2008 $35,000 Subscriber Contest (3 Viewers)

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okay SHUCKS... YOu're right. You're gonna win it all.

Care for a side bet between our two squads? $100 or so to make it interesting? Both send the cash now to Clayton as escrow?

Just for kicks

 

[apalmer]

OK, here is a first cut at some power rankings.

Be sure to read the methodology. This is not an overly sophisticated system. It doesn't properly penalize a team that has a bunch of week 10 byes, for instance. But it does take into account the current state of affairs enough to know that owners of Brady, Burleson, Colston, et al aren't as strong right now as they looked a week ago.

Thanks a lot, Turk. I'm sure the #1 ranking is going to be the kiss of death. Chances I go out this week suddenly tripled.

 

[The Kerminator]

Oh-oh!

With the Houston-Baltimore game being moved to week 10 I may be in trouble this week. My WR's this week:

Brandon Marshall

Jerricho Cotchery

Steve Smith - suspended

Derrick Mason - bye

Kevin Walter - bye

Derek Hagan

Should make my team a little stronger week 10 - if I can survive this week. I'll need big games from my RBs.

 

[meeka]

A lot of teams without Slaton and Rice this week. Could make it interesting.

 

[Hawk Fan]

Oh-oh! With the Houston-Baltimore game being moved to week 10 I may be in trouble this week. My WR's this week:Brandon Marshall Jerricho Cotchery Steve Smith - suspendedDerrick Mason - byeKevin Walter - byeDerek Hagan Should make my team a little stronger week 10 - if I can survive this week. I'll need big games from my RBs.

Those are my WRs!

 

[ConstruxBoy]

3329! Woohoo!

 

[Dirty Weasel]

OK, here is a first cut at some power rankings.

Be sure to read the methodology. This is not an overly sophisticated system. It doesn't properly penalize a team that has a bunch of week 10 byes, for instance. But it does take into account the current state of affairs enough to know that owners of Brady, Burleson, Colston, et al aren't as strong right now as they looked a week ago.

Is there a way to find my team quickly on the power rankings? I know my 6-digit team number, but the list is mega-long trying to scroll.

 

[Blue-Kun]

OK, here is a first cut at some power rankings.

Be sure to read the methodology. This is not an overly sophisticated system. It doesn't properly penalize a team that has a bunch of week 10 byes, for instance. But it does take into account the current state of affairs enough to know that owners of Brady, Burleson, Colston, et al aren't as strong right now as they looked a week ago.

Is there a way to find my team quickly on the power rankings? I know my 6-digit team number, but the list is mega-long trying to scroll.

Use the Find command and c/p your number in?

 

[chitlins3]

Oh-oh! With the Houston-Baltimore game being moved to week 10 I may be in trouble this week. My WR's this week:Brandon Marshall Jerricho Cotchery Steve Smith - suspendedDerrick Mason - byeKevin Walter - byeDerek Hagan Should make my team a little stronger week 10 - if I can survive this week. I'll need big games from my RBs.

Those are my WRs!

Virtually same as mine as well, except I have Randle-El instead of Mason.

 

[carolina_21]

OK, here is a first cut at some power rankings.

Be sure to read the methodology. This is not an overly sophisticated system. It doesn't properly penalize a team that has a bunch of week 10 byes, for instance. But it does take into account the current state of affairs enough to know that owners of Brady, Burleson, Colston, et al aren't as strong right now as they looked a week ago.

Is there a way to find my team quickly on the power rankings? I know my 6-digit team number, but the list is mega-long trying to scroll.

Use the Find command and c/p your number in?

Yup. Simple as that.In the top 1250--i'll take it.

 

[apalmer]

A lot of teams without Slaton and Rice this week. Could make it interesting.

A lot of teams have those guys, but any team relying on them for points this early in the contest deserves to get eliminated.Of course, now that I've said that, LT won't play because of his injury, Cleveland will have monsoon conditions limiting Parker to 5 yards rushing, Ricky will go out get so high he can't find the stadium and I'll be knocked out because Rice and Slaton weren't there for me.

 

[Dirty Weasel]

OK, here is a first cut at some power rankings.

Be sure to read the methodology. This is not an overly sophisticated system. It doesn't properly penalize a team that has a bunch of week 10 byes, for instance. But it does take into account the current state of affairs enough to know that owners of Brady, Burleson, Colston, et al aren't as strong right now as they looked a week ago.

Is there a way to find my team quickly on the power rankings? I know my 6-digit team number, but the list is mega-long trying to scroll.

Use the Find command and c/p your number in?

