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My final 2022 mock draft, 3 rounds (1 Viewer)

travdogg

Footballguy
So, we are finally here, my final mock draft a week out. I chose to do it now, because this next week is typically nothing but misinformation. The NFL Draft is kind of like Christmas for some of us, and there is a lot of fun in trying to guess what is inside the proverbial wrapping paper.  Here's my best guess:

1. Jac=Evan Neal T Alabama, I'm doing some major tea leaf reading here. Normally a week out, the #1 pick is close to being signed. The fact that isn't the case, could mean the Jags are trying to trade down, in which case they are floating out names of guys they aren't planning on drafting, in hopes somebody wants to move up for them. I find it odd that Evan Neal didn't participate in the combine or pro day, part of me wonders if that's because he's been told he's the #1 pick, and just don't get injured. Doug Pederson has also said that he would prefer to address offense early, and priority #1 is protecting Trevor Lawrence.

2. Det=Aidan Hutchinson DE Michigan, the Lions race to the podium in this scenario. In addition to likely being the best player in the draft, he's also a local guy, and likely would double as a huge boon to jersey sales. I think Hutchinson is actually really underrated. I think he's better than Nick Bosa or Chase Young. He looks like another Jared Allen to me, where he's very quick, but he can beat with power or technique as well as athleticism. 

3. Hou=Ikem Ekwonu T NC State, its gonna be tough to evaluate a QB with Charlie Heck at RT. Ekwonu could potentially give the Texans one of the better OT combos in the NFL. Ekwonu is a better run blcoker than pass blocker and I think while he is capable of playing LT, he might be better at RT. 

4. NYJ=Kayvon Thibodeaux DE Oregon, to an extent I think worries about his attitude or work ethic are probably not entirely unfounded, but are no doubt being spread by teams hoping he'll fall to them. Thibodeaux is a little raw as he mostly wins on athletic prowess and not skill. If Saleh can teach those skills, he might have an All-Pro. 

5. NYG=Travon Walker DE Georgia, I have a lot of concerns about Walker, especially since he was Georgia's 4th best DL last season in my opinion. That said, he's probably the best athlete of the DE class, and could be the best guy 2-3 years down the road. I also think he could play on the interior in passing situations, though that isn't likely if the Giants take him. 

6. Car=Ahmad Gardner CB Cincinnati, I haven't seen this anywhere, but it makes all the sense in the world to me. I just don't see any logic in going QB here, and while I could see Cross here, I think Gardner makes a more instant impact. As I've maintained for about a month now, I think Mayfield ends up in Carolina. I think Rhule is fighting for his job, and I think Mayfield can get 1 year to figure out if he's the guy, and if not, he's free to move on from. Pairing Gardner with Horn and Jackson would give the Panthers a potentially great secondary, with Chinn and FA signing Xavier Woods.

7. NYG=Charles Cross T Mississippi St, I think Cross is the best OL in the draft, but I don't think the NFL feels that way at all. The Giants have made some moves to improve their OL, to the point where its not a given they take a guy in round 1, but its certainly still doable. Cross is the draft's best pass blocker, and allowed only 2 sacks last year on 719 pass blocking snaps, which is awesome playing in the SEC. 

8. Atl=Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame, the Falcons could kind of use just about everything. I'm not worried about his 40-time as he'll make plays on balls guys faster than he is won't due to his 6-4 height. In some ways, Hamilton is the defensive version of Kyle Pitts, as a freakish talent at a lower valued position. Nonetheless, he's a great building block to go forward with. I've also come around to the idea, that the Falcons probably just roll with Mariota and are more interested in the 2023 QB class, than taking someone this year. 

9. Sea=Malik Willis QB Liberty, Seattle however, I don't think will have that patience. I think Willis actually has a pretty high floor in my opinion, as his running ability should keep him at least on a Jalen Hurts level, but he's a better passing prospect than Hurts in my opinion. Surrounding him with deep ball WR's like DK and Lockett, and maybe even Eskridge is an ideal situation in my opinion. I liked one comp I read, which was Kordell Stewart, if he was born 25 years later, to an NFL that had changed to be more favorable to that type of QB.

10. NYJ=Derek Stingley CB LSU, if Stingley can stay healthy, I think he's the best CB prospect in ages, like better than guys like Ward, Lattimore, or even Ramsey. Best CB in the NFL talent. Alas, he's stayed healthy 1 time in the last 3 seasons, and that's why he falls to 10. Pass defense is the Jets took issue, and through 2 picks, its potentially looking a ton better. 

11. Was=Garrett Wilson WR Ohio St, I swear making the Commanders the all Ohio St WR room wasn't my intention. Wilson seems like a great fit, especially as a #2 behind McLaurin, as Wilson may better in the slot than outside. He and a hopefully healthy Curtis Samuel offer excellent RAC skills to complement McLaurin's all around game. I'm not a huge Wentz fan(is anyone at this point?) but this would the most talented WR group he's ever played with. 

12. Min=Jermaine Johnson DE Florida St, a local guy from Eden Prairie, Johnson is kind of the opposite of some of the earlier DE's taken, in that he's more of a high floor than an elite ceiling prospect. The Vikings did sign Z.Smith, but he and Hunter haven't been all that durable (to say the least) and Smith has kicked inside frequently in both GB and Bal at times. This is a very safe pick for a rookie GM. I know some Vikings fans want OL here, and I just don't see it. Its really not that big of a need, and there isn't really anyone worth taking here.

13. Hou=Drake London WR USC, if anyone has peeked in his player thread, opinions are certainly varied on London. I'm in the group that thinks he could be a 100-catch player really quickly. There is a school of though that when much of a guys highlights are contested catches, that its a concern for the NFL. In general I can see that point, but nobody has been as good at them as London, and other guys (like Harry or JJAW for instance) were nowhere near as good of route runners. I'm seeing a lot of Michael Thomas in London, and I think pairing him with Cooks (like Thomas once was) will lead to him hitting the ground running. Not to the same extent obviously, as the Texans don't have Drew Brees, but to the extent where I'd expect London to be at least the 1B before the end of his rookie season.

14. Bal=Jordan Davis DT Georgia, sometimes guys just seem like perfect fits. Davis is a freakish athlete who Georgia used as a part time run defender. They won the National Title so it worked, but I almost feel like he was underutilized. He's a bit raw when it comes to technique, but boy who better to learn from than Calais Campbell? With the amount of stunts the Ravens run, I'd pity an OL who has to deal with Davis and Oweh crossing. 

15. Phi=Jameson Williams WR Alabama, I think without the ACL tear, he's not only the 1st WR taken, but maybe goes in the top-5. In some ways he's basically taller Jaylen Waddle. I don't think Philly is concerned about taking a WR in round 1 in 3 straight drafts, and I say that as someone who isn't writing off Reagor yet. Williams has field flipping speed and will require constant deep safety help. Even if he plays 2nd fiddle to Smith, he's well worth this pick. I think Philly is still very high on Hurts, though moving that 1st into next season is a but of a hedge.

16. NO=Chris Olave WR Ohio St, it was hard to tell if Jameis Winston had turned a corner last year, as he had basically nobody to throw to. He was pretty solid given the situation, though I still don't trust him at all. Thomas should be back, but the Saints need a field stretcher, and Olave is that and more. He profiles as a perfect compliment to Thomas and his speed will be extra dangerous in the dome. Olave has garnered Calvin Ridley comparisons, and I don't think those are unfounded. 

17. LAC=Devin Lloyd LB Utah, I know some Chargers fans will be screaming for an OL here, but Lloyd is simply too good a player to pass up, and frankly the defense needs the help more, even after the Mack/Jackson additions. Lloyd is a do it all LB, who has basically zero holes in his game. He should probably go higher than this, but LB has become a bit of a devalued position. If Kenneth Murray can take a step or two forward, this could be a dynamic LB combo. 

18. Phi=Trent McDuffie CB Washington, he's probably better than Stingley or Gardner right now, but he doesn't have their ceilings. McDuffie is a versatile CB who can play man or zone, inside or out, and his only real weakness is being under 6 foot. He allowed 10 yards a game in his coverage last season, and would give the Eagles a high quality #2 alongside Slay. 

