latest polling not good for O'Rourke. That's so frustrating.

another poll out this morning has Beto up two. the reality is probably somewhere in the middle (Cruz up 3-4)

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3 hours ago, joffer said:

another poll out this morning has Beto up two. the reality is probably somewhere in the middle (Cruz up 3-4)

Online poll v. phone.   This one had voters rank their likelihood of voting rather than just saying whether they intended to vote or not.

Quote

 

U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, leads Republican incumbent Ted Cruz by 2 percentage points among likely voters, according to an Ipsos online poll released Wednesday in conjunction with Reuters and the University of Virginia. O’Rourke has been closing the gap over the last several months, but this is the first poll that puts him ahead of Cruz.

Forty-seven percent of likely voters told Reuters they would vote for O'Rourke, while 45 percent said they would cast their ballot for Cruz. Three percent said they would vote for "Other," and 5 percent said "None." The margin of error on that portion of the poll was 3.5 percentage points.

A Quinnipiac poll released Tuesday put Cruz 9 percentage points ahead of O’Rourke among likely voters. That poll was based on phone interviews, while the Ipsos poll used an online survey. But it’s trying to predict who will show up on Election Day that shifts the numbers, said Ipsos Vice President Chris Jackson.

Ipsos is trying to gauge political enthusiasm on each side, said Jackson. The poll asked respondents to estimate the likelihood that they’d vote in the midterm elections on a scale from one to 10. “More Democrats are registering at the highest part of the scale, at the 10, than the Republicans,” Jackson said. And that’s what’s interesting, he said, because Republicans usually have the momentum advantage in Texas.

“It demonstrates how Democrats are mobilized,” said Jackson. “This election is going to be really competitive and its going be very hard fought.”

Healthcare and immigration were the issues that Texas voters valued most, according to the poll, but it’s “very lopsided,” Jackson said. Republican respondents cared most about immigration and Democrats cared most about healthcare with very little overlap.

Respondents were also asked whether they perceived Cruz and O’Rourke as “traditional” politicians. Among likely voters, 76 percent saw Cruz as traditional, while only 32 percent perceived O’Rourke that way — something that may be to O’Rourke’s advantage in a political climate that leans away from establishment politics, Jackson said.

The poll also questioned voters about the Texas gubernatorial election and found that Gov. Greg Abbott leads his Democratic challenger, Lupe Valdez, by 9 percentage points among likely voters.

 

 

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17 minutes ago, -fish- said:

Online poll v. phone.   This one had voters rank their likelihood of voting rather than just saying whether they intended to vote or not.

 

I assume that the ideal poll would be a combination of online and phone? And that online would skew towards younger voters and phone would skew towards older?

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1 minute ago, whoknew said:

I assume that the ideal poll would be a combination of online and phone? And that online would skew towards younger voters and phone would skew towards older?

I would think a combination would be more accurate.

Quinnipac uses landlines and cellphones.  Landlines have traditionally skewed republican because only older people have them, but it looks like over 65 is shifting democrat, so who knows.

I like Reuters approach of ranking the respondent's likelihood of voting on a scale of 1-10 and then correlating that to results.   That seems more accurate in determining who is really going to vote versus someone answering a binary question.  

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13 minutes ago, No One said:

Beto is currently debating Cruz live now. Its on PBS in Austin.

 

crap I taped the wrong channel.  it’ll be on YouTube

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From twitter  - in debate w/O’Rourke, Cruz says he’s a Republican because Rs supported the civil rights movement while Democrats in the South opposed it he claimed Martin Luther King would side w/him in opposing NFL athletes who kneel during National Anthem because King respected the flag.

 

:lmao:

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36 minutes ago, whoknew said:

From twitter  - in debate w/O’Rourke, Cruz says he’s a Republican because Rs supported the civil rights movement while Democrats in the South opposed it he claimed Martin Luther King would side w/him in opposing NFL athletes who kneel during National Anthem because King respected the flag.

 

:lmao:

Condoleezza Rice said the same thing, she’s a republican because Democrats didn’t let her father vote or some BS like that. 

Its such a stupid talking point. 

They don’t talk about how the south turned from blue to red basically overnight when the civil rights act was passed. 

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2 minutes ago, Gachi said:

Condoleezza Rice said the same thing, she’s a republican because Democrats didn’t let her father vote or some BS like that. 

Its such a stupid talking point. 

They don’t talk about how the south turned from blue to red basically overnight when the civil rights act was passed. 

Yeah.   Cruz turned 18 in 1988.   24 years after LBJ signed the Civil Rights Act and 20 years after the GOP welcomed all the former Southern Democrat racists with open arms.

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