2008 Baseball wagering thread (1 Viewer)

[TheWick]

Inspired by G.M.

Wager Description Wager Amounts Result

Apr 17 7:53am 6 Team Parlay - Pending 7.00 to win 196.87

1. Baseball - St Louis Cardinals - moneyline (-118)

for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 12:15pm [pending]

M Parra -L must start and K Lohse -R must start for action

2. Baseball - Chicago Cubs - moneyline (-135)

for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 1:20pm [pending]

E Volquez -R must start and T Lilly -L must start for action

3. Baseball - Atlanta Braves - moneyline (-160)

for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 6:10pm [pending]

J Smoltz -R must start and R Nolasco -R must start for action

4. Baseball - Detroit Tigers - moneyline (+110)

for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 6:05pm [pending]

J Verlander -R must start and F Carmona -R must start for action

5. Baseball - Boston Red Sox - moneyline (-130)

for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 6:05pm [pending]

J Beckett -R must start and M Mussina -R must start for action

6. Baseball - Toronto Blue Jays - moneyline (-200)

for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 6:05pm [pending]

V Padilla -R must start and R Halladay -R must start for action

 

[prosopis]

Today I haveHou -102stl -125parlay AZ -162, LAD -197, Minn +110season:straight bet12/11 +2.31 unitsparlays 0/5 -5 unitsTotal 0 units

Nice day for me yesterday. I hit the parlay which paid 4.24 units and I am in the positive for the first time this year.season:straight bet14/11 +4.31 unitsparlays 1/5 -.74 unitsTotal +3.57 units

 

[prosopis]

Today I have:

Fla +136

Seat +107

edit to add GMs picks that I am tailing.

Cinn +127

Stl -110

Hou/Philly U9.5 -125

season:

straight bet14/11 +4.31 units

parlays 1/5 -.74 units

Total +3.57 units

 

[General Malaise]

Every now and again, a blind squirrel will find a nut...

That one was sweated out!

 

[prosopis]

Every now and again, a blind squirrel will find a nut...That one was sweated out!

Congrats!!!!!!It is a great feeling to hit one of those.

 

[General Malaise]

Day Games!!!

2 Units on each:

Under 9.5 Hou/Phil

Reds +124

Cards -109

 

[prosopis]

Day Games!!!

2 Units on each:

Under 9.5 Hou/Phil

Reds +124

Cards -109

I will tail these. GM is doing well I got Cinn +127

Stl -110

Hou/Philly U9.5 -125

 

[Angry Beavers]

Things have been on the turnaround the past few days:

Two early plays:

MIL/STL O 8.5 -110: This is based on a system I dug up over at statfox...

Cincy +115: Volquez has shown early signs of being a quality starter. Cincy has lost 5 straight and frankly, is "due" for a win. Lilly has an era of 9.95 in three starts this year, along with a WHIP of 1.82. Throw in that Lilly "is experiencing what pitching coach Larry Rothchild calls a "mysterious" drop in velocity." - Rotoworld

Add in he has not made it out of the 5th inning in 3 starts thus far this year and I'll take Cincy with the + odds.

I like the under as well GM, but it is getting too chalky for me and I am not yet sold on Lohse so I am passing, but I'll be pulling for ya'll

GLTA

AB

 

[guru_007]

Bad night for me last night, down almost 3 units (2.8 I believe), mostly cause of my RR parlay. Will not be sending those in again for awhile. Nice hit for GM though Shoulda tailed that one.

Today I am on Milwaukee (Parra) +109 @ St Louis.

I also like o9 in the Cincy/Cubs game. Cubs are pretty hot with the bats, and I can't trust Volquez to keep up his good start. Lilly is pitching for the Cubs, and he's been flat out awful so far.

g'luck

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

Day Games!!!

2 Units on each:

Under 9.5 Hou/Phil

Reds +124

Cards -109

I'm on the Cards as well. I was tempted by the Reds but the Cubs usually burn me one way or another, tough team for me to bet for or against and this looks like one of those spots because Lilly can't be as bad as he's been.

 

[General Malaise]

Brandon Backe....killing WHIPS since 2002.

 

[General Malaise]

Day Games!!!

2 Units on each:

Under 9.5 Hou/Phil

Reds +124

Cards -109

Ugh. Sorry for anyone that tailed. Hope the Reds don't Thompson/Valverde me today.Man, that under had a shot towards the end too. Well, they aren't always easy.

 

[guru_007]

Bad night for me last night, down almost 3 units (2.8 I believe), mostly cause of my RR parlay. Will not be sending those in again for awhile. Nice hit for GM though Shoulda tailed that one.Today I am on Milwaukee (Parra) +109 @ St Louis.I also like o9 in the Cincy/Cubs game. Cubs are pretty hot with the bats, and I can't trust Volquez to keep up his good start. Lilly is pitching for the Cubs, and he's been flat out awful so far. g'luck

I've been killing the day games, and then getting killed at night. Soooo, anyone like anything for tonight??