19. NO=Kenny Pickett QB Pittsburgh, you may be thinking, if they are going Pickett why not take him with the first pick? Well, I think this is one of those instances where they like Pickett, but also kinda like Winston, so if they don't get Pickett, I don't think they would be devastated. Also, its playing the odds that LA and Phi don't go QB or trade away their picks. I'm not a Pickett fan, there is no denying he had an excellent year last year, but he's got some warts. Namely, he'll be a 24 year old rookie, who was a 1 year wonder. On the plus side, he's NFL ready if Winston falters. 
  
20. Pit=Trevor Penning T Northen Iowa, another guy I think the NFL likes more than I do. However, Penning has a world of upside, but he's got so many question marks, mostly his level of competition and his pass blocking ability. As a run blocker, I have no questions, and I doubt the Steelers would either. Najee Harris will be happy to see this pick at the very least. 

21. NE=Treylon Burks WR Arkansas, I know, they traded for Devante Parker, but he's not exactly a huge roadblock. I think Burks and Parker likely end the Patriot careers of N'Keal Harry and Nelson Agholor, as the Pats can save 6 million getting rid of them. Burks is a tough nut to crack for me. He mostly won in college with his size/speed, but his testing showed that isn't happening in the NFL, that said, other than his route running ability, his tools are still quite good. I see him being brought along slowly, but likely being the #2 in 2023, and rotated in quite a bit in year 1. 

22. GB=George Karlaftis DE Purdue, I personally like him more than Johnson and maybe even Walker. This isn't really filling a huge need, but Green Bay hasn't been a team that tends to panic draft, which is why I don't have a WR here. Karlaftis is the type who can play inside or outside, and wins with power and technique. Great rotational player, with future star potential.

23. Ari=Andrew Booth CB Clemson, the Cardinals top-3 CBs are Byron Murphy, Marco Wilson, and probably Jeff Gladney. I thought about ending this entry there. Booth is a little boom/bust, but if he irons out that inconsistency, he's a great pick, as there is nothing he does poorly.

24. Dal=Tyler Linderbaum C Iowa, the once mighty Cowboys OL looks a lot more mortal these days. Its still good, but its no longer elite, and the beginning of the issue was never adequately replacing Travis Frederick. Linderbaum is the best Center to come out since at least Ragnow. I'd argue he's the saftest pick in the draft, almost no chance he busts. He only falls this far, because many teams view Center as unimportant. 

25. Buf=Devonte Wyatt DT Georgia, was arguably Georgia's best DL last season. He's not quite the freak of nature athlete the other guys are, but he was the most productive. Putting him next to Ed Oliver will give interior OL fits, as both are strong gap shooters. Wyatt's addition means the Bills DL depth is incredible as they can conceivably run 10 deep, though I doubt Von Miller leaves the field much.

26. Ten=Zion Johnson G Boston College, after Linderbaum, he might be my pick as the 2nd saftest player in the draft. I think he slides right into Rodger Saffold's old spot, and might be an instant upgrade. 

27. TB=Kenyon Green G Texas A&M, Marpet and Cappa out, Mason and Green in. Not sure a difference will be noticed. Green started at both Tackle and Guard spots over his college career, but his best work was at LG. Only hole in Green's game (and its potentially a problem) is that he's a bit of a holder. He ironed it out a bit once he was able to stay ion one position though.  

28. GB=Nakobe Dean LB Georgia, again, I don't think GB panic drafts a WR. Dean is a sideline to sideline terror, and would probably be a top-15 pick if he were bigger. He's 5-11 230, but that doesn't seem like the type of thing that bothers GB, as they often run small on defense. Adding him and Karlaftis, to 
a hopefully healthy Jaire Alexander, and I think there is an argument GB might have the best defense in the NFL going forward.

29. KC=David Ojabo DE Michigan, a raw, pass rush specialist with limited experience coming off an Achilles tear. This doesn't sound like an ideal 1st rounder, but I think this is a luxury pick KC can afford to make. Ojabo was going to possibly be a top-10 pick before the injury, and KC can afford to wait, as they aren't all of a sudden going to stop being a contender. 

30. KC=Jahan Dotson WR Penn St, this isn't a Tyreek Hill replacement by any means, but it would give them somebody with at least a closer skill set than what they have. I think KC is going to be a lot more mix and match, as multiple RB's and WR's see the field in different sets. Dotson offers everything but size. Dotson may have the best hands in the class. 

31. Cin=Kaiir Elam CB Florida, suddenly the Bengals are kind of in luxury pick territory. The NFL moves fast. Other than OL, which has been addressed, the biggest weakness was having to rely on Eli Apple, which got them in trouble a few times. Elam offers the Bengals a physical CB who can stop WRs in their tracks and destroy timing routes. He's not a guy you'll want 1-1 40+ yards downfield, but he'll be a nice addition.

32. Det=Daxton Hill S Michigan, essentially bookending the 1st round with Wolverines. Hill bounced around a lot last year, as he was a CB/S hybrid who spent a lot of time in the slot, but his NFL future is as a centerfielder. His incredible speed will more than make up for his smallish 6-0 190 frame. 

Round 2:

33. Jac=Lewis Cine S Georgia, I think the NFL prefers Hill, but I prefer Cine. He's not as flashy, but has a Devin McCourty esq, way of just being in the right place at the right time. The rare underrated player on Georgia's defense. His knock is that while he ran a 4.37 at the combine, he doesn't seem to play that fast. Still, a solid addition to a burgeoning Jags secondary. 

34. Det=Matt Corral QB Mississippi, I'm probably as low as anybody on Corral, but he's worthy of a 2nd round pick. He's toolsy, but I think he's a bit of a project, and probably doesn't threaten Goff until late in the season. That said, I don't see any reason to take him at 32, I've done research on it, and the 5th year option, especially for QBs is mostly useless. If a QB has shown franchise potential he's getting a new deal by then. The only recent exception is Lamar Jackson, who is an entirely unique case. 

35. NYJ=Breece Hall RB Iowa St, sorry Michael Carter dynasty owners. I like Carter a lot, but he's not on Hall's level. Hall would probably have been a top-15 pick a decade ago, alas teams have mostly gotten smarter about RB value. That said Hall has all the tools to be a top-10 RB in the NFL, and in my opinion is a better talent than Najee Harris was a year ago. I think the Jets have done a lot to make things easier for Zach Wilson this season, this may be the finishing touch as it were.

36. NYG=Desmond Ridder QB Cincinnati, new GM, new HC, no ties to Daniel Jones, who is in a contract season, and has been pretty meh to date (though he's looked like Aaron Rodgers compared to what has replaced him when he's been hurt) I think Brian Daboll could see some similar traits to Josh Allen in Ridder. He's not as freaky as far as size goes, but he's even more mobile and has a big arm (though obviously not as big as Allen's) to go with some accuracy issues. In any case, I don't see Jones as the Giants long term answer and honestly thought about Willis at #7, but I think Ridder makes more sense as there won't be an elite OT this late. 

37. Hou=Boye Mafe DE Minnesota, feels like a Lovie Smith type project. Mafe is an elite athlete for the position, but is going to be a 24 year old rookie, and despite being 260 pounds, has been a liability against the run. 

38. NYJ=Logan Hall DT Houston, back to back Halls for the Jets. A gap shooter at 6-6 285, this is another pick dedicated to fixing the Jets pass defense. 

39. Chi=Roger McCreary CB Auburn, his size 5-11 190, likely keeps him in the slot, but I think Matt Eberflus will see another Kenny Moore in McCreary. Like Moore, McCreary is very physical despite his size. Bears need secondary help in the worst way, this is a good starting point.

40. Sea=Arnold Ebiketie DE Penn St, weird prospect, he crushed the combine, but on his tape he looked like a mediocre athlete. Perhaps it was just Penn State's scheme? He's got a great motor, and good technique, I'm just shocked he tested so well. Maybe Pete Carroll will be able to marry the tape to the testing? 

41. Sea=Tyler Smith T Tulsa, Kirkland-brand Ekwonu in my opinion. Seattle is desperate for OL help, and Smith would probably be a 1st rounder, if he played at a bigger school. Technique needs refinement, but tools are there. 

42. Ind=Kyler Gordon CB Washington, bit of a project, but brings everything but elite speed (4.52) I think pairing him outside with Gilmore, with Moore in slot makes for a dangerous CB trio for opposing QBs. 

