Is it possible that Cignetti decides to stay at Indiana, especially if he wins it all? Seems like he's got everything he needs right now to succeed and they LOVE him there. He's no spring chicken, maybe this is where he wants to be? It's lovely in Bloomington. Lots of limestone. Nice trees. Midwest nice people.
Penn St has money. Not only to spend on the contract but what they spend on the program. $80 million for 23-24 versus Indiana's $34 million in the same time span. Penn St has the money to not only spend on the program but to spend on making pretty much anyone think twice about their salary upgrade.
But...
Penn St's strong recruiting class is being blown up with this and assuming Indiana make playoffs and goes deep then he will be coming in to a program hobbled. Sure, he could do another JMU and bring half of the roster with him to Penn St but that puts you in a bad position. As a HC, I would look at the fact that Franklin brought this program back up from a has been to meaningful again and paid a small bank to get rid of him as a spot that would tell me that there is a short leash that could get yanked on hard at any moment. Meanwhile, at Indiana, he has made a never was program relevant and is a god of that entire state now. Things go south a bit and he will still be a god and have a chance to bring it back.
He has shown that money isn't the only thing to building a program. He can stay in Indiana and be the man even if they do not get that Championship ever. If he did, he is a legend. Or he can chase the money to go to Penn St and even with the smallest stumble be seen as a money grubbing fool. I mean, Kelly is seen as a big clown now with LSU and that is the same set up that Cignetti could stumble into if he did it. And that way that Cignetti talks in interviews, it will not take much to make him look like an even bigger clown than Kelly.
Rhule makes much more sense to me. If Cignetti bolted, it would be obvious it was a $$$ thing. If Rhule left, I am not going to hold it against an alum to go back to their school if they have the chance to do so. Rhule could make the change and I think most people would think "makes sense".