Thank you. Worked like a champ.Finished week 1 with 113.35 points... a dismal 11,967th place

A power ranking of 2797... a very nice 1630th place

Maybe I can finish in 9,967th place this week?

 

[Jayrod]

Oh-oh! With the Houston-Baltimore game being moved to week 10 I may be in trouble this week. My WR's this week:Brandon Marshall Jerricho Cotchery Steve Smith - suspendedDerrick Mason - byeKevin Walter - byeDerek Hagan Should make my team a little stronger week 10 - if I can survive this week. I'll need big games from my RBs.

Luckily I actually have 3 WR's this week: Fitz, DeShaun Jackson & Nate Washington...Nate put up 0 last week. I only have 3 RB's: Barber, CJ3 & T-JonesI may end up with a TE in the flex if one of the 3 RB's don't have a good game.This cancelled game took out Kevin Walter, Ray Rice, Steve Slaton & Matt Schaub from me. At least I have 3 QB's, so Shaub doesn't hurt.I'll bet the cutoff score is pretty low this week.

 

[Doug Drinen]

I just re-ran the power rankings to take into account the Texans/Ravens situation, and updated projections in general. Probably didn't make much difference.

 

[grouse]

I just re-ran the power rankings to take into account the Texans/Ravens situation, and updated projections in general. Probably didn't make much difference.

Yay!I got bumped 90 spots on the power rankings! Now sit at #140. Finished #93 in scoring last week and was wondering why I was initially given a Rodney Dangerfield Power Ranking of #230

Cheers.

 

[s&m]

I just re-ran the power rankings to take into account the Texans/Ravens situation, and updated projections in general. Probably didn't make much difference.

Yup didn't change much, my team was 13th ranked the 1st time and 13th ranked the 2nd time. I would love to see your rankings be an accurate prediction of final results.

 

[ctriopelle]

I just re-ran the power rankings to take into account the Texans/Ravens situation, and updated projections in general. Probably didn't make much difference.

Dropped from 8th to 10th, but improved my week 8 bye situation a little. Too bad the change didn't fix my week 10 concerns...

 

[Otis]

I wonder what the highest "uniqueness quotient" team is. I'm at around 4000 which seems like one of the higher ones.

Wow, here's one at 62

 

[Otis]

49 uniqueness quotient. 4 defenses seems crazy to me though.

 

[Otis]

13 UQ

 

[Otis]

3 UQ.

4 defenses, 3 kickers.

 

[Otis]

Found it. The most unique team -- UQ = 1

1

------------------------------------

Eli Manning $15 15.70

Philip Rivers $13 28.75

Rudi Johnson $22 1.40

Julius Jones $19 7.20

Felix Jones $11 12.20

Justin Fargas $11 11.90

Kevin Jones $8 4.50

Leon Washington $7 3.60

Kevin Faulk $6 0.00

Hines Ward $20 25.60

Marvin Harrison $20 15.60

Joey Galloway $15 11.60

Anthony Gonzalez $14 9.80

Patrick Crayton $13 14.20

Bryant Johnson $9 7.80

Mark Clayton $9 15.30

Heath Miller $13 7.10

Donald Lee $9 5.50

Shayne Graham $4 6.00

Jeff Reed $3 10.00

Pittsburgh Steelers $5 11.00

Green Bay Packers $4 9.00

------------------------------------

TOTAL 151.65

CUTOFF 112.85

 

[Sol D]

OK, here is a first cut at some power rankings.

Be sure to read the methodology. This is not an overly sophisticated system. It doesn't properly penalize a team that has a bunch of week 10 byes, for instance. But it does take into account the current state of affairs enough to know that owners of Brady, Burleson, Colston, et al aren't as strong right now as they looked a week ago.

Nice I'm ranked 65th... I have a higher power number, 22.46, and higher WR number, 1091, than any team ahead of me. But my UQ appears to s*ck balls. Watch out boys I'm climbing the charts with a bullet!Rankings

Name Power QB RB WR TE PK TD UQ

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Entry 102266 3048 577 708 959 359 237 206 20.18 (11237)