 

[prosopis]

Bad night for me last night, down almost 3 units (2.8 I believe), mostly cause of my RR parlay. Will not be sending those in again for awhile. Nice hit for GM though Shoulda tailed that one.Today I am on Milwaukee (Parra) +109 @ St Louis.I also like o9 in the Cincy/Cubs game. Cubs are pretty hot with the bats, and I can't trust Volquez to keep up his good start. Lilly is pitching for the Cubs, and he's been flat out awful so far. g'luck

I've been killing the day games, and then getting killed at night. Soooo, anyone like anything for tonight??

Seat +107Fla +136

 

[Angry Beavers]

1-1; missed the total and hit the side... go figure....

I am on atl -1.5 EV tonight. I hate seeing Pros on the other side;

I lean to KC, but have not played it yet. COL may also be worth a shot as they did rough Peavy up pretty good last time he pitched against them ( see one game playoff last year)

I will be curious to see how Carmona fairs this evening as he was pretty wild last time out. I don't trust Verlander either so I am passing. I honestly think DET/CLE could be a 3-2 game or 10-8... either way

GLTA

AB

 

[General Malaise]

I put together another Cosjobs Special RR Play of the night...

Smoltz Braves RL +107

Floyd White Sox -101

Verlader Tigers +115

Silva Mariners +106

$5 RR by 2s,3s,4s

 

[Gambler]

Devil Rays +114 is the lock of the night.

 

[guru_007]

TB +115

Detroit +115

Smoltz -147, -149

LAA -157

Boston Bruins

g'luck

 

[Green94]

Took Verlander tonight, too good of a price to pass up. 2 units.

 

[TheWick]

Wsox ML

KC ML

SEA ML

ATL RL

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

Devil Rays +114 is the lock of the night.

Great, I have the Rays +112. Also have the Royals +147I like the A's tonight, -116 which goes against the board, probably good for you guys.

 

[TheWick]

screw Bobby Jenks and his mother

 

[Green94]

Took Verlander tonight, too good of a price to pass up. 2 units.

 

[guru_007]

TB +115Detroit +115Smoltz -147, -149LAA -157Boston Bruinsg'luck

Very good night Had a small parlay ruined by Jenks But other than that, Detroit was my only loser. Had a double position on Smoltzy and a nice win by the Bruins really made my night.

 

[prosopis]

Today I have:Fla +136Seat +107edit to add GMs picks that I am tailing.Cinn +127Stl -110Hou/Philly U9.5 -125 season:straight bet14/11 +4.31 unitsparlays 1/5 -.74 unitsTotal +3.57 units

Not so good yesterday.season:straight bet16/14 +3.10 unitsparlays 1/5 -.74 unitsTotal +2.36 units

 

[prosopis]

Tonight I like LAA/Seat O9.5 +100

edit to add AZ -1.5 +108 for 2 units. (up to know all of my bets have been for 1 unit. I will always specify when I go more then 1 unit)

season:

straight bet16/14 +3.10 units

parlays 1/5 -.74 units

Total +2.36 units

 

[Angry Beavers]

2-1 yesterday - of course I lost the total and hit both sides...

YTD ( without chase plays)

Sides 15-13-1 +3.5

Parlays: 1-3 +1.2

Totals 4-11 -7.95

Net: -3.25

Chase plays:

Chase 15-13: +7.70 units

GLTA

Thoughts for today, but I have not bet anything yet:

I lean to the Over and the Pirates this afternoon.

I hate to say it as I have dice-K on my fantasy team, but he has been walking way too many people. Boston is coming off a series with the NYY. I wonder if Texas provides any value tonight? Thoughts?

How spent must the COL and SD pens be - gotta look at over for both teams I would think;

KC - great value with Bannister this evening

GLTA

AB

 

[General Malaise]

screw Bobby Jenks and his mother :(

what a fat #####.

 

[General Malaise]

I put together another Cosjobs Special RR Play of the night...

Smoltz Braves RL +107

Floyd White Sox -101

Verlader Tigers +115

Silva Mariners +106

$5 RR by 2s,3s,4s

Ugh. Jenks cost me a profit. What's up with Verlander?

 

[General Malaise]

2 Healthy Sized Units on Ian "OHHH THAT" Snell and the Pirates +125

 

[Sammy3469]

I put together another Cosjobs Special RR Play of the night...

Smoltz Braves RL +107

Floyd White Sox -101

Verlader Tigers +115

Silva Mariners +106

$5 RR by 2s,3s,4s

Ugh. Jenks cost me a profit. What's up with Verlander?

His velocity is down 3-4 mph this year...something's up there....don't tell DD though.

In 2006, the only starting pitcher in baseball with a higher velocity average on his fastball was Felix Hernandez, who clipped him 95.2 MPH to 95.1 MPH. Last year, Verlander’s fastball averaged 94.8 MPH, ranking him behind just Felix and A.J. Burnett. There was no question about it - Verlander was a power pitcher with a great fastball and one of the emerging young stars in baseball.

