Zero RB
Footballguy
Absolutely.Despise or not, if I don't take advantage of it, someone else in my league would.
Just editorializing. The NFL lists players by one position only; not sure why fantasy platforms wouldn't conform to that.
Absolutely.Despise or not, if I don't take advantage of it, someone else in my league would.
No one knows yet -- he supposedly practiced in full yesterday but we haven't seen his effectiveness yet.Not much talk about Jimmy Graham. Is he JAG nowadays?
Bill Barnwell had an article in the '14 season (when he was still with the Rams) in which he noted that both Bradford's frequency and effectiveness of deep balls were among the lowest in the league. Like, almost Alex Smith bad.I have heard mixed reports about Bradford's deep ball. Some that seem good, some that seem bad. Where Bradford has been particularly bad is on intermediate routes, which is kind of a preference for Norv Turner. If that is not Bradford's bread and butter though, and he is better with the deep ball than the mid range throws, Charles Johnson could still do well with Bradford.
Have been busy all day. Am also second guessing some of the guys I was going to include as I did some research and the results didn't show what I thought it would.I guess A99 is giving us 5 per day?
Yeah those would be some examples of bad.Bill Barnwell had an article in the '14 season (when he was still with the Rams) in which he noted that both Bradford's frequency and effectiveness of deep balls were among the lowest in the league. Like, almost Alex Smith bad.
I don't know to what extent he's improved on that since then but, if my eyes as an Eagles fan and/or this 2015 FO metric is anything to go on, the answer is "not much". It's a mystery to me since, unlike the popgun artists he shares company with on those tables, he has at least an average NFL arm, if not more. It's either mechanical or it's mental, and I have my doubts that it'll be his third coaching staff in as many years that finally sets him right.
I unfortunately draft with a bunch of Packer homers, so no Cook bargain rates here. Did help me sneak McDonald in cheap.Jared Cook is getting NO love from anyone...and I really don't get way...he's in the perfect offense for him, with the best QB in the league. he will be a HUGE redzone threat. I will predict he's a top 3-4 TE this year. 8-10 TD's.
Because he is and always has been bad. Cant run routes, can't catch the on target balls, gives up on every other play.Jared Cook is getting NO love from anyone... and I really don't get why...
He's never played on a good team with a good Quarterback before either....just watch...top 3-4 TE this year...book it!Because he is and always has been bad. Cant run routes, can't catch the on target balls, gives up on every other play.
Man, I hope you and Anarchy are right. We just wrapped up MBSL1 over in the Mock Drafts forum and somehow I wound up with not just Yo Gabba Gabbert but also Torrey Smith and Jeremy Kerley ...I just said this in the 9ers thread. Something has to happen in this offense, and not all bad. And Gabbert had some zip on the ball IMO, he seemed better than the jailbreak Gabbert from Jax.
If anything this shows your ability to be objective so kudos to you. I like Enunwa a lot as a Jets fan and would love to see him get more usage, but I think it only happens with an injury to Marshall, Decker, Forte or Powell. Last year Fitz targeted RB's 120 times. I expect that to be consistent this year or maybe a little higher. Marshall and Decker are an easy 300+ combined targets if healthy. Fitz threw 600 times last year. I don't have any history with Bowles/Fitz to know for sure, but that seems high for the Jets that I'm used to watching. I think we run a little more this year and ride our defense a little more so I expect a reduction in pass attempts.Quincy Enunwa NYJ WR
ADP 0 PPR Leagues: Undrafted
ADP 1 PPR Leagues: Undrafted
Average FBG Staff Ranking: Unranked
Average FBG Projection: 36-396-3 (average of 4 FBG staff projections)
This one admittedly is a reach and is more a byproduct of statistical forensics analysis. IMO, someone on the Jets is likely lurking in obscurity, and I concluded the most likeliest candidate is Enunwa.
For starters, the Jets got nothing out of their TE position last year in terms of receiving production. And by nothing, I mean a grand total of 8 receptions over the entire season. Some people had hopes that Amaro would break through, but he is gone, as is Cumberland.
Last year, Marshall and Decker were the best fantasy scoring WR duo in the league. Between the two of them, they saw 305 targets. Realistically, how likely are they to improve on their performances from last year? It's more likely they take a step back, and it's probably a safe bet to take the under for them scoring a combined 26 TDs again.
