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2016-17 NBA Thread: Finals are over, please go away (3 Viewers)

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Fair point for sure. I imagine okc would want a kings ransom regardless and the suitor would only offer that if it was mostly sure he would resign.  I guess my point was that if a deal is made it will be done if the acquiring team is sure he's staying.

im in Los Angeles and my bartender hates the idea of trading Russell and Ingram for Westbrook, which surprises me. I guess people love potential.  
Trading two elite lottery talents for a guy who is going to be a FÃ in 11 months is a HORRIBLE idea.  The allure of Westbrook is adding him to a team with other talent already in place.  What good does it do to trade all the talent for 1 guy?  

 
Trading two elite lottery talents for a guy who is going to be a FÃ in 11 months is a HORRIBLE idea.  The allure of Westbrook is adding him to a team with other talent already in place.  What good does it do to trade all the talent for 1 guy?  
Elite lottery talents?  Good grief. Westbrook would resign with the lakers.  And he would have clark son, Randle, and timofy.  That's serious. 

 
Elite lottery talents?  Good grief. Westbrook would resign with the lakers.  And he would have clark son, Randle, and timofy.  That's serious. 
Would probably much more attractive to him to go to a team that also had Russell and Ingram. It would be pretty stupid to trade both of them away to get Westbrook. Pretty much guarantees they'd be a 1st or 2nd round exit type of team for a while. The Lakers should stand pat for now and see if they can sign him in FA next year if it's going to cost them their important young guys to trade for him now.

 
Elite lottery talents?  Good grief. Westbrook would resign with the lakers.  And he would have clark son, Randle, and timofy.  That's serious. 
The last two #2 overall picks aren't elite lottery talents?  Perhaps people who don't pay attention are sleeping on Russell but isn't Ingram generally considered the #2 overall prospect this year?  

Westbrook, Clarkson, Randle and Mozgov wouldn't even sniff the playoffs.  

 
The idea that they can sign him next summer is significant.  But the list of #2 picks that topped out as rotation players is long. I simply think that getting him now is worthwhile. 

 
With rookie contracts being crazy valuable going forward Boston would be nuts to trade any of the Brooklyn pics for Westbrook.

Boston will be an even more desirable location in 11 months.

 
People always love the next big thing...the grass is always greener...

As stated I don't see Westbrook agreeing to sign with anyone because it makes no sense for him...why give up free agency and commit to a team he may or may not like...he really gains nothing from it...
He gains a fifth year and 3% annually.

 
The idea that they can sign him next summer is significant.  But the list of #2 picks that topped out as rotation players is long. I simply think that getting him now is worthwhile. 
You got to swing for the fences.  The optimal move is to hope to land Westbrook or an all-star next FA offseason as well as hit with the Brooklyn pic.

Westbrook alone is not worth giving up that scenario.  It's very real.  Not that far away.

 
Absolutely. The 2017 Brooklyn pick is one of the most valuable assets that could realistically be available. It's very probably a top 5 pick in a draft where scouts see 5 franchise players. When you factor in salary and team control there's not really anything on the market more valuable. Sure KAT is a more valuable piece, but he's not available.

I think we could look back 10 years from now and call a trade including that pick for Westbrook an all-time bonehead move. Why rent a star in a year where 4 of the top 15 players are on one team? This isn't the year to mortgage the future to win now. 
I agree trading the 2017 Brooklyn pick is too much for Westbrook if he doesn't agree to an extension.  Then you're just giving up a very valuable asset for one year renting a player in a league where you have a team with 4 all NBA players.  All the win now pink hats out there are making the Celts feel like they have to make a big splash regardless of if it's the best chance at winning a title.  Pretty sad when this ownership was booed at the draft.  I think it has been one of the better run teams in the NBA the last 10 years.

 
I stated that above and gave it as a reason the C's should go after him...but it is not something he needs to do prior to the trade...he has time to do it...
You don't get that in FA.  The two are mutually exclusive unless you preemptively facilitate a trade to the team you want as your ultimate destination.

