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2021 Buffalo Bills - Same as it ever was*** (4 Viewers)

Probably not surprising, but I'm pretty much on the opposite end of the spectrum- it was a dumb extension, and there is nothing but downside to playing him this week, especially if he's already possibly facing surgery. Why on earth would you take that risk, both financially and with his health?

The Bills generally handle most things poorly, including not having Whaley or someone else higher up at the press conference to explain the decision, but sitting him this week makes perfect sense.
The odds of him suffering an injury that would trigger the guarantee were very small. All they really did by benching him was limit their options even more than what they were as well as to cause him to find reason that he is "injured" now.

 
The odds of him suffering an injury that would trigger the guarantee were very small. All they really did by benching him was limit their options even more than what they were as well as to cause him to find reason that he is "injured" now.
So for now let's go with the theory that the odds of a smallish, running QB who takes tons of hits and may already need core muscle surgery in the off season getting injured are very small- what's the upside in playing him? There is none, so even a tiny chance at him getting more seriously hurt isn't worth it.

 
Since news of Whaley being retained broke, some are saying its more evidence that the Pegulas have no idea what they're doing. Buffalo's culture needs to change from top to bottom. They need to clean house, hire a football czar guy to run a GM and coaching search, and begin aligning the program from God to kicker.
Hmm, where have I heard this before?  :whistle:

 
So for now let's go with the theory that the odds of a smallish, running QB who takes tons of hits and may already need core muscle surgery in the off season getting injured are very small- what's the upside in playing him? There is none, so even a tiny chance at him getting more seriously hurt isn't worth it.
I would prefer that all key players not play. Let the young guys get a game in a live setting to show what they got and keep our key guys healthy. I can understand as a player if you have incentives in your contract that may not make you happy. But this season is lost. A higher pick next year would be better. And it'd be nice to not have to worry about any injuries from a meaningless week 17 game. I couldn't care any less if we got swept by NYJ.

 
So for now let's go with the theory that the odds of a smallish, running QB who takes tons of hits and may already need core muscle surgery in the off season getting injured are very small- what's the upside in playing him? There is none, so even a tiny chance at him getting more seriously hurt isn't worth it.
Well, firstly, it burned the bridge with Taylor. Let's be real here, he has been up and down, but has still put up mid-range numbers despite a horrible OC and HC that didn't help him and changing OCs 2 games into this season. Then you have the tsunami of injuries to the WRs and OL over 2 years. Yes, there are definite weaknesses to his game, but paying mid-level QB money to a mid-level QB who has had everything around him go wrong isn't the worst thing in the world. But now that's not even an option.

And playing it out this way also gave Taylor incentive to play up an injury and possibly try to force the guaranteed payout anyway. It's possible that the Bills could end up having to payout an injury gaurantee AND not even being able to use him. That's a total lose/lose situation. 

They've also made it much less likely that FAs will ever sign a team friendly deal again. Play it out fairly and guys will believe they have a true sense to earn their money. Pull crap like this and it will be the last time any player signs a team friendly deal. Buffalo already had problems drawing players at market or below market prices. Now they've insured that they will be paying top shelf prices for well product.

 
I would prefer that all key players not play. Let the young guys get a game in a live setting to show what they got and keep our key guys healthy. I can understand as a player if you have incentives in your contract that may not make you happy. But this season is lost. A higher pick next year would be better. And it'd be nice to not have to worry about any injuries from a meaningless week 17 game. I couldn't care any less if we got swept by NYJ.
Now this I could see. Instead of targeting one specific player, toss in a bunch of younger guys.  Then it's not just a slap in the face, it's about playing for the future. Or, at the very least, start Cardale instead of Manuel. Starting Manuel makes ZERO sense.

 
Well, firstly, it burned the bridge with Taylor. Let's be real here, he has been up and down, but has still put up mid-range numbers despite a horrible OC and HC that didn't help him and changing OCs 2 games into this season. Then you have the tsunami of injuries to the WRs and OL over 2 years. Yes, there are definite weaknesses to his game, but paying mid-level QB money to a mid-level QB who has had everything around him go wrong isn't the worst thing in the world. But now that's not even an option.