43. Atl=Bernhard Raimann T Central Michigan, possibly my favorite player in the draft from a where I'd take him, to where I think he'll go aspect. Has young Lane Johnson level athleticism. His knocks are he's a 23 year old from a small school, and he could stand to maybe add weight (6-3 303) but this would be an excellent addition to the Falcons pushing McGary inside, and maybe upgrading 2 spots.

44. Cle=Travis Jones DT Connecticut, Kirkland-brand Jordan Davis. The interior of the Browns defense is a gigantic hole, and can help be filled by a gigantic dude (6-4 327) Jones isn't just some space eater though, he's got some quicks even if that isn't how he was used in college. 

45. Bal=Kenneth Walker RB Michigan St, sorry JK Dobbins owners. The ravens are a run 1st team, and I think they are very cognizant of not getting caught in a situation like they were a year ago. With both Dobbins and Edwards coming off ACL tears the Ravens aren't likely to just hope they make it back ok. They've sniffed around Melvin Gordon and were rumored to have interest in Fournette as well. Kenneth Walker is a better prospect than Dobbins was before his ACL tear in my opinion. As a runner I think he's a better prospect than Breece Hall, but he's untested in the passing game with only 18 career college catches. That matters very little in the Ravens offense. 

46. Min=Jalen Pitre DB Baylor, he's listed as a Safety, despite being a slot CB in college. Truth is he can probably do either at a high level. Pitre should be a late 1st rounder in my opinion, but I think the NFL still underrates slot value, at both WR and CB. If you are looking for knocks, its that he's 23 and smallish (5-11 200) on the flip side, he might be the best tackler in the DB class despite that size. He's been comped to Jimmy Ward, and I feel like that  might be his floor. 

47. Was=Christian Harris LB Alabama, Rivera loves his high-end athletes at LB, including last year's 1st rounder in Jamin Davis. Harris ran a 4.44 at 6-1 235 with an incredible 11 foot broad jump, but he's the proverbial chicken with his head cut off on tape. I don't know where he's going sometimes, but he's getting there fast. This is probably a round earlier then I'd take him, because he needs a ton of teaching, but Rivera is probably the right guy to do it. 

48. Chi=Christian Watson WR North Dakota St, this might be my Bears homerism (pessimism?) at work here, but this would be my worst case scenario pick. Watson is an incredible athlete (6-4 210 4.36) but he's so far away from being a good WR. He's not a good route runner, he's got bad hands, and he plays more like he's under 6 foot. All that said, his competition for the #2 job would be Byron Pringle so its hardly unassailable. He's got some MVS to him in my opinion, and is a guy I wouldn't touch in round 2, but I think there is a 100% chance he goes there.

49. NO=Trey McBride TE Colorado St, Saints continue adding offensive weapons for Winston/Pickett. McBride is the clear #1 TE in this class in my eyes, even if that would have been #3 last year. McBride is a do it all type, who has been compared to Dallas Goedert, and while that is a best case scenario (I've long been a Goedert guy) I think McBride can certainly be a solid NFL starter.

50. KC= Perrion Winfrey DT Oklahoma, was used oddly in college as a nose tackle despite being under 300 pounds. He profiles best as an interior pass rusher to me, which pairing him with Chris Jones could give Guards fits. Might be a situational player to start out. 

51. Phi=Jaquan Brisker S Penn St, staying in Pennsylvania, he played HS there too, Brisker was a box Safety in college and some wondered if he might be wise to put on some weight and play LB (6-2 205) as he's such a devastating hitter. His 4.4 40, and sub 7.00 3 cone, eased concerns that he can stay at Safety. With Anthony Harris patrolling deep, Brisker could be used as a box Safety in Philly, and continue the secondary rebuild. 

52. Pit=George Pickens WR Georgia, Pickens is a quality addition, and truthfully wouldn't shock me if he ends up the best WR in the class. He's had some injury/QB issues, but he's 6-3 200+ and runs a 4.4. I think he's got a higher upside than Diontae or Claypool, and the Steelers love taking WRs on day 2. 

53. GB=Skyy Moore WR Western Michigan, this would fall into the Packers lap. I think the fantasy community likes him more than the NFL does, I also think we are likely right to. I think at 5-10 195, he's seen as a slot WR, but I'm not sure he really is. I don't see any holes in his game other than maybe his competition, and I think he's got a pretty high floor. Worst case, he is just a slot WR, but still a pretty solid one. If he ends up in GB, he's probably a top-6 dynasty pick. 

54. NE=Quay Walker LB Georgia, has the size Belichick likes at 6-4 242, and has plenty of coverage experience including Georgia putting him on Treylon Burks, whom he'd now be teaming with. This feels like a solid replacement for Hightower. 

55. Ari=DeMarvin Leal DL Texas A&M, a bit of a DE/DT tweener, he's a little small for DT at 6-4 284, but a little slow for end (where he played in college) 5.00 40, 4.5 shuttle. That said, he's got excellent technique and coaches rave about his hand usage. Learning more beside JJ Watt can only help too. 

56. Dal=Nik Bonitto DE Oklahoma, another favorite of mine, he's a one trick pony, but its a hell of a trick. Bonitto lead the NCAA in pressures per snap, and has an assortment of quality moves. At 6-3 248, he's not likely to be an every down player, but on the quick turf in Dallas, opposite Lawrence, he'll be a threat, and it would surprise me if he were good enough that Randy Gregory's absence would go unnoticed.

57. Buf=Daniel Faalele T Minnesota, this is the type of luxury pick a team like the Bills can make. Faalele isn't seeing the field in 2022, and maybe not in 2023 even. He needs to get in better shape, and basically be taught how to play. A scout compared his hand usage to Ricky Bobby. That said, he's 6-8 390 and you can't teach that. In a few years, you might have a scary OT if things go right. Its not a move I'd make, but someone is going to buy into that upside, and I think Buffalo makes as much sense as anyone. 

58. Atl=John Metchie WR Alabama, I don't think he gets punished much for the ACL tear. These days a 20 year old tearing an ACL is more of an inconvenience than a career changer. Metchie is an outstanding route runner, who profiles as an NFL #2 WR who hangs out in the slot in my opinion. He might be a Hunter Renfrow type.

59. GB=Darian Kinnard OL Kentucky, despite playing RT in college, everyone seems to think he's moving inside. GB makes sense as a fit as that allows them to keep Elgton Jenkins at T, where I though he played his best before getting hurt last year. Kinnard is your classic bullying run blocking type. He may not be an instant starter as his pass blocking needs work, but GB is among the best teams in the NFL at getting OL up to speed. 

60. TB=Drake Jackson DE USC, your classic project pass rusher. His upside says he should go higher than this, but he's pretty much just a run around the Tackle kinda guy right now. Gumby-like flexibility, but no power to speak of despite being 6-3 270. 

61. SF=Isaiah Spiller RB Texas A&M, sorry Elijah Mitchell owners (but maybe buy-low) I'm not a Spiller fan at all, but he seems to consistently being on the 2nd/3rd fringe of all mocks. He has a 3-down back skill set, but he's also slow, and not particularly strong. This would be an ideal landing spot, Mitchell had trouble staying healthy, and Sermon already looks like a (predictable) bust, but I just think Spiller is even less talented than Sermon. 

62. KC=Chad Muma LB Wyoming, another solid long-term investment for KC's defense. Muma likely begins as the #3 behind Gay/Bolton, but is just as talented as either. As soon as he adjusts to NFL speed, which might take extra long coming from the Mountain West Conference, he should be a solid player for years to come. 

63. Cin=Leo Chenal LB Wisconsin, I have no idea why he's constantly mocked in the 3rd round, I'd argue he should be a borderline 1st, but I'm not drafting based on what I would do. Chenal would be a monster steal here. His big knock is Wisconsin never really asked him to cover except RBs out of the backfield, so he may have a learning curve there, but his athletic profile suggest it shouldn't be a problem. Chenal is a 6-3 250 4.5 LB, who had a sub 4 shuttle, a sub 7 3-cone, a 40+ inch vertical, and 34 bench reps. Did I mention he's 250 pounds, I'd take those numbers from a CB! 

64. Den=Cameron Thomas DE San Diego St, another tweener-ish type player. At 6-4 270, I might want him to add/lose weight. At the very least he makes for a solid rotational DL, and that's plenty useful.

