Lots of analysts way overvalue low-round draft picks as well.
The Eagles had 12 picks in next year’s draft, so going down to 10 is not a huge deal.
I think it comes from analysts being around GMs and taking what they say as gospel. GMs value picks like they're holding onto an inflatable raft in an emergency, but in reality, GMs overvalue those picks. Same with fantasy dynasty players. Any pick after your second-round picks are crapshoots, and even your second-round picks hit at a lower rate than one thinks. First-round cost control is huge, and second-round duration of contract is also, but those later picks in the draft? If you can get a bona fide player who doesn't get paid that much (like Bigsby) it's really a win. At least as far as I can suss out. I haven't really seen any numbers or hit rates that are a good counterargument against using your picks for players.
I mean, it takes a good story or rooting interest off of the table during the third day of the draft, but that's often all it does. Why do people think the almost frenzy around Jacory Croskey-Merritt is so significant? These guys almost never start and last more than a year or so.
Bigsby fumbles a lot and isn't a very good receiving back. So Jacksonville found him expendable. But even given that, he suits Philly's needs. Frankly, I think your second-best RB just signed again to the practice squad after you had kept A.J. Dillon over him for some reason I can't quite figure out. I don't know if you've released him because of Bigsby, but Montrell Johnson is a physical dynamo and Philly is kind of lucky nobody signed him. He might never see the field in a regular season game, but there are other completely mediocre guys on practice squads all over. Hell, the Dallas pro room or Houston pro room would be happy to have him.