The Jets had a lot of turnover in their offensive skill players beyond Marshall and Decker, and 150 targets and nearly 100 receptions are left unaccounted for after the personnel changes. Let's give 60 receptions to Forte (he could get more, but let's go with that). FBG's projections have the Marshall/Decker combo losing 20-25 receptions compared to last season. 100 + 25 = 125 – 60 = 65 receptions left over. However, the Jets face a pretty tough schedule, especially to start the season. That could mean more passing attempts if they get behind. With Marshall, Decker, and Forte/Powell demanding more attention, Enunwa could see dump offs that tight ends would normally see.
Enunwa put up a modest 22-315-0 line last year, but he should see an increase in snaps as their WR3 working out of the slot. He saw 46 targets in 2015 in sporadic use, and with more playing time, more targets, and more routes in the middle of the field, he could carve out a decent sized role. Probably not a huge factor in smaller or regular sized leagues, but someone that might be a decent pick up in larger PPR leagues where WR depth is hard to find.
Smith is ranked too high IMO to be a true late, late sleeper and be considered in the context of this thread. I had suggested months ago that he would be a decent pick up as people had forgotten about him (I own him on several teams). I know the Ravens receiving corps is really hard to get a handle on right now, but IMO he is worth the risk going as WR53 based on how well he was doing last year before he got hurt. He's old and coming off a major injury, but he's tough and still has something to prove. He's pretty much a lottery ticket, and if he looks old and slow and doesn't do all that much early in the season, move on to someone else.matuski said:I am seeing next to nothing on Steve Smith and was unable to see him in the preseason... any insight?
Meh. I'm not a huge fan of Cutler. I've had him as a back up several times, and when forced to play him he was very ho hum. Even as a guy you can get in the 180-190 pick range, we sort of know who he is by now. He's not horrible, but I think his upside is limited. For starters, he seems to get hurt along the way pretty much every year. He's missed time the past 6 years. On a fantasy ppg basis, since coming to CHI (last year listed first), he's ranked 25, 10, 21, 23, 18, 18, 13 among QBs that played in at least 8 games. That's probably ok for a back up, but if you have to play him in a start 1 QB league you will be losing points at the QB position.One of the names that I wouldn't be surprised to see on this list is Jay Cutler. I could actually see him being a middle of the pack fantasy qb that can be gotten for next to nothing. If you play in a 14,16+ team league--or a 2 qb league--I think he could be one of the better values out there.
Heh ... I was halfway through a response that basically said exactly what you wrote here.Meh. I'm not a huge fan of Cutler. I've had him as a back up several times, and when forced to play him he was very ho hum. Even as a guy you can get in the 180-190 pick range, we sort of know who he is by now. He's not horrible, but I think his upside is limited. For starters, he seems to get hurt along the way pretty much every year. He's missed time the past 6 years. On a fantasy ppg basis, since coming to CHI (last year listed first), he's ranked 25, 10, 21, 23, 18, 18, 13 among QBs that played in at least 8 games. That's probably ok for a back up, but if you have to play him in a start 1 QB league you will be losing points at the QB position.
Jared Cook is getting NO love from anyone...and I really don't get way...he's in the perfect offense for him, with the best QB in the league. he will be a HUGE redzone threat. I will predict he's a top 3-4 TE this year. 8-10 TD's.
Because he is and always has been bad. Cant run routes, can't catch the on target balls, gives up on every other play.
The collective love-fest for Cook has been amazing to me. He's been pegged as a "breakout" candidate since 2010. Yes, he's big and athletic. But, as noted by Run It Up, he lacks the skills typically covetted in WRs: he can't/won't run a route properly, his hands suck, and he's shockingly unwilling/unable to go get 50/50 balls given his size. Back in 2012 I bought into the "this is the year" talk. I bought into it again when he went to the Rams ("Fisher knows what he is and was willing to sign him to a big contract, he must have something."). Never again. We now have 7 years of data to review -- absolutely none of it suggests that Cook is actually any good at being a receiving TE in the NFL.He's never played on a good team with a good Quarterback before either....just watch...top 3-4 TE this year...book it!
Based on what, exactly?Lewis (when healthy) can catch but can't really run well inside.
For starters, he hasn't really been used as a heavy carry RB. He's had double digit carries only twice in 31 career games.Based on what, exactly?
So by "run inside" you meant specifically up the middle? Because another interpretation of "run inside" is between the tackles. His career average between the tackles is 4.74 ypc. Meanwhile, he averaged 5.3 ypc on 544 carries at Pitt; I don't know where to find directional splits for college stats, but I doubt he would have gotten 544 carries if he couldn't "run well inside."For starters, he hasn't really been used as a heavy carry RB. He's had double digit carries only twice in 31 career games.
