massraider
Footballguy
Nice writeup.I have most of the year planned out so far, though I can guarantee things will change based on injuries and team re-evaluations:
Now that I have it all typed up, I bolded the direction I might take for weeks with multiple possible picks. Feels like week 9 is the sketchiest so far, if lots of people lose before that I might go with safer picks and worry about an ideal path to week 17 later.
- SEA
- BAL
- DAL
- LAC
- PHI vs NYJ -14
- NE vs NYG -14.5
- BUF vs MIA -13.5, alternate KC at DEN -8 to preserve BUF for week 9 vs WAS
- PIT vs MIA - 13.5, alternates: MIN vs WAS -13 or LAR vs CIN -11.5
- SF @ ARI? -6.5, tough one, no real favorable matchups, divisional away game is rough. BUF if KC in week 7
- IND vs MIA -13.5
- MIN vs DEN -9.5, alternate SF vs ARI -9 if I go with KC week 7, would probably go with MIN week 8 then
- CLE vs MIA -14, might go with CHI vs NYG -8 since it would be the last time to use CHI somewhat comfortably
- KC vs OAK -14, alternate CAR vs WAS -9, last time to use CAR, could essentially start an alternate pick cascade by going with KC week 7 instead
- GB vs WAS -13.5
- NYG vs MIA -10? Pretty scary playing NYG at this time, could go with BUF week 7 and CAR week 13 to hold KC vs DEN -13.5
- Who knows, bunch of close matchups, will re-evaluate later
- LAR vs ARI -13
I have IND, CLE, KC, LAR also marked down.
I specifically saved DAL for week 9, it's a rough week but a ton of people have used DAL in week 3, so week 9 may be the Reckoning. If you get by week 9, you can get start feeling alright. SF is good call, I think.