ignatiusjreilly
Footballguy
Sam Darnold was so bad last night, he may have cost Aaron Glenn his HC opportunity. Teams will be like, "In retrospect, Week 18 wasn't all that impressive."
Or maybe it will be looked at that Glenn showed other teams the best way to defend and get after Darnold.Sam Darnold was so bad last night, he may have cost Aaron Glenn his HC opportunity. Teams will be like, "In retrospect, Week 18 wasn't all that impressive."
Had to look this up. Earlier in the season it had a perfect record, but from Week 7 on teams went 6-5 the week after facing Detroit, so less predictiveThe Honolulu Flu strikes again!
How many carries do you guys think Montgomery gets? Back to his usual workload?Dan Campbell on Facing Commanders, David Montgomery, and More
Coach's weekly 10 minute segment on 97.1 with Costa & Jansen
Depends on what Monty can handle, impossible to know at this point. Gibbs has been incredible though, so I doubt they have any plan to take the ball out his hands too much.How many carries do you guys think Montgomery gets? Back to his usual workload?Dan Campbell on Facing Commanders, David Montgomery, and More
Coach's weekly 10 minute segment on 97.1 with Costa & Jansen
I have the first pick in a fantasy draft that drafts every week, and am torn between Gibbs and Barkley and Henry. Had decided on Gibbs until hearing Monty is back. Will this cut into Gibbs a lot?
How many carries do you guys think Montgomery gets? Back to his usual workload?Dan Campbell on Facing Commanders, David Montgomery, and More
Coach's weekly 10 minute segment on 97.1 with Costa & Jansen
I have the first pick in a fantasy draft that drafts every week, and am torn between Gibbs and Barkley and Henry. Had decided on Gibbs until hearing Monty is back. Will this cut into Gibbs a lot?
ya, tough call there.Depends on what Monty can handle, impossible to know at this point. Gibbs has been incredible though, so I doubt they have any plan to take the ball out his hands too much.How many carries do you guys think Montgomery gets? Back to his usual workload?Dan Campbell on Facing Commanders, David Montgomery, and More
Coach's weekly 10 minute segment on 97.1 with Costa & Jansen
I have the first pick in a fantasy draft that drafts every week, and am torn between Gibbs and Barkley and Henry. Had decided on Gibbs until hearing Monty is back. Will this cut into Gibbs a lot?
This is what Chris Harris (the fantasy podcaster, not the former DB) calls a "Type 2 question". There's no way to know without knowing how healthy he is, and they're not going to tell us that informationHow many carries do you guys think Montgomery gets? Back to his usual workload?Dan Campbell on Facing Commanders, David Montgomery, and More
Coach's weekly 10 minute segment on 97.1 with Costa & Jansen
I have the first pick in a fantasy draft that drafts every week, and am torn between Gibbs and Barkley and Henry. Had decided on Gibbs until hearing Monty is back. Will this cut into Gibbs a lot?
Just a fricking outstanding article. These are the details I as a Lions fan want to know.Finding a fresh start
Hamp started every interview by being blunt with the candidates, describing the organization’s past mistakes as well as her vision.
“She would talk about the history of how we got to where we are, and philosophically, what she wanted to see going forward,” Disner said. “It's representing the community, the organization, her family, to the point where we are cohesive, working together, no real siloes, and ultimately, working together toward a common goal, as opposed to … “
Well, the way they had been doing it.
“She was very clear in terms of the direction the organization wanted to take and the pitfalls of the organization’s past,” Disner said.
They didn’t want to bring in a GM and coach from the same organization — that would be trying to copy somebody else.
The Lions were trying to create their own culture. They were looking for new leadership. Someone who would embrace it. But it was a complicated process. During every interview, they had to define Spielman’s role, because it was so unusual.
“It could be intimidating,” Wood said. “If you were coming in as a GM, well, who is this gonna be, this guy who played for the Lions, legendary player? He could be the GM. His brother is a GM.
"And same thing on the coaching side. So, we kind of described it as, he's here to help us. He's not looking to do your job. He's not looking to overlook you. And I think it would only work with somebody like Chris.”