However, with the calendar flipping to 2008, something has changed. In his first three starts of the year, Justin Verlander has averaged just 91.9 MPH on his fastball, a 3 MPH decline on his main weapon. Instead of lighting up radar guns with Felix and Burnett, he’s now throwing as hard as Jair Jurrjens and Nick Blackburn. That’s less impressive company, with no offense intended to either youngster. This isn’t just a normal early season blip, either - Verlander’s down 5 MPH compared to what he was throwing in April of 2007.

The velocity loss has clearly had an impact on Verlander’s performance so far. His walk rate is up, his strikeout rate is down, and he’s giving up more home runs to boot. That’s a rough combination, and helps explain the 5.73 FIP he’s posted during the first 19 innings of his 2008 season. While the Tigers as a team have struggled coming out of the gates, perhaps no performance is as worrying as Verlander’s. If his fastball continues to sit around 92 MPH for the remainder of the season, he’s going to have to make some significant adjustments to be the frontline starter that Detroit was counting on.

from http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/h...nders-fastball/

 

[General Malaise]

One more Cosjobs Special RR Parlay of the day...

Date Time / Reference Description -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Selection #14/18/2008 7:10 PM - (EST) Baseball MLBWager Type:Round Robin with 2's, 3's, 4'sWashington Nationals Money Line +112 for Game T Redding -R must Start   A Miller -L must Start-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Selection #24/18/2008 8:15 PM - (EST) Baseball MLBWager Type:ParlaySan Francisco Giants Money Line +132 for Game M Cain -R must Start   T Wellemeyer -R must Start-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Selection #34/18/2008 8:10 PM - (EST) Baseball MLBWager Type:ParlayCleveland Indians Money Line -112 for Game C Lee -L must Start   F Liriano -L must Start-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Selection #44/18/2008 10:05 PM - (EST) Baseball MLBWager Type:ParlayKansas City Royals Money Line -103 for Game B Bannister -R must Start   C Gaudin -R must Start--------------------------------------------------------------------------------  Risking $77.00 To Win $481.04 USD

 

[General Malaise]

2 More Units on Ben Folds Sheets and the Brew -120

 

[TheWick]

2 More Units on Ben Folds Sheets and the Brew -120

Come on Berman Can you snell that snell...I'm in with Pit this afternoon

 

[General Malaise]

2 More Units on Ben Folds Sheets and the Brew -120

Come on Berman Can you snell that snell...I'm in with Pit this afternoon

Looks like we're all sorta on the same page today....Pirates, Royals....Let's make some money today.

I can't believe R.A. Dickey is back. Remember that guy pitching for the Rangers a couple years ago against the Tigers? It was the debut of his knuckleball and it wasn't pretty. Gotta hand it to the guy for staying with it. That said, I would think he gets lit up tonight, but I'm having trouble backing Saunders at that price.

 

[guru_007]

Okay, so far I'm on:

Pitt+126

Mil/Cin o8.5 (-125)

SD/AZ u9 (-115)

Nationals +117

Indians -113

We'll see if I add anything to this May not be around much later. g'luck

 

[TheWick]

ARZ (haren) RL +130 for 2 units

 

[Angry Beavers]

Pitt +125 risking a unit

GLTA

AB

 

[General Malaise]

1-0 good guys!!!

WHOO HOOOOOO

 

[General Malaise]

Come on Snell....do yourself a favor here!

 

[Angry Beavers]

Nope no favor and now tied at 1 with the Cubs threatening....

Edit - now 3-1 Crubbies

 

[General Malaise]

I bet the for cubbies, they fork me. i bet against the cubbies, they fork me.

 

[Gambler]

Devil Rays +114 is the lock of the night.

Yeah, I'll throw you guys a bone from time to time.Tonights lock is Royals +100.CWS -114 and Balt + 130 should be winners too.But stick to the locks, send it in boys,dime dime dime.

 

[Angry Beavers]

added:

NYM -110

Washington +110

Kc -115

GTLA

 

[lumpy19]

For tonight

COL +119

Atl +125(accidentally entered this bet twice so 2u )

Balt +131

NYN +102(santana with + odds!!?? thank you)

SF +130

Was +117(I'll be betting them until they win, 1u, 2u 4u etc..)

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

2 More Units on Ben Folds Sheets and the Brew -120

Im on this, lets get this done

 

[Restricted]

For tonightCOL +119

I went Astros -123 - Don't like the Rocks playing til the AM and then traveling east.Mariners + 145

 

[prosopis]

ARZ (haren) RL +130 for 2 units

I am thinking about unloading on this after the game SD had last night. SD then had to fly here and Az had the day off yesterday. This seems to easy. I am worried I am being a fanboy here.

 

[prosopis]

ARZ (haren) RL +130 for 2 units

I am thinking about unloading on this after the game SD had last night. SD then had to fly here and Az had the day off yesterday. This seems to easy. I am worried I am being a fanboy here.

I did not unload but I did put 2 units on it instead of my usual 1. Where did you get +130?I got Az -1.5 +108 at betjamaica.

 

[Angry Beavers]

adding Seattle +145 as a chase play for the weekend

GLTA