Round 3:

65. Jac=Phidarian Mathis DT Alabama, classic run stuffer, who can kinda bullrush, but isn't really a pass rushing threat (despite what his 7 sacks last year may say) I see him as mostly a depth piece and probable backup to FA addition Fatukasi.

66. Det=Nicholas Petit-Frere T Ohio St, never really took the next step after many thought he could be a future 1st rounder at one time. A much better pass blocker than run blocker, he was mostly good this season, but got eaten alive by Ebiketie (6 pressures allowed) and Hutchinson (3 sacks and 8 pressures) I think he could push Vaitai at RG but likely settles in as a versatile high quality swing lineman. 

67. NYG=Greg Dulcich TE UCLA, I think he's a good prospect. He came to UCLA as a 6-4 210 WR, he's now 245, but he still runs a 4.7 and is a probably the best route running TE in the class. He's not as fast as Engram was for NY, but I'd argue he's probably going to be at least as good. 

68. Hou=Sam Howell QB UNC, somebody is going to fall through the cracks at QB, and my guess is its Howell, even though he's maybe my favorite of the class. I think he gets the double whammy of having a worse 2021 than 2020, and being in a gimmicky offense where it was basically just deep shots and RPO's every play. Howell might be the best pure passer in the class, he's got a rocket arm , and pretty good accuracy. He ran for 1,106 yards last season, but you aren't wanting him to do that in the NFL, his mobility is probably more young Aaron Rodgers, than say Kyler Murray. As for Houston, despite what they say, I don't think Davis Mills has earned anything, he's the starter because their guy held out, and got essentially suspended, and he ended up starting because Tyrod couldn't stay healthy. Mills production was overwhelmingly in garbage time, and while his TD/INT ratio and passer rating look fine, I'd bet on Howell being a better QB than him. I'm fine with Mills getting a shot, but they should 100% have a plan B, and if Howell (or any of the top-5 QBs) falls this far, they shouldn't hesitate. 

69. NYJ=Abraham Lucas T Washington St, he's raw as most Air Raid Tackles are, but he's got outstanding athleticism and mirror abilty. Maybe not a year 1 starter, but a long term starter in my opinion. I could see him passing George Fant at some point, and who knows what is going on with Mehki Becton right now. Tackle isn't a need at the moment but it could be quick, and Lucas has as much upside some of the 1st round guys. 

70. Jac=Jamaree Salyer OL Georgia, was a LT at Georgia, but he won't get that chance in the NFL. Wasn't a very good pass blocker in college, but was an excellent run blocker, I think he ends up at Guard, and maybe Center with the Jags losing Brandon Linder to retirement, but most likely Guard. Could also be utility backup. 

71. Chi=Kingsley Enagbare DE South Carolina, was incredibly unlucky last season as he had only 4 sacks, despite being ion the top-5 in pressures. Very inconsistent, and not super explosive but has a lot of plays where he's just pushing guys into their own QBs. 6-4 270, but lined up almost like a 3-4 OLB. I think he's an intriguing prospect around the 2/3 turn, and think he'd be a good fit here with Eberflus, who may be able to fix those consistency issues. 

72. Sea=Dylan Parham G Memphis, they just keep trotting out good run game guys at Memphis, whether it be RBs or OL. Parham looks like a solid Guard prospect who interestingly weighed 285 his senior year, but was 313 at his pro day. That said, he ran a 4.9, so its not like it was bad weight. Adding Parham to Smith and Seattle is working to rebuild its OL into a bully. 

73. Ind=Jalen Tolbert WR South Alabama, I kind of viewed CB as a bigger need than WR for Indy, but always planned to take a WR, this may be a best case scenario. I like Tolbert quite a bit, at 6-2 195 4.49, he profiles as a Marvin Jones type to me, which I think would fit Indy's offense to a tee. 

74. Atl=Myjai Sanders DE Cincinnati, the 1st thing that comes to mind with Sanders is his sloppiness. Had 20 penalties the last 2 years, mostly off sides, and he doesn't have much of a motor, and is constantly missing tackles. Its not all bad though, he's got excellent technique as a pass rusher, and above average speed at 4.67. I think he's a day 3 guy, but I could a pass rush desperate team, hoping they can coach him up. 

75. Den=Wan'Dale Robinson WR Kentucky, scary good in the open field, he might be too small to be anything other than a gadget guy. I think he's got elite return man ability though. That's the role I'd expect in Denver, with occasional jet sweeps or bubble screens. Denver is pretty loaded at WR, but both Paton and Hackett have professed the importance of special teams. 

76. Bal=Tariq Woolen CB UTSA, one of the more interesting prospects in the class, the second he's drafted, he's the most athletic CB in the NFL, maybe ever. Woolen is 6-4 205 with 34 inch arms, a 42 inch vertical and a 4.26 40 time. Ok, so why is he a 3rd rounder? Well, because he's not a very good player. In his defense he moved from WR in 2020, because he had poor hands, dropping 23% of his targets, and he can't tackle at all. I feel like John Harbaugh is the right coach to maybe get the most out of this guy. He's not anything more than a sub package guy for at least a year, but the ceiling is the moon. 

77. Min=Troy Andersen LB Montana St, only been a LB for a year and a half after coming to the school as a RB. 6-4 243(side note: how the hell were they planning on having a 6-4 RB?) with a 4.42 40, Andersen showed up big Senior Bowl week. He's not a year 1 starter, but he's a project well worth betting on. Learning from a guy like Kendricks would be a boon for him. 

78. Cle=Alec Pierce WR Cincinnati, the path is clear for a #2 in Cleveland behind Amari Coooper. Pierce is a downfield threat, with 4.41 speed, at 6-3 210. He only really ran go routes and slants in college so he's really raw as a route runner. If this profile sounds familiar to Browns fans, its because he has a lot in common with Donovan Peoples-Jones, I think Pierce has a more potential though. 

79. LAC=Calvin Austin WR Memphis, one common complaint is that Justin Herbert throws such a great deep ball, but doesn't have guys who can run under them. Austin is small (5-8 170) but incredibly explosive 4.32 40, 39 inch vertical. I can see him running 10-20 deep routes a game, and being a huge difference maker in the return game. 

80. Hou=Sean Ryhan OL UCLA, 3 year starting LT at UCLA, but he's almost certainly moving inside, as he's got short arms and shoddy technique. At Guard however his athletic prowess could shine. His explosiveness shows up on tape as he just buries guys in the run game and gets to the second level. Speaking of explosiveness, here's a quick list of 320+ pound OL who have vertical jumps over 35 inches: Tristan Wirfs, Sean Ryhan, end of list. He is going to be a 24 year old rookie, in case you were curious why he's not projected higher. The Texans getting him and Ekwonu could certainly add some potential to whomever ends up being their RB (day 3 rookie? Gordon? Michel?) I doubt its just Mack and Burkhead.

81. NYG=David Bell WR Purdue, I know some would argue WR is the last thing the Giants need, but taking a closer look at the group, and Toney had 1.25 good games, and is seemingly not ingratiating himself to the new staff. Golladay has been hurt for about 2 years now, and may have lost some of his burst. Slayton has gotten worse every year he's been in the league. Shpeard tore his Achilles and was a quickness based WR. I'm not a fan of Bell's at all, and think he's a sub package WR, but I think despite his 4.65 40, and embarrassing 4.57 shuttle, some in the NFL still like him. 

82. Atl=Channing Tindall LB Georgia, the 3rd Georgia LB taken, Tindall is another freaky athlete who is more athlete than football player. Tindall blitzed on over 30% of his snaps, and was basically never asked to cover. Its possibly a red flag he never was a starter for Georgia, but then again, Jermaine Johnson had to transfer to start, its a tough D to crack. Tindall ran a 4.47 at 6-2 230, and could be a long term replacement for Deion Jones for the Falcons, but he's probably not about to start for Atlanta yet either. 

83. Phi=Jeremy Ruckert TE Ohio St, the Eagles like using 2 TE sets, and despite his physical traits, its probably asking/assuming a lot for converted QB Tyree Jackson to be that guy. Ruckert brings a different skill set as a high end run blocker, who is mostly a run 7 yards and turn around type pass catcher. Ruckert is a load after the catch though. 