Brad Holmes finds a home
When Holmes interviewed, he came across as smart, incredibly prepared and offered a sharp analysis of the state of the Lions.
“He blew us all away,” Hamp said. “He said things about our team specifically that no one else had said. His insights were incredible for someone who wasn't here.”
Holmes remembers how that interview was just so unusual.
“It just felt different,” he said. “It felt home, like family. It felt like it was a conversation.”
In the interview, Hamp made clear she wanted an organization built on collaboration.
“But it wasn't an in-depth conversation about culture,” Holmes said.
It was clear to him the Lions had “thoroughly did their homework, research and vetting thoroughly enough to know” what he stood for before they even interviewed him.
“I probably spoke more about my background and my upbringing and those kinds of things,” Holmes said, “more so than what kind of culture you need to have.”
Tell me about Dan Campbell
At the same time, the Lions were trying to find a coach, which was like trying to build a house, while trying to hire a general contractor at the same time the architect was drawing up the plans.
It was a whirlwind.
Spielman had noticed Campbell while calling his games on TV.
“I watched him,” he said. “Because he draws you to him. If you're a competitor or you're a player, you're drawn to that. He has an aura or that it quality factor.” Spielman called then-New Orleans head coach Sean Payton, who had known Campbell for years, both as a player and from working with him as a coach.
“Tell me about Dan Campbell,” Spielman said. Payton talked for 28 straight minutes.
“He didn't stop,” Spielman said. ”I was looking on my watch — 28 minutes.”
Campbell was put on the list of candidates. But he was just a name on a list that kept morphing.
An interview for the ages
Campbell’s interview has become something of lore in Allen Park.
“Dan's interview was probably the most unique,” Disner said. “He was at a random hotel in New Orleans, I believe, and he was jumping off the screen. He was up in his seat. He was crushing the biggest Starbucks I've ever seen. You know, at one point he kind of did one of these — “
Disner mimicked slamming a gulp of coffee. Like somebody guzzling a mug of beer.
“Just threw it down,” Disner said. “You could feel the energy through Zoom, which is really hard to do. And Brad, too, you know, there were two people that you could feel the energy. You could feel the desire and how they wanted to come here and make a difference.”
Whatever makes a leader, Wood could see it in Campbell: “Some people just have it, and whatever the it factor is, Dan has it, you know, in spades. And it came through in the interview, same with Brad.”
While searching for a coach can seem like speed dating, this was different at its core. It was clear both Holmes and Campbell wanted the job desperately. During their interviews, it was clear both had done extensive research on the Lions, the city, the team’s history, the ownership and had ideas on how the organization could succeed.
“Dan desperately, passionately wanted the job,” Spielman said. “Wanted to come here. He wanted to be a part of what Detroit was doing. He believed in Sheila’s vision.”
Spielman picked up on something else he deemed vital.
“The other thing that really sold me on him, and I'll never forget this, he said, ‘I will get good coaches to come with me,’ ” Spielman said. “He said that without any arrogance or without any cockiness.
And the reason why that's so important in this world, sometimes coaches are afraid to hire guys that are maybe smarter than them or better than them, because they may view them as a threat. He's not.
"He's so confident in his ability and what he does. He wants to hire guys that may have strengths that he does not have, because we all don't have every strength. And so that's what really sold me.”
Now remember, this was done during COVID-19. At a time when the world was adjusting to Zoom calls. But that didn’t stop either Holmes or Campbell.
“When a leader stands out, through a one-dimensional screen — and both Dan and Brad stood out, exuding leadership in that kind of tough environment — you say, ‘Oh, this is interesting,’ ” Wood
said. “Let's learn more about this person.”
Revealing the Stafford news
Then came the tricky part. The elephant in the room — oh, by the way, you don’t have a quarterback.
“So how did they react?” I asked. “I'll start with Brad,” Wood said. “And I said, ‘well, before you take the job, oh, here's something you should know.‘ ” But Holmes didn’t blink.