And playing it out this way also gave Taylor incentive to play up an injury and possibly try to force the guaranteed payout anyway. It's possible that the Bills could end up having to payout an injury gaurantee AND not even being able to use him. That's a total lose/lose situation. 

They've also made it much less likely that FAs will ever sign a team friendly deal again. Play it out fairly and guys will believe they have a true sense to earn their money. Pull crap like this and it will be the last time any player signs a team friendly deal. Buffalo already had problems drawing players at market or below market prices. Now they've insured that they will be paying top shelf prices for well product.
Again not surprisingly, I disagree with just about all of this. How does holding him out of 1 meaningless game burn a bridge? Heck, I'd bet that if he didn't have that dumb injury clause, he wouldn't want to play in the game himself since there is no point and he is already injured. I'm not sure what you mean by "that's not even an option"- they still have the option to pick up the rest of his contract, the only thing this game might determine is that they may be forced to be on the hook for a big chunk of it if he gets more seriously hurt.

The second paragraph is pretty silly- if he's healthy enough to play this week, there's no way he's going to be able to "fake it" ~10 weeks from now enough to fail a physical. Even if in some fantasy land he could, if Taylor was the type of player to do that you wouldn't want anything to do with him. I'd hope he's a competitor and would want to go out and actually earn his money by playing, not by faking a more serious injury.

I completely disagree that this was a very team friendly deal to begin with, but again, this game has no bearing on him earning his money- if he had some incentives to reach or something then I'd completely agree, but this is only about injury.

 
Again not surprisingly, I disagree with just about all of this. How does holding him out of 1 meaningless game burn a bridge? Heck, I'd bet that if he didn't have that dumb injury clause, he wouldn't want to play in the game himself since there is no point and he is already injured. I'm not sure what you mean by "that's not even an option"- they still have the option to pick up the rest of his contract, the only thing this game might determine is that they may be forced to be on the hook for a big chunk of it if he gets more seriously hurt.

The second paragraph is pretty silly- if he's healthy enough to play this week, there's no way he's going to be able to "fake it" ~10 weeks from now enough to fail a physical. Even if in some fantasy land he could, if Taylor was the type of player to do that you wouldn't want anything to do with him. I'd hope he's a competitor and would want to go out and actually earn his money by playing, not by faking a more serious injury.

I completely disagree that this was a very team friendly deal to begin with, but again, this game has no bearing on him earning his money- if he had some incentives to reach or something then I'd completely agree, but this is only about injury.
I don't know if it necessarily burns a bridge. From Tyrod's perspective it may send a strong message that the team is considering moving on from him, which I'm sure he didn't expect after only 1 year into his deal. That can't make him happy with his future in doubt. Obviously everybody wants financial security. They offered him the contract, now don't want to play him so they don't have to pay him if he gets hurt. Pretty lame. Business smart? Yes, but lame.

The contract is team friendly. They have the ability to opt out at 2 different points in the contract and the amount of money that he gets, compared to what someone like Osweiler just got, favorable to the team.

 
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The thing I dread most is Whaley being dumb enough to pay Sanu/Marvin Jones money to Robert Woods.

I think even Atlanta and Detroit regret paying Sanu/Jones money. Look at their production compared to how much they're making.

Only Jones showed some flickers of being worth it. But that was early in the season and, for whatever reason, he came back to earth.

Both those teams were scorched by those contracts.

 
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I don't know if it necessarily burns a bridge. From Tyrod's perspective it may send a strong message that the team is considering moving on from him, which I'm sure he didn't expect after only 1 year into his deal. That can't make him happy with his future in doubt. Obviously everybody wants financial security. They offered him the contract, now don't want to play him so they don't have to pay him if he gets hurt. Pretty lame. Business smart? Yes, but lame.