But since you asked . . . career numbers running the football:
Wide right: 5.2 ypc
Right: 5.2 ypc
Middle 3.6 ypc
Left: 8.5 ypc
Wide left: 4.5 ypc
http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/players/24936/situational/?season=career
Not a huge sample size, and maybe he could do well if asked to pound the ball up the middle. But so far he's been more of a situational back then anything else.
This is my guy, as well-and for basically the same reasons. Here's to hoping we're both correct.Quincy Enunwa NYJ WR
ADP 0 PPR Leagues: Undrafted
ADP 1 PPR Leagues: Undrafted
Average FBG Staff Ranking: Unranked
Average FBG Projection: 36-396-3 (average of 4 FBG staff projections)
This one admittedly is a reach and is more a byproduct of statistical forensics analysis. IMO, someone on the Jets is likely lurking in obscurity, and I concluded the most likeliest candidate is Enunwa.
For starters, the Jets got nothing out of their TE position last year in terms of receiving production. And by nothing, I mean a grand total of 8 receptions over the entire season. Some people had hopes that Amaro would break through, but he is gone, as is Cumberland.
Last year, Marshall and Decker were the best fantasy scoring WR duo in the league. Between the two of them, they saw 305 targets. Realistically, how likely are they to improve on their performances from last year? It's more likely they take a step back, and it's probably a safe bet to take the under for them scoring a combined 26 TDs again.
The Jets had a lot of turnover in their offensive skill players beyond Marshall and Decker, and 150 targets and nearly 100 receptions are left unaccounted for after the personnel changes. Let's give 60 receptions to Forte (he could get more, but let's go with that). FBG's projections have the Marshall/Decker combo losing 20-25 receptions compared to last season. 100 + 25 = 125 – 60 = 65 receptions left over. However, the Jets face a pretty tough schedule, especially to start the season. That could mean more passing attempts if they get behind. With Marshall, Decker, and Forte/Powell demanding more attention, Enunwa could see dump offs that tight ends would normally see.
Enunwa put up a modest 22-315-0 line last year, but he should see an increase in snaps as their WR3 working out of the slot. He saw 46 targets in 2015 in sporadic use, and with more playing time, more targets, and more routes in the middle of the field, he could carve out a decent sized role. Probably not a huge factor in smaller or regular sized leagues, but someone that might be a decent pick up in larger PPR leagues where WR depth is hard to find.
Clearly we have no idea what Foster can or cannot do as he hasn't had a chance to do it yet at the NFL level. As for Lewis, IMO, part of the reason he has a decent ypc average is that he has not been a heavy carry back and hasn't had to pound the ball into the line very often.So by "run inside" you meant specifically up the middle? Because another interpretation of "run inside" is between the tackles. His career average between the tackles is 4.74 ypc. Meanwhile, he averaged 5.3 ypc on 544 carries at Pitt; I don't know where to find directional splits for college stats, but I doubt he would have gotten 544 carries if he couldn't "run well inside."
Foster also averaged 5.3 ypc in college, on 444 carries. And he was so good as a runner that his team moved him to WR for his senior season.
The point of my question is that your post claims that Foster is better at running inside than Lewis, and I'm not aware there is any actual evidence to support that position.
That's all fine, it's just not what you said in your post. Had you instead said these things, I wouldn't have questioned.Clearly we have no idea what Foster can or cannot do as he hasn't had a chance to do it yet at the NFL level. As for Lewis, IMO, part of the reason he has a decent ypc average is that he has not been a heavy carry back and hasn't had to pound the ball into the line very often.
We don't know much about Lewis really either, as he's only had 85 career carries over 3 years with a high of 49 last season. What we do know is that NE did not appear to want to use him as a heavy carry back.
Interestingly enough after Amaro and Suddfeld were released the Jets were left with only 1 TE on their roster Kellen Davis (who is really just a blocker). I believe they did pick up two castoffs from waivers but the speculation was that Enunwa would become a pseudo-TE given his size and the lack of TEs on the roster.Quincy Enunwa NYJ WR
For starters, the Jets got nothing out of their TE position last year in terms of receiving production. And by nothing, I mean a grand total of 8 receptions over the entire season. Some people had hopes that Amaro would break through, but he is gone, as is Cumberland.