2. Entry 101636 3048 629 598 999 406 257 156 20.03 (11150)

3. Entry 101814 3030 629 687 980 296 234 201 19.83 (11010)

4. Entry 104733 3011 577 629 983 328 242 251 21.64 (11848)

5. Entry 108472 3011 610 740 875 347 226 212 19.04 (10305)

6. Entry 106635 3007 629 742 970 219 222 222 21.40 (11781)

7. Entry 103590 2998 629 624 932 368 218 225 21.69 (11864)

8. Entry 100440 2996 499 715 1013 368 223 175 17.66 (8733)

9. Entry 100958 2996 629 484 1004 408 244 225 20.90 (11602)

10. Entry 102083 2996 629 635 911 368 250 201 17.57 (8622)

11. Entry 100870 2996 585 602 981 359 261 206 20.98 (11642)

12. Entry 101080 2995 651 573 1004 399 188 177 21.41 (11783)

13. Entry 102757 2992 616 693 953 273 255 201 19.52 (10760)

14. Entry 100572 2990 577 573 1021 472 164 180 20.20 (11253)

15. Entry 104054 2986 564 642 1009 297 264 208 20.18 (11240)

16. Entry 104923 2986 616 651 974 345 214 183 19.80 (10981)

17. Entry 100449 2985 616 586 991 328 246 216 20.08 (11182)

18. Entry 101552 2982 616 687 880 373 215 208 20.07 (11173)

19. Entry 105007 2981 610 546 974 351 276 222 19.04 (10309)

20. Entry 100019 2978 629 619 1060 250 237 180 20.72 (11521)

21. Entry 106187 2974 629 672 896 231 285 258 21.98 (11910)

22. Entry 109383 2974 569 691 1014 231 253 214 20.36 (11353)

23. Entry 103523 2972 564 669 885 365 229 257 18.08 (9249)

24. Entry 105089 2969 577 691 891 368 220 221 19.52 (10759)

25. Entry 108231 2966 651 571 836 359 286 261 21.21 (11720)

26. Entry 107895 2965 629 583 923 374 252 201 19.66 (10870)

27. Entry 104937 2965 577 674 1000 207 289 215 21.40 (11782)

28. Entry 101424 2964 614 510 1053 328 244 213 19.45 (10699)

29. Entry 101943 2964 616 619 939 413 188 185 18.70 (9964)

30. Entry 101555 2962 577 622 921 435 221 185 18.46 (9687)

31. Entry 107473 2956 577 717 940 295 236 190 22.07 (11927)

32. Entry 101532 2956 512 702 974 336 222 208 21.72 (11872)

33. Entry 110541 2956 608 543 992 348 236 225 18.67 (9930)

34. Entry 102386 2953 610 659 933 296 230 223 19.47 (10715)

35. Entry 101396 2953 512 677 917 399 221 225 21.61 (11840)

36. Entry 103357 2952 629 666 882 311 236 225 21.40 (11780)

37. Entry 106683 2950 569 710 978 221 264 206 21.50 (11810)

38. Entry 100275 2949 629 668 869 299 277 205 18.35 (9573)

39. Entry 104084 2948 597 629 1008 250 238 223 20.84 (11574)

40. Entry 103055 2948 543 721 922 368 206 185 16.97 (7830)

41. Entry 102699 2947 629 623 873 377 217 225 18.99 (10260)

42. Entry 105715 2947 651 697 953 156 262 225 18.52 (9754)

43. Entry 102135 2946 629 655 917 231 286 225 20.18 (11241)

44. Entry 106879 2945 541 608 1011 352 236 196 19.08 (10352)

45. Entry 105531 2945 553 646 999 335 222 188 19.19 (10452)

46. Entry 105852 2945 512 667 1028 368 173 195 19.50 (10743)

47. Entry 105931 2944 629 695 847 315 234 220 20.07 (11178)

48. Entry 100734 2943 564 622 974 416 193 171 20.17 (11232)

49. Entry 107626 2942 520 704 866 399 229 221 18.60 (9852)

50. Entry 101338 2942 629 628 797 423 261 201 18.19 (9392)

51. Entry 101526 2939 569 642 862 446 219 199 18.82 (10081)

52. Entry 104893 2939 614 606 940 313 237 226 18.25 (9459)

53. Entry 100188 2939 512 669 942 380 241 194 20.11 (11204)

54. Entry 101851 2939 564 695 924 390 205 158 17.48 (8504)

55. Entry 102894 2938 543 749 892 286 261 205 16.40 (7038)

56. Entry 109841 2937 564 629 1055 318 188 180 19.25 (10501)

57. Entry 100770 2937 601 568 1009 262 233 261 18.28 (9499)

58. Entry 105156 2937 577 604 950 336 239 229 20.66 (11504)

59. Entry 100637 2937 606 545 807 485 280 212 16.05 (6568)

60. Entry 106235 2937 564 660 924 293 269 224 17.50 (8523)

61. Entry 107489 2937 570 665 916 423 188 172 18.82 (10080)

62. Entry 102455 2937 553 695 910 330 245 201 18.45 (9679)

63. Entry 104685 2937 564 637 880 342 257 254 17.90 (9015)

64. Entry 103541 2936 629 661 881 336 224 202 18.92 (10181)

65. Entry 106236 2936 531 623 1091 296 188 205 22.46 (11960)

Team 35K

QB - Jay Cutler - 14

QB - Matt Schaub - 13

QB - Kurt Warner - 5

RB - Clinton Portis - 33

RB - Michael Turner - 28

RB - Ricky Williams - 8

RB - Ray Rice - 4

RB - Steve Slaton - 1

WR - Terrell Owens - 36

WR - Calvin Johnson - 25

WR - Brandon Marshall - 23

WR - Jerricho Cotchery - 23

WR - Kevin Walter - 6

WR - Courtney Taylor - 3

TE - Zach Miller - 15

TE - Anthony Fasano - 3

PK - Mike Nugent - 1

PK - Matt Prater - 1

TD - Buffalo Bills - 3

TD - Houston Texans - 2