The contract is team friendly. They have the ability to opt out at 2 different points in the contract and the amount of money that he gets, compared to what someone like Osweiler just got, favorable to the team.
It sends the message that they don't want their QB to suffer/aggravate an injury in the final meaningless game of the season and end up on the hook for a large sum of money for an injured player- it doesn't mean they aren't going to pick up the option, just like if he played it wouldn't mean that they are picking it up. If the game meant anything, he'd be playing and no one would be talking about how "lame" this is.

Not sure how people can think this is such a "team friendly" contract. Read this link. Sure, the average annual salary isn't outrageous and they have outs (talk was that it will cost them another $10 mil to get out of it), but it's a very front-loaded (i.e., player friendly) contract. The final few years are team friendly, but they almost certainly won't get to realize them- if they keep him and he plays well, he's going to demand a raise for those years.

Just because Osweiler's contract isn't team friendly doesn't mean Taylor's is. It's a poor comparison anyway since Tyrod was already under contract at the time while Brock was a FA.

 
Just read blurb where Bills made decision to move on from Tyrod weeks ago. So there you go I guess assuming it's accurate 

 
It sends the message that they don't want their QB to suffer/aggravate an injury in the final meaningless game of the season and end up on the hook for a large sum of money for an injured player- it doesn't mean they aren't going to pick up the option, just like if he played it wouldn't mean that they are picking it up. If the game meant anything, he'd be playing and no one would be talking about how "lame" this is.

Not sure how people can think this is such a "team friendly" contract. Read this link. Sure, the average annual salary isn't outrageous and they have outs (talk was that it will cost them another $10 mil to get out of it), but it's a very front-loaded (i.e., player friendly) contract. The final few years are team friendly, but they almost certainly won't get to realize them- if they keep him and he plays well, he's going to demand a raise for those years.

Just because Osweiler's contract isn't team friendly doesn't mean Taylor's is. It's a poor comparison anyway since Tyrod was already under contract at the time while Brock was a FA.
Well, if I read this right (spotrac contract details) the Bills save about 27.5m dollars real money by cutting him before March 11 against a cap hit of about 2.9m.

They paid Tyrod 9.5m for his performance in 2016 (incl signing bonus)

That really seems like a team friendly contract, i.e. a one year deal, lower than Fitzpatrick's, slightly higher than RGIII

 
Well, if I read this right (spotrac contract details) the Bills save about 27.5m dollars real money by cutting him before March 11 against a cap hit of about 2.9m.

They paid Tyrod 9.5m for his performance in 2016 (incl signing bonus)

That really seems like a team friendly contract, i.e. a one year deal, lower than Fitzpatrick's, slightly higher than RGIII
That's a pretty interesting contract.  In some ways I can see why it's leading the Bills to cut him because of the 15 M bonus.  If the contract was designed differently they'd probably be more inclined to keep him.

So does anyone know once he's cut, his contract goes away and the new team would sign him to a new contract at whatever terms they want, is that right?

 
Well, if I read this right (spotrac contract details) the Bills save about 27.5m dollars real money by cutting him before March 11 against a cap hit of about 2.9m.

They paid Tyrod 9.5m for his performance in 2016 (incl signing bonus)

That really seems like a team friendly contract, i.e. a one year deal, lower than Fitzpatrick's, slightly higher than RGIII
When the extension was announced it was reported that the buyout after the 1st year would cost the Bills an additional $10 mil. That likely wouldn't count against the cap, but if true it still would mean he got $19.5 mil for one year of mediocre performance. If they decide to pick up the rest of it he'll get $27.5 mil for 2017 on top of the $9.5 for 2016 (plus a portion of 2018 becomes guaranteed). This isn't even factoring in the massive injury guarantees that they gave him, which is why we're having the conversation of if he should play this week.

Again, no reason to compare it to Fitzpatrick, RGIII, or Osweiler, who were all FA's when they got their deals- Taylor was under contract for 2016 for something like $2 mil ($3 mil cap hit) when they gave him the new deal- that was a team friendly contract.