While I pretty much agree with you---my point of view is this. According to fantasy pros ADP--his average draft position is 205--and he's the 28th fantasy qb coming off the board on average. To put that in perspective---if you were to look at his last 3 fantasy seasons -- according to fantasydata --he's ranked as the 20th highest scoring qb in 2015 (even though he missed a game), 14th highest scoring qb in 2014 (he played every game), and the 23rd ranked qb in 2013 (even though he missed FIVE games). If you were to take an average--that means over the past 3 seasons--his average fantasy season approximately makes him the 19th best qb on average--with him missing an average of 2 games per season. If you assume full health and that he doesn't miss any games--his average would be much better. Current ADP for the 19th qb coming off the board this season is Matt Ryan at 140 followed by Dak at 153 according to fantasy pros. To me this means that Cutlers current ADP easily puts him 4-5 rounds below what his actual average production dictates he should be. On top of that--I personally think Cutler is primed to improve upon what he's done last season. I could easily see him being the 16th-17th best fantasy qb this season--which would make him a steal at his ADP. Yes--he's a "meh" player--but my point is that even a below average hamburger has a way of tasting better when it's given to you for free.Meh. I'm not a huge fan of Cutler. I've had him as a back up several times, and when forced to play him he was very ho hum. Even as a guy you can get in the 180-190 pick range, we sort of know who he is by now. He's not horrible, but I think his upside is limited. For starters, he seems to get hurt along the way pretty much every year. He's missed time the past 6 years. On a fantasy ppg basis, since coming to CHI (last year listed first), he's ranked 25, 10, 21, 23, 18, 18, 13 among QBs that played in at least 8 games. That's probably ok for a back up, but if you have to play him in a start 1 QB league you will be losing points at the QB position.
The same goes for another QB getting talked up as a possible sleeper in Joe Flacco. Until last year, he was in the line up every day and has played lights out in the post season. The problem is, he's been mediocre in the regular season. Since coming into the league, his fantasy ppg rankings have been (last year listed first) 20, 16, 23, 18, 19, 19, 19. Again, this looks like a case of we know what he is by now. He might do a little bit better this year, but he appears to be a middle of the road fantasy back up.
All of that is true. But no one, and I mean no one, can have bad games like Cutler's bad games. I've owned the guy in the first past and you just can't rely on him. He can (and will) have games you simply cannot overcome to win. I'd rather go with a WW pick-up of literally any other starting QB for a spot start than him. That's the wrong call most of the time, but I guarantee you that you're giving yourself a better floor. He can be (and icassionally is) so bad that he undermines my confidence in my ultra-cheap Alahon hold.While I pretty much agree with you---my point of view is this. According to fantasy pros ADP--his average draft position is 205--and he's the 28th fantasy qb coming off the board on average. To put that in perspective---if you were to look at his last 3 fantasy seasons -- according to fantasydata --he's ranked as the 20th highest scoring qb in 2015 (even though he missed a game), 14th highest scoring qb in 2014 (he played every game), and the 23rd ranked qb in 2013 (even though he missed FIVE games). If you were to take an average--that means over the past 3 seasons--his average fantasy season approximately makes him the 19th best qb on average--with him missing an average of 2 games per season. If you assume full health and that he doesn't miss any games--his average would be much better. Current ADP for the 19th qb coming off the board this season is Matt Ryan at 140 followed by Dak at 153 according to fantasy pros. To me this means that Cutlers current ADP easily puts him 4-5 rounds below what his actual average production dictates he should be. On top of that--I personally think Cutler is primed to improve upon what he's done last season. I could easily see him being the 16th-17th best fantasy qb this season--which would make him a steal at his ADP. Yes--he's a "meh" player--but my point is that even a below average hamburger has a way of tasting better when it's given to you for free.
You guys really have me thinking me about Foster. He looked fantastic this pre-season and they really seem to like this kid. In a non-ppr dynasty league, would I be crazy to drop Lewis for Foster? I believe he's more talented than White, but not sure if he will get an opportunity, unless someone gets hurtThat's all fine, it's just not what you said in your post. Had you instead said these things, I wouldn't have questioned.
I like the thread, though.![]()
This but in theory I really like Anarchy's thread, lots o fplayers to discuss.He is horrible.