“He said, ‘Oh, OK, let's go,' ” Wood said, slamming his fist on the table. “ 'Let's figure this out. I can really build my team, as opposed to one I inherited, and one I have to build around him.' ”
While going through different interviews, Wood preferred GM candidates with a strong draft background because he figured they would get a haul in trading Stafford.
What did Campbell say, when told that they were going to trade Stafford?
“Dan said the same thing — ‘Let's go. Let's go!’ ” Wood remembers.
There was one last but vital question: How would they work together? The Lions were about to hire Holmes and Campbell, even though they had never met.
“I introduced them via cellphone,” Wood said.
“You guys talk,” Wood said. “Because you're likely going to be working together, and I want to make sure that they see the world the same way.”
That’s where there was a bit of luck, too. It was like they were meant to be together.
“Brad said, ‘Did he read my book?’ ” Hamp said. “They were so on the same page about everything — what kind of team they wanted to build, what kind of players, so we were pretty sure, you know.”
The next day, the Lions hired Campbell. It would be disingenuous to say the Lions knew this would work out so spectacularly. “That was a little bit of luck,” Hamp admitted.
At its core, this was an arranged marriage. “We thought we were doing the right thing, but, you know, it could have blown up,” she said.
It took tremendous courage for a brand-new owner to hire a first-time GM and a first-time coach. There were all kinds of examples in the NFL where that had failed in the past.
“Big reward comes with big risks sometimes,” Wood said. But they trusted their process, guided by the principles on that whiteboard.
“We were pretty sure these were the right people,” Hamp said. “Dan, of course, played on the 0-and-16 team. He was in Detroit for a couple years and he and his wife, Holly, loved the city. And he has seen the team at probably its worst and still loved everything about it and really wanted to be here.”
But hiring Campbell and Holmes was just the first step.
Coming Monday: Part Two, Brad Holmes defines the on-field product.
That quote from Stafford about hopefully he can go somewhere and win a SB and the team can use the draft picks to build a contender was amazing!Learning what makes real culture
After firing Patricia and Quinn, there were all kinds of questions.
“Who is the interview group?” Hamp asked. “How were we going to do this?”
One thing was clear — Hamp didn’t want to hire an outside firm to help identify candidates because they had already tried that and it didn’t work.
“It goes back to the (coach Jim) Caldwell days,” Wood said.
In 2015, after Firestone fired president Tom Lewand and GM Martin Mayhew, the Lions used outside help to pick a new GM.
“The rest of that season we didn't have a GM,” Wood said. “I was brand-new in this role, and working with Jim (Caldwell), and then trying to figure out how to hire.”
They brought in Ernie Accorsi, a longtime NFL executive, hoping he would identify somebody from a winning team who would bring winning to Detroit.
“Everybody tried to import a winning culture,” Wood said.
So, the Lions back then tried to import the Patriots Way, hiring Quinn and then he eventually hired Patricia, which didn’t work.
“I didn't really know that many people (around the NFL at that time),” Wood said. “I think I learned how important it is to know more people and not rely upon somebody who's not going to be here and have to live with the results. Ernie was very good, but he moved on.”
The Lions were left with the New England Patriots culture. Without the winning. Without the great coach, Bill Belichick. Without legendary quarterback Tom Brady.
And it failed spectacularly.
The lesson? Hamp and Wood discovered it’s impossible to bring in another team’s culture. You can’t import it. It has to grow from within.
“We decided we're not going to go to the league,” Hamp said. “We're not going to ask for their help. That's what happened before, right? Didn't work out too well. Yes, we can handle this.”
Hamp wanted Wood to be on the selection committee. That was a given.
“I've known Rod for many years,” Hamp said. “He was head of our family office before he became the president. We've worked together for a long time and I love Rod. He’s great. But we thought we need to — or I knew — I needed some help on the football side."
Hamp had no doubt that everybody they would interview would be qualified, but she worried about something else.
“How am I going to know if they're really blowing football smoke at me?” she asked.
“What do you think about Chris (Spielman)?” Wood asked about one of the greatest Lions to ever play.
“I think that'd be great,” she said.