That's a pretty interesting contract.  In some ways I can see why it's leading the Bills to cut him because of the 15 M bonus.  If the contract was designed differently they'd probably be more inclined to keep him.

So does anyone know once he's cut, his contract goes away and the new team would sign him to a new contract at whatever terms they want, is that right?
You could argue that he's worth the salary portion of his contract, but they built in that massive bonus so now they've backed themselves into a very expensive corner. If they want to keep him, they have to hand over another $27.5 mil for 2017 alone. There's a slight chance they can work out a new deal, but they gave him almost all of the leverage.

Yes, if they decline the option the contract is torn up and he becomes a free agent.

 
humpback said:
When the extension was announced it was reported that the buyout after the 1st year would cost the Bills an additional $10 mil. That likely wouldn't count against the cap, but if true it still would mean he got $19.5 mil for one year of mediocre performance. If they decide to pick up the rest of it he'll get $27.5 mil for 2017 on top of the $9.5 for 2016 (plus a portion of 2018 becomes guaranteed). This isn't even factoring in the massive injury guarantees that they gave him, which is why we're having the conversation of if he should play this week.

Again, no reason to compare it to Fitzpatrick, RGIII, or Osweiler, who were all FA's when they got their deals- Taylor was under contract for 2016 for something like $2 mil ($3 mil cap hit) when they gave him the new deal- that was a team friendly contract.

You could argue that he's worth the salary portion of his contract, but they built in that massive bonus so now they've backed themselves into a very expensive corner. If they want to keep him, they have to hand over another $27.5 mil for 2017 alone. There's a slight chance they can work out a new deal, but they gave him almost all of the leverage.

Yes, if they decline the option the contract is torn up and he becomes a free agent.
It's pretty team friendly in that they thought or rather hoped they had a franchise QB on their hands but to be certain they built it as a one year deal that in their option they could extend if the quality of play warranted it.

It did not, Tyrod did not rise to the challenge and so he is gone.

Had he played on his original deal it would have been cheaper if he busted but much more expensive if he boomed.

 
humpback said:
When the extension was announced it was reported that the buyout after the 1st year would cost the Bills an additional $10 mil. That likely wouldn't count against the cap, but if true it still would mean he got $19.5 mil for one year of mediocre performance. If they decide to pick up the rest of it he'll get $27.5 mil for 2017 on top of the $9.5 for 2016 (plus a portion of 2018 becomes guaranteed). This isn't even factoring in the massive injury guarantees that they gave him, which is why we're having the conversation of if he should play this week.

Again, no reason to compare it to Fitzpatrick, RGIII, or Osweiler, who were all FA's when they got their deals- Taylor was under contract for 2016 for something like $2 mil ($3 mil cap hit) when they gave him the new deal- that was a team friendly contract.

You could argue that he's worth the salary portion of his contract, but they built in that massive bonus so now they've backed themselves into a very expensive corner. If they want to keep him, they have to hand over another $27.5 mil for 2017 alone. There's a slight chance they can work out a new deal, but they gave him almost all of the leverage.

Yes, if they decline the option the contract is torn up and he becomes a free agent.
This wasn't the case though, at least as far as I can tell.

 
It's pretty team friendly in that they thought or rather hoped they had a franchise QB on their hands but to be certain they built it as a one year deal that in their option they could extend if the quality of play warranted it.

It did not, Tyrod did not rise to the challenge and so he is gone.

Had he played on his original deal it would have been cheaper if he busted but much more expensive if he boomed.
If you look at the deal overall IMO, it seems clear that it is player friendly for the first few years and team friendly for the final few. Realistically however, the Bills will never have a chance to realize the team-friendly portion in those later years. Say Tyrod stays and he's a top 5 QB for the next couple of years- there's no way he's going to be paid like one of the bottom starting QB's in 2019-2020, so they'd be forced to renegotiate and give him more money then. 

If he would have played great and if he would have played out the entire length of the contract as-is, it would have been a team-friendly deal overall. Realistically though, there was zero chance of that happening. The most team-friendly this deal likely would be is if they cut him after this year, and even that is much less team-friendly than what they already had in place.