 
You don't get that in FA.  The two are mutually exclusive unless you preemptively facilitate a trade to the team you want as your ultimate destination.
I know that...I am saying he doesn't need to agree to an extension prior to a trade...he can do it later if he decides to stay with the C's (or whoever he is playing for) after giving them a test run...

 
I agree trading the 2017 Brooklyn pick is too much for Westbrook if he doesn't agree to an extension.  Then you're just giving up a very valuable asset for one year renting a player in a league where you have a team with 4 all NBA players.  All the win now pink hats out there are making the Celts feel like they have to make a big splash regardless of if it's the best chance at winning a title.  Pretty sad when this ownership was booed at the draft.  I think it has been one of the better run teams in the NBA the last 10 years.
I agree it is a well run franchise and I think Ainge is a great GM but they just signed 30 year old Al Horford to a massive contract, what is the point of that deal if they are not going to look to cash in the Brooklyn picks for established stars? 

 
I know that...I am saying he doesn't need to agree to an extension prior to a trade...he can do it later if he decides to stay with the C's (or whoever he is playing for) after giving them a test run...
It's not an extension it's a resign.  It doesn't make sense for him to sign an extension in virtually any circumstance.  By making a gentleman's agreement to a resign, he can pick his destination and reap a richer contract.

 
It's not an extension it's a resign.  It doesn't make sense for him to sign an extension in virtually any circumstance.  By making a gentleman's agreement to a resign, he can pick his destination and reap a richer contract.
It's a renegotiation and it may make sense if he does something like get the max for next year with another year guaranteed and the third year being the player option (that scenario would get him to year 10 as a FA).

If you are the Cs you deal that pick for him pretty quickly since there aren't a ton of max level FAs that are worth the contract and don't look back.  While the '17 is deeper than last years and should produce some All-NBA talent, that's 4-5 years from now and you're window with Horford is this year and next.  By signing Horford you forced youre hand and you have to turn your long term assets into shorter term ones.  

 
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It's not an extension it's a resign.  It doesn't make sense for him to sign an extension in virtually any circumstance.  By making a gentleman's agreement to a resign, he can pick his destination and reap a richer contract.
That is what I am trying to say although maybe I am using an incorrect word but my point is I don't see anything official prior to a deal...any team that deals for him will not have a guarantee he's there for more than one year...

 
It's a renegotiation and it may make sense if he does something like get the max for next year with another year guaranteed and the third year being the player option.  

If you are the Cs you deal that pick for him pretty quickly since there aren't a ton of max level FAs that are worth the contract and don't look back.  While the '17 is deeper than last years and should produce some All-NBA talent, that's 4-5 years from now and you're window with Horford is this year and next.  By signing Horford you forced youre hand and you have to turn your long term assets into shorter term ones.  
I disagree that their hand is forced...if getting Horford was a trade and they gave up a lot I would agree but he was a free agent so they didn't touch any of their assets with this move...it obviously puts them in a situation where they are looking at the now more but they are not in a position where their window is closing...also, I think signing Horford (regardless of his age) was very important because it helps make the Celtics relevant with other free agents and star players...the NBA is very different in regard to this and Horford was the first big "legit" free agent (Garnett was a trade...and they already had Pierce and Allen) they have signed so this hopefully breaks the seal...

 
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If you are the Cs you deal that pick for him pretty quickly since there aren't a ton of max level FAs that are worth the contract and don't look back.  While the '17 is deeper than last years and should produce some All-NBA talent, that's 4-5 years from now and you're window with Horford is this year and next.  By signing Horford you forced youre hand and you have to turn your long term assets into shorter term ones.  
I'm not so sure I agree with this. There is a whole crop of free agents next year, that are very enticing. I thin the Celtics would be OK with playing this year with the team they have (which on paper is significantly better than the 2015/2016 team that won 48 games) and hope that with improvements from rookies and second year guys, they could make a run deep into the playoffs.