Spielman, who had strong NFL contacts, was working as a TV analyst and still had a few games left on his contract.
“I actually sent him a text while he was calling a game,” Wood said. “I said ‘give me a call and let me run something by you.’ ”
At first, the plan was to have Spielman vet some candidates and help do interviews. Not much more than that.
“Then we started talking, and then he got all excited about it,” Wood said.
“Chris is sort of the consummate Detroit Lion, loves this team,” Hamp said. “So I called Chris, and sort of just talked about how we wanted to change things, how I saw it, and he was just intrigued at the idea of coming in and changing an organization.”
Spielman didn’t really know Hamp that well but he sensed her passion.
“Like a lot of people in Detroit, it was personal for her, obviously, because it's her family, and they own the team, and it was her shot at it,” he said. “For her to be able to assemble the amount of people, the right people, and put them in place, was very important to her. And you could hear her passion for Detroit. You could hear the passion for Lions fans and for the team. And she was just,
‘I think we got to do this. We have to do it.’
“So it was her resolve, and her love of the team and the city that really came through.”
The more they talked, the bigger the idea became. Spielman wanted to help in any way possible.
“Then that kind of just morphed into, would you want to come work here full-time?” Wood said. “That was within two days, basically.”
What would his role be?
“I said, ‘Well, we'll figure it out as we go,’ ” Wood said.
Searching for what they wanted
The four-person selection team was set: Hamp, Wood, Spielman and Mike Disner, a rising star in the organization.
Disner is an important name for fans to know because some believe he is positioned to become the next Lions president, whenever Wood retires. He interviewed for the Carolina Panthers GM job in 2024.
“Disner was fabulous,” Hamp said. “Our salary cap guru at the time.”
Hamp, Wood, Disner and Spielman were being thrown into a foxhole together, trying to figure out who to hire; and the task was herculean. The Lions had been trying to find a winning culture, that could be sustained, since 1957 — the team’s last title.
“We spent a lot of time, ahead of time, thinking about what are we really looking for?” Hamp said.
In the past, the organization had tried just about everything: young coaches and old ones, retreads and new treads, defensive-minded coaches and offensive ones, not to mention, Tom Izzo’s best friend. But the losing was so pervasive that Wayne Fontes, the winningest coach in team history, actually had a losing record (66-67).
As far as GMs, they tried everything from older schoolers to a converted TV guy to someone from the New England tree.
In short, nothing had worked for long.
The futility could be measured not only in years, but in decades, if not lifetimes.
So, instead of trying to fix the organization piecemeal, which is what the Lions had done countless times, churning through different GMs and coaches, they started to develop a much bigger plan. To change the organization at its core.
“What is your vision, Sheila?” Spielman asked. “What do you want? What type of team do you want? What type of organization do you want?”
As they brainstormed, trying to come up with the guiding principles of this new organization, Spielman wrote the cornerstones on a whiteboard:
Under staff, Spielman drew three arrows: “Manage, find the best and handling turnover.”
- 1.Leadership.
- 2.Culture.
- 3.Staff.
Handling turnover? It’s ironic, now, that the Lions have become so successful that everybody is trying to poach their coordinators and even Spielman, who just completed a virtual interview for the New York Jets GM role. But it’s also interesting this organization started preparing for turnover before it even started to taste success.
Out on the margin, Spielman drew an arrow pointing at culture: “Stay focused on this,” he wrote and underlined four times.
In Hamp’s mind, it went back to her “noble cause.”
“We wanted somebody that understood the city, understood kind of where the city had been, where it's going, kind of understanding our fans,” she said.
Hamp, Wood, Disner and Spielman all signed the whiteboard on 12/29/2020; then Holmes and Campbell signed it after they were hired, like it was a binding agreement.
Now, a framed copy hangs in their offices.
At this point, you could roll your eyes and say: Those are just buzzwords.
Or you could scoff: A noble cause? Get real.
But when you consider how this organization has been transformed, when you learn how those guiding principles determined whom they hired and how they built this organization and even how they select players, when you find how the rest of the NFL is trying to copy the Lions' way or just flat out poach their coaching talent, when you see how the fan base has become electrified from all the success — a noble cause indeed — the words on that whiteboard seem even bigger. They offer a road map on how they did it.
