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I am definitely not a trained meteorologist, but man, none of the satellite loops make it look like this thing is going as far north as predicted tracks are showing...looks to me like wnw path to the armpit of FL or even south of that
That front to the north will dictate it's path. There's always a chance they are wrong, but the models are pretty tight in thinking where this will go.
What’s the XTRP? That’s the one that mirrors satellite movement so far. Again, not trained and just a seasoned observer, but a short amount of distance left to make such a big shift, IMO. Getting rain here in Orlando regardless, so good for the yard
I believe it stands for Extrapolated data. It's not really a model. All that black line is showing is where it would go if it stayed on its current path. There's no real model. It's just looking at the low and saying, "Oh, it's moving 10 miles NW right now? Well, based on those facts, I'll plot out where it would go." It's more to show you what the current movement of the storm is.
It's been named, it counts.
That might be the furthest east I have ever seen one of these models go.
Thanks. Figured it had to be something like that, straight line and all