84. Pit=Coby Bryant CB Cincinnati, doesn't live up to his name athleticism wise. Bryant is viewed much higher in mocks than I'd have him. I think he's a late day 3 guy, but he's consistently mocked in rounds 2/3. He is a somewhat capable cover 2 CB, who received constant help in college with Sauce on the other side. Bryant has good height for a CB (6-1) and has a rep as a bit of a ballhawk, but with his athletic traits, I don't see that translating to anything other than a depth piece. He's a good tackler, maybe he'll make a mark on special teams. 

85. NE=Josh Paschal DE Kentucky, this year's day 2 edge rusher for NE, Paschal is a very unique player at 6-3 270. No doubt Belichick will love his versatility, and could kick him in on passing downs. His jumps were off the charts for his size 38 inch vertical for a 270 pounder. Paschal is also an easy player to root for, as he missed his sophomore season with skin cancer. 

86. LV=Cole Strange OL Chattanooga, a very raw, very talented former DE turned Guard, now likely a Center. He just needs time to develop and he'll likely be a solid starter. 

87. Ari=Sam Williams DE Mississippi, 1 dimensional pass rusher, but he does it pretty well, as his 13 sacks last season illustrate. Williams runs a 4.46 at 6-4 261, but he pretty much only wins running by guys, very little technique. Like Leal, maybe playing/practicing with JJ Watt helps teach some of that to him. 

88. Dal=Marcus Jones CB Houston, before I talk about his CB skills, I have to mention his return skills. Dude has 9 return TDs and will likely be a top-5 KR day 1. So in Dallas, that also should free up Tony Pollard for more offensive snaps. At CB, 5-8 177 is a problem, he's certainly limited to the slot at that size, but he's a feisty aggressive player who is pretty sticky in man coverage. I think he's going to be a quality nickelback, even at that size. 

89. Buf=James Cook RB Florida St, listed at 5-11 190 at Georgia, he surprised coming in at 6-0 204. he isn't as powerful or as creative a runner as Dalvin is, but he's no slouch. I think he's a RBBC back, and this is a solid fit. One spot where James beats Dalvin is in the receiving game, and Buffalo has seemingly been looking for help there, as they never seem to have fully trusted Singletary. Cook reminds me somewhat of Kenneth Gainwell a year ago, but with a little more burst. I don't see him threatening for a starting job but 8-10 touches a game seems doable. 

90. Ten=Carson Strong QB Nevada, this doubles as both potentially a move for the future and the present, as Strong should be an upgrade at backup QB, whether Tannehill is then long term answer or not. Personally, I'm of the opinion Tannehill is underrated, and performed just fine considering the injury woes around him. Strong is a bit of a throwback as a pocket passer with almost no mobility. He's not all that dissimilar a prospect to Davis Mills, with the addition of some serious knee issues, that may have him off some teams boards entirely. I think he profiles as a quality backup QB, who may develop into a starter down the road. He's got the arm for it. 

91. TB=Cam Taylor-Britt CB Nebraska, some have him moving to Safety and while I can see it, I think he stays at CB. At 5-11 195 with a 4.38 40, why move him? Especially so since his biggest weakness is that he's a gambler, and that's a much scarier trait for a Safety than a Corner. I think his future may be as a slot CB, but I like him a lot in round 3. 

92. GB=Isaiah Likely TE Coastal Carolina, constantly on the round 2/3 bubble, I don't get it at all, I think he's a borderline draftable player. Big leap from Coastal Carolina to the NFL, and he's not a good enough athlete to do it. A 240 pounder who can't block and runs a 4.8 isn't for me.  

93. SF=Martin Emerson CB Mississippi, has the size and smarts you want from a press CB. 6-2 203 33.5 inch arms. I think he probably ends up being a depth piece though as his quicks just aren't there. 

94. KC=Jelani Woods TE Virginia, 24 year old rookie, who isn't a good route runner and has drop issues. What's to like? Well, he's 6-7 270 and runs a 4.6. I think he's probably going to always be a little limited, but as a TE2 any offense can use this threat. As a backup for Kelce, who plays in some 2 TE sets, its worth a flier here. Woods is also a decent blocker. 

95. Cin=Cade Otton TE Washington, dominant blocker, which takes on added value as the Bengals are very deep at WR. He has good hands and is decent after the catch, but he's not running away from anybody. He's similar to Ruckert in my opinion. 

96. Den=Kerby Joseph S Illinois, good tackler and has great hands (5 INT's and 2 pick-6s last year) but comes with speed and experience issues. I wonder if he'll have to earn his hay on special teams, but he should be a top backup. 

97. Det=Khalil Shakir WR Boise St, doesn't get enough separation at 6-0 196 to justify going any higher. I think he's a slot WR, which likely makes him a #4 in Detroit, Good hands, and ok RAC, but he just doesn't stand out much to me. 

98. NO=Nick Cross S Maryland, one of my favs in this class. Cross just needs some coaching and experience. He should go a round higher than this in my opinion. 6-0 215 4.34, and a very good tackler, though not a good block shedder. Cross was also on the Maryland track team. Not saying he'll replacer Marcus Williams, but I'm confident he'll be a lot better than Daniel Sorenson. 

99. Cle=Bryan Cook S Cincinnati, as one scout put it, he puts the safe in Safety. Great run defender, and adequate cover guy. I think he profiles as a special teams player to start, and backup to Johnson, but possibly more if Delpit can't get/stay healthy.

100. Bal=Rasheed Walker T Penn St, at 6-6 324, he's a better run blocker than pass blocker, but that is a good fit for the Ravens scheme, likely as a swing tackle should Ronnie Stanley not be able to stay on the field again. 

101. Phi=Brian Robinson RB Alabama, sorry Jordan Howard owners? The Eagles seem to like having that bigger RB to use to run out games, or at the GL, and Robinson can fit that bill at 6-2 225.  He's sloppy in the passing game, but on this team, he'd never be on the field for it anyway. I don't see him being a threat to Miles Sanders, or possibly even Kenneth Gainwell though, he's strictly a grinder. 

102. SF=Ed Ingram G LSU, a 4 year starter who is a people mover in the run game, had a pathetic 21 inch vertical at the combine, but also had a 5.02 40 at 312 pounds, which makes me think he can fit SFs running scheme. He'd be in the mix to replace Laken Tomlinson, but likely not the favorite, still a useful depth piece. 

103. KC=Cam Jurgens OL Nebraska, a 3 year starter at Center, I think he'd fit as a utility backup in KC, and could possibly fill in at LG, if injuries force Thuney to kick out to Tackle like he has previously. Jurgens is a phenomenal athlete, who gets in trouble trying to get pancakes. 

104. LAR=Brian Asamoah LB Oklahoma, another guy I love more than the mock draft community. I think he's a starter, maybe even in 2022. He's a little small at 6-1 225, but hat 4.56 makes up for it, and it shows up all the time on tape. One weakness he has, is he's sometimes overaggressive, and maybe needs to read what the offense is doing better, who better to learn from than Bobby Wagner?

105. SF=Justyn Ross WR Clemson, some team is going to try and recapture what he was in 2018 before his injury. One thing Ross does really well that SF will like is he's a great downfield blocker at 6-4 210. I think his future is as a big slot, but I'm not sure he could beat out Jauan Jennings, who brings more RAC. 

By teams:

Ari: CB Andrew Booth, DL DeMarvin Leal, DE Sam Williams

Atl: S Kyle Hamilton, T Bernhard Raimann, WR John Metchie, DE Myjai Sanders, LB Channing Tindall

Bal: DT Jordan Davis, RB Kenneth Walker, CB Tariq Woolen, T Rasheed Walker

Buf: DT Devonte Wyatt, T Daniel Faalele, RB James Cook

Car: CB Ahmad Gardner

Chi: CB Roger McCreary, WR Christian Watson, DE Kingsley Enagbare, 

Cin: CB Kaiir Elam, LB Leo Chenal, TE Cade Otten

Cle: DT Travis Jones, WR Alec Pierce, S Bryan Cook

Dal: C Tyler Linderbaum, DE Nik Bonitto, CB Marcus Jones

Den: DE Cameron Thomas, WR Wan'Dale Robinson, S Kerby Joseph, 

Det: DE Aidan Hutchinson, S Daxton Hill, QB Matt Corral, T Nicholas Petit-Frere, WR Khalil Shakir

GB: DE George Karlaftis, LB Nakobe Dean, WR Skyy Moore, OL Darian Kinnard, TE Isaiah Likely