It explains why they were willing to risk hiring Holmes and Campbell.
“We have got a lot of great stories on this team,” Hamp said. “Everyone's in love with Dan Campbell. How can you not be? Dan is Dan. He's really one of the most charismatic leaders I've ever seen in my life. Plus, I think he's one of the most emotionally intelligent people I've ever met.
"You know you listen to his postgame speeches in the locker room, win or lose, he has the right thing to say. I hear him at practice, and he just knows kind of when the team needs maybe a kick in the pants, or whether they need to have fun, or whether they need a little encouragement. I mean, whatever it is, he's just got such a handle on it.”
But how they put together this team is a wild story on its own.
Elephant in the room
They interviewed 12 candidates for the GM job and eight for head coach.
“Each person we interviewed, we'd say, ‘Well, what do you think of our team?’ ” Hamp remembers. “And, you know, they said, ‘Well, at least you have a quarterback, right?' ”
Trouble was. They didn’t. Stafford wanted to be traded.
After every interview, the four would grade the candidates.
“We filled out a grade sheet — kind of like a scouting report,” Spielman said.
“Everyone kind of came at it from a different angle,” Hamp said. “And, you know, we didn't always agree, and that was perfect.”
The list of candidates kept morphing. Holmes wasn’t on the original list, but Disner found a video of a mock interview.
If you wonder if the Lions' success is sustainable, the fact Disner found Holmes in a pile of video clips should be encouraging.
“The NFL has these sort of canned interviews that you can look at,” Hamp said. “They've got tons of them — GMs or presidents, or whatever. And he found Brad's interview, and he said, ‘You guys have to see this guy.’
“And we all did, and we kind of went, whoa.”
ya, tough call there.Depends on what Monty can handle, impossible to know at this point. Gibbs has been incredible though, so I doubt they have any plan to take the ball out his hands too much.How many carries do you guys think Montgomery gets? Back to his usual workload?Dan Campbell on Facing Commanders, David Montgomery, and More
Coach's weekly 10 minute segment on 97.1 with Costa & Jansen
I have the first pick in a fantasy draft that drafts every week, and am torn between Gibbs and Barkley and Henry. Had decided on Gibbs until hearing Monty is back. Will this cut into Gibbs a lot?
Stafford never had any ill will toward the Lions and at that stage of career I get he did not want to start over again. Quite frankly given the Lions history the odds were good that things would not be any better than before.
Lions did very well in the Stafford trade. Just getting Goff would have been pretty equal. Then adding the others made this team what it is. They kept Stafford it would not have been the same.
What was the bottom line for players we ended up with in the Hock trade?
Stafford never had any ill will toward the Lions and at that stage of career I get he did not want to start over again. Quite frankly given the Lions history the odds were good that things would not be any better than before.
Interesting hypothetical: Let's say Stafford was willing to go through another rebuild and they didn't trade him. How would the team have done with him but without the draft capital? That means no Goff, Gibbs, Jamo and LaPorta. But Hutch, Campbell and I think Branch were taken with the team's original picks (ignore for a moment that they would likely have finished with different records and might not have been in a position to draft those guys).Stafford never had any ill will toward the Lions and at that stage of career I get he did not want to start over again. Quite frankly given the Lions history the odds were good that things would not be any better than before.
Lions did very well in the Stafford trade. Just getting Goff would have been pretty equal. Then adding the others made this team what it is. They kept Stafford it would not have been the same.
What was the bottom line for players we ended up with in the Hock trade?
I remember you posting the final tally on the picks we got back + Goff. Do you remember the specific players?Maybe the best win-win trade in league history.
I remember you posting the final tally on the picks we got back + Goff. Do you remember the specific players?Maybe the best win-win trade in league history.
Stafford never had any ill will toward the Lions and at that stage of career I get he did not want to start over again. Quite frankly given the Lions history the odds were good that things would not be any better than before.
