Team JWB:
1.9 Mark Andrews, TE, BAL - Drafted as TE2. Finished last season as TE3 in ppg and TE5 while missing 2 games. More importantly, Jackson missed the final 5 games Andrews played in. Andrews was TE2 in both ppg and total points in the first 13 weeks when Jackson played. Expecting playoff points. Really just looking for a safe pick here and think I got that. Honestly, surprised he lasted to pick 9.
2.8 Davante Adams, WR, LVR - Drafted as WR8. Finished last season as WR5 in ppg and WR6 in total points. There is some risk here given that the Raiders are going to be a bad team, and the move from Carr to Garoppolo may not be a positive, but Adams should still be a target hog. No chance of playoff points.
3.9 D.K. Metcalf, WR, SEA - Drafted as WR17. Finished last season as WR12 in total points. The risk is whether or not Geno can repeat his unexpected performance last season. The Seahawks certainly think he can, and I see no reason to disagree. Playoff points are possible, maybe likely. Would have drafted Waddle, but
@Anarchy99 sniped him the pick before.
4.8 Mike Williams, WR, LAC - Drafted as WR24. Finished last season as WR23 in ppg and WR37 in total points despite playing just 13 of 18 games, including some partial games. I'm expecting the Chargers offense to be a top 3 offense this year, and I want as many players in that offense as possible. Expecting playoff points.
In this format, my objective in the first 4 rounds is to try to target safe, productive players, and I think I did that here. I usually focus exclusively on TE and WR in the first 4 rounds, as I did here.
5.9 J.K. Dobbins, RB, BAL - Drafted as RB19. Finished last season as RB25 in ppg and RB45 in total points, but he missed 9 games. More importantly, he is in line to be RB1 in a good offense, and his metrics when healthy over the past 2 seasons (admittedly, not many games) are very strong. Expecting playoff points.
6.8 Gerald Everett, TE, LAC - Drafted as TE15. Finished last season as TE10 in ppg and TE8 in total points, despite missing a game. Again, I want players in the Chargers offense this season, and I expect playoff points.
7.9 Giants, TMQB, NYG - Drafted as TMQB16. Finished last season as TMQB6. There is reason for optimism that Jones can improve in his second year in Daboll's offense. Playoff points are possible, maybe likely. Would have drafted Miami TMQB, but, again, sniped by
@Anarchy99.
8.8 Broncos, TMQB, DEN - Drafted as TMQB19. Finished last season as TMQB22, but that was in 15 games with Nathaniel Hackett as head coach, directing the worst offensive scheme in the league. The Broncos TMQB was #3 in the league in weeks 17-18, after Hackett was fired, though that is a ridiculously small sample size, plus some quality QBs didn't play in week 18. Still, there is reason to expect a rebound under new HC Payton. Do not expect playoff points, though.
9.9 Quentin Johnston, WR, LAC - Drafted as WR56. Should be WR3/4 for the Chargers. Like I wrote above, I expect the Chargers offense to be a top 3 passing offense this year, and I want as many players in that offense as possible. Expecting playoff points.
At the midway point, the draft had gone about as I had planned. Waiting on RBs is my normal approach in this format, as is drafting my TMQBs somewhere in the 10-20 range.
10.8 Jeff Wilson, RB, MIA - Drafted as RB44. Finished last season as RB24 in total points and RB31 in ppg, so might have been a great value pick here... if he didn't subsequently go on IR.
Hoping he will be back after missing the first 4 games. Playoff points are possible.
11.9 Cade Otton, TE, TB - Drafted as TE31. Finished last season as TE22, so could be a solid value here, although he obviously has to deal with a QB downgrade. I already had a plan for my last WR, and I preferred to draft a TE over a RB since late TEs generally outscore late RBs in this format. Not expecting playoff points.
12.8 Chuba Hubbard, RB, CAR - Drafted as RB52. He was RB40 after McCaffrey was traded to SF last season, despite missing 2 of those 11 games. He should have a shot at 100 points this season, which is solid value this deep in the RB draft. Not expecting playoff points.
13.9 Jason Myers - Drafted as PK10. Finished last season as PK4. Not much to say other than that I wanted two PKs who would not be at risk for getting cut, and drafted the first one here. He plays in a dome, and playoff points are possible.
@Anarchy99 struck again, sniping Dicker the pick before mine.
14.8 Chad Ryland, PK, NE - Drafted as PK14. Last year, Folk was the NE PK and finished as PK13, despite playing for a team with no offensive coordinator. The offense should be better this season, with greater opportunity for PK points. Playoff points are possible.
I have always wanted to avoid waiting until the end for PKs in this format, since 32 are drafted... inevitably, a few teams suffer from drafting a PK who gets cut, and that is hard to overcome in this format. Mission accomplished there.
15.9 Josh Palmer, WR, LAC - Drafted as WR75. Finished as WR39 last season, but that was largely because Allen and Williams combined to miss 12 games. Should be WR3/4 for the Chargers. Another bet on the Chargers offense. Expecting playoff points.
16.8 Josh Kelley, RB, LAC - Drafted as RB59. Finished as RB65 last season. Should be RB2 for the Chargers. Under new OC Kellen Moore, I expect that role will be more valuable than it was under Joe Lombardi. Another bet on the Chargers offense. Expecting playoff points.
17.9 Giants, DST, NYG - Drafted as DST25. Finished last season as DST27, but the defenses from DST18 to DST29 were clustered within 20 points on the season. Playoff points seem possible, and I was seeking to maximize games at this draft position.
18.8 Cardinals, DST, ARI - Drafted as DST29. Finished last season as DST22, but possibly in full tank mode now... No playoff points.
I tend to follow the same loose strategy every year in this format. Maybe this is the year it pays off! In this case, my team is tied heavily to the Chargers, so this team won't likely be successful unless the Chargers have a top 3 offense, as I expect.