TD - New Orleans Saints - 2

TD - San Francisco 49ers - 1

 

[ctriopelle]

Sol, I think you're reading things wrong. Your power rank is 2963, and what the list is sorted by. Your team's UQ is the 22.46, meaning that it is less unique than anyone in front of you.

 

[Doug Drinen]

If anyone cares, here's what I wrote about the UQ last year. This was in week 11 or 12 I think:

Obviously, uniqueness isn't a virtue unto itself. Given two teams of equal strength, the more unique entry has a greater chance of finishing first, but also a greater chance of finishing last.Just eyeballing things, there does seem to be a slight inverse relationship between uniqueness and strength. That is, the strongest teams are, in general, less unique. I guess that's not surprising. I think I'd rather be a strong non-unique team than a weak unique team. But I'd rather be strong and unique than strong and non-unique. And I'd rather be weak and unique than weak and non-unique.

That inverse relationship I mentioned is not slight in week 1. It's extremely strong. It's almost impossible at this point to be very strong and also unique. I think the UQ becomes a little more interesting at the end of the year. Here's something I wrote last season to a guy with a low power but a unique team:

Your team is an excellent example of the importance of the UQ. Let's take a look...Your RB core is Thomas Jones, Jamal Lewis, and Marshawn Lynch, which is pretty mediocre. The chance that two or all three of those guys will explode down the stretch is pretty slim. BUT, if it happens, you're in great shape. Only two other live entries have Jones and Lewis. Only five others have Lynch and Lewis. Only seven others have Jones and Lynch. None have that exact threesome.By contrast, 80 entries have both McGahee and Adrian Peterson.So if you have Jones and Lewis and they go off, you only have to be better than two other teams at the other positions. Whereas, if you have McGahee and Peterson and they go off, you have to be better than 79 other teams. A randomly-selected team with the latter pair has a very good chance of finishing ahead of you. But you probably have a better chance of winning the grand prize.

 

[Organized Chaos]

I just re-ran the power rankings to take into account the Texans/Ravens situation, and updated projections in general. Probably didn't make much difference.

Nice!! Ranked 88 here

 

[Doug Drinen]

OK, here is a little app that lets you find the percent ownership for combinations of players.

For example, here are the teams with Brandon Marshall and Steve Smith.

Survival rate for ALL teams: 95.09 percent

Survival rate for teams with these players: 93.68 percent

1379 entries with Rice, Warner, Slaton, and Ricky Williams.Here are the three teams that managed to get eliminated despite having Anthony Fasano.

Please be aware that there are approximately 35 gajillion features that I'd like to add to this app. I hope that at least some of them will get added at some point, but unfortunately this kind of stuff falls into the category of low priority.

 

[Das Boot]

OK, here is a little app that lets you find the percent ownership for combinations of players.

For example, here are the teams with Brandon Marshall and Steve Smith.

Survival rate for ALL teams: 95.09 percent

Survival rate for teams with these players: 93.68 percent

1379 entries with Rice, Warner, Slaton, and Ricky Williams.Here are the three teams that managed to get eliminated despite having Anthony Fasano.

Please be aware that there are approximately 35 gajillion features that I'd like to add to this app. I hope that at least some of them will get added at some point, but unfortunately this kind of stuff falls into the category of low priority.

Awesome, thanks!Also, at least from the 1st half of the early games, looks like a cut line may be on the lower side of average this week.

 

[MSULions]

the scoring ap that was posted last week needs to fix the kicker scoring....

Kicker Scoring (PK)

Field Goal Made (0-29 yards) = 3 points

Field Goal Made (30-39 yards) = 4 points

Field Goal Made (40-49 yards) = 5 points

Field Goal Made (50+ yards) = 6 points

Jason Hason has 15 points, yet it says only 9 for the 3 field goals.

 

[tomarken]

Also, at least from the 1st half of the early games, looks like a cut line may be on the lower side of average this week.