Lions did very well in the Stafford trade. Just getting Goff would have been pretty equal. Then adding the others made this team what it is. They kept Stafford it would not have been the same.
What was the bottom line for players we ended up with in the Hock trade?![]()
T.J. Hockenson Trade Revisited: Who Were the Real Winners and Losers From Minnesota Vikings-Detroit Lions Trade?
The Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings managed a surprisingly fair trade involving T.J. Hockenson. We recap it and find the winners and losers.www.profootballnetwork.com
Another aspect is that Goff if he continues his current play level will likely still be playing for the Lions at a time when Stafford is retired. There is a 6 1/2 year age difference between the two.Stafford never had any ill will toward the Lions and at that stage of career I get he did not want to start over again. Quite frankly given the Lions history the odds were good that things would not be any better than before.
Lions did very well in the Stafford trade. Just getting Goff would have been pretty equal. Then adding the others made this team what it is. They kept Stafford it would not have been the same.
What was the bottom line for players we ended up with in the Hock trade?
Interesting. I really think Daniels is a one-of-one (or maybe a one-of-two, since he has a lot of similarities with Lamar). Lions should win, but if they make a few mistakes and give him the opportunity, he is absolutely capable of putting the team on his back and pulling off the upsetLions film review: Separating fact from fiction regarding the defense's handling of mobile quarterbacks this season
@jon_mx any Lions bets this weekend? I bet them -8.5 at the open and DEF/ST TD at +500 (thinking a healthier Raymond and Arnold help this cause). I looked though all (4) apps I use to try and find a TD by an OL, but the best I found is you can find Skipper on FanDuel but no bets yet. I'd be fun to put a buck or two on Sewell, Decker and Skip (or just an OL as I have seen this type of prop before) as I am sure the bag of trick plays is wide open.
How big of a downgrade is it from Zeitler to Mahogany?
Yeah, if it were a Buffalo-Detroit Super Bowl I would root like hell for the Lions but, if they lost, would be genuinely happy for the Bills fans in my life.Playoff rooting guide for casual fans looking for a team to adopt:
Most Super Bowl Appearances, remaining teams
Most Super Bowl Wins, remaining teams
- Chiefs 6
- Redskins 5
- Rams 5
- Eagles 4
- Bills 4
- Ravens 2
- Texans 0
Lions 0
Acceptable teams are in bold
- Chiefs 4
- Redskins 3
- Ravens 2
- Rams 2
- Eagles 1
- Bills 0 (1 of 12 teams to have never won the Super Bowl)
Texans 0 (1 of 4 teams to have never appeared in a Super Bowl)
Lions 0
Is that the 2025 equivalent of trading steak for hamburger?How big of a downgrade is it from Zeitler to Mahogany?
McLaren 720S to a Corvette ZR1
Listening to the Mina Kimes Show she said Washington runs no huddle more than any other team in NFL, dramatically more.
Lions rank 30th in defense against no huddle.
Also said Washington goes for it on 4th down a bunch and leads the NFL in success rate.
This looks like a shoot out.
Hopefully Daniels loses his composure.
Lions run game should carve Washington up.
No-Huddle Havoc
One aspect that makes the Commanders offense unique is their reliance, and unified mastery, of a no-huddle offense helmed by Daniels. It’s something they have incorporated at an absurdly high frequency throughout the year, as the Kingsbury offense often does, in part to ease Daniels’ transition to the NFL.
Daniels played 1,079 snaps in the regular season and an overwhelmingly league-leading 673 of the snaps (62.4%) were out of no-huddle. No other quarterback ran more than 290 snaps out of no-huddle. Daniels had 388 out of his 599 total dropbacks out of no-huddle (64.8%) which translated to 18.1 no-huddle attempts per game—the most as far back as FTN’s data goes (2019).
The Commanders no-huddle approach allows them to dictate the defensive personnel on the field, and prevent them from fully communicating their defensive arsenal of plays while tiring out some of the defenders on the field.
This season, from no-huddle, Daniels produced 2,147 passing yards (first), 13 passing touchdowns (first), and 109 first downs (first). Interestingly though, those impressive counting statistics, don’t translate to some efficiency metrics.