Hou: T Ikem Ekwonu, WR Drake London, DE Boye Mafe, QB Sam Howell, OL Sean Ryhan

Ind: CB Kyler Gordon, WR Jalen Tolbert

Jac: T Evan Neal, S Lewis Cine, DT Phidarian Mathis, OL Jamaree Salyer

KC: DE David Ojabo, WR Jahan Dotson, DT Perrion Winfrey, LB Chad Muma, TE Jelani Woods, OL Cam Jurgens

LV: OL Cole Strange

LAC: LB Devin Lloyd, WR Calvin Austin

LAR: LB Brian Asomoah

Mia: 

Min: DE Jermaine Johnson, DB Jalen Pitre, LB Troy Andersen

NE: WR Treylon Burks, LB Quay Walker, DE Josh Paschal

NO: WR Chris Olave, QB Kenny Pickett, TE Trey McBride, S Nick Cross

NYG: DE Travon Walker, T Charles Cross, QB Desmond Ridder, TE Greg Dulcich, WR David Bell

NYJ: DE Kayvon Thibodeaux, CB Derek Stingley, RB Breece Hall, DT Logan Hall, T Abraham Lucas

Phi: WR Jameson Williams, CB Trent McDuffie, S Jaquan Brisker, TE Jeremy Ruckert, RB Brian Robinson

Pit: T Trevor Penning, WR George Pickens, CB Coby Bryant

SF: RB Isaiah Spiller, CB Martin Emerson, G Ed Ingram, WR Justyn Ross

Sea: QB Malik Willis, DE Arnold Ebiketie, T Tyler Smith, G Dylan Parham

TB: G Kenyon Green, DE Drake Jackson, CB Cam Taylor-Britt

Ten: G Zion Johnson, QB Carson Strong

Was: WR Garrett Wilson, LB Christian Harris

 
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👍🏽 Good stuff, thanks for sharing. 
I’ve seen Green mocked a few times to the Titans, I don’t remember if he went before Zion in those mocks but either makes sense. Carson Strong isn’t a bad 3rd rounder but if he’s there I’d much prefer Likely. Dude plays faster than his 40. 

 
It's obvious you put a lot of work into these and I appreciate it. My thoughts as someone who follows the Ravens.....

I would be shocked if Baltimore took a RB in the 2nd round, unless maybe they make a bunch of trades and end up with 3 picks in the round (& even then...... I'd still doubt it).

As things stand,  I think they're going some combo of Edge, OT, CB with their first 3 choices. I like Jordan Davis and think he fits what they do, but if one of the top OLBs or CBs is sitting there at #14 they will scoop up one of them.

Their only two Edge guys who have done anything (Oweh & Bowser) are both coming off of surgery, and their CBs and OL got decimated last season. The Ravens are paranoid about CB depth even in the best of times.

 
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Bravo, thank you for your time and effort on this. Very nicely done. Although I do not share the same upside opinion on Hutchinson, if Detroit is unable to trade down I think he is the best pick at their position and will be a solid player for them at a position of need.
 

 
I have no idea who 90% of these guys are but you clearly do. I appreciate this kind of volunteer effort and it is one of the things that makes the SP such a great resource.

Thanks.

Now, who in the world is Cole Strange and what is your reasoning for the Raiders targeting a center? Andre James started shaky as did the entire line, except Miller, but he really improved as the season went on and looks like a safe starter going forward.

Right tackle looks like the most glaring weakness on the Raiders line ATM (depending on your feelings about Leatherwood) and it sounds like Strange does not project there. I think a versatile OL projected at RT who can kick in to guard makes the most sense if the Raiders draft for OL need.

 
was thinking yesterday where are the mock drafts?    thank you @travdogg  sign me up for Walker, Cross as a nyg fan.   not sure about a qb at #36 but understand your reasoning.

 
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A for effort. As good as any mock I’ve seen. Bold with an OL 1.01, and 3 safeties in the top 10. 

I don’t see that happening, but it’s possible. 

I know you made the forum’s Jets denizens happy with that 1.04

Not sure I agree with Willis’ floor. Despite very recent “reporting” singing his praises, a lot of that comes off as pre-draft hype. Most scouts I’ve read see him as a multi-year project. IMO if Seattle does draft him, one of Lock or Smith will be a 1-year bridge QB while Willis sits & learns, ala Lance. 

That all said, an excellent mock. 

 
As a Jets fan, I love the idea of Breece Hall in the 2nd round. I know Carter showed a lot of talent last year, but you need 2 guys in today's NFL. And Hall is a big time talent, IMO.

That being said, I'd be pretty surprised if the Jets dont draft a WR with one of their 4 early picks.

Love Kayvon at 4. Stingley at 10 would surprise me (not that he's not talented, I just think they'd go WR in this scenario if they've already gone D with #4).

The Logan Hall pick makes plenty of sense (as Saleh certainly wants to get lots of live bodies up front...and they lost their Nose tackle in free agency). But again, I think they walk away from the 2nd round with a WR.

Awesome job.

 
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As a Jets fan, I love the idea of Breece Hall in the 2nd round. I know Carter showed a lot of talent last year, but you need 2 guys in today's NFL. And Hall is a big time talent, IMO.

That being said, I'd be pretty surprised if the Jets dont draft a WR with one of their 4 early picks.
Agree 100%. They’ve been pursuing WR in trade, telegraphing that they identify this as a major need. 

I’d be shocked if they don’t draft a WR.

I’d also be a little surprised if they spend an early 2nd on a RB.

 
I’d also be a little surprised if they spend an early 2nd on a RB.
He's getting mocked there often. It's a perfect position. It's right around where he should go and the Jets have two picks. Now, if they're smart, they'll use those picks at high-value positions because they're desirable picks that aren't throwaways. But he keeps getting mocked at 35 or 38 to the Jets. Smoke, meet fire. 

 
He's getting mocked there often. It's a perfect position. It's right around where he should go and the Jets have two picks. Now, if they're smart, they'll use those picks at high-value positions because they're desirable picks that aren't throwaways. But he keeps getting mocked at 35 or 38 to the Jets. Smoke, meet fire. 
I figured they resigned their big back, and are happy with Carter. 

Possible, I guess. I’ve seen the Bills mentioned in the late 1st many times, and IIRC, they mentioned interest. 

 
I have no idea who 90% of these guys are but you clearly do. I appreciate this kind of volunteer effort and it is one of the things that makes the SP such a great resource.

Thanks.

Now, who in the world is Cole Strange and what is your reasoning for the Raiders targeting a center? Andre James started shaky as did the entire line, except Miller, but he really improved as the season went on and looks like a safe starter going forward.

Right tackle looks like the most glaring weakness on the Raiders line ATM (depending on your feelings about Leatherwood) and it sounds like Strange does not project there. I think a versatile OL projected at RT who can kick in to guard makes the most sense if the Raiders draft for OL need.
Strange played LG in college, but was asked to play Center at the Senior Bowl. I think he could play either in the pros. James could very well stay at Center, with Strange playing RG. Strange is an older rookie at 24, and came from a small school in Chatanooga. He started there as a 250 pound DE, he's up to 310 now. He crushed the combine having the highest broad jump (10 feet) of any OL in attendance, as well as a 5.04 40, 4.5 shuttle, 31 bench reps, and a 7.44 3 cone, all in the 85th percentile. Which shows up in his highlights as he gets upfield really quickly in the running game. 

He didn't face many power 5 schools, but did play well against Kentucky. He had some issues in pass blocking at the Senior Bowl, but I'm not too worried about that, he's more of a run blocker first, and was being asked to play a new position. 

Also, I think Leatherwood moves back to RT, I have nothing to really base that on, other than I think McDaniels tries to maximize the talent already there. I think he's gonna end up a little like Garrett Bradbury in Minnesota, where I think he'll be an ok starter, who never lives up to being overdrafted. 

 
As a Jets fan, I love the idea of Breece Hall in the 2nd round. I know Carter showed a lot of talent last year, but you need 2 guys in today's NFL. And Hall is a big time talent, IMO.

That being said, I'd be pretty surprised if the Jets dont draft a WR with one of their 4 early picks.

Love Kayvon at 4. Stingley at 10 would surprise me (not that he's not talented, I just think they'd go WR in this scenario if they've already gone D with #4).

The Logan Hall pick makes plenty of sense (as Saleh certainly wants to get lots of live bodies up front...and they lost their Nose tackle in free agency). But again, I think they walk away from the 2nd round with a WR.