Then come next year, they have space for a max player free agent signing, and a top pick in the draft, and another successful year under their belt :shrug:

 
I'm not so sure I agree with this. There is a whole crop of free agents next year, that are very enticing. I thin the Celtics would be OK with playing this year with the team they have (which on paper is significantly better than the 2015/2016 team that won 48 games) and hope that with improvements from rookies and second year guys, they could make a run deep into the playoffs.

Then come next year, they have space for a max player free agent signing, and a top pick in the draft, and another successful year under their belt :shrug:
  Do you think they can get one of Durant, Curry, LeBron, Paul, or Griffin?  If not (which I don't think they will) then you are looking RFAs or Haywood.  

There are big names out there, I'm just not sure how gettable they really are.  

 
I don't think they should do it. 

They make the trade and it moves them from a 2/3 seed in the East to a 2 seed. You're better than Toronto but still not better than Cleveland. Congrats? Have a parade? 

Keep the picks, add what you can in free agency next year and then look to trade the pick IF you land the FA studs. 

 
  Do you think they can get one of Durant, Curry, LeBron, Paul, or Griffin?  If not (which I don't think they will) then you are looking RFAs or Haywood.  

There are big names out there, I'm just not sure how gettable they really are.  
Some are gettable but most likely by trade...which is why they are sniffing around Griffin and Westbrook...their best option maybe to make a deal for an impending FA like Westbrook or Griffin and keep their fingers crossed that the combo of liking the organization and city and having more money to give is the ticket...getting these stars is very difficult and there is probably going to be some risk involved in doing it... 

 
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The Ringer has some decent articles on the up and coming teams in the NBA, a little series they are calling "The Next Thunder."

Denver

Utah

Philly

Minnesota
If you read the MN link there's a link to an interview with Sam Mitchel.  It made me feel a lot better about myself as a coach when he talks about the things he is working with Levine on.  Those are the same things I'm working with my middle schoolers on.   :lol:    

 
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I agree it is a well run franchise and I think Ainge is a great GM but they just signed 30 year old Al Horford to a massive contract, what is the point of that deal if they are not going to look to cash in the Brooklyn picks for established stars? 
Partially they had to get to the salary cap floor.  But I don't think it forces them to have to win now.  And honestly add Westbrook to the team that exists and they aren't winning a title.  It moves them from right now a possible (with a good year) 2 seed in the east and probably a good shot at a 3.  To the 2nd best team in the east.  Both teams would be bounced by Cleveland assuming LeBron is healthy.  And both would be bounced by GS assuming 3 of their stars are healthy.

 
I think you guys might be underselling how good Boston could be with Westbrook.  That's easily a 55+ win team even if they ship out Thomas in the deal, and any 55 win team with one of the league's best coaches has a good chance to reach the Finals. If you sit around all day and wait until there's no obvious 65 win caliber teams in the league before making your move you'll probably be waiting forever.

 
I think you guys might be underselling how good Boston could be with Westbrook.  That's easily a 55+ win team even if they ship out Thomas in the deal, and any 55 win team with one of the league's best coaches has a good chance to reach the Finals. If you sit around all day and wait until there's no obvious 65 win caliber teams in the league before making your move you'll probably be waiting forever.
I'm not sure that I would make the trade, but I agree with you. If they replace Thomas with any respectably decent PG defensively, they are probably far and away the best defensive team in the NBA. With Westbrook they also become a better offensive team, top 6-ish. They might be the 2nd best team in the NBA with Westbrook.

 
I think you guys might be underselling how good Boston could be with Westbrook.  That's easily a 55+ win team even if they ship out Thomas in the deal, and any 55 win team with one of the league's best coaches has a good chance to reach the Finals. If you sit around all day and wait until there's no obvious 65 win caliber teams in the league before making your move you'll probably be waiting forever.
I think GS is a little bit more than a 65 win caliber team.  You're taking a 73 win team subtracting a few good pieces and adding an MVP caliber guy.  I'm not sure any team can even keep close to them when the year starts.  The GS team that is constructed right now has all the talent to be the unquestioned best team of all time.  Hell if they had won game 7 this year we'd be arguing whether or not they were already the best team of all time before Durant.