From no-huddle this season, Daniels also produced 7.0 yards/attempt (t-14th), 66.1% completion percentage (18th), seven interceptions (most in the NFL), +0.66 EPA/dropback (18th), 3.1 YAC/Attempt (18th), 48.9% success rate (19th), and only a 7.5% explosive rate (24th). Every single one of those passing metrics is worse when Daniels runs no-huddle versus when they huddle normally.
One advantage to the no-huddle is the improved success Daniels has toting the rock, which is likely part of the rationale. When doing so, Daniels’ results on the ground totaled 579 rushing yards (first), 6.4 yards/carry (fifth), 37 first downs (first), 0.39 EPA/attempt (third), 6.4% DVOA (sixth), 59.3% success rate (sixth), 12.1 avoided tackle rate (third), 5.3 yards before contact (fifth), and 1.1 yards after contact (first).
Overall as a rushing offense, when it comes to no-huddle, the Commanders 309 rushing attempts is 148 more rushing attempts than the next closest team this season. Their 111 no-huddle rushing first downs is 56 more than the next closest team. From no-huddle, they average 5.3 yards/carry (fifth), +0.22 EPA/attempt (eighth), 55.3% success rate (10th), 3.1 yards before contact (sixth), and 14.9% explosive rush rate (seventh). The fact that those efficiency metrics are all top 10, despite their frequent tendency to do so, is quite impressive. The Commanders’ no-huddle attack on the ground is their strength on that side of the ball aside from Daniels’ magic-making on late downs.
Having Alex Anzalone back for the Lions defense is a major benefit for a number of reasons but in particular with no-huddle assignment and alignment communication.
The Lions defense has faced 89 dropbacks (14th) from no-huddle passing and only 31 rushing attempts (23rd) from it this season. The discrepancy is likely based on opposing teams no-huddle efforts against them being when the opponents are trailing and attempting to make up the deficit. Facing the Bears twice this season was good preparation for the no-huddle, as they run it the second most in the league and accounted for 21.6% of the no-huddle snaps the Lions faced.
Against no-huddle passing, the Lions defense has fared decently in making plays. They’ve allowed only a 59.0% completion percentage (sixth), 7.6 yards/attempt (23rd), +0.06 EPA/dropback (17th), a 48.7% success rate (13th), forced a 5.1% throwaway rate (sixth), had 13 pass break-ups (fifth), and recorded three interceptions (t-third).
But as highlighted above, passing hasn’t been the strength of the Commanders no-huddle offense. It’s a limited sample size, 31 carries, but the Lions run defense regresses mightily when defending it from no-huddle.
From no-huddle, the Lions defense has allowed 5.7 yards/carry (29th), +0.32 EPA/carry (29th), 71.0% success rate (31st), 3.3 yards before contact (28th), 2.4 yards after contact (25th), a 29.0% avoided tackle rate (31st), and a 19.4% explosion rate (29th). They devolve into one of the worst run defenses when the opposing offense doesn’t huddle.
The Lions defense will need to key in on not letting the Commanders catch them off guard after a successful first or second down play or after converting for a new set of downs. I’ll be keeping an eye on if the Lions still lean into their base defense usage, as they did for a majority of the season, or if the Commanders’ no-huddle frequency has them playing more nickel, as they’ve done so more recently. Regardless, it’s safe to assume that Aaron Glenn has been hammering home their strategy in defending the hurry up in this week’s preparation.
I just grabbed another flier for a few bucks. Thinking of the potential pass play where Jamo had the ball to possibly pass, but ate the ball, has Zylstra wide open. He is now +3200 for an anytime TD.My flyer is Tim Patrick first TD +2200. Just a hunch.
Interesting. I really think Daniels is a one-of-one (or maybe a one-of-two, since he has a lot of similarities with Lamar). Lions should win, but if they make a few mistakes and give him the opportunity, he is absolutely capable of putting the team on his back and pulling off the upsetLions film review: Separating fact from fiction regarding the defense's handling of mobile quarterbacks this season