Awesome job.
I go back and forth on the Jets at WR. I see them targeting clear #1 guys, that are already developed, I'm not sure they want another young guy. Looking at guys like Hill, Deebo, and Metcalf, I think may not be an indicator that they plan on drafting a WR.

Of course, I may also just be being stubborn as I love Elijah Moore, and think Corey Davis is a very good WR when healthy. Plus they just gave a reasonably high (2/12) deal to Berrios. 

 
So 49ers are going to take a RB in the 2nd  that you think is less talented than the guy they drafted last year, who you call a bust after one year, and then draft a WR in the 3rd who you doubt can beat out Jennings, who currently fills that role?

Enjoyed the read and all but that logic seems flawed.  For a team that has been to a super bowl and an NFC championship game in the last 3 years, seems odd that you would think they would make these moves if that is your opinion of those two players.  

 
Also, the 102 pick belongs to Miami as part of the Lance trade last year.  One of the comp picks for  Salah getting the HC job with the Jets.

Just a heads up. 

 
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The 1st pick does not sign ahead of time anymore.  Contract numbers are predetermined.

Also, the Panthers aren’t picking a corner in the first.  They should pick a tackle.  They are dumb and will likely pick a QB.

 
The Saints have only taken a QB in the first round once...........and that was Archie Manning.   Can't see them spending a 1st on a QB with the holes at WR, Tackle, and Safety.  They already have enough $$$ invested in Winston and Dalton.  Dalton is getting 3 mil guaranteed and is an adequate backup.   Jameis made some serious strides before his injury, and I've been one of his biggest critics.  They didn't give up next years 1st thinking it's going to be a top 15 pick like Eagles fans here think.  WR and T make the most sense with 16 and 19.   I think 1 of those picks might end up being Defense if they go BPA like they should and think they will.

 
Related:  reportedly Deebo Samuel has told the Niners that it “is not about money “and also told them “don’t make an offer “.

And reportedly, the Niners have not made an offer.

There could be a “blow up every mock” kind of trade prior to the 1st round kicking off. 

 
So 49ers are going to take a RB in the 2nd  that you think is less talented than the guy they drafted last year, who you call a bust after one year, and then draft a WR in the 3rd who you doubt can beat out Jennings, who currently fills that role?

Enjoyed the read and all but that logic seems flawed.  For a team that has been to a super bowl and an NFC championship game in the last 3 years, seems odd that you would think they would make these moves if that is your opinion of those two players.  
I don't expect teams to value all players the same way I do. If they did, for instance, the 49ers would never have drafted Lance or Sermon, and would have taken Fields and Carter instead if I had to take those positions last season.  

I do factor in a lot of rumors, and where various sources have players ranked, and then make alterations where I deem appropriate. So, sometimes the logic will be flawed because its not my opinion of who I'd pick, but where I think a team could be leaning. I then apply my analysis of that potential pick. 

 
The Saints have only taken a QB in the first round once...........and that was Archie Manning.   Can't see them spending a 1st on a QB with the holes at WR, Tackle, and Safety.  They already have enough $$$ invested in Winston and Dalton.  Dalton is getting 3 mil guaranteed and is an adequate backup.   Jameis made some serious strides before his injury, and I've been one of his biggest critics.  They didn't give up next years 1st thinking it's going to be a top 15 pick like Eagles fans here think.  WR and T make the most sense with 16 and 19.   I think 1 of those picks might end up being Defense if they go BPA like they should and think they will.
Perhaps I've not visited the Eagles thread enough, but are there people who actually think that? The Saints were 9-3 with Winston/Hill starting last year, before falling apart and going 0-5 under Siemian/Book. Its not like the division got tougher with Ryan leaving. 

I don't think the Saints are QB or bust by any means, but I do think if the right guy is there they would be receptive to taking him. I do think OT isn't as big a need as people think though. Armstead missed 10 games last season, and James Hurst was fine filling in. Like QB, I don't think they'd pass on the right guy if he was there in round 1, but I don't see Penning being a fit for them, and I don't believe another tackle goes that highly, even if I feel Raimann should be.

To your BPA point, I thought about McDuffie at 16, but have it in my head, that if Olave is the last of the top-4 available, they couldn't risk LA taking him, since WR is NO's biggest hole.

 
Nice work.

I’m curious on Baltimore taking Keneth Walker. Is the thinking that Dobbins is on the outs, or they are such a RBBC mess that they can’t resist giving two 2nd round RBs part time duty?

 
Nice work.

I’m curious on Baltimore taking Keneth Walker. Is the thinking that Dobbins is on the outs, or they are such a RBBC mess that they can’t resist giving two 2nd round RBs part time duty?
Not that Dobbins is on the outs per se, but more that he can't just blindly be trusted coming off the ACL tear, and neither can Edwards. The Ravens are arguably the most run heavy team in the NFL, and got into some trouble last season, when they had to use the 2016 all star team of Devonta Freeman and Le'Veon Bell for stretches. 

They were rumored to be in on Fournette, and have had Melvin Gordon in for a visit, so they seem like they are very interested in adding to their backfield, and not just some end of roster type, but a potential starter. Add to the fact, at least in my opinion, that Kenneth Walker is more talented than Dobbins was as a prospect, and I can certainly see a possible 3 person RBBC developing there.

The Ravens have had at least 517 rushing attempts as a team in 4 straight seasons, or, since Jackson became the starter. Figuring about 150 for Jackson, that's roughly 400 carries for the RBs, Gus Edwards has never exceeded 144, so Dobbins would be on the hook for 250 or so, plus or minus a few here and there for mop up guys. I don't see them trusting Dobbins for that, and possibly not even Edwards for that 144. 

 
So, we are finally here, my final mock draft a week out. I chose to do it now, because this next week is typically nothing but misinformation. The NFL Draft is kind of like Christmas for some of us, and there is a lot of fun in trying to guess what is inside the proverbial wrapping paper.
Every year is tough but this draft has got to be one of the most difficult in recent memory. Do you ever play around with the PFF "Mock Draft Simulator"? It's an even better time waster than the FBG salary contest and that is saying A LOT. I wish we as a FBG community could mock together on that platform. I've never been a PFF fanboi but it's pretty amazing.

 
Not that Dobbins is on the outs per se, but more that he can't just blindly be trusted coming off the ACL tear, and neither can Edwards. The Ravens are arguably the most run heavy team in the NFL, and got into some trouble last season, when they had to use the 2016 all star team of Devonta Freeman and Le'Veon Bell for stretches. 

They were rumored to be in on Fournette, and have had Melvin Gordon in for a visit, so they seem like they are very interested in adding to their backfield, and not just some end of roster type, but a potential starter. Add to the fact, at least in my opinion, that Kenneth Walker is more talented than Dobbins was as a prospect, and I can certainly see a possible 3 person RBBC developing there.

The Ravens have had at least 517 rushing attempts as a team in 4 straight seasons, or, since Jackson became the starter. Figuring about 150 for Jackson, that's roughly 400 carries for the RBs, Gus Edwards has never exceeded 144, so Dobbins would be on the hook for 250 or so, plus or minus a few here and there for mop up guys. I don't see them trusting Dobbins for that, and possibly not even Edwards for that 144. 
Everything you say makes sense in a vacuum. But, their needs are even more dire at other positions and this draft appears to me to have a "BPA also = Need" vibe to it for Baltimore, where - at least in the early rounds - player value and team holes line up well. Losing Dobbins & Edwards hurt them badly, but losing Stanley & Peters (and Judon to FA) hurt them worse.

They only have two established CBs - Peters and Humphrey, and they are both coming off injury. Same at OLB. Stanley played one game and was shut down, which nuked an already-shaky OL. My guess is that they'd rather shore up those three areas and - if they have to - make do with whatever they can at RB if Dobbins and/or Edwards aren't fully recovered.

For the record, I think they WILL draft a RB. I just think it'll probably be with one of their 42 4th round picks.

 
10. NYJ=Derek Stingley CB
Matt Miller@nfldraftscout

2. Derek Stingley, Jr. is the hottest name in the draft. There is even buzz about him being a top 3 pick to either Detroit or Houston. Said one scout when asked about his subpar 2020 season—"I'd have checked out on that team, too." The Seahawks at 9 feel like a floor for him.