 
The Celtics were 8th in the NBA in point differential last year, they kept all their major pieces from last year, added a top-flight center. OKC, and Atlanta got appreciably worse, the Clippers and Spurs got a little worse, Cleveland and Toronto mostly held serve, the Warriors obviously got much better. If they add Westbrook, I think it is clear that they would vault past everybody but the Cavs, Spurs, and Warriors. An argument could be made for the Cavs, Spurs, and Celtics to be anywhere between 2nd and 4th best teams in the NBA, but with the rest that will be given to Lebron and the Spurs players, I think the Celtics would have the 2nd best record in the NBA.

I think I just talked myself into making a trade for Westbrook if it only costs the BK pick and Thomas.

 
I think GS is a little bit more than a 65 win caliber team.  You're taking a 73 win team subtracting a few good pieces and adding an MVP caliber guy.  I'm not sure any team can even keep close to them when the year starts.  The GS team that is constructed right now has all the talent to be the unquestioned best team of all time.  Hell if they had won game 7 this year we'd be arguing whether or not they were already the best team of all time before Durant.
Yeah, I was just using 65 wins as shorthand for "obvious favorites."  I think they'll settle in around 65-68 wins because there's no reason to chase more after last season but obviously barring injury they could get more.

But my argument is that it's silly to define moves by whether they make you the favorite to win the title or not.  If they pass on Westbrook now because they'd still be underdogs to Golden State and probably Cleveland, who's to say that GSW won't keep the same core together for another 3-4 years and maybe even keep getting better due to continuity?  Or that Cleveland won't find a way to move Love for a two-way stretch 4 and some depth and end up with an improved roster for the next couple seasons before LeBron hits his mid-30s?  Or that Minnesota and Orlando won't turn into 70 win behemoths?  Can't wait it out IMO, gotta make any move that turns you into a contender, even an underdog contender.

 
The Celtics were 8th in the NBA in point differential last year, they kept all their major pieces from last year, added a top-flight center. OKC, and Atlanta got appreciably worse, the Clippers and Spurs got a little worse, Cleveland and Toronto mostly held serve, the Warriors obviously got much better. If they add Westbrook, I think it is clear that they would vault past everybody but the Cavs, Spurs, and Warriors. An argument could be made for the Cavs, Spurs, and Celtics to be anywhere between 2nd and 4th best teams in the NBA, but with the rest that will be given to Lebron and the Spurs players, I think the Celtics would have the 2nd best record in the NBA.

I think I just talked myself into making a trade for Westbrook if it only costs the BK pick and Thomas.
That 8th in point differential is a little misleading though.  The Celts were 5th in the east by seeding.  They finished tied with the 6th best team in the east for record (3rd and 4th also I know).  They lost in the first round of the playoffs.  I get it they improved (although I think less at this point than most would argue) added Horford and Brown lost Turner and Sullinger.  They were young so an extra year is more likely to help than hurt.

But we're talking a team that had a lot of things go well for them too.  Very few injuries in the regular season.  Playing hard just about every night.  Those two factors could easily add some wins to what they should win based on pure talent.  All I'm trying to say is the Celtics are a bit further away than people are thinking IMO.  They have won 2 playoff games in the last 2 years.  And looked totally outmatched by the Hawks in games 5 and 6.

 
That 8th in point differential is a little misleading though.  The Celts were 5th in the east by seeding.  They finished tied with the 6th best team in the east for record (3rd and 4th also I know).  They lost in the first round of the playoffs.  I get it they improved (although I think less at this point than most would argue) added Horford and Brown lost Turner and Sullinger.  They were young so an extra year is more likely to help than hurt.

But we're talking a team that had a lot of things go well for them too.  Very few injuries in the regular season.  Playing hard just about every night.  Those two factors could easily add some wins to what they should win based on pure talent.  All I'm trying to say is the Celtics are a bit further away than people are thinking IMO.  They have won 2 playoff games in the last 2 years.  And looked totally outmatched by the Hawks in games 5 and 6.
I agree with most of this. But OTOH Russell Westbrook is really really good at basketball.