IMO your analysis is flawed because you are looking at total points. Yes, Cutler was #20 in 2015 in total points, but he was #27 in ppg. Any team forced to start him was getting production that was well below average. 2014 and previous seasons don't matter much because 2015 was John Fox's first year as HC.While I pretty much agree with you---my point of view is this. According to fantasy pros ADP--his average draft position is 205--and he's the 28th fantasy qb coming off the board on average. To put that in perspective---if you were to look at his last 3 fantasy seasons -- according to fantasydata --he's ranked as the 20th highest scoring qb in 2015 (even though he missed a game), 14th highest scoring qb in 2014 (he played every game), and the 23rd ranked qb in 2013 (even though he missed FIVE games). If you were to take an average--that means over the past 3 seasons--his average fantasy season approximately makes him the 19th best qb on average--with him missing an average of 2 games per season. If you assume full health and that he doesn't miss any games--his average would be much better. Current ADP for the 19th qb coming off the board this season is Matt Ryan at 140 followed by Dak at 153 according to fantasy pros. To me this means that Cutlers current ADP easily puts him 4-5 rounds below what his actual average production dictates he should be. On top of that--I personally think Cutler is primed to improve upon what he's done last season. I could easily see him being the 16th-17th best fantasy qb this season--which would make him a steal at his ADP. Yes--he's a "meh" player--but my point is that even a below average hamburger has a way of tasting better when it's given to you for free.
I wouldn't do that. YMMV.You guys really have me thinking me about Foster. He looked fantastic this pre-season and they really seem to like this kid. In a non-ppr dynasty league, would I be crazy to drop Lewis for Foster? I believe he's more talented than White, but not sure if he will get an opportunity, unless someone gets hurt
What did he do that looked fantastic?You guys really have me thinking me about Foster. He looked fantastic this pre-season and they really seem to like this kid. In a non-ppr dynasty league, would I be crazy to drop Lewis for Foster? I believe he's more talented than White, but not sure if he will get an opportunity, unless someone gets hurt
I like this call as well and drafted him in one league. However the presence of both Boldin and Jones in the end zone will take some of his opportunities awayI mentioned this in another thread as a great sleeper who is going very late in drafts -- Eric Ebron. He caught at least 5 passes in 10 out of 16 games last year including all of the final four and no longer has competition from Calvin Johnson. We all know that Detroit is going to sling the ball around and he seems like a great bargain in the double digit rounds.
So far your assessment of his usage has been much better than mine. I hope it continues, only with Decker also a bit more involved.Well, five minutes into the season and Enunwa looks like a good call. Of course he might not score another TD the rest of the year.
comng back to give props to Anarchy. Great call on Enunwa. Even as a long time Jets fan I didnt see the opportunity for him to fully break out. nice callQuincy Enunwa NYJ WR
ADP 0 PPR Leagues: Undrafted
ADP 1 PPR Leagues: Undrafted
Average FBG Staff Ranking: Unranked
Average FBG Projection: 36-396-3 (average of 4 FBG staff projections)
This one admittedly is a reach and is more a byproduct of statistical forensics analysis. IMO, someone on the Jets is likely lurking in obscurity, and I concluded the most likeliest candidate is Enunwa.
For starters, the Jets got nothing out of their TE position last year in terms of receiving production. And by nothing, I mean a grand total of 8 receptions over the entire season. Some people had hopes that Amaro would break through, but he is gone, as is Cumberland.
Last year, Marshall and Decker were the best fantasy scoring WR duo in the league. Between the two of them, they saw 305 targets. Realistically, how likely are they to improve on their performances from last year? It's more likely they take a step back, and it's probably a safe bet to take the under for them scoring a combined 26 TDs again.
The Jets had a lot of turnover in their offensive skill players beyond Marshall and Decker, and 150 targets and nearly 100 receptions are left unaccounted for after the personnel changes. Let's give 60 receptions to Forte (he could get more, but let's go with that). FBG's projections have the Marshall/Decker combo losing 20-25 receptions compared to last season. 100 + 25 = 125 – 60 = 65 receptions left over. However, the Jets face a pretty tough schedule, especially to start the season. That could mean more passing attempts if they get behind. With Marshall, Decker, and Forte/Powell demanding more attention, Enunwa could see dump offs that tight ends would normally see.
Enunwa put up a modest 22-315-0 line last year, but he should see an increase in snaps as their WR3 working out of the slot. He saw 46 targets in 2015 in sporadic use, and with more playing time, more targets, and more routes in the middle of the field, he could carve out a decent sized role. Probably not a huge factor in smaller or regular sized leagues, but someone that might be a decent pick up in larger PPR leagues where WR depth is hard to find.