 
Kudos @travdogg this is a massive undertaking and a fantastic read. I use to do a two round mock back in the day and it was a heavy time commitment. Great analysis throughout. Thanks for the effort.

 
Matt Miller@nfldraftscout

2. Derek Stingley, Jr. is the hottest name in the draft. There is even buzz about him being a top 3 pick to either Detroit or Houston. Said one scout when asked about his subpar 2020 season—"I'd have checked out on that team, too." The Seahawks at 9 feel like a floor for him.
I mean, if I were picking for every team, I'd take Stingley at #2. I think he's the best CB prospect I can remember and that he could be the best CB in the NFL in couple years. Durability is his only knock, and it hasn't been major injuries. Like he didn't tear an Achilles, or have several concussions, or have a neck/spine injury. He's had injuries that very likely have no lasting effects. 

Its interesting to read the bolded. I can't say I disagree, but its weird to hear someone in the media say it. 

 
Every year is tough but this draft has got to be one of the most difficult in recent memory. Do you ever play around with the PFF "Mock Draft Simulator"? It's an even better time waster than the FBG salary contest and that is saying A LOT. I wish we as a FBG community could mock together on that platform. I've never been a PFF fanboi but it's pretty amazing.
Gave it a shot, and decided to run as Chicago and Pittsburgh, my favorite team and my AFC team, I ended up with:

Steelers=20.George Karlaftis 52. George Pickens 84. Brian Asomoah

Bears= 39. Bernhard Raimann 48. Skyy Moore 71. Josh Paschal

Was a bit of a weird mock draft as no QBs went in the top-15 and DEs went 1-2-3, followed by OTs at 4-5-6. 

 
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I could not do the entire first and only go Top 20

Reasoning:

I think the top will be dominated with EDGE and OTs.

Teams paid for proven NFL WRs but 'traditionally' WRs tend to fall in drafts so this is about where I think they go.

It is possible the QBs go later but there has been so much smoke of Pickett going early and of Malik's upside being too good to pass-up.  I think if the board goes this way that Ridder would round out the top-20.

Top corners are always in demand and go early.

The 'freakish' DTs and safety also go in the top-20.

I'm sure I'm waaay off but here's my stab at the top-twenty.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. JaguarsEDGE Aidan Hutchinson Near lock to be top pick

2. Lions — EDGE Travon Walker Tons of upside/fills need

3. Texans — OT Evan Neal Top rated OT/fills need/BPA on board

4. Jets — OT Ikem Ekwonu Top need filled with blue chip prospect

5. Giants — OT Charles Cross See above and end of mini-run of OTs

6. Panthers — QB Kenny Pickett First QB 

7. Giants — S Kyle Hamilton Too good to pass up/fills need

8. Falcons — QB Malik Willis Second QB/tons of upside

9. Seahawks — CB Derek Stingley I think this happens if board goes this way

10. Jets — EDGE Jermaine Johnson Knocking off needs

11. CommandersCB Sauce Gardner Too good to pass up/take 'safe' pick

12. Vikings — DT Jordan Davis Fills need with freakish talent/upside

13. Texans — WR Garrett Wilson First receiver and top talent

14. Ravens — DT Devonte Wyatt Fills need with solid prospect

15. Eagles — CB Trent McDuffie Major need addressed

16. Saints — WR Jameson Williams Fills need with 'possibly' best WR of draft

17. Chargers — EDGE George Karlaftis Need filled with last of the top EDGE rushers

18. Saints OT Trevor Penning Last of top OTs

19. Eagles WR Drake London Knock off two positions that needed addressing

20. Steelers — QB Desmond Ridder Fills biggest need with 'possibly' their-guy

 
travdogg said:
Was a bit of a weird mock draft as no QBs went in the top-15 and DEs went 1-2-3, followed by OTs at 4-5-6. 
When you set up the draft there is a slider next to "Advanced Settings" that I usually move all the sliders to 50/50 to make it more of a mix of PFF rankings and public consensus... with slightly more randomness thrown in. That bumps up the QB's as PFF is very, very low on this QB class. Which I kind of agree with. Almost all of their drafts DL/EDGE, CB, and OT very high which I also agree with.

In most mocks I'm actually more interested in where guys go in the middle rounds and late rounds. Nobody is going to get this first round right. I see Hutchinson to JAX and Hall to BUF more often than not but I think both of those are far from locks. In fact, I think they would both be mistakes.

This might be the most I've anticipated a draft in awhile because almost anything can happen. Well, I would be SHOCKED if KC/BUF/CIN drafted a QB early. But after that almost nothing would shock me. I guess if there were no trades I'd be equally shocked.

 
I like the idea of a TE for Cin (Hurst just has not be impressive as a pass catcher), but could also see them grabbing a RB at some point.

 
Minnesota may not go OL with their first but to say it's not really that big of a need seems to be ignoring the facts on the ground. It's a HUGE need. If they don't get an OL in their first three picks they have a failed draft imo, especially given their lack of any substantial signings in free agency. They need a center and they need a guard. Plus the depth is garbage.

 
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Hot Sauce Guy said:
Related:  reportedly Deebo Samuel has told the Niners that it “is not about money “and also told them “don’t make an offer “.

And reportedly, the Niners have not made an offer.

There could be a “blow up every mock” kind of trade prior to the 1st round kicking off. 
I'm expecting at least 2 of Deebo Samuel, DK Metcalf, Kadarius Toney, Kyler Murray, and Baker Mayfield to be dealt. Odds are most likely on Mayfield and Toney, but as we've seen throughout the off season so far, you never know. 

 
Minnesota may not go OL with their first but to say it's not really that big of a need seems to be ignoring the facts on the ground. It's a HUGE need. If they don't get an OL in their first three picks they have a failed draft imo, especially neither their lack of any substantial signings in free agency. They need a center and they need a guard. Plus the depth is garbage.
I disagree. They have quality young starters at LT, LG, RT, and even C. Bradbury is fine at Center, he's never going to live up to his draft capital, but he's developed into a decent starter, who is one of the better run blocking Centers in the NFL. RG isn't that big of a hole. In addition to last year's 3rd rounder in Wyatt Davis, they added Jesse Davis (who can play G or T, and is solid depth at worst) from Miami who has been starting for them for several years, and Chris Reed, who was a top backup for Indy, who has performed at a starters level whenever he's needed to play, which I'm sure any Colts fan would agree with. 

Could they use an upgrade? Sure, but so could basically any team. I feel like a common theme I see in just about every team thread is the OL needs help. There are only so many quality starters to go around spread across 5 spots. Other than maybe 4-5 teams, basically every OL in the NFL has at least 1 very questionable starter. I'd argue the Vikings are a middle of the pack OL at worst, and possibly top-10 if Darrisaw and Cleveland keep improving. 

Its a little odd to me, that a lot of Vikings fans want to see OL but not DB, and often the reason given is they have already invested so much on DBs. But, truth be told, they've invested more in the OL than they have at DB, and have gotten more out of those picks as well, making it less of a need. I'm kinda of the belief the Vikings have a top-5ish offense in the NFL right now, they just needed competent play calling, which they certainly didn't get at all last season. If O'Connell is anywhere near what McVay is, or even other McVay disciples like Taylor or LaFleur, I think this could be a top-3 team in the NFC with better injury luck, and better defense. So, I think they should be BPA all day, which hopefully includes 1 quality DB. 

 
That would be the biggest reach at #1 in my memory. Personally, I don't think Walker is a top-10 player in this class. Way too little production for me to trust him. 
I mean he's consensus top 5 so not really a huge reach in terms of that. I trust your assessment of him over my own, but sounds like he's going #1 and it's a done deal. 

 
I mean he's consensus top 5 so not really a huge reach in terms of that. I trust your assessment of him over my own, but sounds like he's going #1 and it's a done deal. 
Oh yeah, he was never going to fall past 5 in my opinion, but man, I can't even see a case for him over Hutchinson. Walker's slightly heavier, has longer arms, and a better 40 time. Hutchinson is much stronger, quicker, much more pro ready, much more productive in college, a team leader, and played in an NFL style defense. 

Walker going #1 would just more evidence that the 49ers run in the early 2010s was Jim Harbaugh carrying Trent Baalke kicking and screaming to success. In fact, now that I think about it, would Baalke be so petty as to not take Hutchinson as a spite to Harbaugh?

 

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