Allen Park — We’re days away from the Detroit Lions establishing the team’s initial 53-man roster. This is the stretch run of the offseason, with one joint practice and the preseason finale against the Houston Texans to round out the evaluations.
With no media access on Wednesday, let’s take aim at where the roster stands, starting with who we view as the roster locks.
Offense
QB Jared Goff, RB Jahmyr Gibbs, RB David Montgomery, RB Craig Reynolds, RB Sione Vaki, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR Jameson Williams, WR Isaac TeSlaa, WR Kalif Raymond, TE Sam LaPorta, TE Brock Wright, OT Penei Sewell, OT Taylor Decker, OT Giovanni Manu, G Christian Mahogany, OL Graham Glasgow, OL Tate Ratlege
Defense
Edge Aidan Hutchinson, Edge Marcus Davenport, Edge Al-Quadin Muhammad, DT DJ Reader, DT Tyleik Williams, DT Roy Lopez, LB Alex Anzalone, LB Jack Campbell, LB Derrick Barnes, LB Grant Stuard, CB Terrion Arnold, CB DJ Reed, CB Amik Robertson, DB Avonte Maddox, DB Rock Ya-Sin, S Kerby Joseph, S Brian Branch
Specialists
P Jack Fox, K Jake Bates, LS Hogan Hatten
Now the near-locks. These are guys I’m not willing to slap the 100% label on, but they’re not far off. If any were left off the initial roster, I’d be surprised.
Offense: QB Kyle Allen, WR Tim Patrick, OT Dan Skipper
Defense: DT Pat O’Connor, LB Trevor Nowaske, CB Khalil Dorsey
There are also a handful of injured players who make the above lists if healthy. That includes the obvious, like defensive tackle Alim McNeill and linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez. Also in this group are the unknowns, led by defensive lineman Josh Paschal and rookie Ahmed Hassanein.
Paschal has been on the non-football injury all training camp, with the latest intel being that he’ll be ready to practice in September. Does that mean he stays on NFI the first four weeks of the season? We can’t say for certain.
As for Hassanein, he suffered a pec injury in last weekend’s preseason game against the Dolphins. He posted on social media that he won't require surgery, only “time to heal.” Still, there’s a reasonable chance he starts the season on injured reserve. The team has the right to put two players on that list during cutdown day without them counting toward the 53-man roster. Hassanein feels like a strong candidate.
Not counting the injured players, that’s 43 locks or near locks. That leaves 10 spots up for grabs. Below are the candidates for those jobs, and our assessment of each of them earning one.
Quarterback Hendon Hooker
Hooker’s clear improvements on the practice field haven’t translated to the preseason games, where he’s posted a dismal 36.1 passer rating and lost two fumbles. Allen has essentially won the backup job, with Hooker’s chances of sticking hinging on whether Detroit wants to carry three quarterbacks to continue the former third-round pick’s development.
Roster odds: 55%
Wide receiver Tim Patrick
Yes, we put Patrick in the near-lock category above. Still, allow me to explain the thought process.
Patrick was a key piece last season, coming in after camp and solving the team’s need for a third receiver. Returning from two devastating leg injuries, the big and physical pass-catcher hauled in 33 of 44 targets and was a solid blocker on the perimeter. That earned him a new contract this offseason, which included $2.5 million in guarantees and the chance to earn another $1.5 million in incentives.
However, Patrick has struggled to pick up where he’s left off, while TeSlaa has acclimated far more quickly than imagined. It’s just enough to cast some doubt on the veteran’s job security.
Roster odds: 85%
Wide receiver Dominic Lovett
A seventh-round draft pick, Lovett has been predictably up and down during his inaugural NFL offseason. He’s caught seven of 12 targets for 45 yards, dropped a pass, lost his footing on another route, blocked surprisingly well, contributed on multiple special teams, and drawn a penalty working with those units. The upside and long-term vision as Raymond's replacement should be enough to result in a job.
Roster odds: 70%
Wide receiver Jackson Meeks
Undrafted out of Syracuse, via Georgia, Meeks has made a stellar first impression. He’s a traditional X receiver who is a physical blocker and comfortable in contested-catch situations. He also contributes to multiple special teams, which is a major plus at his position.
His production in the preseason has been impressive. Meeks has 10 catches for 171 yards and two touchdowns in the past two games. That tape could make it difficult to sneak him through waivers and onto the practice squad.
Roster odds: 40%
Tight end Shane Zylstra
If the Lions plan on carrying a third tight end, which feels likely, Zylstra has held the lead in the race from the start of the offseason program to now. The former college receiver demonstrates savviness as a pass-catcher and has steadily improved as a blocker and special teams contributor.
Roster odds: 80%
Tight end Zach Horton
Horton has been a pleasant surprise as an undrafted free agent. He is a good blocker from a variety of alignments, including out of the backfield as an H-back or fullback in the I-formation. His size (6-foot-4, 252 pounds) and understated athleticism as a pass-catching option remind me of Wright when he arrived as an undrafted rookie in 2021.
Horton is probably headed to the practice squad, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him stick around beyond this season.
Roster odds: 15%
Guard Kayode Awosika
Plucked off Philadelphia’s practice squad in the first month of the 2022 season, Awosika has started seven games for the Lions the past three seasons. Yes, he got jumped by Mahogany on the depth chart in the middle of the 2024 season. Still, Awosika continues to be a trusted and valued backup who has regularly seen first-team reps in camp when a starter is hurt or resting.
Roster odds: 80%
Guard Netane Muti
Muti was in the mix for a roster spot last season before suffering a torn pec. He stuck around Detroit for his rehab and signed a futures deal after the season. This camp, he has primarily worked with the second-team offense at both right and left guard.
He’s been OK in the preseason, but has been clearly behind Awosika in the pecking order. If the Lions only keep one of the two, I imagine Muti is the odd man out.
Roster odds: 25%
Offensive lineman Kingsley Eguakun
The trickle down of Frank Ragnow’s retirement has improved the roster chances of Eguakun after he spent his rookie season on Detroit's practice squad.
The former Florida Gator is an elite athlete at the position. However, he can struggle anchoring against bigger, stronger defensive tackles. Still, with Ratledge seeing less and less time at center as the offseason progressed, it’s reasonable to believe the Lions will keep a reserve who has experience at the position. With veteran Trystan Colon nursing an elbow injury, Eguakun has solidified his case as the best option.
Roster odds: 65%
Offensive lineman Michael Niese
You might have forgotten, but Niese made the roster out of camp last year and was active all 17 games. He did see a little action on offense, but was primarily involved on special teams. He’s remained in the mix for the backup center job this year, but has been repping behind Eguakun in recent weeks.
Roster odds: 20%
Offensive tackle Jamarco Jones
If the Lions had to decide between playing Jones or Manu in a regular-season game, I think they’d still choose the veteran over the still-developing Tongan-Canadian. Regardless, I don’t think the team can justify a fifth offensive tackle on the roster. So, like last season, the Lions will probably roll with Skipper as the swing backup, Manu as a healthy game-day scratch, and will hope to keep Jones around on the practice squad in case of emergency.
Roster odds: 15%