This wasn't the case though, at least as far as I can tell.
We'll have to see, but even if it's a free out they still will end up paying him several times the amount that they would have without the extension. I think it was a poor gamble at the time because of what I've already written, and it should be obvious now that it was the wrong call. Not crippling or anything (assuming they cut him and he can pass his physical), but it certainly didn't work out in their favor (and I don't think it ever stood a chance).

 
If you look at the deal overall IMO, it seems clear that it is player friendly for the first few years and team friendly for the final few. Realistically however, the Bills will never have a chance to realize the team-friendly portion in those later years. Say Tyrod stays and he's a top 5 QB for the next couple of years- there's no way he's going to be paid like one of the bottom starting QB's in 2019-2020, so they'd be forced to renegotiate and give him more money then. 

If he would have played great and if he would have played out the entire length of the contract as-is, it would have been a team-friendly deal overall. Realistically though, there was zero chance of that happening. The most team-friendly this deal likely would be is if they cut him after this year, and even that is much less team-friendly than what they already had in place.

We'll have to see, but even if it's a free out they still will end up paying him several times the amount that they would have without the extension. I think it was a poor gamble at the time because of what I've already written, and it should be obvious now that it was the wrong call. Not crippling or anything (assuming they cut him and he can pass his physical), but it certainly didn't work out in their favor (and I don't think it ever stood a chance).
It's a one year deal with an option for more. Decent deal.nothing earth shattering.

 
If you look at the deal overall IMO, it seems clear that it is player friendly for the first few years and team friendly for the final few. Realistically however, the Bills will never have a chance to realize the team-friendly portion in those later years. Say Tyrod stays and he's a top 5 QB for the next couple of years- there's no way he's going to be paid like one of the bottom starting QB's in 2019-2020, so they'd be forced to renegotiate and give him more money then. 

If he would have played great and if he would have played out the entire length of the contract as-is, it would have been a team-friendly deal overall. Realistically though, there was zero chance of that happening. The most team-friendly this deal likely would be is if they cut him after this year, and even that is much less team-friendly than what they already had in place.

We'll have to see, but even if it's a free out they still will end up paying him several times the amount that they would have without the extension. I think it was a poor gamble at the time because of what I've already written, and it should be obvious now that it was the wrong call. Not crippling or anything (assuming they cut him and he can pass his physical), but it certainly didn't work out in their favor (and I don't think it ever stood a chance).
Agree to disagree. They ended up paying midrange money for a QB that had subpar gross numbers, but put up points and was a top 5 efficient passer and lead an offense that will likely set the NFL record for fewest turnovers despite playing without most of his weapons all year and a mess of an O-line. Paying a little more up front for a chance at keeping a potential franchise QB at reasonable numbers was absolutely worth the gamble. If Taylor had fulfilled his promise, with the cap continuing to shoot up, it would have been an absolute steal of a contract.

 
You're still ignoring the reality that there was essentially zero chance of him playing out the contract as is, which even the writers who liked the deal at the time fully admitted. If he had fulfilled his promise, he would have gotten ~$60 mil for the first 3 years, and then it would have been renegotiated higher after that. They wouldn't have gotten an absolute steal even in the unlikely scenario that he became a stud, best case is they would have gotten their money's worth.

 
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EJ's play so far today is pretty good proof of the idiocy of Doug Whaley. Zero reason that Cardale shouldn't have played this whole game.

 
GroveDiesel said:
EJ's play so far today is pretty good proof of the idiocy of Doug Whaley. Zero reason that Cardale shouldn't have played this whole game.
Not really. If he's not ready, no reason to put him out there.

 
humpback said:
Obviously take with a grain of salt:

Ian RapoportVerified account@RapSheet


The #Bills job is OC Anthony Lynn's to lose, sources say. BUF is also doing homework on candidates Frank Reich, Teryl Austin, Harold Goodwin

  • 2:57 AM - 1 Jan 2017
 
 




 

Adam SchefterVerified account@AdamSchefter



Former Jaguars HC Gus Bradley is planning to follow Anthony Lynn to any HC job he lands, per sources, creating a Lynn-Bradley ticket.