 
Yeah, I was just using 65 wins as shorthand for "obvious favorites."  I think they'll settle in around 65-68 wins because there's no reason to chase more after last season but obviously barring injury they could get more.

But my argument is that it's silly to define moves by whether they make you the favorite to win the title or not.  If they pass on Westbrook now because they'd still be underdogs to Golden State and probably Cleveland, who's to say that GSW won't keep the same core together for another 3-4 years and maybe even keep getting better due to continuity?  Or that Cleveland won't find a way to move Love for a two-way stretch 4 and some depth and end up with an improved roster for the next couple seasons before LeBron hits his mid-30s?  Or that Minnesota and Orlando won't turn into 70 win behemoths?  Can't wait it out IMO, gotta make any move that turns you into a contender, even an underdog contender.
The reason I think you take GS into account with this move is Westbrook is very likely a 1 year rental.  Why take a team that has a whole lot of pieces to make a move and remove the 2 of your best assets so you can have 1 year as an underdog contender?  And you're still definitely an underdog to Cleveland as things stand.  So it's not like you're any kind of likely shot to even play GS.  Use those assets to make yourself a long term contender.

 
That 8th in point differential is a little misleading though.  The Celts were 5th in the east by seeding.  They finished tied with the 6th best team in the east for record (3rd and 4th also I know).  They lost in the first round of the playoffs.  I get it they improved (although I think less at this point than most would argue) added Horford and Brown lost Turner and Sullinger.  They were young so an extra year is more likely to help than hurt.

But we're talking a team that had a lot of things go well for them too.  Very few injuries in the regular season.  Playing hard just about every night.  Those two factors could easily add some wins to what they should win based on pure talent.  All I'm trying to say is the Celtics are a bit further away than people are thinking IMO.  They have won 2 playoff games in the last 2 years.  And looked totally outmatched by the Hawks in games 5 and 6.
How is the point differential misleading if they finished with the 7th best record in the NBA? They were beat by a better team in the first round of the playoffs, and they took that team's either best or second best player this offseason.

Sullinger and Turner are going to be missed, but both would be bench players and Turner has become ridiculously overrated somehow.

 
The reason I think you take GS into account with this move is Westbrook is very likely a 1 year rental.  Why take a team that has a whole lot of pieces to make a move and remove the 2 of your best assets so you can have 1 year as an underdog contender?  And you're still definitely an underdog to Cleveland as things stand.  So it's not like you're any kind of likely shot to even play GS.  Use those assets to make yourself a long term contender.
I don't think you do it unless he says he's at least willing to consider re-upping with Boston.  I'm assuming the Bird rights and playing for a team that probably makes the conference finals and could be the new power in the East if LeBron ever ages is enough to get him to think about it.

 
How is the point differential misleading if they finished with the 7th best record in the NBA? They were beat by a better team in the first round of the playoffs, and they took that team's either best or second best player this offseason.

Sullinger and Turner are going to be missed, but both would be bench players and Turner has become ridiculously overrated somehow.
I know it was partly because Bradley got hurt and Crowder was playing hurt, but Turner played the 2nd most minutes on that playoff roster behind Thomas.  He might have been a bench guy, but he was playing starter minutes all year.

 
The reason I think you take GS into account with this move is Westbrook is very likely a 1 year rental.  Why take a team that has a whole lot of pieces to make a move and remove the 2 of your best assets so you can have 1 year as an underdog contender?  And you're still definitely an underdog to Cleveland as things stand.  So it's not like you're any kind of likely shot to even play GS.  Use those assets to make yourself a long term contender.
Not sure why it would be very likely a 1 year rental when the Celtics would be able to offer him the most money as a FA but it is certainly a risk.  There was an article out yesterday spectulating a deal of Westbrook for Johnson, Smart, Rozier, Young, 2018 Brooklyn pick & 2019 Memphis pick could get things done.  That would leave the Celtics with next year's Brooklyn pick, more money to offer Westbrook when he is a FA and a year to convince him that Boston is a strong contender for years to come.  You are rolling the dice but I would pull the trigger.

 
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