I hope so - my team could walk comfortably into week three with Eli, Santana, and Megatron blowing up...

 

[Kleck]

Calvin, S Moss, Portis and GB DST might just have enough to get me through by themselves.

 

[Frank Costanza's Lawyer]

Also, at least from the 1st half of the early games, looks like a cut line may be on the lower side of average this week.

I hope so - my team could walk comfortably into week three with Eli, Santana, and Megatron blowing up...

I doubt the scores will be low at this point. A lot of players seemed to have big second halves.

 

[ctriopelle]

If the scoring is anything like it was last week, the final cut should be somewhere around 125-130.

 

[Nugget]

If the scoring is anything like it was last week, the final cut should be somewhere around 125-130.

I'll go with the 105-110 range. The BAL HOU delay is going to lower scoring. I could also just be hopeful as I've only got three WR's playing this week.

 

[tomarken]

If the scoring is anything like it was last week, the final cut should be somewhere around 125-130.

That's ok too, I'm already at 144+. Week 3 here I come! (hopefully)

 

[perry147]

With Maurice Morris, Steve Slaton and Colston out I need some others to step up or I will be out this week.

 

[Sol D]

Sol, I think you're reading things wrong. Your power rank is 2963, and what the list is sorted by. Your team's UQ is the 22.46, meaning that it is less unique than anyone in front of you.

I think you are correct. Thanks for the clarification.

 

[HellToupee]

154.6 w/ Big Ben,Barber,Santonio,DeSean ,Philly D to go

 

[ctriopelle]

Time to report in on how everyone is doing this week!

After the day games, I have 191.7, with Winslow to go (straight up) and Romo -41.1.

Easy slide into week 3, Good luck to the other 9999 or so joining me!

 

[a_troll00]

172.2 so far with Barber (-8.5) and DeSean Jackson (-5.1) to go. Onto week 3 along with Steve Smith!

 

[The Kerminator]

Oh-oh! With the Houston-Baltimore game being moved to week 10 I may be in trouble this week. My WR's this week:Brandon Marshall Jerricho Cotchery Steve Smith - suspendedDerrick Mason - byeKevin Walter - byeDerek Hagan Should make my team a little stronger week 10 - if I can survive this week. I'll need big games from my RBs.

In the clubhouse with 181.6 points thanks to big games from Marshall and Cutler. With Warner, Calvin Johnson & Marshall having huge games this week the cutoff could be higher.

 

[QuizGuy66]

142.55 the hard way (though the app says 142.85, not sure how MJD has 12.0 points)

Still have Romo minus 36.05

and

J Reed minus 10.00

to go.

Hopefully Warner, Fitzgerald and Santana Moss pulled my ugly mess of a team through this week

Rice, Heap and Slaton on the unexpected bye has made this week a little more interesting that I originally had hoped.

-QG

 

[Kovax]

204.5 w/ McNabb to go.

In spite of the big score I'm disappointed in Greg Olsen and hoping that gamble doesn't come back to haunt me!

 

[Short Corner]

179.5 +Whitten

 

[montana_grizzly_bears]

Going to be close. 118 and change with Ben Witten Akers and Booker left (46 total last week). I figure this weeks cut to be closer to 130 if not higher.

 

[Ted Lange as your Bartender]

130.25 w/ Romo, DeSean, Holmes and Eagles D to go. Romo probably won't register since I also have Warner. Gonna be close...

 

[Sheriff66]

162.5 with Romo, Barber, Witten, N.Washington, and Dawson to go

 

[Kleck]

218.60 with LJ Smith and De Jackson remaining.

 

[Toomuchnv]

199.95 + Westbrook(-6.2) to go....looks like I managed to survive the 2 weeks without Smith and 1 week without Marshall....

 

[cascaa]

My Team is Sick pay me NOW!

QB - Eli Manning - 15

QB - Jay Cutler - 14

QB - Kurt Warner - 5

QB - Matt Ryan - 4

RB - Adrian Peterson - 53

RB - Darren McFadden - 29

RB - DeAngelo Williams - 15

RB - Chris Johnson - 14

RB - Ray Rice - 4

WR - Santonio Holmes - 24

WR - Brandon Marshall - 23

WR - Marvin Harrison - 20

WR - Vincent Jackson - 11

WR - Greg Camarillo - 1

TE - Anthony Fasano - 3

TE - Dustin Keller - 2

PK - Mike Nugent - 1

PK - Rian Lindell - 1

TD - Seattle Seahawks - 4

TD - Philadelphia Eagles - 3

TD - New York Jets - 2

TD - New Orleans Saints - 2