3:06 AM - 1 Jan 2017
Maybe Bradley can recommend a good o-line coach for the new staff.

 
I don't really care that they lost, meaningless game, injuries, backups, whatever....but this wasn't exactly a ringing endorsement for Anthony Lynn as a head coach.

 
I don't really care that they lost, meaningless game, injuries, backups, whatever....but this wasn't exactly a ringing endorsement for Anthony Lynn as a head coach.
I hate to judge the guy when he's stuck with EJ and a rookie and no McCoy.  And the stupid KO thing was a good example of what the next guy is supposed to fix thanks to Rex -- not Lynn's fault.  That said, the whole team sleptwalked through the game.

 
Also, I'm now pretty firmly of the opinion that we should be picking up Taylor's option.  Our other two QBs are clearly not the answer, and Taylor was not the problem to be fixed.  And there's nothing else out there.

Or #### it all and just tank.  That's what we're doing if we go into next year with just Jones.

 
BTW, Reggie Bush finished the season with -3 rushing yards.

When I get back from dinner I'm gonna go dig up that post where I tried to convince some McCoy owner that Gillislee was the handcuff and to not waste a pick on Bush....

 
Honestly, if the Bills don't bring Tyrod back and assuming they don't get, like, Tony Romo....there's no way this team wins more than 7 games next year right?

 
ConnSKINS26 said:
Whaley saying he had no input on the Rex firing and wasn't there for the conversation.

That's....wild.
Wow, and him admitting it isn't exactly a wise move. He might already know he's out, too, if he's coming out and saying something like that.

 
Steve Tasker said:
Honestly, if the Bills don't bring Tyrod back and assuming they don't get, like, Tony Romo....there's no way this team wins more than 7 games next year right?
What's the college prospects like? I'm don't follow it close, but I was under the impression that there were a few good QBs coming out. That kid from Clemson. Kizer from ND. There's another too I can't recall. I'm sure one could be had with the 11th pick.

 
Watched that presser and glad they hammered Whaley.  Guy is in over his head.  Needs to step down.  Drafts, FA, handling of media all show his lack of understanding his position.  

 
What's the college prospects like? I'm don't follow it close, but I was under the impression that there were a few good QBs coming out. That kid from Clemson. Kizer from ND. There's another too I can't recall. I'm sure one could be had with the 11th pick.
Mitch Trubisky from UNC has rocketed up the draft boards and looks to be a top 5 pick at this point, though a ####ty performance in his bowl game could hurt.  Deshaun Watson (Clemson) and Deshone Kizer (ND) should be early-to-mid first round picks.  One or both could be available at the Bills pick, or they could both be gone.  Watson could probably be a plug-and-play replacement for Tyrod in terms of offensive strategy.  Trubisky has really only 1 year of play to go on but put up some decent numbers for a better-than-expected UNC, save for a 13/33 for 58 yards and 2 INT game in a 34-3 loss to Virginia Tech during Hurricane Matthew.  Kizer can run but seems to be more of a pocket passer than Watson.   That said, I was consistently unimpressed with him when watching ND this season.  They were a disaster and he was not capable of putting them on his back when they needed it. 

Brad Kaaya (Miami) and Davis Webb (Cal) are 2nd-4th round talents but neither really stood out much to me in college.  Kaaya has been starting for awhile and consistently has solid-but-unspectacular stats and the Canes finish with a solid-but-unspectacular record every year.  Webb is a Texas Tech transfer and they throw it all over the field but they were below .500.  Texas Tech's Pat Mahomes looks like a 2nd round prospect if he declares, but it's always tough to analyze Texas Tech QBs in that system.  Chad Kelly was hyped before the season but with the injury history and off-field issues in the Buffalo area, I'd be surprised if the Bills were overly interested in him.

 

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